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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 7, 2024
7:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Heat41%113108
9Mavericks59%116114
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.0
39.6
29.9
27
76%
6
11
1
1
0
0
0
6
2-2
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
51%
5-8
63%
Jimmy Butler
F · 6'7" 230 · 34.5
37.7
33.7
14
54%
4
5
2
2
0
6
0
4
1-2
50%
5-10
6-11
50%
54%
1-2
50%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'9" 255 · 26.6
37.4
34.0
14
40%
9
5
3
1
0
1
1
8
4-8
50%
5-12
8-15
42%
55%
0-2
0%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.9
30.1
34.2
19
95%
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
58%
5-8
63%
Nikola Jovic
F · 6'10" 205 · 20.7
15.9
19.8
4
33%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
54%
0-3
0%
Caleb Martin
F · 6'5" 205 · 28.4
32.7
26.8
13
63%
3
2
0
1
1
0
1
2
2-3
67%
1-2
3-5
50%
55%
3-7
43%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.0
27.8
27.0
13
82%
6
2
1
1
0
0
0
6
2-2
100%
1-3
4-7
33%
57%
3-4
75%
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 26.6
10.6
4.3
2
33%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
64%
0-2
0%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'5" 220 · 27.2
8.1
13.6
2
25%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
55%
0-2
0%
Orlando Robinson
C · 6'10" 235 · 23.7
9.2
0
1-2
56%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 31.9
6.2
0
1-1
51%
Jamal Cain
F · 6'6" 191 · 25.0
3.7
0
0-1
57%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 35.6
2.6
0
0-0
44%
Cole Swider
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.8
2.2
0
0-0
59%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'5" 195 · 24.1
Kevin Love
F-C · 6'8" 251 · 35.5
Alondes Williams
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.7
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 30.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luka Doncic
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 25.0
39.5
38.1
35
68%
11
11
1
1
0
4
0
11
4-4
100%
5-11
8-14
45%
58%
7-13
54%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.0
36.3
34.5
23
58%
4
4
1
1
1
2
0
4
2-2
100%
6-10
7-12
60%
55%
3-9
33%
P.J. Washington
F · 6'6" 230 · 25.5
29.1
33.2
10
39%
8
1
1
1
1
1
4
4
1-2
50%
3-6
3-5
50%
55%
1-6
17%
Daniel Gafford
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 25.4
21.1
15.9
12
89%
7
0
1
0
1
0
2
5
2-4
50%
5-5
3-4
100%
69%
0-0
-
Derrick Jones Jr.
F · 6'6" 210 · 27.1
11.8
14.6
1
17%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
62%
0-1
0%
Dereck Lively II
C · 7'1" 230 · 20.1
23.0
18.1
4
67%
2
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
2-3
3-4
67%
69%
0-0
-
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.1
22.2
20.6
3
50%
4
1
0
0
2
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
61%
1-2
50%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
G-F · 6'5" 205 · 32.0
20.7
16.9
11
43%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
1-5
1-3
20%
49%
2-6
33%
Josh Green
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.3
19.0
24.9
2
33%
2
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
61%
0-2
0%
Dante Exum
G · 6'5" 214 · 28.7
17.3
15.1
13
90%
4
5
0
0
0
1
0
4
5-5
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
54%
2-2
100%
Jaden Hardy
G · 6'3" 198 · 21.7
3.4
0
0-1
49%
Dwight Powell
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 32.6
3.1
0
0-0
69%
A.J. Lawson
G · 6'6" 179 · 23.6
2.4
0
0-0
57%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 34.5
1.9
0
0-0
48%
Greg Brown III
F · 6'8" 206 · 22.5
Brandon Williams
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.3
Olivier-Maxence Prosper
F · 6'7" 230 · 21.7
Alex Fudge
F · 6'9" 200 · 20.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.