Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, March 12, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	19	Rockets	59%	111	103	110.8	93	98.3
	23	Spurs	41%	108	101	108.6	93	88.2

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

+12

-12

SAS

+12

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.11 55.4%

SAS

1.10 54.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

19 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 30	39.0	21	58%	7	7	2	2	2	4	1	6	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	3-9	33%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 22	37.2	16	44%	7	5	0	0	3	0	1	6	4-5	80%	3-10	30%	2-6	33%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · C · 6'11" 220 · 21	33.4	15	58%	9	1	2	0	1	2	1	8	4-4	100%	4-8	50%	1-3	33%
Dillon Brooks #9 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	29.9	14	64%	1	1	0	0	3	6	0	1	0-0	-	4-4	100%	2-7	29%
Amen Thompson #1 · PF · 6'7" 200 · 21	22.6	6	100%	4	2	1	0	1	1	1	3	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-

Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 28	25.8	11	69%	4	5	2	1	1	4	3	1	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-2	50%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 38	14.3	8	57%	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Reggie Bullock Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 33	13.8	2	33%	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 28	13.0	2	50%	2	0	0	2	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 27	11.1	8	57%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jermaine Samuels Jr. #00 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nate Hinton #14 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Tibia; Surgery
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Cam Whitmore #7 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCL Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	55%	36	21	10	5	12	19	8	28	19-21	90%	27-48	56%	10-32	31%

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19 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 30	39.0	21	58%	7	7	2	2	2	4	1	6	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	3-9	33%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 22	37.2	16	44%	7	5	0	0	3	0	1	6	4-5	80%	3-10	30%	2-6	33%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · C · 6'11" 220 · 21	33.4	15	58%	9	1	2	0	1	2	1	8	4-4	100%	4-8	50%	1-3	33%
Dillon Brooks #9 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	29.9	14	64%	1	1	0	0	3	6	0	1	0-0	-	4-4	100%	2-7	29%
Amen Thompson #1 · PF · 6'7" 200 · 21	22.6	6	100%	4	2	1	0	1	1	1	3	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-

Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 28	25.8	11	69%	4	5	2	1	1	4	3	1	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-2	50%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 38	14.3	8	57%	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Reggie Bullock Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 33	13.8	2	33%	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 28	13.0	2	50%	2	0	0	2	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 27	11.1	8	57%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jermaine Samuels Jr. #00 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nate Hinton #14 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Tibia; Surgery
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Cam Whitmore #7 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCL Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	55%	36	21	10	5	12	19	8	28	19-21	90%	27-48	56%	10-32	31%

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23 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 24	35.9	6	43%	5	6	1	0	2	2	0	5	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 23	34.5	10	50%	3	1	2	0	1	1	0	3	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	2-5	40%
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 21	32.2	21	75%	8	2	1	1	2	3	2	6	1-1	100%	7-8	88%	2-6	33%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	31.9	24	75%	3	5	3	0	2	3	1	2	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	4-7	57%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 20	31.1	13	54%	10	6	1	2	2	2	1	9	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	2-7	29%

Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	22.3	4	29%	1	3	0	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-4	0%
Zach Collins #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	16.5	7	39%	2	1	1	2	1	3	1	1	3-4	75%	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 21	16.2	10	63%	3	3	0	0	0	1	0	3	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	11.2	6	100%	5	3	0	0	0	2	4	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 21	4.3	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Devonte' Graham #4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 29	4.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jamaree Bouyea #15 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
RaiQuan Gray #41 · PF · 6'7" 269 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| “”; Stomach Illness
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Acl; Tear
Cedi Osman #16 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	55%	42	30	9	5	13	20	10	32	12-14	86%	28-46	61%	11-36	31%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.11 55.4%

SAS

1.10 54.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

60%

SAS

85%

Midrange

HOU

54%

SAS

30%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

15.0

31%

47%

SAS

16.5

31%

46%

Free Throws

HOU

90%

SAS

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
F. VanVleet	21	58%	10.5 / 18
J. Green	16	44%	8.0 / 18
J. Smith	15	58%	7.5 / 13
D. Brooks	14	64%	7.0 / 11
J. Landale	11	69%	5.5 / 8
J. Green	8	57%	4.0 / 7
A. Holiday	8	57%	4.0 / 7
A. Thompson	6	100%	3.0 / 3
R. Bullock	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. Tate	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Jones	24	75%	12.0 / 16
J. Sochan	21	75%	10.5 / 14
V. Wembanyama	13	54%	6.5 / 12
J. Champagnie	10	50%	5.0 / 10
B. Wesley	10	63%	5.0 / 8
Z. Collins	7	39%	3.5 / 9
D. Vassell	6	43%	3.0 / 7
S. Mamukelashvili	6	100%	3.0 / 3
M. Branham	4	29%	2.0 / 7
D. Barlow	0	-	0.0 / 1
D. Graham	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 113.8 26 109.4	HOU 110.8 +2.2 SAS 108.6
Pace	13 99.6 3 101.7	HOU 98.3 +10.1 SAS 88.2
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.2 25 14.1	HOU 14.6 −1.7 SAS 16.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 52.9% 23 53.2%	HOU 52.5% SAS 54.3% +1.8%
TO %	8 12.1% 26 14.3%	HOU 12.7% −1.8% SAS 14.5%
ORB %	10 25.1% 23 22.9%	HOU 20.0% SAS 26.3% +6.3%
FTrt	9 25.7 28 22.0	HOU 26.3 +9.2 SAS 17.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	27 59.4% 1 71.2%	HOU 56.8% SAS 76.9% +20.1%
STL %	9 7.8% 23 6.9%	HOU 10.8% +1.1% SAS 9.7%
BLK %	11 9.7% 10 9.7%	HOU 10.9% +0.5% SAS 10.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.62 and 2.62.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 55.2% 25 55.1%	HOU 55.4% +0.5% SAS 54.9%
Rim FG%	24 61.2% 16 64.1%	HOU 60.0% SAS 84.6% +24.6%
Mid FG%	21 41.2% 24 40.5%	HOU 53.6% +23.6% SAS 30.0%
3P %	23 35.2% 28 34.7%	HOU 31.3% +0.7% SAS 30.6%
FT %	20 77.3% 14 78.2%	HOU 90.5% +4.8% SAS 85.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	6 35.5% 13 34.2%	HOU 25.0% SAS 31.7% +6.7%
Mid Att. %	3 24.7% 9 25.7%	HOU 35.0% SAS 24.4% −10.6%
3P Att. %	13 39.7% 12 40.1%	HOU 40.0% SAS 43.9% +3.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	HOU	SAS
Possessions	93	93
Possession Minutes	22.7	25.3
Points	103	101
Rebounds	36	42
Assists	21	30
Steals	10	9
Blocks	5	5
Turnovers (Team)	12 (1)	13 (2)
Fouls	19	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (4)	10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (5)	32 (0)
Field Goals	37-80	39-82
At-the-Rim FG	12-20	22-26
Midrange FG	15-28	6-20
2-Point FG	27-48	28-46
3-Point FG	10-32	11-36
Free Throws	19-21	12-14
Fast Break Pts	11	9
2nd Chance Pts	8	20
Points in Paint	34	52
Pts off Turnovers	19	6
Bench Points	31	27
Biggest Lead	9	10

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg