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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 5, 2024
10:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Suns35%108117
3Nuggets65%114107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Royce O'Neale
F · 6'6" 226 · 30.7
39.0
29.9
8
44%
5
6
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
46%
2-5
40%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'11" 240 · 35.4
43.8
35.7
35
48%
8
5
0
1
2
2
0
8
4-5
80%
11-26
7-12
42%
57%
3-8
38%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 290 · 29.5
29.9
25.2
7
72%
12
6
2
1
2
3
1
11
1-2
50%
3-4
4-7
75%
55%
0-0
-
Grayson Allen
G · 6'4" 198 · 28.4
40.6
33.8
28
88%
5
4
3
1
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
53%
8-12
67%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'4" 207 · 30.7
36.2
24.2
16
42%
6
6
2
1
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
4-13
4-7
31%
54%
2-5
40%
Drew Eubanks
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.1
23.1
13.1
10
105%
8
0
0
0
2
0
4
4
4-4
100%
3-3
2-3
100%
62%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'3" 215 · 35.2
21.7
29.3
4
23%
1
2
2
1
0
1
1
0
2-4
50%
1-3
2-3
33%
54%
0-4
0%
Saben Lee
G · 6'2" 183 · 24.7
12.7
10.5
4
52%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
0-0
-
Bol Bol
C · 7'2" 208 · 24.3
12.5
13.1
2
50%
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
62%
0-0
-
David Roddy
F · 6'4" 255 · 22.9
5.4
4.3
3
104%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 35.7
6.9
0
1-1
57%
Udoka Azubuike
C-F · 7'0" 280 · 24.5
2.4
0
0-0
66%
Ish Wainright
F · 6'5" 250 · 29.5
Nassir Little
F · 6'6" 220 · 24.1
Josh Okogie
G · 6'4" 213 · 25.5
Damion Lee
G · 6'6" 210 · 31.4
Devin Booker
G · 6'6" 206 · 27.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 218 · 25.7
39.7
33.2
20
56%
7
0
1
1
0
2
0
7
0-0
-
4-6
4-7
67%
59%
4-12
33%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.5
34.1
31.2
7
34%
3
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-1
0%
2-7
5-8
29%
62%
1-3
33%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'11" 284 · 29.0
44.3
35.4
25
59%
16
5
0
1
0
7
3
13
5-7
71%
4-11
9-14
36%
64%
4-7
57%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 204 · 31.0
38.4
29.4
11
92%
5
3
2
1
2
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
52%
3-3
100%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.0
42.2
29.7
28
54%
7
9
1
1
0
3
3
4
2-2
100%
10-19
5-10
53%
53%
2-6
33%
Peyton Watson
G · 6'7" 200 · 21.5
22.9
16.4
4
25%
4
4
1
0
2
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
56%
0-5
0%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.9
18.9
21.4
7
90%
4
1
1
1
2
0
1
3
1-2
50%
3-3
2-4
100%
54%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 33.9
15.9
17.7
3
25%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
50%
1-3
33%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 23.2
8.7
10.2
2
35%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
59%
0-1
0%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 34.9
17.3
1
1-1
52%
Julian Strawther
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.9
2.4
0
0-0
54%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.6
2.3
0
0-1
68%
Jalen Pickett
G · 6'2" 202 · 24.4
1.9
0
0-0
56%
Jay Huff
C · 7'1" 240 · 26.5
1.9
0
0-0
62%
Hunter Tyson
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.7
1.7
0
0-0
57%
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 26.9
Collin Gillespie
G · 6'1" 195 · 24.7
Braxton Key
F · 6'8" 225 · 27.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.