Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, March 7, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Timberwolves	52%	113	113	114.1	99	89.0
	11	Pacers	48%	112	111	112.1	99	111.5

Scoring Opportunities

MIN

+19

-9

109

IND

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.03 51.4%

IND

1.19 59.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

5 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 32	39.7	18	75%	14	0	2	3	2	2	6	8	4-5	80%	7-11	64%	0-0	-
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 23	38.6	44	56%	6	3	2	2	0	1	2	4	5-8	63%	15-28	54%	3-7	43%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 36	30.4	5	28%	5	4	2	0	2	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-6	17%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 23	27.9	11	69%	8	6	0	0	0	4	1	7	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	1-1	100%
Kyle Anderson #1 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 30	27.7	3	25%	3	4	0	0	1	6	0	3	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	0-0	-

Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	27.9	10	45%	2	2	2	0	2	3	1	1	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-4	0%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 25	26.1	13	43%	8	2	1	1	2	2	2	6	0-0	-	5-11	45%	1-4	25%
T.J. Warren #24 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 31	16.1	7	70%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
Monté Morris #23 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 29	5.8	2	100%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daishen Nix #12 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 22	INACTIVE
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Jaylen Clark #0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Rupture Rehab
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	51%	48	23	9	10	9	20	13	35	14-19	74%	39-73	53%	7-25	28%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

5 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 32	39.7	18	75%	14	0	2	3	2	2	6	8	4-5	80%	7-11	64%	0-0	-
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 23	38.6	44	56%	6	3	2	2	0	1	2	4	5-8	63%	15-28	54%	3-7	43%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 36	30.4	5	28%	5	4	2	0	2	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-6	17%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 23	27.9	11	69%	8	6	0	0	0	4	1	7	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	1-1	100%
Kyle Anderson #1 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 30	27.7	3	25%	3	4	0	0	1	6	0	3	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	0-0	-

Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	27.9	10	45%	2	2	2	0	2	3	1	1	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-4	0%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 25	26.1	13	43%	8	2	1	1	2	2	2	6	0-0	-	5-11	45%	1-4	25%
T.J. Warren #24 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 31	16.1	7	70%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
Monté Morris #23 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 29	5.8	2	100%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daishen Nix #12 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 22	INACTIVE
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
Jaylen Clark #0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Rupture Rehab
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	51%	48	23	9	10	9	20	13	35	14-19	74%	39-73	53%	7-25	28%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

11 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 24	37.3	23	72%	3	13	1	0	5	1	0	3	3-4	75%	7-8	88%	2-7	29%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 30	33.6	24	57%	4	2	0	0	2	1	2	2	3-3	100%	9-17	53%	1-3	33%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 24	30.6	7	70%	6	3	1	0	3	4	2	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 24	30.3	8	36%	4	1	0	2	0	3	0	4	3-3	100%	1-6	17%	1-4	25%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 28	20.8	12	60%	7	1	0	4	2	5	1	6	3-5	60%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%

Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 24	20.4	14	88%	2	4	0	1	0	1	1	1	3-6	50%	4-4	100%	1-1	100%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	18.5	6	75%	4	0	0	0	0	4	0	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-2	100%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 21	15.7	5	63%	5	1	1	0	0	2	1	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	14.4	2	33%	3	0	0	2	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 32	11.7	6	43%	1	1	2	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 22	6.8	4	100%	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Oscar Tshiebwe #44 · PF · 6'8" 255 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Wong #21 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Sprain
Doug McDermott #20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	60%	39	26	5	6	15	24	7	32	17-23	74%	32-56	57%	10-26	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	IND
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	IND

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.03 51.4%

IND

1.19 59.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

63%

IND

62%

Midrange

MIN

41%

IND

47%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

10.5

28%

42%

IND

15.0

38%

58%

Free Throws

MIN

74%

IND

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	44	56%	22.0 / 39
R. Gobert	18	75%	9.0 / 12
N. Reid	13	43%	6.5 / 15
J. McDaniels	11	69%	5.5 / 8
N. Alexander-Walker	10	45%	5.0 / 11
T. Warren	7	70%	3.5 / 5
M. Conley	5	28%	2.5 / 9
K. Anderson	3	25%	1.5 / 6
M. Morris	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Siakam	24	57%	12.0 / 21
T. Haliburton	23	72%	11.5 / 16
J. Smith	14	88%	7.0 / 8
M. Turner	12	60%	6.0 / 10
A. Nesmith	8	36%	4.0 / 11
A. Nembhard	7	70%	3.5 / 5
B. Sheppard	6	75%	3.0 / 4
T. McConnell	6	43%	3.0 / 7
J. Walker	5	63%	2.5 / 4
I. Jackson	4	100%	2.0 / 2
O. Toppin	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 114.7 2 120.6	MIN 114.1 +2.0 IND 112.1
Pace	22 97.9 2 102.3	MIN 89.0 IND 111.5 +22.4
Avg. Poss. Time	3 15.0 29 13.7	MIN 16.2 IND 12.9 −3.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 55.9% 1 57.8%	MIN 50.5% IND 57.3% +6.8%
TO %	22 13.6% 6 12.0%	MIN 9.4% −4.6% IND 14.0%
ORB %	22 23.1% 20 23.8%	MIN 28.9% +12.2% IND 16.7%
FTrt	5 27.0 26 22.2	MIN 19.4 IND 28.0 +8.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 64.6% 6 65.4%	MIN 50.0% IND 61.9% +11.9%
STL %	6 8.0% 15 7.5%	MIN 9.1% +4.0% IND 5.1%
BLK %	4 11.0% 14 9.5%	MIN 17.9% +9.7% IND 8.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 57.7% 2 59.4%	MIN 51.4% IND 59.7% +8.3%
Rim FG%	15 64.3% 7 65.9%	MIN 63.4% +1.2% IND 62.2%
Mid FG%	16 42.6% 1 48.8%	MIN 40.6% IND 47.4% +6.8%
3P %	3 38.7% 9 37.4%	MIN 28.0% IND 38.5% +10.5%
FT %	18 77.7% 13 78.2%	MIN 73.7% IND 73.9% +0.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 34.1% 3 36.5%	MIN 41.8% IND 45.1% +3.3%
Mid Att. %	16 27.5% 6 25.4%	MIN 32.7% IND 23.2% −9.5%
3P Att. %	17 38.4% 20 38.0%	MIN 25.5% IND 31.7% +6.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.11 and 2.11.

Game Totals	MIN	IND
Possessions	99	99
Possession Minutes	26.7	21.3
Points	113	111
Rebounds	48	39
Assists	23	26
Steals	9	5
Blocks	10	6
Turnovers (Team)	9 (2)	15 (0)
Fouls	20	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (6)	7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (0)	32 (5)
Field Goals	46-98	42-82
At-the-Rim FG	26-41	23-37
Midrange FG	13-32	9-19
2-Point FG	39-73	32-56
3-Point FG	7-25	10-26
Free Throws	14-19	17-23
Fast Break Pts	11	16
2nd Chance Pts	21	14
Points in Paint	66	60
Pts off Turnovers	14	17
Bench Points	32	37
Biggest Lead	17	2

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg