Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, March 6, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	Kings	43%	115	130	125.0	104	108.7
	12	Lakers	57%	118	120	114.3	105	100.7

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+11

-13

102

LAL

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.27 63.7%

LAL

1.26 63.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

17 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	39.5	44	67%	4	4	2	0	3	3	0	4	4-5	80%	17-26	65%	2-6	33%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	38.2	16	57%	20	12	2	0	3	2	4	16	2-3	67%	7-12	58%	0-1	0%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 24	31.0	7	44%	3	3	0	1	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-6	17%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	15.4	11	79%	0	0	0	1	2	2	0	0	0-0	-	4-4	100%	1-3	33%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	11.7	2	33%	1	3	1	0	0	3	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%

Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	31.9	26	65%	5	8	2	0	3	2	1	4	3-3	100%	7-14	50%	3-5	60%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	30.4	7	70%	6	1	0	0	0	1	1	5	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 26	18.3	12	150%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-4	100%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24	13.9	5	63%	3	0	1	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31	9.8	0	0%	3	0	0	0	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mason Jones #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	64%	46	32	8	2	13	23	9	37	10-12	83%	42-66	64%	12-31	39%

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17 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	39.5	44	67%	4	4	2	0	3	3	0	4	4-5	80%	17-26	65%	2-6	33%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	38.2	16	57%	20	12	2	0	3	2	4	16	2-3	67%	7-12	58%	0-1	0%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 24	31.0	7	44%	3	3	0	1	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-6	17%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	15.4	11	79%	0	0	0	1	2	2	0	0	0-0	-	4-4	100%	1-3	33%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	11.7	2	33%	1	3	1	0	0	3	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%

Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	31.9	26	65%	5	8	2	0	3	2	1	4	3-3	100%	7-14	50%	3-5	60%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	30.4	7	70%	6	1	0	0	0	1	1	5	1-1	100%	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 26	18.3	12	150%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-4	100%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24	13.9	5	63%	3	0	1	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31	9.8	0	0%	3	0	0	0	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mason Jones #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	64%	46	32	8	2	13	23	9	37	10-12	83%	42-66	64%	12-31	39%

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12 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James #23 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 39	36.1	31	78%	5	13	1	0	3	0	0	5	10-10	100%	9-12	75%	1-4	25%
Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 26	35.8	18	56%	4	4	0	0	2	2	1	3	2-2	100%	2-8	25%	4-7	57%
D'Angelo Russell #1 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 28	35.5	10	45%	1	3	1	0	3	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	2-6	33%
Anthony Davis #3 · C · 6'10" 253 · 31	34.1	14	47%	11	3	0	1	2	4	1	10	4-5	80%	5-12	42%	0-1	0%
Rui Hachimura #28 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 26	32.6	29	85%	2	0	2	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	10-12	83%	3-5	60%

Spencer Dinwiddie #26 · PG · 6'5" 215 · 31	24.3	8	80%	2	1	0	0	1	3	0	2	2-4	50%	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Taurean Prince #12 · PF · 6'6" 218 · 30	15.4	6	100%	2	0	0	2	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 24	12.9	1	25%	5	0	0	1	2	4	1	4	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Max Christie #10 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 21	10.8	3	75%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Harry Giles III #20 · C · 6'10" 240 · 26	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jalen Hood-Schifino #0 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 21	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Maxwell Lewis #21 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 22	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cam Reddish #5 · SF · 6'8" 208 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Skylar Mays #4 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 26	INACTIVE
Colin Castleton #14 · C · 6'10" 250 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Fracture
Gabe Vincent #7 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Mid-foot; Sprain
Christian Wood #35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Effusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	63%	34	25	4	5	14	14	3	31	21-25	84%	27-49	55%	15-32	47%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	LAL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.27 63.7%

LAL

1.26 63.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

74%

LAL

72%

Midrange

SAC

50%

LAL

30%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

18.0

39%

58%

LAL

22.5

47%

70%

Free Throws

SAC

83%

LAL

84%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Fox	44	67%	22.0 / 33
M. Monk	26	65%	13.0 / 20
D. Sabonis	16	57%	8.0 / 14
D. Mitchell	12	150%	6.0 / 4
H. Barnes	11	79%	5.5 / 7
K. Murray	7	44%	3.5 / 8
T. Lyles	7	70%	3.5 / 5
K. Ellis	5	63%	2.5 / 4
K. Huerter	2	33%	1.0 / 3
A. Len	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. James	31	78%	15.5 / 20
R. Hachimura	29	85%	14.5 / 17
A. Reaves	18	56%	9.0 / 16
A. Davis	14	47%	7.0 / 15
D. Russell	10	45%	5.0 / 11
S. Dinwiddie	8	80%	4.0 / 5
T. Prince	6	100%	3.0 / 3
M. Christie	3	75%	1.5 / 2
J. Hayes	1	25%	0.5 / 2
J. Hood-Schifino	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	13 116.3 15 115.4	SAC 125.0 +10.7 LAL 114.3
Pace	14 99.4 4 101.4	SAC 108.7 +8.0 LAL 100.7
Avg. Poss. Time	26 14.1 23 14.2	SAC 13.2 −1.1 LAL 14.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 55.6% 5 56.6%	SAC 61.9% +0.8% LAL 61.1%
TO %	12 12.5% 18 13.1%	SAC 12.0% −1.2% LAL 13.2%
ORB %	14 24.5% 30 19.9%	SAC 22.5% +15.0% LAL 7.5%
FTrt	22 22.9 2 27.6	SAC 12.4 LAL 30.9 +18.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 65.4% 8 65.4%	SAC 59.3% LAL 59.5% +0.2%
STL %	14 7.6% 21 7.2%	SAC 7.7% +3.9% LAL 3.8%
BLK %	27 8.6% 19 9.1%	SAC 4.1% LAL 7.6% +3.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 57.0% 5 58.8%	SAC 63.7% +0.5% LAL 63.2%
Rim FG%	6 66.0% 1 68.9%	SAC 73.7% +1.3% LAL 72.4%
Mid FG%	9 44.9% 25 40.4%	SAC 50.0% +20.0% LAL 30.0%
3P %	16 36.6% 8 37.7%	SAC 38.7% LAL 46.9% +8.2%
FT %	30 74.5% 15 78.2%	SAC 83.3% LAL 84.0% +0.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	27 30.0% 2 36.6%	SAC 39.2% +3.4% LAL 35.8%
Mid Att. %	14 26.8% 18 27.5%	SAC 28.9% LAL 24.7% −4.2%
3P Att. %	3 43.2% 28 35.8%	SAC 32.0% LAL 39.5% +7.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAC	LAL
Possessions	104	105
Possession Minutes	23.0	25.0
Points	130	120
Rebounds	46	34
Assists	32	25
Steals	8	4
Blocks	2	5
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	14 (0)
Fouls	23	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (2)	3 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (0)	31 (2)
Field Goals	54-97	42-81
At-the-Rim FG	28-38	21-29
Midrange FG	14-28	6-20
2-Point FG	42-66	27-49
3-Point FG	12-31	15-32
Free Throws	10-12	21-25
Fast Break Pts	25	19
2nd Chance Pts	13	5
Points in Paint	76	50
Pts off Turnovers	14	11
Bench Points	50	18
Biggest Lead	22	19

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg