Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	1	Celtics	55%	112	109	111.2	98	105.3
	2	Nuggets	45%	110	115	117.3	98	91.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 27	41.1	41	59%	14	4	2	0	2	4	6	8	7-14	50%	14-22	64%	2-7	29%
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 26	38.6	15	54%	4	8	2	0	5	4	1	3	3-4	75%	3-8	38%	2-5	40%
Derrick White #9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 30	37.0	7	44%	5	6	1	1	1	4	1	4	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	0-4	0%
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 29	35.3	24	48%	12	2	1	1	3	2	2	10	3-4	75%	6-13	46%	3-10	30%
Jrue Holiday #4 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 34	34.9	12	60%	4	2	0	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-6	33%

Al Horford #42 · C · 6'8" 240 · 38	18.9	2	33%	4	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Xavier Tillman #26 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	13.4	2	50%	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Payton Pritchard #11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 26	10.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 26	10.3	6	100%	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Luke Kornet #40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 29
Oshae Brissett #12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 26
Svi Mykhailiuk #50 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 27
Jaden Springer #44 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 21
Jordan Walsh #27 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
JD Davison #20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Drew Peterson #13 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Hyperextension
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	53%	47	24	6	4	12	18	13	34	16-25	64%	30-53	57%	11-38	29%

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1 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 27	41.1	41	59%	14	4	2	0	2	4	6	8	7-14	50%	14-22	64%	2-7	29%
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 26	38.6	15	54%	4	8	2	0	5	4	1	3	3-4	75%	3-8	38%	2-5	40%
Derrick White #9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 30	37.0	7	44%	5	6	1	1	1	4	1	4	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	0-4	0%
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 29	35.3	24	48%	12	2	1	1	3	2	2	10	3-4	75%	6-13	46%	3-10	30%
Jrue Holiday #4 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 34	34.9	12	60%	4	2	0	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-6	33%

Al Horford #42 · C · 6'8" 240 · 38	18.9	2	33%	4	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Xavier Tillman #26 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	13.4	2	50%	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Payton Pritchard #11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 26	10.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 26	10.3	6	100%	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Luke Kornet #40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 29
Oshae Brissett #12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 26
Svi Mykhailiuk #50 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 27
Jaden Springer #44 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 21
Jordan Walsh #27 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
JD Davison #20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Drew Peterson #13 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Hyperextension
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	53%	47	24	6	4	12	18	13	34	16-25	64%	30-53	57%	11-38	29%

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2 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	38.8	32	70%	12	11	2	0	0	1	4	8	10-10	100%	11-19	58%	0-0	-
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	37.0	19	50%	6	8	2	0	5	2	0	6	4-4	100%	6-14	43%	1-4	25%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28	34.0	16	53%	9	1	1	0	0	2	3	6	0-0	-	8-13	62%	0-2	0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	33.9	11	69%	3	1	3	0	2	3	0	3	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	1-4	25%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	30.1	9	50%	2	1	0	0	0	4	0	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-4	25%

Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 21	17.3	11	61%	4	1	1	2	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-4	25%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	16.7	7	70%	6	1	0	0	0	4	1	5	3-4	75%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	13.1	2	50%	0	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	11.1	4	29%	1	2	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	8.1	4	100%	2	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	INACTIVE
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	INACTIVE
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	56%	45	27	10	3	7	19	8	37	21-22	95%	41-69	59%	4-21	19%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS

1.06 52.9%

DEN

1.13 56.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

BOS

20

35

57%

DEN

24

41

59%

Midrange

BOS

10

18

56%

DEN

17

28

61%

3PT | Effective 3PT

BOS

11

16.5

38

29%

43%

DEN

4

6.0

21

19%

29%

Free Throws

BOS

16

25

64%

DEN

21

22

95%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Brown	41	59%	20.5 / 35
K. Porziņģis	24	48%	12.0 / 25
J. Tatum	15	54%	7.5 / 14
J. Holiday	12	60%	6.0 / 10
D. White	7	44%	3.5 / 8
S. Hauser	6	100%	3.0 / 3
A. Horford	2	33%	1.0 / 3
X. Tillman	2	50%	1.0 / 2
P. Pritchard	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	32	70%	16.0 / 23
J. Murray	19	50%	9.5 / 19
A. Gordon	16	53%	8.0 / 15
K. Caldwell-Pope	11	69%	5.5 / 8
P. Watson	11	61%	5.5 / 9
M. Porter	9	50%	4.5 / 9
C. Braun	7	70%	3.5 / 5
R. Jackson	4	29%	2.0 / 7
Z. Nnaji	4	100%	2.0 / 2
J. Holiday	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	1 122.2 5 117.9	BOS 111.2 DEN 117.3 +6.1
Pace	19 98.0 26 97.4	BOS 105.3 +13.7 DEN 91.6
Avg. Poss. Time	5 15.0 4 15.0	BOS 13.7 −2.0 DEN 15.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 57.8% 8 56.2%	BOS 51.1% DEN 52.2% +1.1%
TO %	1 11.4% 7 12.1%	BOS 10.5% DEN 7.4% −3.1%
ORB %	12 24.9% 6 25.5%	BOS 26.0% +7.0% DEN 19.0%
FTrt	25 22.4 24 22.4	BOS 27.5 +3.1 DEN 24.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	21 61.3% 5 66.9%	BOS 58.5% DEN 60.0% +1.5%
STL %	26 6.9% 20 7.3%	BOS 6.1% DEN 10.2% +4.1%
BLK %	7 10.7% 25 8.7%	BOS 5.8% +0.1% DEN 5.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.01 and 2.01.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	1 59.5% 11 57.5%	BOS 52.9% DEN 56.4% +3.5%
Rim FG%	2 68.1% 17 63.6%	BOS 57.1% DEN 58.5% +1.4%
Mid FG%	15 43.5% 3 47.0%	BOS 55.6% DEN 60.7% +5.1%
3P %	2 38.8% 10 37.4%	BOS 28.9% +9.9% DEN 19.0%
FT %	7 80.7% 25 76.2%	BOS 64.0% DEN 95.5% +31.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 30.1% 4 36.0%	BOS 38.5% DEN 45.6% +7.1%
Mid Att. %	1 22.8% 25 28.8%	BOS 19.8% −11.3% DEN 31.1%
3P Att. %	1 47.1% 30 35.2%	BOS 41.8% +18.4% DEN 23.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.

Game Totals	BOS	DEN
Possessions	98	98
Possession Minutes	22.3	25.7
Points	109	115
Rebounds	47	45
Assists	24	27
Steals	6	10
Blocks	4	3
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	7 (1)
Fouls	18	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (3)	8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (2)	37 (2)
Field Goals	41-91	45-90
At-the-Rim FG	20-35	24-41
Midrange FG	10-18	17-28
2-Point FG	30-53	41-69
3-Point FG	11-38	4-21
Free Throws	16-25	21-22
Fast Break Pts	11	19
2nd Chance Pts	11	8
Points in Paint	54	66
Pts off Turnovers	6	16
Bench Points	10	28
Biggest Lead	5	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg