Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, March 5, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Pacers	38%	120	137	137.0	100	91.5
	8	Mavericks	62%	124	120	120.0	100	110.3

Scoring Opportunities

IND

+12

-8

104

DAL

+13

-9

104

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.32 65.9%

DAL

1.15 57.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

16 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 30	31.9	13	54%	13	6	0	1	1	0	5	8	3-3	100%	5-11	45%	0-0	-
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 24	31.6	19	63%	6	11	0	1	2	2	1	5	0-0	-	5-5	100%	3-10	30%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 28	27.6	20	59%	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	4	5-6	83%	6-9	67%	1-5	20%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 24	24.7	10	125%	3	5	1	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-2	100%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 24	22.2	6	100%	1	2	0	0	0	4	0	1	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%

Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	25.0	19	56%	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	3-3	100%	5-9	56%	2-7	29%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	21.8	12	86%	7	0	1	0	0	3	1	6	0-0	-	0-1	0%	4-6	67%
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 24	18.3	11	61%	5	1	0	0	1	1	2	3	2-5	40%	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 32	17.9	13	65%	2	7	1	0	1	4	0	2	1-1	100%	3-8	38%	2-2	100%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	17.2	14	100%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	2-3	67%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 21	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 21	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Oscar Tshiebwe #44 · PF · 6'8" 255 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Wong #21 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Doug McDermott #20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	137	66%	43	34	3	2	8	21	9	34	19-24	79%	32-54	59%	18-39	46%

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16 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 30	31.9	13	54%	13	6	0	1	1	0	5	8	3-3	100%	5-11	45%	0-0	-
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 24	31.6	19	63%	6	11	0	1	2	2	1	5	0-0	-	5-5	100%	3-10	30%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 28	27.6	20	59%	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	4	5-6	83%	6-9	67%	1-5	20%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 24	24.7	10	125%	3	5	1	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-2	100%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 24	22.2	6	100%	1	2	0	0	0	4	0	1	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%

Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	25.0	19	56%	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	3-3	100%	5-9	56%	2-7	29%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	21.8	12	86%	7	0	1	0	0	3	1	6	0-0	-	0-1	0%	4-6	67%
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 24	18.3	11	61%	5	1	0	0	1	1	2	3	2-5	40%	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 32	17.9	13	65%	2	7	1	0	1	4	0	2	1-1	100%	3-8	38%	2-2	100%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	17.2	14	100%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	2-3	67%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 21	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 21	0.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Oscar Tshiebwe #44 · PF · 6'8" 255 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Wong #21 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Doug McDermott #20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	137	66%	43	34	3	2	8	21	9	34	19-24	79%	32-54	59%	18-39	46%

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8 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 25	42.8	39	61%	10	11	0	0	5	4	0	10	5-6	83%	11-17	65%	4-13	31%
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	37.1	20	77%	7	3	1	1	0	1	1	6	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	4-8	50%
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 32	36.4	23	55%	7	3	0	0	0	3	2	5	4-4	100%	5-10	50%	3-9	33%
Josh Green #8 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 23	25.6	6	43%	2	0	1	1	2	3	1	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 20	15.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-

Daniel Gafford #21 · PF · 6'10" 265 · 25	21.1	16	89%	10	2	1	3	0	2	3	7	2-5	40%	7-7	100%	0-0	-
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 29	15.5	4	100%	2	2	1	0	0	2	0	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Maxi Kleber #42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 32	15.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 32	13.0	6	38%	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	2-5	40%
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 27	11.7	2	100%	0	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 22	2.0	2	33%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 33	2.0	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
A.J. Lawson #9 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 24	2.0	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Greg Brown III #13 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Brandon Williams #00 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alex Fudge #3 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	58%	41	23	5	6	9	23	9	32	17-21	81%	32-54	59%	13-39	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	DAL
Clock	Team	Event	IND	DAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.32 65.9%

DAL

1.15 57.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

67%

DAL

73%

Midrange

IND

52%

DAL

46%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

27.0

46%

69%

DAL

19.5

33%

50%

Free Throws

IND

79%

DAL

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Turner	20	59%	10.0 / 17
T. Haliburton	19	63%	9.5 / 15
B. Mathurin	19	56%	9.5 / 17
O. Toppin	14	100%	7.0 / 7
P. Siakam	13	54%	6.5 / 12
T. McConnell	13	65%	6.5 / 10
B. Sheppard	12	86%	6.0 / 7
J. Smith	11	61%	5.5 / 9
A. Nembhard	10	125%	5.0 / 4
A. Nesmith	6	100%	3.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Dončić	39	61%	19.5 / 32
K. Irving	23	55%	11.5 / 21
P. Washington	20	77%	10.0 / 13
D. Gafford	16	89%	8.0 / 9
J. Green	6	43%	3.0 / 7
T. Hardaway	6	38%	3.0 / 8
D. Exum	4	100%	2.0 / 2
D. Jones	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Hardy	2	33%	1.0 / 3
A. Lawson	2	100%	1.0 / 1
D. Lively	0	-	0.0 / 2
M. Kleber	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 120.6 8 117.0	IND 137.0 +17.0 DAL 120.0
Pace	2 102.3 7 100.6	IND 91.5 DAL 110.3 +18.8
Avg. Poss. Time	29 13.7 20 14.3	IND 15.7 DAL 13.1 −2.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.8% 7 56.2%	IND 63.4% +8.0% DAL 55.4%
TO %	6 12.0% 5 12.0%	IND 8.0% −0.1% DAL 8.1%
ORB %	20 23.8% 24 22.2%	IND 22.0% +1.1% DAL 20.9%
FTrt	26 22.2 13 25.1	IND 25.8 +3.2 DAL 22.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 65.4% 26 59.6%	IND 68.0% +16.9% DAL 51.1%
STL %	15 7.5% 27 6.8%	IND 3.0% DAL 5.0% +2.0%
BLK %	14 9.5% 26 8.7%	IND 3.7% DAL 11.1% +7.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 59.4% 8 58.1%	IND 65.9% +8.2% DAL 57.7%
Rim FG%	7 65.9% 3 68.0%	IND 66.7% DAL 73.1% +6.4%
Mid FG%	1 48.8% 10 44.7%	IND 51.9% +5.5% DAL 46.4%
3P %	9 37.4% 13 36.9%	IND 46.2% +12.9% DAL 33.3%
FT %	13 78.2% 27 75.8%	IND 79.2% DAL 81.0% +1.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 36.5% 30 29.3%	IND 29.0% +1.1% DAL 28.0%
Mid Att. %	6 25.4% 13 26.6%	IND 29.0% −1.1% DAL 30.1%
3P Att. %	20 38.0% 2 44.1%	IND 41.9% DAL 41.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.11 and 2.11.

Game Totals	IND	DAL
Possessions	100	100
Possession Minutes	26.2	21.8
Points	137	120
Rebounds	43	41
Assists	34	23
Steals	3	5
Blocks	2	6
Turnovers (Team)	8 (1)	9 (0)
Fouls	21	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (3)	9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (4)	32 (3)
Field Goals	50-93	45-93
At-the-Rim FG	18-27	19-26
Midrange FG	14-27	13-28
2-Point FG	32-54	32-54
3-Point FG	18-39	13-39
Free Throws	19-24	17-21
Fast Break Pts	10	20
2nd Chance Pts	20	10
Points in Paint	50	58
Pts off Turnovers	20	9
Bench Points	69	32
Biggest Lead	20	6

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg