Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, March 5, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	22	Hawks	37%	112	116	122.1	95	95.4
	18	Knicks	63%	117	100	105.3	95	94.6

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+19

-14

100

NYK

+21

-11

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.16 58.0%

NYK

0.95 47.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

22 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 22	38.2	26	76%	9	7	1	0	1	4	1	8	0-0	-	10-14	71%	2-3	67%
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 27	37.0	21	55%	9	6	1	0	1	0	1	8	3-4	75%	3-8	38%	4-9	44%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 25	35.9	17	53%	9	2	1	1	1	0	4	5	4-4	100%	5-8	63%	1-7	14%
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 32	30.4	5	36%	1	4	2	1	3	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-6	17%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 30	25.5	13	50%	9	3	0	1	1	2	3	6	3-4	75%	5-11	45%	0-0	-

De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 26	25.1	22	73%	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	2-4	50%	7-9	78%	2-5	40%
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 26	22.5	4	50%	7	0	0	2	7	4	3	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	14.4	3	75%	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3-3	100%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 26	11.0	5	83%	1	4	0	0	0	2	0	1	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Wesley Matthews #32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dylan Windler #20 · SF · 6'8" 196 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 20	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Big Toe; Soreness
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Seth Lundy #3 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Fifth Finger; Torn Ligament
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Big Toe; Sprain/Sesamoiditis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	58%	51	26	6	6	14	13	13	38	18-23	78%	34-56	61%	10-31	32%

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22 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 22	38.2	26	76%	9	7	1	0	1	4	1	8	0-0	-	10-14	71%	2-3	67%
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 27	37.0	21	55%	9	6	1	0	1	0	1	8	3-4	75%	3-8	38%	4-9	44%
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 25	35.9	17	53%	9	2	1	1	1	0	4	5	4-4	100%	5-8	63%	1-7	14%
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 32	30.4	5	36%	1	4	2	1	3	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-6	17%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 30	25.5	13	50%	9	3	0	1	1	2	3	6	3-4	75%	5-11	45%	0-0	-

De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 26	25.1	22	73%	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	2-4	50%	7-9	78%	2-5	40%
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 26	22.5	4	50%	7	0	0	2	7	4	3	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	14.4	3	75%	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3-3	100%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 26	11.0	5	83%	1	4	0	0	0	2	0	1	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Wesley Matthews #32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dylan Windler #20 · SF · 6'8" 196 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 20	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Big Toe; Soreness
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Seth Lundy #3 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Fifth Finger; Torn Ligament
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Big Toe; Sprain/Sesamoiditis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	58%	51	26	6	6	14	13	13	38	18-23	78%	34-56	61%	10-31	32%

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18 New York Knicks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Miles McBride #2 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	45.6	11	37%	2	9	1	1	1	5	2	0	0-0	-	1-5	20%	3-10	30%
Josh Hart #3 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 29	43.2	14	54%	8	6	1	2	3	2	3	5	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	3-7	43%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 27	38.7	21	42%	4	6	2	0	4	2	0	4	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	5-17	29%
Precious Achiuwa #5 · SF · 6'8" 243 · 24	23.7	15	94%	6	2	1	1	0	1	1	5	1-1	100%	7-8	88%	0-0	-
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 26	20.4	5	36%	6	2	1	2	0	2	3	3	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	0-0	-

Bojan Bogdanović #44 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 35	31.0	19	53%	3	0	0	0	2	5	1	2	3-3	100%	2-7	29%	4-11	36%
Jericho Sims #45 · C · 6'10" 250 · 25	25.7	4	100%	9	1	1	0	1	1	6	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Alec Burks #18 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 33	11.7	11	39%	2	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	0-1	0%	4-7	57%	1-7	14%
Shake Milton #13 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Charlie Brown Jr. #4 · SG · 6'6" 199 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jacob Toppin #00 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Brunson #11 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Contusion
Duane Washington Jr. #1 · SG · 6'2" 197 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
OG Anunoby #8 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Surgery
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Dislocated
Mitchell Robinson #23 · C · 7'0" 240 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	48%	40	27	8	5	11	18	17	23	8-11	73%	22-47	47%	16-52	31%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	NYK
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	NYK

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.16 58.0%

NYK

0.95 47.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

57%

NYK

55%

Midrange

ATL

67%

NYK

31%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

15.0

32%

48%

NYK

24.0

31%

46%

Free Throws

ATL

78%

NYK

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Johnson	26	76%	13.0 / 17
D. Hunter	22	73%	11.0 / 15
D. Murray	21	55%	10.5 / 19
S. Bey	17	53%	8.5 / 16
C. Capela	13	50%	6.5 / 13
B. Bogdanović	5	36%	2.5 / 7
T. Forrest	5	83%	2.5 / 3
B. Fernando	4	50%	2.0 / 4
G. Mathews	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Knicks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DiVincenzo	21	42%	10.5 / 25
B. Bogdanovic	19	53%	9.5 / 18
P. Achiuwa	15	94%	7.5 / 8
J. Hart	14	54%	7.0 / 13
M. McBride	11	37%	5.5 / 15
A. Burks	11	39%	5.5 / 14
I. Hartenstein	5	36%	2.5 / 7
J. Sims	4	100%	2.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 116.4 7 117.4	ATL 122.1 +16.8 NYK 105.3
Pace	6 100.9 30 96.0	ATL 95.4 +0.8 NYK 94.6
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.2 1 15.5	ATL 15.1 −0.1 NYK 15.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 53.9% 16 54.0%	ATL 56.3% +9.8% NYK 46.5%
TO %	13 12.5% 16 12.7%	ATL 14.1% NYK 10.4% −3.7%
ORB %	5 27.1% 1 29.4%	ATL 36.1% +5.2% NYK 30.9%
FTrt	12 25.1 14 24.6	ATL 26.4 +15.3 NYK 11.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	19 61.8% 29 59.0%	ATL 59.1% NYK 71.1% +12.0%
STL %	18 7.4% 10 7.8%	ATL 6.3% NYK 8.4% +2.1%
BLK %	21 9.0% 18 9.1%	ATL 12.8% +3.9% NYK 8.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	16 56.3% 20 56.1%	ATL 58.0% +10.4% NYK 47.6%
Rim FG%	28 60.3% 25 61.0%	ATL 57.1% +2.3% NYK 54.8%
Mid FG%	6 45.2% 14 44.1%	ATL 66.7% +35.4% NYK 31.3%
3P %	17 36.4% 14 36.9%	ATL 32.3% +1.5% NYK 30.8%
FT %	8 79.7% 16 78.0%	ATL 78.3% +5.6% NYK 72.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	18 32.8% 23 31.8%	ATL 40.2% +8.9% NYK 31.3%
Mid Att. %	11 26.5% 20 27.8%	ATL 24.1% NYK 16.2% −8.0%
3P Att. %	9 40.8% 11 40.4%	ATL 35.6% NYK 52.5% +16.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	NYK
Possessions	95	95
Possession Minutes	23.9	24.1
Points	116	100
Rebounds	51	40
Assists	26	27
Steals	6	8
Blocks	6	5
Turnovers (Team)	14 (2)	11 (1)
Fouls	13	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (6)	17 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (3)	23 (3)
Field Goals	44-87	38-99
At-the-Rim FG	20-35	17-31
Midrange FG	14-21	5-16
2-Point FG	34-56	22-47
3-Point FG	10-31	16-52
Free Throws	18-23	8-11
Fast Break Pts	11	25
2nd Chance Pts	19	15
Points in Paint	56	40
Pts off Turnovers	17	9
Bench Points	34	34
Biggest Lead	22	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg