Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Heat
100
6Thunder
107
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 34.5
37
35
20
10
8
0
2
0
1
2
8
4-6
67%
8-13
6-11
62%
52%
0-3
0%
Nikola Jovic
F · 6'10" 205 · 20.7
30
18
7
8
3
0
0
2
1
0
8
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
51%
1-3
33%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 26.6
31
35
5
10
4
1
1
2
4
4
6
3-4
75%
1-9
8-15
11%
52%
0-0
-
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.9
28
32
9
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
56%
3-8
38%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 30.0
32
33
14
5
4
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
4-10
4-9
40%
49%
2-4
50%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'7" 225 · 23.1
31
27
25
3
3
3
1
0
0
0
3
4-6
67%
9-10
3-6
90%
54%
1-3
33%
Caleb Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 28.4
30
29
7
3
0
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
3-5
33%
52%
1-4
25%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 35.6
16
3
13
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
44%
3-4
75%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.2
5
12
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 26.6
8
0
1-2
62%
Orlando Robinson
C · 7'0" 235 · 23.7
6
0
1-1
53%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 31.9
5
0
0-1
49%
Jamal Cain
F · 6'7" 191 · 25.0
4
0
0-1
53%
Cole Swider
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.8
2
0
0-0
55%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 30.5
Alondes Williams
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.7
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 24.1
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 35.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 24.9
33
28
9
7
2
1
1
1
1
1
6
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
50%
1-6
17%
Jalen Williams
G-F · 6'6" 195 · 22.9
30
30
15
5
4
1
1
1
3
1
4
2-2
100%
5-9
6-10
56%
59%
1-3
33%
Chet Holmgren
C-F · 7'0" 195 · 21.9
29
30
7
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
5-7
40%
64%
1-4
25%
Josh Giddey
G · 6'8" 205 · 21.4
23
26
11
9
6
0
1
0
1
1
8
0-0
-
4-6
4-7
67%
54%
1-3
33%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 25.7
36
33
37
5
6
1
2
2
1
0
5
9-11
82%
11-18
9-16
61%
58%
2-7
29%
Isaiah Joe
G · 6'5" 165 · 24.7
19
16
10
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
58%
2-6
33%
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 25.2
19
17
7
3
1
0
1
2
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
61%
1-3
33%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 34.0
18
16
3
2
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
52%
1-2
50%
Jaylin Williams
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.7
17
14
5
7
0
1
0
1
0
2
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
51%
1-1
100%
Cason Wallace
G · 6'4" 195 · 20.3
14
18
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
61%
1-3
33%
Ousmane Dieng
F · 6'10" 185 · 20.8
10
0
1-1
60%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 29.3
10
0
1-1
58%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 32.7
6
0
0-0
53%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 31.5
4
0
0-1
56%
Lindy Waters III
F · 6'6" 215 · 26.6
3
0
0-0
67%
Olivier Sarr
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.0
Adam Flagler
G · 6'3" 180 · 24.3
Keyontae Johnson
F · 6'6" 230 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.