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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Monday
March 4, 2024
10:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Thunder51%116104
10Lakers49%115116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 24.9
23.7
29.5
15
83%
2
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
5-7
71%
Jalen Williams
G-F · 6'6" 195 · 22.9
26.2
31.7
7
35%
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-6
7-12
17%
58%
1-3
33%
Chet Holmgren
C-F · 7'0" 195 · 21.8
28.2
30.8
15
52%
7
1
0
1
1
0
3
4
1-1
100%
4-8
5-8
50%
62%
2-6
33%
Josh Giddey
G · 6'8" 205 · 21.4
28.8
19.9
13
65%
5
4
1
1
1
3
2
3
0-0
-
5-8
3-5
63%
52%
1-2
50%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 25.6
29.6
34.8
20
59%
7
4
4
2
2
4
2
5
9-9
100%
4-11
10-17
36%
56%
1-2
50%
Cason Wallace
G · 6'4" 195 · 20.3
22.0
17.2
7
44%
4
1
3
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
60%
1-4
25%
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 25.2
16.5
18.1
12
68%
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
2-2
100%
2-5
2-3
40%
59%
2-3
67%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 33.9
14.5
15.3
2
20%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
50%
0-1
0%
Isaiah Joe
G · 6'5" 165 · 24.7
13.7
17.1
0
0%
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
57%
0-3
0%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 32.7
11.5
4.3
5
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
51%
1-3
33%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 29.3
9.2
10.5
2
25%
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
57%
0-2
0%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 31.5
6.6
5.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
55%
0-0
-
Lindy Waters III
F · 6'6" 215 · 26.6
5.3
1.9
3
50%
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
57%
1-3
33%
Olivier Sarr
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.0
4.3
2.5
3
80%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
0-0
100%
62%
0-0
-
Jaylin Williams
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.7
Ousmane Dieng
F · 6'10" 185 · 20.8
Adam Flagler
G · 6'3" 180 · 24.3
Keyontae Johnson
F · 6'6" 230 · 23.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rui Hachimura
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.1
21.6
31.4
7
39%
1
1
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-2
0%
2-5
4-8
40%
57%
1-3
33%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 39.2
31.0
34.3
19
59%
11
8
1
1
0
3
1
10
4-5
80%
6-11
8-13
55%
58%
1-3
33%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 31.0
30.2
35.7
24
71%
12
4
1
1
3
2
4
8
10-11
91%
7-12
9-15
58%
58%
0-0
-
Austin Reaves
G · 6'5" 197 · 25.8
29.1
34.1
16
100%
6
7
1
1
0
5
1
5
0-0
-
2-3
4-7
67%
59%
4-5
80%
D'Angelo Russell
G · 6'5" 195 · 28.0
33.5
32.8
26
68%
6
3
4
1
1
3
1
5
3-5
60%
4-6
4-7
67%
53%
5-11
45%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 30.9
24.3
20.5
2
25%
2
3
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Taurean Prince
F · 6'8" 220 · 30.0
21.9
16.1
14
100%
6
1
0
0
1
1
0
6
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
52%
4-6
67%
Jaxson Hayes
C · 6'11" 220 · 23.8
17.8
10.2
4
67%
6
2
1
0
1
1
4
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
67%
0-1
0%
Cam Reddish
F-G · 6'8" 208 · 24.5
13.0
13.9
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Max Christie
G · 6'6" 190 · 21.1
5.3
6.1
3
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
1-1
100%
Jalen Hood-Schifino
G · 6'6" 215 · 20.7
5.3
3.0
1
13%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
0-1
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Harry Giles III
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.9
3.6
2.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-1
0%
Maxwell Lewis
F · 6'7" 195 · 21.6
3.6
1.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Colin Castleton
C · 6'11" 250 · 23.8
Skylar Mays
G · 6'4" 205 · 26.5
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.7
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 24.9
Christian Wood
F · 6'9" 214 · 28.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.