Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, March 12, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	10	Timberwolves	43%	106	118	126.9	93	93.1
	6	Clippers	57%	108	100	108.7	92	91.9

Scoring Opportunities

MIN

+21

-9

105

LAC

+10

-18

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.12 56.2%

LAC

1.19 59.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

10 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 23	36.5	37	58%	8	4	1	0	2	3	2	6	5-7	71%	13-21	62%	2-8	25%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 32	33.4	8	57%	11	3	2	2	0	2	7	4	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Kyle Anderson #1 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 30	28.8	10	63%	5	7	0	0	2	1	3	2	0-1	0%	5-7	71%	0-1	0%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 36	27.5	23	77%	3	3	1	0	1	0	2	1	0-0	-	4-7	57%	5-8	63%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 23	23.4	0	0%	4	1	2	0	1	4	1	3	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-4	0%

Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	27.6	28	108%	3	1	0	1	2	3	1	2	5-6	83%	4-4	100%	5-6	83%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 25	21.9	6	43%	5	3	1	1	0	3	1	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-3	0%
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	17.1	4	67%	6	2	2	1	0	1	1	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
T.J. Warren #24 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 31	13.7	2	25%	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	2.5	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 22	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Daishen Nix #12 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 22	2.5	0	0%	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	2.5	0	0%	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	INACTIVE
Monté Morris #23 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Jaylen Clark #0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Rupture Rehab
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Meniscus; Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	56%	48	26	11	6	9	20	19	29	10-14	71%	36-61	59%	12-33	36%

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10 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 23	36.5	37	58%	8	4	1	0	2	3	2	6	5-7	71%	13-21	62%	2-8	25%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 32	33.4	8	57%	11	3	2	2	0	2	7	4	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Kyle Anderson #1 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 30	28.8	10	63%	5	7	0	0	2	1	3	2	0-1	0%	5-7	71%	0-1	0%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 36	27.5	23	77%	3	3	1	0	1	0	2	1	0-0	-	4-7	57%	5-8	63%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 23	23.4	0	0%	4	1	2	0	1	4	1	3	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-4	0%

Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	27.6	28	108%	3	1	0	1	2	3	1	2	5-6	83%	4-4	100%	5-6	83%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 25	21.9	6	43%	5	3	1	1	0	3	1	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-3	0%
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	17.1	4	67%	6	2	2	1	0	1	1	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
T.J. Warren #24 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 31	13.7	2	25%	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	2.5	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 22	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Daishen Nix #12 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 22	2.5	0	0%	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	2.5	0	0%	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	INACTIVE
Monté Morris #23 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hamstring; Strain
Jaylen Clark #0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Rupture Rehab
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Meniscus; Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	56%	48	26	11	6	9	20	19	29	10-14	71%	36-61	59%	12-33	36%

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6 LA Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paul George #13 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 34	35.1	22	69%	3	3	1	0	5	4	0	3	10-10	100%	3-6	50%	2-5	40%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 35	33.9	12	55%	2	7	2	0	4	1	0	2	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-6	33%
Terance Mann #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 27	27.6	7	58%	2	0	3	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Ivica Zubac #40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 27	26.7	10	71%	8	1	0	0	2	2	3	5	4-4	100%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Kawhi Leonard #2 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 33	12.0	6	60%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%

Norman Powell #24 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 31	27.9	11	55%	4	2	0	1	1	3	1	3	2-3	67%	3-7	43%	1-2	50%
Amir Coffey #7 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 27	18.2	8	67%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	1-4	25%
Bones Hyland #5 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 23	17.9	8	50%	2	3	0	0	2	4	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-4	50%
Daniel Theis #10 · C · 6'9" 243 · 32	15.3	10	100%	4	1	1	2	1	0	1	3	1-1	100%	3-4	75%	1-1	100%
Brandon Boston #4 · SG · 6'6" 188 · 22	8.8	2	25%	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Mason Plumlee #44 · C · 7'0" 254 · 34	4.1	0	0%	3	2	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Xavier Moon #22 · SG · 6'2" 165 · 29	4.1	2	100%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jordan Miller #11 · SF · 6'5" 194 · 24	4.1	2	33%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Kobe Brown #21 · PF · 6'7" 250 · 24	4.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
P.J. Tucker #17 · SF · 6'6" 245 · 39	DNP – Coach's Decision
Moussa Diabaté #25 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 22	INACTIVE
Joshua Primo #12 · SG · 6'4" 189 · 21	INACTIVE
Russell Westbrook #0 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	60%	34	22	7	4	18	18	8	26	21-25	84%	23-42	55%	11-30	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	LAC
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	LAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.12 56.2%

LAC

1.19 59.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

69%

LAC

64%

Midrange

MIN

46%

LAC

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

18.0

36%

55%

LAC

16.5

37%

55%

Free Throws

MIN

71%

LAC

84%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	37	58%	18.5 / 32
N. Alexander-Walker	28	108%	14.0 / 13
M. Conley	23	77%	11.5 / 15
K. Anderson	10	63%	5.0 / 8
R. Gobert	8	57%	4.0 / 7
N. Reid	6	43%	3.0 / 7
J. McLaughlin	4	67%	2.0 / 3
T. Warren	2	25%	1.0 / 4
J. McDaniels	0	-	0.0 / 8
D. Nix	0	-	0.0 / 1
J. Minott	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. George	22	69%	11.0 / 16
J. Harden	12	55%	6.0 / 11
N. Powell	11	55%	5.5 / 10
I. Zubac	10	71%	5.0 / 7
D. Theis	10	100%	5.0 / 5
A. Coffey	8	67%	4.0 / 6
B. Hyland	8	50%	4.0 / 8
T. Mann	7	58%	3.5 / 6
K. Leonard	6	60%	3.0 / 5
B. Boston Jr.	2	25%	1.0 / 4
X. Moon	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Miller	2	33%	1.0 / 3
M. Plumlee	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 114.7 4 118.0	MIN 126.9 +18.2 LAC 108.7
Pace	22 97.9 20 97.9	MIN 93.1 +1.2 LAC 91.9
Avg. Poss. Time	3 15.0 7 14.9	MIN 15.5 −0.2 LAC 15.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 55.9% 9 56.1%	MIN 57.4% +2.5% LAC 54.9%
TO %	22 13.6% 11 12.5%	MIN 9.9% −7.9% LAC 17.8%
ORB %	22 23.1% 16 24.4%	MIN 42.2% +20.6% LAC 21.6%
FTrt	5 27.0 10 25.6	MIN 14.9 LAC 34.7 +19.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 64.6% 24 60.4%	MIN 54.2% LAC 64.7% +10.5%
STL %	6 8.0% 7 8.0%	MIN 11.8% +4.2% LAC 7.6%
BLK %	4 11.0% 24 8.8%	MIN 14.3% +7.7% LAC 6.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 57.7% 7 58.4%	MIN 56.2% LAC 59.5% +3.3%
Rim FG%	15 64.3% 14 64.7%	MIN 68.6% +5.0% LAC 63.6%
Mid FG%	16 42.6% 5 45.6%	MIN 46.2% +1.2% LAC 45.0%
3P %	3 38.7% 6 38.1%	MIN 36.4% LAC 36.7% +0.3%
FT %	18 77.7% 3 82.5%	MIN 71.4% LAC 84.0% +12.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 34.1% 22 32.1%	MIN 37.2% +6.7% LAC 30.6%
Mid Att. %	16 27.5% 27 29.6%	MIN 27.7% −0.1% LAC 27.8%
3P Att. %	17 38.4% 19 38.3%	MIN 35.1% LAC 41.7% +6.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIN	LAC
Possessions	93	92
Possession Minutes	24.0	24.0
Points	118	100
Rebounds	48	34
Assists	26	22
Steals	11	7
Blocks	6	4
Turnovers (Team)	9 (2)	18 (0)
Fouls	20	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	19 (2)	8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (1)	26 (2)
Field Goals	48-94	34-72
At-the-Rim FG	24-35	14-22
Midrange FG	12-26	9-20
2-Point FG	36-61	23-42
3-Point FG	12-33	11-30
Free Throws	10-14	21-25
Fast Break Pts	27	11
2nd Chance Pts	18	7
Points in Paint	62	40
Pts off Turnovers	24	18
Bench Points	40	43
Biggest Lead	22	22

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg