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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 7, 2024
10:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Celtics
109
7Nuggets
115
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 27.4
41
31
41
14
4
2
1
0
2
6
8
7-14
50%
14-22
6-11
64%
57%
2-7
29%
Jayson Tatum
F · 6'8" 205 · 26.0
39
33
15
4
8
2
1
0
5
1
3
3-4
75%
3-8
5-10
38%
55%
2-5
40%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 28.6
35
29
24
12
2
1
1
1
3
2
10
3-4
75%
6-13
5-8
46%
55%
3-10
30%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.7
37
29
7
5
6
1
1
1
1
1
4
1-1
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
55%
0-4
0%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 33.7
35
30
12
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
53%
2-6
33%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.8
19
22
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
58%
0-1
0%
Xavier Tillman
F · 6'8" 245 · 25.1
13
15
2
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
55%
0-1
0%
Payton Pritchard
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.1
11
18
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
55%
0-1
0%
Sam Hauser
F · 6'7" 217 · 26.2
10
16
6
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
63%
2-3
67%
Luke Kornet
F-C · 7'2" 250 · 28.6
12
0
2-2
67%
Oshae Brissett
F · 6'8" 210 · 25.7
7
0
1-1
50%
Svi Mykhailiuk
F · 6'8" 212 · 26.7
7
0
0-1
50%
Jaden Springer
G · 6'3" 202 · 21.4
5
0
1-1
50%
Neemias Queta
C · 6'11" 248 · 24.7
JD Davison
G · 6'3" 195 · 21.4
Jordan Walsh
G · 6'7" 205 · 20.0
Drew Peterson
F · 6'9" 205 · 24.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 25.7
30
34
9
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
4-7
60%
57%
1-4
25%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.5
34
30
16
9
1
1
1
0
0
3
6
0-0
-
8-13
5-8
62%
60%
0-2
0%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 29.0
39
37
32
12
11
2
1
0
0
4
8
10-10
100%
11-19
9-14
58%
62%
0-0
-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.0
34
31
11
3
1
3
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
50%
1-4
25%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 27.0
37
33
19
6
8
2
1
0
5
0
6
4-4
100%
6-14
6-11
43%
52%
1-4
25%
Peyton Watson
G · 6'8" 200 · 21.5
17
18
11
4
1
1
0
2
0
0
4
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
54%
1-4
25%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.9
17
19
7
6
1
0
1
0
0
1
5
3-4
75%
2-2
2-3
100%
52%
0-1
0%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 34.9
13
10
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 33.9
11
16
4
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23.2
8
9
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
57%
0-0
-
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.6
2
0
0-1
65%
Julian Strawther
G · 6'7" 205 · 21.9
2
0
0-0
53%
Jalen Pickett
G · 6'4" 202 · 24.4
2
0
0-0
53%
Jay Huff
F · 7'1" 240 · 26.5
2
0
0-0
59%
Hunter Tyson
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.7
2
0
0-0
52%
Braxton Key
F · 6'8" 225 · 27.1
Collin Gillespie
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.7
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 26.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.