Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, March 12, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	12	Pacers	39%	116	121	116.3	104	96.3
	7	Thunder	61%	120	111	106.7	104	112.9

Scoring Opportunities

IND

-9

100

OKC

+17

-12

109

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.21 60.5%

OKC

1.02 50.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

12 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 24	35.9	15	58%	4	1	1	2	0	3	0	4	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	1-5	20%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 24	35.8	18	60%	4	12	2	2	4	0	0	4	0-0	-	6-9	67%	2-6	33%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 30	32.5	18	60%	11	4	2	1	0	1	0	11	6-7	86%	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 28	30.0	24	71%	3	4	1	4	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	9-14	64%	2-3	67%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 24	27.4	14	78%	4	5	1	0	2	3	0	4	4-4	100%	2-2	100%	2-5	40%

Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	18.6	10	63%	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	3	2-4	50%	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 24	18.0	6	50%	9	3	0	1	1	1	1	8	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 32	17.5	9	56%	0	4	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	3-7	43%	1-1	100%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	17.4	4	40%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 21	6.8	3	75%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 37	DND - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Wong #21 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Oscar Tshiebwe #44 · PF · 6'8" 255 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Doug McDermott #20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Labral Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	61%	43	34	8	10	9	11	4	39	16-19	84%	39-61	64%	9-28	32%

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12 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 24	35.9	15	58%	4	1	1	2	0	3	0	4	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	1-5	20%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 24	35.8	18	60%	4	12	2	2	4	0	0	4	0-0	-	6-9	67%	2-6	33%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 30	32.5	18	60%	11	4	2	1	0	1	0	11	6-7	86%	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 28	30.0	24	71%	3	4	1	4	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	9-14	64%	2-3	67%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 24	27.4	14	78%	4	5	1	0	2	3	0	4	4-4	100%	2-2	100%	2-5	40%

Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	18.6	10	63%	4	1	0	0	0	1	1	3	2-4	50%	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 24	18.0	6	50%	9	3	0	1	1	1	1	8	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 32	17.5	9	56%	0	4	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	3-7	43%	1-1	100%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	17.4	4	40%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 21	6.8	3	75%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 37	DND - Injury/Illness \| N/a; Illness
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Wong #21 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Oscar Tshiebwe #44 · PF · 6'8" 255 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Doug McDermott #20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Calf; Strain
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Labral Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	61%	43	34	8	10	9	11	4	39	16-19	84%	39-61	64%	9-28	32%

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7 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 26	37.0	30	50%	10	5	2	1	4	4	2	8	5-6	83%	11-20	55%	1-7	14%
Chet Holmgren #7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 22	35.4	15	47%	13	3	0	2	0	2	2	11	0-0	-	3-10	30%	3-6	50%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 25	35.0	18	69%	2	3	1	0	0	2	1	1	3-3	100%	3-6	50%	3-6	50%
Gordon Hayward #33 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 34	29.7	9	75%	4	5	1	0	2	3	1	3	2-4	50%	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Josh Giddey #3 · SG · 6'7" 214 · 21	27.8	15	50%	7	3	0	0	1	0	4	3	0-0	-	6-13	46%	1-2	50%

Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 20	23.3	11	79%	3	0	0	1	3	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-4	75%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 25	18.8	6	38%	3	1	1	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	2-5	40%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 25	15.2	7	44%	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 29	9.2	0	0%	4	2	0	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	7.1	0	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Mike Muscala #50 · C · 6'11" 240 · 33	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Bismack Biyombo #15 · C · 6'8" 255 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Lindy Waters III #12 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Olivier Sarr #30 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keyontae Johnson #18 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jalen Williams #8 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	51%	50	24	5	4	12	16	13	37	11-15	73%	29-62	47%	14-37	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	IND	OKC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.21 60.5%

OKC

1.02 50.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

71%

OKC

53%

Midrange

IND

54%

OKC

39%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

13.5

32%

48%

OKC

21.0

38%

57%

Free Throws

IND

84%

OKC

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Turner	24	71%	12.0 / 17
T. Haliburton	18	60%	9.0 / 15
P. Siakam	18	60%	9.0 / 15
A. Nesmith	15	58%	7.5 / 13
A. Nembhard	14	78%	7.0 / 9
O. Toppin	10	63%	5.0 / 8
T. McConnell	9	56%	4.5 / 8
J. Smith	6	50%	3.0 / 6
B. Sheppard	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. Walker	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	30	50%	15.0 / 30
L. Dort	18	69%	9.0 / 13
C. Holmgren	15	47%	7.5 / 16
J. Giddey	15	50%	7.5 / 15
C. Wallace	11	79%	5.5 / 7
G. Hayward	9	75%	4.5 / 6
A. Wiggins	7	44%	3.5 / 8
I. Joe	6	38%	3.0 / 8
K. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 1
M. Muscala	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 120.6 3 118.3	IND 116.3 +9.6 OKC 106.7
Pace	2 102.3 5 100.9	IND 96.3 OKC 112.9 +16.6
Avg. Poss. Time	29 13.7 27 14.0	IND 14.9 OKC 12.8 −2.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.8% 3 57.3%	IND 59.0% +8.5% OKC 50.5%
TO %	6 12.0% 3 11.7%	IND 8.5% −2.5% OKC 11.0%
ORB %	20 23.8% 28 21.1%	IND 9.8% OKC 25.0% +15.2%
FTrt	26 22.2 17 24.0	IND 21.3 +6.1 OKC 15.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 65.4% 23 60.9%	IND 70.8% +15.0% OKC 55.8%
STL %	15 7.5% 3 8.3%	IND 7.7% +2.9% OKC 4.8%
BLK %	14 9.5% 2 11.3%	IND 16.1% +9.5% OKC 6.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 59.4% 3 59.2%	IND 60.5% +9.6% OKC 50.9%
Rim FG%	7 65.9% 10 65.4%	IND 71.4% +18.5% OKC 52.9%
Mid FG%	1 48.8% 4 46.6%	IND 53.8% +14.5% OKC 39.3%
3P %	9 37.4% 1 38.9%	IND 32.1% OKC 37.8% +5.7%
FT %	13 78.2% 4 82.5%	IND 84.2% +10.9% OKC 73.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 36.5% 16 33.2%	IND 39.3% +5.0% OKC 34.3%
Mid Att. %	6 25.4% 24 28.5%	IND 29.2% OKC 28.3% −0.9%
3P Att. %	20 38.0% 18 38.3%	IND 31.5% OKC 37.4% +5.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.11 and 2.11.

Game Totals	IND	OKC
Possessions	104	104
Possession Minutes	25.9	22.1
Points	121	111
Rebounds	43	50
Assists	34	24
Steals	8	5
Blocks	10	4
Turnovers (Team)	9 (0)	12 (1)
Fouls	11	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	4 (1)	13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (3)	37 (1)
Field Goals	48-89	43-99
At-the-Rim FG	25-35	18-34
Midrange FG	14-26	11-28
2-Point FG	39-61	29-62
3-Point FG	9-28	14-37
Free Throws	16-19	11-15
Fast Break Pts	23	3
2nd Chance Pts	8	17
Points in Paint	72	52
Pts off Turnovers	13	9
Bench Points	32	24
Biggest Lead	16	1

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg