Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, March 6, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	3	Thunder	80%	117	128	123.1	104	107.6
	30	Blazers	20%	105	120	116.5	103	99.6

Scoring Opportunities

OKC

-18

POR

-17

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.36 68.1%

POR

1.28 63.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

3 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 26	36.0	37	66%	3	5	1	1	4	2	0	3	11-12	92%	13-20	65%	0-3	0%
Chet Holmgren #7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 22	33.2	21	75%	14	5	0	1	1	1	2	12	8-10	80%	5-5	100%	1-4	25%
Jalen Williams #8 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 23	32.4	31	70%	4	3	3	1	2	3	0	4	9-10	90%	5-12	42%	4-5	80%
Josh Giddey #3 · SG · 6'7" 214 · 21	32.2	19	95%	6	7	1	0	5	3	1	5	2-2	100%	7-7	100%	1-2	50%
Luguentz Dort #5 · PF · 6'4" 220 · 25	29.7	6	60%	1	1	1	0	1	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-3	67%

Gordon Hayward #33 · SF · 6'8" 226 · 34	18.1	10	100%	2	0	2	0	2	0	0	2	3-5	60%	2-2	100%	1-1	100%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 20	16.9	2	33%	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 25	16.8	2	50%	3	0	1	0	0	2	2	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 25	16.0	0	0%	1	2	1	1	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 29	8.8	0	0%	3	0	0	0	2	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Mike Muscala #50 · C · 6'11" 240 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bismack Biyombo #15 · C · 6'8" 255 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Lindy Waters III #12 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Olivier Sarr #30 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keyontae Johnson #18 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	68%	39	23	10	2	18	18	7	32	33-39	85%	34-52	65%	9-22	41%

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3 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 26	36.0	37	66%	3	5	1	1	4	2	0	3	11-12	92%	13-20	65%	0-3	0%
Chet Holmgren #7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 22	33.2	21	75%	14	5	0	1	1	1	2	12	8-10	80%	5-5	100%	1-4	25%
Jalen Williams #8 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 23	32.4	31	70%	4	3	3	1	2	3	0	4	9-10	90%	5-12	42%	4-5	80%
Josh Giddey #3 · SG · 6'7" 214 · 21	32.2	19	95%	6	7	1	0	5	3	1	5	2-2	100%	7-7	100%	1-2	50%
Luguentz Dort #5 · PF · 6'4" 220 · 25	29.7	6	60%	1	1	1	0	1	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-3	67%

Gordon Hayward #33 · SF · 6'8" 226 · 34	18.1	10	100%	2	0	2	0	2	0	0	2	3-5	60%	2-2	100%	1-1	100%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 20	16.9	2	33%	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 25	16.8	2	50%	3	0	1	0	0	2	2	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 25	16.0	0	0%	1	2	1	1	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 29	8.8	0	0%	3	0	0	0	2	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Mike Muscala #50 · C · 6'11" 240 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bismack Biyombo #15 · C · 6'8" 255 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Lindy Waters III #12 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Olivier Sarr #30 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keyontae Johnson #18 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	68%	39	23	10	2	18	18	7	32	33-39	85%	34-52	65%	9-22	41%

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30 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 30	40.3	20	77%	2	4	2	1	6	3	0	2	6-6	100%	4-8	50%	2-3	67%
Anfernee Simons #1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 25	39.7	29	69%	3	5	1	0	4	2	0	3	4-4	100%	5-9	56%	5-10	50%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 28	30.6	16	53%	5	1	1	0	1	3	3	2	6-7	86%	5-7	71%	0-5	0%
Dalano Banton #5 · SG · 6'8" 203 · 24	29.3	13	46%	5	5	0	1	1	2	1	4	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	2-6	33%
Kris Murray #8 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 24	23.1	12	86%	3	1	1	0	1	6	0	3	3-4	75%	3-4	75%	1-1	100%

Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 27	25.9	16	114%	6	3	3	0	1	2	0	6	3-3	100%	2-2	100%	3-4	75%
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 22	18.7	9	64%	6	2	1	0	0	6	2	4	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Rayan Rupert #72 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 20	18.3	3	25%	1	2	1	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Ashton Hagans #19 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 25	14.0	2	50%	1	4	0	0	3	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Moses Brown #10 · C · 7'2" 258 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Justin Minaya #24 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Illness; General
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 21	INACTIVE
Malcolm Brogdon #11 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Tendinitis
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Sprain
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Ligament Tear
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lower Abdominal; Surgery
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	64%	32	27	10	5	17	28	7	25	24-27	89%	27-47	57%	14-34	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	POR
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	POR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.36 68.1%

POR

1.28 63.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

OKC

77%

POR

69%

Midrange

OKC

50%

POR

39%

3PT | Effective 3PT

OKC

13.5

41%

61%

POR

21.0

41%

62%

Free Throws

OKC

85%

POR

89%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	37	66%	18.5 / 28
J. Williams	31	70%	15.5 / 22
C. Holmgren	21	75%	10.5 / 14
J. Giddey	19	95%	9.5 / 10
G. Hayward	10	100%	5.0 / 5
L. Dort	6	60%	3.0 / 5
C. Wallace	2	33%	1.0 / 3
A. Wiggins	2	50%	1.0 / 2
I. Joe	0	-	0.0 / 1
K. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Simons	29	69%	14.5 / 21
J. Grant	20	77%	10.0 / 13
D. Reath	16	53%	8.0 / 15
M. Thybulle	16	114%	8.0 / 7
D. Banton	13	46%	6.5 / 14
K. Murray	12	86%	6.0 / 7
J. Walker	9	64%	4.5 / 7
R. Rupert	3	25%	1.5 / 6
A. Hagans	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	3 118.3 29 107.7	OKC 123.1 +6.6 POR 116.5
Pace	5 100.9 21 97.9	OKC 107.6 +8.0 POR 99.6
Avg. Poss. Time	27 14.0 15 14.6	OKC 13.4 −1.1 POR 14.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	3 57.3% 30 50.3%	OKC 64.2% +4.9% POR 59.3%
TO %	3 11.7% 29 14.6%	OKC 16.5% POR 15.5% −1.0%
ORB %	28 21.1% 3 27.5%	OKC 21.9% +4.0% POR 17.9%
FTrt	17 24.0 23 22.8	OKC 52.7 +19.4 POR 33.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	23 60.9% 30 58.7%	OKC 53.5% POR 65.9% +12.4%
STL %	3 8.3% 12 7.7%	OKC 9.6% POR 9.7% +0.1%
BLK %	2 11.3% 20 9.0%	OKC 4.3% POR 9.6% +5.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.28 and 2.28.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 59.2% 30 52.6%	OKC 68.1% +4.3% POR 63.8%
Rim FG%	10 65.4% 29 58.1%	OKC 76.7% +7.7% POR 69.0%
Mid FG%	4 46.6% 30 38.7%	OKC 50.0% +11.1% POR 38.9%
3P %	1 38.9% 30 34.5%	OKC 40.9% POR 41.2% +0.3%
FT %	4 82.5% 9 79.1%	OKC 84.6% POR 88.9% +4.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	16 33.2% 11 34.7%	OKC 40.5% +4.7% POR 35.8%
Mid Att. %	24 28.5% 23 28.3%	OKC 29.7% POR 22.2% −7.5%
3P Att. %	18 38.3% 24 37.0%	OKC 29.7% POR 42.0% +12.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Game Totals	OKC	POR
Possessions	104	103
Possession Minutes	23.2	24.8
Points	128	120
Rebounds	39	32
Assists	23	27
Steals	10	10
Blocks	2	5
Turnovers (Team)	18 (0)	17 (0)
Fouls	18	28
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (1)	7 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (2)	25 (1)
Field Goals	43-74	41-81
At-the-Rim FG	23-30	20-29
Midrange FG	11-22	7-18
2-Point FG	34-52	27-47
3-Point FG	9-22	14-34
Free Throws	33-39	24-27
Fast Break Pts	13	18
2nd Chance Pts	11	9
Points in Paint	62	52
Pts off Turnovers	25	19
Bench Points	14	30
Biggest Lead	16	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg