Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 4, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Blazers	14%	97	114	121.3	94	94.3
	2	Timberwolves	86%	113	119	126.6	94	93.7

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+18

-13

MIN

+14

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.15 57.6%

MIN

1.23 61.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

30 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anfernee Simons #1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 25	43.0	34	63%	5	14	0	0	4	4	0	5	3-3	100%	8-13	62%	5-13	38%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 28	38.9	26	87%	3	1	1	1	3	4	2	1	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	5-6	83%
Kris Murray #8 · SG · 6'8" 218 · 24	35.0	14	64%	5	2	1	1	0	1	4	1	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	1-5	20%
Dalano Banton #5 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 24	33.3	18	41%	7	4	0	0	1	1	3	4	3-5	60%	6-14	43%	1-6	17%
Jabari Walker #34 · PF · 6'7" 237 · 22	28.4	4	22%	8	1	0	0	0	5	1	7	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-3	0%

Rayan Rupert #72 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 20	23.4	13	93%	6	0	0	0	1	3	1	5	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-3	100%
Ashton Hagans #19 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 25	19.7	0	0%	3	4	3	0	3	4	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Justin Minaya #24 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	9.6	3	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Moses Brown #10 · C · 7'2" 258 · 24	8.7	2	100%	3	2	0	1	1	3	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lower Abdominal; Surgery
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Illness; General
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Soreness
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Ligament Tear
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Sprain
Malcolm Brogdon #11 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Tendinitis
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quad; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	58%	41	28	5	3	13	26	12	29	8-11	73%	29-53	55%	16-39	41%

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30 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anfernee Simons #1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 25	43.0	34	63%	5	14	0	0	4	4	0	5	3-3	100%	8-13	62%	5-13	38%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 28	38.9	26	87%	3	1	1	1	3	4	2	1	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	5-6	83%
Kris Murray #8 · SG · 6'8" 218 · 24	35.0	14	64%	5	2	1	1	0	1	4	1	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	1-5	20%
Dalano Banton #5 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 24	33.3	18	41%	7	4	0	0	1	1	3	4	3-5	60%	6-14	43%	1-6	17%
Jabari Walker #34 · PF · 6'7" 237 · 22	28.4	4	22%	8	1	0	0	0	5	1	7	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-3	0%

Rayan Rupert #72 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 20	23.4	13	93%	6	0	0	0	1	3	1	5	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-3	100%
Ashton Hagans #19 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 25	19.7	0	0%	3	4	3	0	3	4	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Justin Minaya #24 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	9.6	3	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Moses Brown #10 · C · 7'2" 258 · 24	8.7	2	100%	3	2	0	1	1	3	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lower Abdominal; Surgery
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Illness; General
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Soreness
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Ligament Tear
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Sprain
Malcolm Brogdon #11 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Tendinitis
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quad; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	58%	41	28	5	3	13	26	12	29	8-11	73%	29-53	55%	16-39	41%

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2 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 32	39.0	25	104%	16	0	1	3	3	6	5	11	7-7	100%	9-10	90%	0-0	-
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 36	28.7	19	63%	2	7	3	0	2	1	2	0	5-5	100%	4-7	57%	2-6	33%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 23	23.8	9	45%	4	1	0	0	0	2	2	2	3-6	50%	3-4	75%	0-3	0%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	21.4	13	93%	1	1	2	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · PF · 7'0" 248 · 28	21.3	14	47%	4	1	0	2	1	4	2	2	4-6	67%	5-9	56%	0-3	0%

Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 23	34.7	13	50%	4	6	1	0	2	2	0	4	4-6	67%	3-7	43%	1-3	33%
Kyle Anderson #1 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 30	28.8	9	50%	3	5	1	1	1	1	0	3	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	1-2	50%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 25	23.0	12	100%	5	0	0	1	1	0	0	5	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	4-4	100%
Monté Morris #23 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 29	19.3	5	31%	1	7	1	0	1	0	1	0	1-1	100%	2-6	33%	0-2	0%
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daishen Nix #12 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
Jaylen Clark #0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Rupture Rehab
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	61%	40	28	9	7	11	17	12	28	28-37	76%	29-51	57%	11-28	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	POR	MIN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.15 57.6%

MIN

1.23 61.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

75%

MIN

84%

Midrange

POR

32%

MIN

31%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

24.0

41%

62%

MIN

16.5

39%

59%

Free Throws

POR

73%

MIN

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Simons	34	63%	17.0 / 27
D. Reath	26	87%	13.0 / 15
D. Banton	18	41%	9.0 / 22
K. Murray	14	64%	7.0 / 11
R. Rupert	13	93%	6.5 / 7
J. Walker	4	22%	2.0 / 9
J. Minaya	3	50%	1.5 / 3
M. Brown	2	100%	1.0 / 1
A. Hagans	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Gobert	25	104%	12.5 / 12
M. Conley	19	63%	9.5 / 15
K. Towns	14	47%	7.0 / 15
N. Alexander-Walker	13	93%	6.5 / 7
A. Edwards	13	50%	6.5 / 13
N. Reid	12	100%	6.0 / 6
J. McDaniels	9	45%	4.5 / 10
K. Anderson	9	50%	4.5 / 9
M. Morris	5	31%	2.5 / 8

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 107.7 17 114.7	POR 121.3 MIN 126.6 +5.3
Pace	21 97.9 22 97.9	POR 94.3 +0.7 MIN 93.7
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.6 3 15.0	POR 15.3 −0.1 MIN 15.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	30 50.3% 10 55.9%	POR 57.6% MIN 57.6%
TO %	29 14.6% 22 13.6%	POR 12.6% MIN 10.4% −2.2%
ORB %	3 27.5% 22 23.1%	POR 30.0% +0.7% MIN 29.3%
FTrt	23 22.8 5 27.0	POR 12.0 MIN 46.8 +34.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 58.7% 12 64.6%	POR 62.2% MIN 70.0% +7.8%
STL %	12 7.7% 6 8.0%	POR 5.3% MIN 9.6% +4.3%
BLK %	20 9.0% 4 11.0%	POR 5.9% MIN 13.2% +7.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.28 and 2.28.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	30 52.6% 10 57.7%	POR 57.6% MIN 61.3% +3.7%
Rim FG%	29 58.1% 15 64.3%	POR 75.0% MIN 84.0% +9.0%
Mid FG%	30 38.7% 16 42.6%	POR 32.0% +1.2% MIN 30.8%
3P %	30 34.5% 3 38.7%	POR 41.0% +1.7% MIN 39.3%
FT %	9 79.1% 18 77.7%	POR 72.7% MIN 75.7% +3.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	11 34.7% 14 34.1%	POR 30.4% MIN 31.6% +1.2%
Mid Att. %	23 28.3% 16 27.5%	POR 27.2% −5.7% MIN 32.9%
3P Att. %	24 37.0% 17 38.4%	POR 42.4% +6.9% MIN 35.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Game Totals	POR	MIN
Possessions	94	94
Possession Minutes	23.9	24.1
Points	114	119
Rebounds	41	40
Assists	28	28
Steals	5	9
Blocks	3	7
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	11 (0)
Fouls	26	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (6)	12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (0)	28 (3)
Field Goals	45-92	40-79
At-the-Rim FG	21-28	21-25
Midrange FG	8-25	8-26
2-Point FG	29-53	29-51
3-Point FG	16-39	11-28
Free Throws	8-11	28-37
Fast Break Pts	15	7
2nd Chance Pts	16	15
Points in Paint	54	56
Pts off Turnovers	16	25
Bench Points	18	39
Biggest Lead	7	15

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg