Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, March 8, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Rockets	69%	112	123	125.5	98	98.5
	28	Blazers	31%	104	107	110.3	97	98.1

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

+17

-7

108

POR

+22

-17

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.14 56.9%

POR

1.04 51.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

15 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 21	39.0	15	63%	9	4	2	2	2	2	1	8	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	3-7	43%
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 30	34.2	18	60%	1	10	1	0	0	1	0	1	4-4	100%	1-5	20%	4-8	50%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 22	34.1	27	68%	3	5	2	0	2	1	0	3	1-2	50%	7-10	70%	4-9	44%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 22	31.5	19	53%	9	6	1	1	1	2	5	4	5-8	63%	7-15	47%	0-0	-
Dillon Brooks #9 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	21.3	4	33%	3	1	1	0	0	1	0	3	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	1-3	33%

Amen Thompson #1 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 21	26.5	16	73%	8	3	2	5	1	3	1	7	2-2	100%	7-9	78%	0-1	0%
Cam Whitmore #7 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 20	23.9	13	50%	8	0	1	1	1	2	4	4	4-6	67%	3-5	60%	1-5	20%
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 27	14.8	6	43%	1	1	2	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-3	0%
Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 28	13.3	5	63%	3	3	0	1	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	1.5	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Reggie Bullock Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nate Hinton #14 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jermaine Samuels Jr. #00 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCL Surgery
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Tibia; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	57%	47	33	12	10	7	15	14	33	19-26	73%	31-57	54%	14-37	38%

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15 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 21	39.0	15	63%	9	4	2	2	2	2	1	8	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	3-7	43%
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 30	34.2	18	60%	1	10	1	0	0	1	0	1	4-4	100%	1-5	20%	4-8	50%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 22	34.1	27	68%	3	5	2	0	2	1	0	3	1-2	50%	7-10	70%	4-9	44%
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 22	31.5	19	53%	9	6	1	1	1	2	5	4	5-8	63%	7-15	47%	0-0	-
Dillon Brooks #9 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	21.3	4	33%	3	1	1	0	0	1	0	3	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	1-3	33%

Amen Thompson #1 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 21	26.5	16	73%	8	3	2	5	1	3	1	7	2-2	100%	7-9	78%	0-1	0%
Cam Whitmore #7 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 20	23.9	13	50%	8	0	1	1	1	2	4	4	4-6	67%	3-5	60%	1-5	20%
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 27	14.8	6	43%	1	1	2	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-3	0%
Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 28	13.3	5	63%	3	3	0	1	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	1.5	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Reggie Bullock Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nate Hinton #14 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jermaine Samuels Jr. #00 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCL Surgery
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Tibia; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	123	57%	47	33	12	10	7	15	14	33	19-26	73%	31-57	54%	14-37	38%

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28 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dalano Banton #5 · SG · 6'8" 203 · 24	38.4	30	48%	8	5	1	1	2	2	1	7	6-8	75%	6-17	35%	4-10	40%
Anfernee Simons #1 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 25	33.7	23	68%	3	3	3	0	6	2	0	3	5-7	71%	3-7	43%	4-7	57%
Kris Murray #8 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 24	33.4	12	46%	11	7	0	1	2	0	4	7	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	1-6	17%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 28	32.0	16	62%	6	3	0	1	1	5	3	3	0-0	-	2-7	29%	4-6	67%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	30.3	9	75%	7	0	1	0	1	1	3	4	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%

Rayan Rupert #72 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 20	22.5	2	100%	2	2	0	0	3	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 27	19.5	5	42%	3	0	0	1	1	2	3	0	0-2	0%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Ashton Hagans #19 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 25	18.5	6	43%	4	2	0	1	1	2	1	3	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Moses Brown #10 · C · 7'2" 258 · 24	10.5	4	33%	5	0	0	0	0	0	3	2	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Justin Minaya #24 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Lower Abdominal; Surgery
Jabari Walker #34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Contusion
Malcolm Brogdon #11 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Tendinitis
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Adductor; Strain
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Soreness
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hand; Sprain
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Ligament Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	52%	49	22	5	5	17	16	19	30	17-25	68%	21-54	39%	16-35	46%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	POR
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	POR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.14 56.9%

POR

1.04 51.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

84%

POR

56%

Midrange

HOU

19%

POR

22%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

21.0

38%

57%

POR

24.0

46%

69%

Free Throws

HOU

73%

POR

68%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Green	27	68%	13.5 / 20
A. Sengun	19	53%	9.5 / 18
F. VanVleet	18	60%	9.0 / 15
A. Thompson	16	73%	8.0 / 11
J. Smith	15	63%	7.5 / 12
C. Whitmore	13	50%	6.5 / 13
A. Holiday	6	43%	3.0 / 7
J. Landale	5	63%	2.5 / 4
D. Brooks	4	33%	2.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Banton	30	48%	15.0 / 31
A. Simons	23	68%	11.5 / 17
D. Reath	16	62%	8.0 / 13
K. Murray	12	46%	6.0 / 13
T. Camara	9	75%	4.5 / 6
A. Hagans	6	43%	3.0 / 7
M. Thybulle	5	42%	2.5 / 6
M. Brown	4	33%	2.0 / 6
R. Rupert	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Minaya	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 113.8 29 107.7	HOU 125.5 +15.2 POR 110.3
Pace	13 99.6 21 97.9	HOU 98.5 +0.4 POR 98.1
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.2 15 14.6	HOU 14.6 −0.1 POR 14.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 52.9% 30 50.3%	HOU 55.3% +4.7% POR 50.6%
TO %	8 12.1% 29 14.6%	HOU 6.2% −8.3% POR 14.5%
ORB %	10 25.1% 3 27.5%	HOU 31.8% POR 36.5% +4.7%
FTrt	9 25.7 23 22.8	HOU 27.7 POR 28.1 +0.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	27 59.4% 30 58.7%	HOU 73.3% +13.8% POR 59.5%
STL %	9 7.8% 12 7.7%	HOU 12.2% +7.0% POR 5.2%
BLK %	11 9.7% 20 9.0%	HOU 18.5% +9.7% POR 8.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.28 and 2.28.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 55.2% 30 52.6%	HOU 56.9% +5.0% POR 51.9%
Rim FG%	24 61.2% 29 58.1%	HOU 83.9% +28.3% POR 55.6%
Mid FG%	21 41.2% 30 38.7%	HOU 19.2% POR 22.2% +3.0%
3P %	23 35.2% 30 34.5%	HOU 37.8% POR 45.7% +7.9%
FT %	20 77.3% 9 79.1%	HOU 73.1% +5.1% POR 68.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	6 35.5% 11 34.7%	HOU 33.0% +2.6% POR 30.3%
Mid Att. %	3 24.7% 23 28.3%	HOU 27.7% −2.7% POR 30.3%
3P Att. %	13 39.7% 24 37.0%	HOU 39.4% +0.0% POR 39.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Game Totals	HOU	POR
Possessions	98	97
Possession Minutes	23.9	23.7
Points	123	107
Rebounds	47	49
Assists	33	22
Steals	12	5
Blocks	10	5
Turnovers (Team)	7 (0)	17 (0)
Fouls	15	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (3)	19 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (0)	30 (4)
Field Goals	45-94	37-89
At-the-Rim FG	26-31	15-27
Midrange FG	5-26	6-27
2-Point FG	31-57	21-54
3-Point FG	14-37	16-35
Free Throws	19-26	17-25
Fast Break Pts	37	18
2nd Chance Pts	17	15
Points in Paint	54	40
Pts off Turnovers	27	11
Bench Points	40	17
Biggest Lead	18	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg