Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, March 6, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Magic	65%	114	119	122.7	97	89.3
	28	Wizards	35%	108	109	114.7	95	104.0

Scoring Opportunities

ORL

+12

-15

WAS

+11

-9

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.27 63.3%

WAS

1.12 56.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

16 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 23	39.0	28	74%	5	2	0	2	1	4	0	5	7-8	88%	6-8	75%	3-7	43%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 21	38.8	25	60%	6	10	0	1	4	3	1	5	4-5	80%	9-17	53%	1-2	50%
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 23	31.9	19	73%	6	4	1	0	2	1	2	4	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	5-10	50%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 25	25.0	6	75%	8	2	1	1	3	0	2	6	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Anthony Black #0 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 20	21.9	8	80%	1	2	2	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%

Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 24	24.6	11	46%	7	0	0	1	2	0	0	7	1-1	100%	5-9	56%	0-3	0%
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 27	21.2	16	100%	6	0	0	0	2	4	2	4	3-3	100%	5-6	83%	1-1	100%
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 26	19.4	6	38%	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 36	13.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Caleb Houstan #2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	4.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 25	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sore
Chuma Okeke #3 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Admiral Schofield #25 · PF · 6'5" 241 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Trevelin Queen #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kevon Harris #8 · SG · 6'5" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Maintenance
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Injury Maintenance
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	63%	42	21	4	5	15	14	9	33	19-21	90%	32-55	58%	12-26	46%

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16 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 23	39.0	28	74%	5	2	0	2	1	4	0	5	7-8	88%	6-8	75%	3-7	43%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 21	38.8	25	60%	6	10	0	1	4	3	1	5	4-5	80%	9-17	53%	1-2	50%
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 23	31.9	19	73%	6	4	1	0	2	1	2	4	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	5-10	50%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 25	25.0	6	75%	8	2	1	1	3	0	2	6	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Anthony Black #0 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 20	21.9	8	80%	1	2	2	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%

Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 24	24.6	11	46%	7	0	0	1	2	0	0	7	1-1	100%	5-9	56%	0-3	0%
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 27	21.2	16	100%	6	0	0	0	2	4	2	4	3-3	100%	5-6	83%	1-1	100%
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 26	19.4	6	38%	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 36	13.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Caleb Houstan #2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	4.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 25	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sore
Chuma Okeke #3 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Admiral Schofield #25 · PF · 6'5" 241 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Trevelin Queen #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kevon Harris #8 · SG · 6'5" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Injury Maintenance
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Injury Maintenance
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	63%	42	21	4	5	15	14	9	33	19-21	90%	32-55	58%	12-26	46%

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28 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Deni Avdija #8 · PF · 6'8" 228 · 23	35.6	14	50%	7	3	2	0	0	3	2	5	1-2	50%	5-9	56%	1-4	25%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · C · 6'8" 221 · 29	31.4	25	63%	5	4	1	1	1	0	0	5	2-3	67%	7-13	54%	3-6	50%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 20	28.2	7	44%	4	1	1	1	0	3	0	4	3-3	100%	2-3	67%	0-4	0%
Tyus Jones #5 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 28	27.4	7	44%	3	6	0	1	2	0	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Corey Kispert #24 · SG · 6'6" 224 · 25	19.4	8	50%	1	2	1	0	2	4	0	1	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%

Jordan Poole #13 · SG · 6'4" 194 · 25	32.4	26	62%	4	5	0	0	3	4	1	3	4-4	100%	5-7	71%	4-12	33%
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 30	25.0	12	86%	5	2	2	0	0	3	3	2	2-2	100%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 22	18.1	8	50%	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	2-4	50%
Landry Shamet #20 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	15.9	2	50%	1	2	0	1	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Eugene Omoruyi #97 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 27	6.7	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jules Bernard #14 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
R.J. Hampton #15 · PG · 6'4" 175 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Livers #12 · PF · 6'6" 232 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Joint capsule inflammation
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Lower back spasm
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	56%	35	26	7	4	9	20	9	26	17-20	85%	28-50	56%	12-38	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	WAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.27 63.3%

WAS

1.12 56.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ORL

81%

WAS

70%

Midrange

ORL

38%

WAS

35%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ORL

18.0

46%

69%

WAS

18.0

32%

47%

Free Throws

ORL

90%

WAS

85%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
F. Wagner	28	74%	14.0 / 19
P. Banchero	25	60%	12.5 / 21
J. Suggs	19	73%	9.5 / 13
M. Wagner	16	100%	8.0 / 8
C. Anthony	11	46%	5.5 / 12
A. Black	8	80%	4.0 / 5
G. Bitadze	6	75%	3.0 / 4
M. Fultz	6	38%	3.0 / 8

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Poole	26	62%	13.0 / 21
K. Kuzma	25	63%	12.5 / 20
D. Avdija	14	50%	7.0 / 14
R. Holmes	12	86%	6.0 / 7
C. Kispert	8	50%	4.0 / 8
J. Davis	8	50%	4.0 / 8
B. Coulibaly	7	44%	3.5 / 8
T. Jones	7	44%	3.5 / 8
L. Shamet	2	50%	1.0 / 2
E. Omoruyi	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	22 113.0 25 110.3	ORL 122.7 +7.9 WAS 114.7
Pace	27 97.4 1 103.0	ORL 89.3 WAS 104.0 +14.8
Avg. Poss. Time	2 15.2 30 13.6	ORL 16.1 WAS 13.8 −2.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 54.1% 19 53.8%	ORL 61.7% +9.4% WAS 52.3%
TO %	24 14.1% 19 13.1%	ORL 14.3% WAS 8.5% −5.8%
ORB %	7 25.3% 29 20.0%	ORL 25.7% +4.3% WAS 21.4%
FTrt	1 28.7 27 22.1	ORL 25.9 +3.2 WAS 22.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 61.0% 9 64.9%	ORL 47.7% WAS 65.0% +17.3%
STL %	4 8.3% 19 7.3%	ORL 4.1% WAS 7.4% +3.3%
BLK %	13 9.5% 16 9.4%	ORL 10.0% +2.7% WAS 7.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	18 56.2% 21 55.8%	ORL 63.3% +7.1% WAS 56.2%
Rim FG%	9 65.4% 8 65.7%	ORL 80.8% +10.8% WAS 70.0%
Mid FG%	29 38.9% 28 39.8%	ORL 37.9% +2.9% WAS 35.0%
3P %	24 35.2% 25 34.8%	ORL 46.2% +14.6% WAS 31.6%
FT %	26 75.9% 24 76.4%	ORL 90.5% +5.5% WAS 85.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 38.2% 7 35.4%	ORL 32.1% WAS 34.1% +2.0%
Mid Att. %	5 24.9% 8 25.7%	ORL 35.8% WAS 22.7% −13.1%
3P Att. %	25 36.9% 16 38.9%	ORL 32.1% WAS 43.2% +11.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.

Game Totals	ORL	WAS
Possessions	97	95
Possession Minutes	26.1	21.9
Points	119	109
Rebounds	42	35
Assists	21	26
Steals	4	7
Blocks	5	4
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	9 (0)
Fouls	14	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (3)	9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (4)	26 (1)
Field Goals	44-81	40-88
At-the-Rim FG	21-26	21-30
Midrange FG	11-29	7-20
2-Point FG	32-55	28-50
3-Point FG	12-26	12-38
Free Throws	19-21	17-20
Fast Break Pts	12	18
2nd Chance Pts	16	8
Points in Paint	56	50
Pts off Turnovers	10	16
Bench Points	33	48
Biggest Lead	13	21

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg