for complete access.
All Games Tuesday, March 5, 2024
FinalWin Prob.pScore
27
Pistons
23%104
110
10
Heat
77%114
118
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
115.89599.5
MIA logo MIA
124.29592.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.110
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:04.1HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound110
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.2PistonsEvan Fournier misses three point pullup jump shot110
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.6HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2110
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.6HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2110
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.6PistonsIsaiah Stewart personal foul (Take) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)110
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0PistonsSimone Fontecchio personal foul (Take) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)110
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.3PistonsCade Cunningham makes two point pullup jump shot110
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0HeatJimmy Butler makes three point pullup jump shot108
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.6HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound108
1.4%
113
98.6%
Q4 - 0:41.1PistonsSimone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot108
2.0%
113
98.0%
Q4 - 0:52.5HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving hook shot108
4.4%
113
95.6%
Q4 - 1:15PistonsSimone Fontecchio makes three point jump shot (Cade Cunningham assists)108
8.2%
111
91.8%
Q4 - 1:26HeatTerry Rozier turnover (out of bounds bad pass)105
3.6%
111
96.4%
Q4 - 1:43HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound105
2.6%
111
97.4%
Q4 - 1:47PistonsSimone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot105
3.3%
111
96.7%
Q4 - 2:06HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)105
4.7%
111
95.3%
Q4 - 2:10PistonsJaden Ivey turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)105
9.6%
108
90.4%
Q4 - 2:28HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving layup105
17.5%
108
82.5%
Q4 - 2:40PistonsJalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 2105
21.5%
106
78.5%
Q4 - 2:40PistonsJalen Duren makes regular free throw 1 of 2104
19.7%
106
80.3%
Q4 - 2:40HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Jalen Duren draws the foul)103
17.6%
106
82.4%
Q4 - 2:51PistonsAusar Thompson defensive rebound103
18.4%
106
81.6%
Q4 - 2:54HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot103
15.9%
106
84.1%
Q4 - 3:22PistonsJaden Ivey makes two point jump shot103
11.0%
106
89.0%
Q4 - 3:39HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2101
10.5%
106
89.5%
Q4 - 3:39HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2101
10.9%
105
89.1%
Q4 - 3:39PistonsJalen Duren shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)101
11.5%
104
88.5%
Q4 - 3:44HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound101
13.8%
104
86.2%
Q4 - 3:47PistonsCade Cunningham misses two point pullup jump shot101
15.3%
104
84.7%
Q4 - 3:54PistonsAusar Thompson defensive rebound101
19.1%
104
80.9%
Q4 - 3:57HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot101
17.3%
104
82.7%
Q4 - 4:16PistonsJaden Ivey makes regular free throw 1 of 1101
13.6%
104
86.4%
Q4 - 4:16HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Jaden Ivey draws the foul)100
12.8%
104
87.2%
Q4 - 4:18PistonsSimone Fontecchio defensive rebound98
7.4%
104
92.6%
Q4 - 4:19HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway bank jump shot98
6.6%
104
93.4%
Q4 - 4:35HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound98
5.0%
104
95.0%
Q4 - 4:39PistonsCade Cunningham misses two point jump shot98
5.6%
104
94.4%
Q4 - 4:44PistonsPistons offensive rebound98
7.3%
104
92.7%
Q4 - 4:44PistonsBam Adebayo blocks Cade Cunningham's two point driving layup98
5.6%
104
94.4%
Q4 - 5:01PistonsSimone Fontecchio defensive rebound98
8.7%
104
91.3%
Q4 - 5:04HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot98
7.9%
104
92.1%
Q4 - 5:14PistonsPistons turnover (shot clock violation)98
6.3%
104
93.7%
Q4 - 5:14PistonsPistons offensive rebound98
8.6%
104
91.4%
Q4 - 5:15PistonsJaden Ivey misses three point jump shot98
6.9%
104
93.1%
Q4 - 5:36PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound98
8.6%
104
91.4%
Q4 - 5:39HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 298
8.2%
104
91.8%
Q4 - 5:39HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 298
6.7%
104
93.3%
Q4 - 5:39PistonsJalen Duren shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)98
7.2%
103
92.8%
Q4 - 5:54HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound98
8.3%
103
91.7%
Q4 - 5:57PistonsJaden Ivey misses three point pullup jump shot98
9.2%
103
90.8%
Q4 - 6:23HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)98
12.4%
103
87.6%
Q4 - 6:44PistonsCade Cunningham makes two point driving layup98
15.1%
101
84.9%
Q4 - 6:57PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound96
12.4%
101
87.6%
Q4 - 7:00HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot96
11.3%
101
88.7%
Q4 - 7:10HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound96
9.7%
101
90.3%
Q4 - 7:11PistonsThomas Bryant blocks Cade Cunningham's two point driving layup96
10.5%
101
89.5%
Q4 - 7:17PistonsPistons offensive rebound96
12.8%
101
87.2%
Q4 - 7:18PistonsThomas Bryant blocks Cade Cunningham's two point driving dunk96
10.5%
101
89.5%
Q4 - 7:26HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (James Wiseman draws the foul)96
12.8%
101
87.2%
Q4 - 7:35PistonsJames Wiseman defensive rebound96
12.8%
101
87.2%
Q4 - 7:41HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot96
11.7%
101
88.3%
Q4 - 7:46HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound96
9.6%
101
90.4%
Q4 - 7:49PistonsEvan Fournier misses two point fadeaway jump shot96
10.5%
101
89.5%
Q4 - 8:05HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 296
13.1%
101
86.9%
Q4 - 8:05HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 296
13.4%
100
86.6%
Q4 - 8:05PistonsEvan Fournier shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)96
13.9%
99
86.1%
Q4 - 8:20PistonsJames Wiseman makes two point cutting dunk (Cade Cunningham assists)96
15.8%
99
84.2%
Q4 - 8:32PistonsEvan Fournier defensive rebound94
13.0%
99
87.0%
Q4 - 8:35HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot94
12.1%
99
87.9%
Q4 - 8:39HeatHeat offensive rebound94
10.3%
99
89.7%
Q4 - 8:43HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot94
12.1%
99
87.9%
Q4 - 8:48HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound94
10.3%
99
89.7%
Q4 - 8:51PistonsEvan Fournier misses three point jump shot94
11.1%
99
88.9%
Q4 - 8:52PistonsJames Wiseman offensive rebound94
13.0%
99
87.0%
Q4 - 8:55PistonsSimone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot94
11.1%
99
88.9%
Q4 - 9:09PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound94
13.4%
99
86.6%
Q4 - 9:12HeatThomas Bryant misses three point jump shot94
12.5%
99
87.5%
Q4 - 9:21HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound94
10.6%
99
89.4%
Q4 - 9:23PistonsMarcus Sasser misses three point stepback jump shot94
11.4%
99
88.6%
Q4 - 9:32PistonsMarcus Sasser defensive rebound94
13.4%
99
86.6%
Q4 - 9:35HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot94
12.5%
99
87.5%
Q4 - 10:00PistonsEvan Fournier makes three point jump shot (Isaiah Stewart assists)94
10.6%
99
89.4%
Q4 - 10:24HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup91
7.8%
99
92.2%
Q4 - 10:32HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound91
9.3%
97
90.7%
Q4 - 10:36PistonsIsaiah Stewart misses three point jump shot91
10.0%
97
90.0%
Q4 - 10:46PistonsPistons offensive rebound91
11.6%
97
88.4%
Q4 - 10:48PistonsHaywood Highsmith blocks Simone Fontecchio's two point driving layup91
9.9%
97
90.1%
Q4 - 10:55HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point layup91
11.6%
97
88.4%
Q4 - 10:58HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound91
13.6%
95
86.4%
Q4 - 10:58HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point hook shot91
15.8%
95
84.2%
Q4 - 11:16PistonsEvan Fournier makes three point running pullup jump shot91
14.3%
95
85.7%
Q4 - 11:20HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Marcus Sasser steals)88
10.0%
95
90.0%
Q4 - 11:35PistonsJames Wiseman turnover (offensive foul)88
8.3%
95
91.7%
Q4 - 11:35PistonsJames Wiseman offensive foul (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)88
10.0%
95
90.0%
Q4 - 11:46HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)88
10.0%
95
90.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.88
12.0%
93
88.0%
Q3 - 0:01.3PistonsEvan Fournier defensive rebound88
14.5%
93
85.5%
Q3 - 0:01.3HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot88
13.8%
93
86.2%
Q3 - 0:15.9PistonsSimone Fontecchio makes three point jump shot (Evan Fournier assists)88
12.3%
93
87.7%
Q3 - 0:36.1HeatJimmy Butler makes two point stepback jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)85
8.6%
93
91.4%
Q3 - 0:56.6HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound85
10.3%
91
89.7%
Q3 - 1:00PistonsSimone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot85
10.9%
91
89.1%
Q3 - 1:16HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 185
12.7%
91
87.3%
Q3 - 1:16PistonsEvan Fournier shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)85
13.1%
90
86.9%
Q3 - 1:20HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound85
17.2%
88
82.8%
Q3 - 1:22PistonsAusar Thompson misses three point jump shot85
18.1%
88
81.9%
Q3 - 1:43PistonsAusar Thompson defensive rebound85
20.2%
88
79.8%
Q3 - 1:47HeatTerry Rozier misses two point pullup jump shot85
19.3%
88
80.7%
Q3 - 1:55HeatHeat offensive rebound85
17.2%
88
82.8%
Q3 - 1:55HeatAusar Thompson blocks Terry Rozier's three point jump shot85
19.3%
88
80.7%
Q3 - 1:58PistonsSimone Fontecchio turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)85
17.2%
88
82.8%
Q3 - 2:01HeatTerry Rozier turnover (bad pass) (Simone Fontecchio steals)85
20.3%
88
79.7%
Q3 - 2:13PistonsSimone Fontecchio makes two point layup (Cade Cunningham assists)85
17.4%
88
82.6%
Q3 - 2:18PistonsCade Cunningham offensive rebound83
15.2%
88
84.8%
Q3 - 2:23PistonsEvan Fournier misses three point jump shot83
13.6%
88
86.4%
Q3 - 2:38PistonsSimone Fontecchio defensive rebound83
15.2%
88
84.8%
Q3 - 2:39HeatBam Adebayo misses two point layup83
14.5%
88
85.5%
Q3 - 2:40HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound83
12.9%
88
87.1%
Q3 - 2:42HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving finger roll layup83
14.5%
88
85.5%
Q3 - 2:43HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound83
12.9%
88
87.1%
Q3 - 2:47HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot83
14.5%
88
85.5%
Q3 - 2:59PistonsCade Cunningham turnover (traveling)83
12.9%
88
87.1%
Q3 - 3:19HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)83
15.6%
88
84.4%
Q3 - 3:36HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound83
20.1%
85
79.9%
Q3 - 3:39PistonsCade Cunningham misses three point jump shot83
21.1%
85
78.9%
Q3 - 3:48HeatCaleb Martin turnover (out of bounds lost ball)83
23.5%
85
76.5%
Q3 - 4:03PistonsJalen Duren personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)83
20.0%
85
80.0%
Q3 - 4:12PistonsSimone Fontecchio makes three point jump shot (Jalen Duren assists)83
20.0%
85
80.0%
Q3 - 4:18PistonsIsaiah Stewart offensive rebound80
15.6%
85
84.4%
Q3 - 4:22PistonsSimone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot80
14.0%
85
86.0%
Q3 - 4:27PistonsAusar Thompson defensive rebound80
15.6%
85
84.4%
Q3 - 4:29HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot80
14.9%
85
85.1%
Q3 - 4:42PistonsIsaiah Stewart makes three point jump shot (Ausar Thompson assists)80
13.4%
85
86.6%
Q3 - 4:59HeatTerry Rozier makes three point stepback jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)77
10.3%
85
89.7%
Q3 - 5:08HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound77
13.7%
82
86.3%
Q3 - 5:12HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot77
15.1%
82
84.9%
Q3 - 5:15HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound77
13.6%
82
86.4%
Q3 - 5:15HeatJimmy Butler misses two point layup77
15.1%
82
84.9%
Q3 - 5:36PistonsAusar Thompson makes two point driving dunk (Cade Cunningham assists)77
13.6%
82
86.4%
Q3 - 5:43PistonsCade Cunningham makes technical free throw 1 of 175
12.1%
82
87.9%
Q3 - 5:43HeatNikola Jovic technical foul74
11.7%
82
88.3%
Q3 - 5:43HeatNikola Jovic personal foul (Loose ball) (Isaiah Stewart draws the foul)74
10.5%
82
89.5%
Q3 - 5:43PistonsPistons offensive rebound74
10.5%
82
89.5%
Q3 - 5:44PistonsCade Cunningham misses three point jump shot74
9.5%
82
90.5%
Q3 - 6:00HeatNikola Jovic makes two point layup (Bam Adebayo assists)74
10.5%
82
89.5%
Q3 - 6:17PistonsCade Cunningham makes three point jump shot (Jalen Duren assists)74
12.0%
80
88.0%
Q3 - 6:21HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Isaiah Stewart draws the foul)71
9.4%
80
90.6%
Q3 - 6:32HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Jaden Ivey steals)71
9.4%
80
90.6%
Q3 - 6:45PistonsAusar Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 271
8.0%
80
92.0%
Q3 - 6:45PistonsAusar Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 270
7.7%
80
92.3%
Q3 - 6:45HeatTerry Rozier shooting foul (Ausar Thompson draws the foul)69
7.3%
80
92.7%
Q3 - 6:54HeatTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)69
7.1%
80
92.9%
Q3 - 7:00HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound69
9.2%
77
90.8%
Q3 - 7:04PistonsCade Cunningham misses three point jump shot69
10.0%
77
90.0%
Q3 - 7:09PistonsJalen Duren offensive rebound69
11.1%
77
88.9%
Q3 - 7:12PistonsJaden Ivey misses two point jump shot69
10.0%
77
90.0%
Q3 - 7:27HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)69
11.0%
77
89.0%
Q3 - 7:32PistonsJalen Duren turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)69
12.3%
75
87.7%
Q3 - 7:55HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)69
14.2%
75
85.8%
Q3 - 7:59HeatHeat offensive rebound69
17.7%
72
82.3%
Q3 - 7:59HeatJaden Ivey blocks Jimmy Butler's two point running layup69
19.4%
72
80.6%
Q3 - 8:02PistonsJalen Duren turnover (lost ball) (Nikola Jovic steals)69
17.5%
72
82.5%
Q3 - 8:17HeatTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)69
20.0%
72
80.0%
Q3 - 8:29HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound69
24.4%
69
75.6%
Q3 - 8:31PistonsCade Cunningham misses two point driving layup69
25.3%
69
74.7%
Q3 - 8:45HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 269
27.6%
69
72.4%
Q3 - 8:45HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 269
28.0%
68
72.0%
Q3 - 8:45PistonsCade Cunningham shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)69
28.4%
67
71.6%
Q3 - 9:06HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound69
29.2%
67
70.8%
Q3 - 9:08PistonsAusar Thompson misses three point jump shot69
30.2%
67
69.8%
Q3 - 9:24HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround jump shot69
32.6%
67
67.4%
Q3 - 9:40PistonsJalen Duren makes two point dunk (Cade Cunningham assists)69
35.1%
65
64.9%
Q3 - 9:57HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)67
32.7%
65
67.3%
Q3 - 10:17PistonsIsaiah Stewart makes two point driving dunk (Jaden Ivey assists)67
34.3%
63
65.7%
Q3 - 10:30PistonsJaden Ivey defensive rebound65
32.0%
63
68.0%
Q3 - 10:30HeatAusar Thompson blocks Nikola Jovic's two point running layup65
31.0%
63
69.0%
Q3 - 10:34HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound65
28.7%
63
71.3%
Q3 - 10:37PistonsJaden Ivey misses three point jump shot65
29.7%
63
70.3%
Q3 - 10:54HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving bank jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)65
32.1%
63
67.9%
Q3 - 11:11PistonsCade Cunningham makes three point jump shot (Ausar Thompson assists)65
33.7%
61
66.3%
Q3 - 11:16PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound62
28.4%
61
71.6%
Q3 - 11:19HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving floating jump shot62
27.6%
61
72.4%
Q3 - 11:38PistonsIsaiah Stewart makes two point putback layup62
25.7%
61
74.3%
Q3 - 11:40PistonsIsaiah Stewart offensive rebound60
23.5%
61
76.5%
Q3 - 11:41PistonsIsaiah Stewart misses two point hook shot60
21.9%
61
78.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.60
23.6%
61
76.4%
Q2 - 0:02.7PistonsJaden Ivey turnover (out of bounds lost ball)60
21.0%
61
79.0%
Q2 - 0:10.5PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound60
22.8%
61
77.2%
Q2 - 0:16.3HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot60
22.3%
61
77.7%
Q2 - 0:31.9PistonsCade Cunningham makes three point pullup jump shot60
21.0%
61
79.0%
Q2 - 0:39.6PistonsCade Cunningham defensive rebound57
16.9%
61
83.1%
Q2 - 0:42.8HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot57
16.5%
61
83.5%
Q2 - 0:54.9PistonsJalen Duren makes two point dunk57
15.5%
61
84.5%
Q2 - 1:11HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)55
13.8%
61
86.2%
Q2 - 1:31PistonsJalen Duren makes two point alley-oop dunk (Cade Cunningham assists)55
15.6%
59
84.4%
Q2 - 1:47HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk (Terry Rozier assists)53
13.8%
59
86.2%
Q2 - 1:49HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound53
15.6%
57
84.4%
Q2 - 1:52PistonsAusar Thompson misses two point running layup53
16.0%
57
84.0%
Q2 - 1:55PistonsCade Cunningham defensive rebound53
16.9%
57
83.1%
Q2 - 1:57HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving reverse layup53
16.5%
57
83.5%
Q2 - 2:09HeatHeat offensive rebound53
15.3%
57
84.7%
Q2 - 2:09HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot53
16.6%
57
83.4%
Q2 - 2:20HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound53
15.3%
57
84.7%
Q2 - 2:21PistonsCade Cunningham misses two point pullup jump shot53
15.9%
57
84.1%
Q2 - 2:30PistonsJaden Ivey defensive rebound53
17.1%
57
82.9%
Q2 - 2:34HeatTerry Rozier misses two point pullup jump shot53
16.6%
57
83.4%
Q2 - 2:49PistonsAusar Thompson makes two point pullup jump shot (Cade Cunningham assists)53
15.4%
57
84.6%
Q2 - 3:13HeatTerry Rozier makes two point stepback jump shot51
14.2%
57
85.8%
Q2 - 3:23PistonsJaden Ivey makes regular free throw 2 of 251
15.3%
55
84.7%
Q2 - 3:23PistonsJaden Ivey makes regular free throw 1 of 250
15.0%
55
85.0%
Q2 - 3:23HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jaden Ivey draws the foul)49
14.6%
55
85.4%
Q2 - 3:40HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Terry Rozier assists)49
14.2%
55
85.8%
Q2 - 3:51PistonsAusar Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 249
15.3%
53
84.7%
Q2 - 3:51PistonsAusar Thompson misses regular free throw 1 of 248
14.8%
53
85.2%
Q2 - 3:51HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Ausar Thompson draws the foul)48
15.7%
53
84.3%
Q2 - 3:56PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound48
15.6%
53
84.4%
Q2 - 3:56HeatCaleb Martin misses two point layup48
15.0%
53
85.0%
Q2 - 4:25PistonsIsaiah Stewart makes two point layup48
13.9%
53
86.1%
Q2 - 4:34PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound46
12.8%
53
87.2%
Q2 - 4:37HeatBam Adebayo misses two point layup46
12.4%
53
87.6%
Q2 - 4:57PistonsJalen Duren makes two point dunk (Simone Fontecchio assists)46
11.5%
53
88.5%
Q2 - 5:15HeatTerry Rozier makes two point stepback jump shot44
10.5%
53
89.5%
Q2 - 5:28HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound44
11.3%
51
88.7%
Q2 - 5:32PistonsSimone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot44
11.7%
51
88.3%
Q2 - 5:52HeatOrlando Robinson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)44
12.7%
51
87.3%
Q2 - 6:07PistonsJalen Duren makes two point putback dunk44
11.4%
51
88.6%
Q2 - 6:07PistonsJalen Duren offensive rebound42
10.6%
51
89.4%
Q2 - 6:10PistonsAusar Thompson misses two point driving floating jump shot42
9.8%
51
90.2%
Q2 - 6:30PistonsAusar Thompson defensive rebound42
10.6%
51
89.4%
Q2 - 6:34HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot42
10.2%
51
89.8%
Q2 - 6:44HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound42
9.4%
51
90.6%
Q2 - 6:47PistonsMarcus Sasser misses three point stepback jump shot42
9.7%
51
90.3%
Q2 - 7:09HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)42
10.6%
51
89.4%
Q2 - 7:22PistonsSimone Fontecchio makes two point floating jump shot (Marcus Sasser assists)42
12.7%
48
87.3%
Q2 - 7:35HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)40
11.6%
48
88.4%
Q2 - 7:49PistonsJalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 240
13.8%
45
86.2%
Q2 - 7:49PistonsJalen Duren makes regular free throw 1 of 239
13.6%
45
86.4%
Q2 - 7:49HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Jalen Duren draws the foul)38
13.2%
45
86.8%
Q2 - 7:57HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point running dunk38
12.7%
45
87.3%
Q2 - 8:02HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound38
13.8%
43
86.2%
Q2 - 8:06PistonsEvan Fournier misses two point driving reverse layup38
14.2%
43
85.8%
Q2 - 8:22HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 238
15.2%
43
84.8%
Q2 - 8:22HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 238
15.4%
42
84.6%
Q2 - 8:22PistonsJames Wiseman shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)38
15.7%
41
84.3%
Q2 - 8:32HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound38
16.4%
41
83.6%
Q2 - 8:35PistonsIsaiah Stewart misses three point jump shot38
16.9%
41
83.1%
Q2 - 8:47HeatOrlando Robinson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)38
18.0%
41
82.0%
Q2 - 8:52PistonsMarcus Sasser personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)38
16.4%
41
83.6%
Q2 - 9:00PistonsSimone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 2 of 238
16.4%
41
83.6%
Q2 - 9:00PistonsSimone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 1 of 237
16.2%
41
83.8%
Q2 - 9:00HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Simone Fontecchio draws the foul)36
15.9%
41
84.1%
Q2 - 9:19HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Orlando Robinson assists)36
15.2%
41
84.8%
Q2 - 9:23HeatOrlando Robinson offensive rebound36
17.9%
38
82.1%
Q2 - 9:25HeatOrlando Robinson misses two point jump shot36
19.0%
38
81.0%
Q2 - 9:38HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound36
17.9%
38
82.1%
Q2 - 9:39PistonsSimone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot36
18.4%
38
81.6%
Q2 - 9:46PistonsJames Wiseman defensive rebound36
19.5%
38
80.5%
Q2 - 9:48HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point layup36
19.0%
38
81.0%
Q2 - 10:06PistonsJaden Ivey makes two point driving layup (Marcus Sasser assists)36
17.9%
38
82.1%
Q2 - 10:12HeatOrlando Robinson makes two point putback layup34
16.6%
38
83.4%
Q2 - 10:13HeatOrlando Robinson offensive rebound34
17.9%
36
82.1%
Q2 - 10:17HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot34
19.0%
36
81.0%
Q2 - 10:34PistonsSimone Fontecchio makes three point jump shot (Marcus Sasser assists)34
17.9%
36
82.1%
Q2 - 10:43HeatJimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (Marcus Sasser steals)31
15.2%
36
84.8%
Q2 - 11:04PistonsSimone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 1 of 131
13.9%
36
86.1%
Q2 - 11:04HeatNikola Jovic shooting foul (Simone Fontecchio draws the foul)30
13.7%
36
86.3%
Q2 - 11:19PistonsJames Wiseman defensive rebound27
10.8%
36
89.2%
Q2 - 11:21HeatOrlando Robinson misses two point turnaround hook shot27
10.6%
36
89.4%
Q2 - 11:41HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound27
9.9%
36
90.1%
Q2 - 11:45PistonsEvan Fournier misses three point jump shot27
10.2%
36
89.8%
Q2 - 12:00PistonsEvan Fournier makes technical free throw 1 of 127
10.8%
36
89.2%
Q2 - 12:00HeatNikola Jovic technical foul26
9.9%
36
90.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.26
9.9%
36
90.1%
Q1 - 0:00.1PistonsPistons offensive rebound26
9.8%
36
90.2%
Q1 - 0:00.2PistonsJames Wiseman misses two point jump shot26
9.2%
36
90.8%
Q1 - 0:02.8PistonsJames Wiseman offensive rebound26
9.8%
36
90.2%
Q1 - 0:02.8PistonsMarcus Sasser misses three point jump shot26
9.2%
36
90.8%
Q1 - 0:17.6HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving floating jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)26
9.8%
36
90.2%
Q1 - 0:34.6PistonsJames Wiseman makes two point turnaround jump shot (Jaden Ivey assists)26
10.7%
34
89.3%
Q1 - 0:43.5HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 224
9.8%
34
90.2%
Q1 - 0:43.5HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 224
10.0%
33
90.0%
Q1 - 0:43.5PistonsEvan Fournier shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)24
10.1%
32
89.9%
Q1 - 0:51.4HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound24
10.7%
32
89.3%
Q1 - 0:53.5PistonsJaden Ivey misses two point driving layup24
11.0%
32
89.0%
Q1 - 1:06HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)24
11.7%
32
88.3%
Q1 - 1:20HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound24
13.8%
29
86.2%
Q1 - 1:23PistonsEvan Fournier misses three point jump shot24
14.1%
29
85.9%
Q1 - 1:34PistonsAusar Thompson defensive rebound24
14.9%
29
85.1%
Q1 - 1:37HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot24
14.5%
29
85.5%
Q1 - 1:45HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound24
13.8%
29
86.2%
Q1 - 1:48PistonsEvan Fournier misses three point jump shot24
14.1%
29
85.9%
Q1 - 1:59PistonsSimone Fontecchio defensive rebound24
14.9%
29
85.1%
Q1 - 2:01HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving hook shot24
14.7%
29
85.3%
Q1 - 2:24PistonsJames Wiseman makes two point putback layup24
13.8%
29
86.2%
Q1 - 2:25PistonsJames Wiseman offensive rebound22
12.9%
29
87.1%
Q1 - 2:26PistonsSimone Fontecchio misses two point driving layup22
12.1%
29
87.9%
Q1 - 2:42HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving finger roll layup22
12.9%
29
87.1%
Q1 - 2:52HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound22
13.8%
27
86.2%
Q1 - 2:55PistonsCade Cunningham misses two point driving hook shot22
14.1%
27
85.9%
Q1 - 3:08HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)22
15.1%
27
84.9%
Q1 - 3:19PistonsIsaiah Stewart makes regular free throw 2 of 222
17.2%
24
82.8%
Q1 - 3:19PistonsIsaiah Stewart makes regular free throw 1 of 221
17.0%
24
83.0%
Q1 - 3:19HeatTerry Rozier shooting foul (Isaiah Stewart draws the foul)20
16.6%
24
83.4%
Q1 - 3:38HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving finger roll layup20
16.3%
24
83.7%
Q1 - 3:59PistonsJaden Ivey makes two point fadeaway jump shot20
17.2%
22
82.8%
Q1 - 4:05PistonsJames Wiseman defensive rebound18
16.3%
22
83.7%
Q1 - 4:09HeatTerry Rozier misses two point pullup jump shot18
15.9%
22
84.1%
Q1 - 4:19PistonsCade Cunningham makes two point pullup jump shot18
15.0%
22
85.0%
Q1 - 4:32HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot (Terry Rozier assists)16
14.1%
22
85.9%
Q1 - 4:44PistonsJaden Ivey makes two point driving layup16
15.0%
20
85.0%
Q1 - 5:08HeatNikola Jovic makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)14
14.1%
20
85.9%
Q1 - 5:24PistonsIsaiah Stewart makes two point running layup (Jaden Ivey assists)14
15.0%
18
85.0%
Q1 - 5:29HeatTerry Rozier turnover (lost ball) (Isaiah Stewart steals)12
14.1%
18
85.9%
Q1 - 5:48PistonsJaden Ivey makes two point pullup jump shot (Cade Cunningham assists)12
13.0%
18
87.0%
Q1 - 5:59HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running layup (Terry Rozier assists)10
12.2%
18
87.8%
Q1 - 6:05PistonsCade Cunningham turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)10
13.1%
16
86.9%
Q1 - 6:21HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 210
14.0%
16
86.0%
Q1 - 6:21HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 210
14.1%
15
85.9%
Q1 - 6:21PistonsCade Cunningham shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)10
14.3%
14
85.7%
Q1 - 6:28PistonsJames Wiseman turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)10
15.0%
14
85.0%
Q1 - 6:37HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 210
16.1%
14
83.9%
Q1 - 6:37HeatNikola Jovic misses regular free throw 1 of 210
16.3%
13
83.7%
Q1 - 6:37PistonsJalen Duren shooting foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)10
15.6%
13
84.4%
Q1 - 6:50PistonsJaden Ivey makes regular free throw 2 of 210
16.1%
13
83.9%
Q1 - 6:50PistonsJaden Ivey misses regular free throw 1 of 29
15.8%
13
84.2%
Q1 - 6:50HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Jaden Ivey draws the foul)9
16.7%
13
83.3%
Q1 - 7:07HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 29
16.0%
13
84.0%
Q1 - 7:07HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 29
16.1%
12
83.9%
Q1 - 7:07PistonsJalen Duren shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)9
16.2%
11
83.8%
Q1 - 7:10HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound9
16.8%
11
83.2%
Q1 - 7:15PistonsDuncan Robinson blocks Jaden Ivey's two point jump shot9
17.3%
11
82.7%
Q1 - 7:23PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound9
18.2%
11
81.8%
Q1 - 7:23HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot9
17.8%
11
82.2%
Q1 - 7:37HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound9
16.9%
11
83.1%
Q1 - 7:41PistonsCade Cunningham misses three point jump shot9
17.3%
11
82.7%
Q1 - 7:57HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)9
18.2%
11
81.8%
Q1 - 8:09PistonsCade Cunningham turnover (lost ball) (Nikola Jovic steals)9
20.2%
8
79.8%
Q1 - 8:22PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound9
21.7%
8
78.3%
Q1 - 8:24HeatTerry Rozier misses two point pullup jump shot9
21.2%
8
78.8%
Q1 - 8:45PistonsCade Cunningham makes two point driving dunk (Jaden Ivey assists)9
20.2%
8
79.8%
Q1 - 8:56HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving reverse layup7
19.2%
8
80.8%
Q1 - 9:06PistonsAusar Thompson makes two point driving reverse layup (Isaiah Stewart assists)7
20.2%
6
79.8%
Q1 - 9:32HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip layup5
19.1%
6
80.9%
Q1 - 9:33HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound5
20.2%
4
79.8%
Q1 - 9:34HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot5
21.2%
4
78.8%
Q1 - 9:42HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound5
20.2%
4
79.8%
Q1 - 9:46PistonsIsaiah Stewart misses three point jump shot5
20.6%
4
79.4%
Q1 - 10:00HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)5
21.6%
4
78.4%
Q1 - 10:07HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound5
23.7%
1
76.3%
Q1 - 10:11PistonsJaden Ivey misses three point jump shot5
24.1%
1
75.9%
Q1 - 10:14PistonsJalen Duren offensive rebound5
25.2%
1
74.8%
Q1 - 10:16PistonsJaden Ivey misses two point driving floating jump shot5
24.1%
1
75.9%
Q1 - 10:29HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 25
25.2%
1
74.8%
Q1 - 10:29HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 25
25.4%
0
74.6%
Q1 - 10:29PistonsJaden Ivey shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)5
24.2%
0
75.8%
Q1 - 10:44PistonsCade Cunningham makes regular free throw 2 of 25
25.1%
0
74.9%
Q1 - 10:44PistonsCade Cunningham makes regular free throw 1 of 24
24.9%
0
75.1%
Q1 - 10:44HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Cade Cunningham draws the foul)3
24.7%
0
75.3%
Q1 - 10:58PistonsCade Cunningham defensive rebound3
23.9%
0
76.1%
Q1 - 11:00HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot3
23.4%
0
76.6%
Q1 - 11:16PistonsCade Cunningham makes three point jump shot (Jalen Duren assists)3
21.7%
0
78.3%
Q1 - 11:18PistonsJalen Duren offensive rebound0
19.6%
0
80.4%
Q1 - 11:22PistonsJaden Ivey misses three point jump shot0
18.7%
0
81.3%
Q1 - 11:36PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound0
19.6%
0
80.4%
Q1 - 11:39HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving floating jump shot0
19.2%
0
80.8%
Q1 - 12:00Jalen Duren vs. Bam Adebayo (Jimmy Butler gains possession)0
18.4%
0
81.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.09 54.5%
MIA
1.20 60.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
17
22
77%
MIA
13
17
76%
Midrange
DET
10
25
40%
MIA
15
37
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
12
18.0
42
29%
43%
MIA
14
21.0
31
45%
68%
Free Throws
DET
20
22
91%
MIA
20
23
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Cunningham2355%11.5 / 21
S. Fontecchio2265%11.0 / 17
J. Ivey1647%8.0 / 17
J. Duren14100%7.0 / 7
I. Stewart1365%6.5 / 10
A. Thompson950%4.5 / 9
E. Fournier735%3.5 / 10
J. Wiseman675%3.0 / 4
M. Sasser0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2668%13.0 / 19
D. Robinson1875%9.0 / 12
B. Adebayo1850%9.0 / 18
T. Rozier1750%8.5 / 17
C. Martin1575%7.5 / 10
J. Jaquez1169%5.5 / 8
N. Jović867%4.0 / 6
H. Highsmith375%1.5 / 2
O. Robinson233%1.0 / 3
T. Bryant0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
85
+16
-10
101
MIA
86
+12
-9
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.09 54.5%
MIA
1.20 60.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.3
113.5
DET 115.8
MIA 124.2 +8.4
Pace
100.2
96.7
DET 99.5 +7.5
MIA 92.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.1
14.8
DET 14.5 +1.2
MIA 15.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.6%
53.8%
DET 50.6%
MIA 57.6% +7.0%
TO %
14.6%
12.2%
DET 10.0%
MIA 8.6% +1.4%
ORB %
23.9%
21.8%
DET 22.7% +2.7%
MIA 20.0%
FTrt
24.6
25.7
DET 24.7
MIA 27.1 +2.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.3%
64.8%
DET 66.7% +2.4%
MIA 64.3%
STL %
6.4%
7.8%
DET 5.3%
MIA 7.4% +2.1%
BLK %
8.3%
6.9%
DET 5.6%
MIA 10.6% +5.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.9%
56.2%
DET 54.5%
MIA 60.2% +5.7%
Rim FG%
61.6%
61.2%
DET 77.3% +0.8%
MIA 76.5%
Mid FG%
41.7%
44.2%
DET 40.0%
MIA 40.5% +0.5%
3P %
34.8%
37.0%
DET 28.6%
MIA 45.2% +16.6%
FT %
78.6%
81.8%
DET 90.9% +3.9%
MIA 87.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.6%
30.4%
DET 24.7% +4.7%
MIA 20.0%
Mid Att. %
28.4%
30.2%
DET 28.1% +15.4%
MIA 43.5%
3P Att. %
36.0%
39.4%
DET 47.2% +10.7%
MIA 36.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETMIA
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes22.924.8
Points110118
Rebounds4242
Assists2627
Steals57
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)9 (0)
Fouls1614
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (6)8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (0)34 (0)
Field Goals39-8942-85
At-the-Rim FG17-2213-17
Midrange FG10-2515-37
2-Point FG27-4728-54
3-Point FG12-4214-31
Free Throws20-2220-23
Fast Break Pts916
2nd Chance Pts1615
Points in Paint4848
Pts off Turnovers1415
Bench Points3531
Biggest Lead511

BOXSCORE

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27 Detroit Pistons
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Isaiah Stewart
#28 · PF · 6'8" 250 · 23
36.4
13
65%
6
2
1
0
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
4-5
80%
1-4
25%
Ausar Thompson
#9 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 21
34.4
9
50%
6
2
0
2
0
0
0
6
3-4
75%
3-5
60%
0-2
0%
Cade Cunningham
#2 · PG · 6'6" 220 · 22
33.9
23
55%
4
8
0
0
3
2
1
3
3-3
100%
4-12
33%
4-8
50%
Jalen Duren
#0 · C · 6'10" 250 · 20
31.9
14
100%
10
3
0
0
2
5
4
6
4-4
100%
5-5
100%
0-0
-
Jaden Ivey
#23 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 22
29.2
16
47%
2
4
1
1
2
1
0
2
4-5
80%
6-10
60%
0-5
0%
Simone Fontecchio
#19 · SF · 6'7" 209 · 28
29.2
22
65%
4
2
1
0
1
1
0
4
3-3
100%
2-4
50%
5-12
42%
James Wiseman
#13 · C · 6'11" 240 · 23
16.1
6
75%
7
1
0
0
2
2
3
4
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
Evan Fournier
#31 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 31
14.8
7
35%
2
1
0
0
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
2-8
25%
Marcus Sasser
#25 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23
14.1
0
0%
1
3
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-3
0%
Quentin Grimes
#24 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 24
DNP – Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Soreness
Troy Brown Jr.
#7 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
Malachi Flynn
#14 · PG · 6'2" 175 · 26
DNP – Coach's Decision
Stanley Umude
#17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 25
Inactive - Not With Team
Jared Rhoden
#8 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Buddy Boeheim
#27 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 24
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tosan Evbuomwan
#18 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 23
Inactive - G League - On Assignment
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
110
55%
42
26
5
3
10
16
10
32
20-22
91%
27-47
57%
12-42
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.