Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, March 12, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Bucks	55%	119	94	93.1	101	97.3
	15	Kings	45%	118	129	127.7	101	105.0

Scoring Opportunities

MIL

+11

-13

SAC

-8

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

0.94 47.0%

SAC

1.28 63.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

5 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 34	33.0	10	36%	5	6	1	1	2	2	0	5	5-6	83%	1-6	17%	1-6	17%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 29	32.9	30	65%	13	4	1	0	4	3	1	12	10-14	71%	10-15	67%	0-2	0%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 36	25.9	7	44%	4	0	0	1	2	1	3	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 27	25.0	11	42%	3	2	0	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-11	27%
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 34	15.9	0	0%	0	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-

Patrick Beverley #21 · PG · 6'1" 185 · 36	26.6	4	40%	2	4	0	0	0	3	0	2	2-3	67%	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 31	22.9	7	35%	4	1	0	0	1	1	3	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-7	14%
Bobby Portis Jr. #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 29	20.7	11	61%	7	1	0	0	0	3	0	7	3-4	75%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 24	17.1	3	25%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Danilo Gallinari #12 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 36	6.6	7	58%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3-4	75%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 32	6.6	2	50%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 22	6.6	2	100%	4	2	0	0	1	0	3	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jaylin Galloway #00 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ryan Rollins #55 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
TyTy Washington Jr. #23 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Spasms
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	47%	44	23	3	2	13	18	10	34	27-35	77%	23-43	53%	7-39	18%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

5 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 34	33.0	10	36%	5	6	1	1	2	2	0	5	5-6	83%	1-6	17%	1-6	17%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 29	32.9	30	65%	13	4	1	0	4	3	1	12	10-14	71%	10-15	67%	0-2	0%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 36	25.9	7	44%	4	0	0	1	2	1	3	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 27	25.0	11	42%	3	2	0	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-11	27%
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 34	15.9	0	0%	0	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-

Patrick Beverley #21 · PG · 6'1" 185 · 36	26.6	4	40%	2	4	0	0	0	3	0	2	2-3	67%	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 31	22.9	7	35%	4	1	0	0	1	1	3	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-7	14%
Bobby Portis Jr. #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 29	20.7	11	61%	7	1	0	0	0	3	0	7	3-4	75%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 24	17.1	3	25%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Danilo Gallinari #12 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 36	6.6	7	58%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3-4	75%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 32	6.6	2	50%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 22	6.6	2	100%	4	2	0	0	1	0	3	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jaylin Galloway #00 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Ryan Rollins #55 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
TyTy Washington Jr. #23 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Spasms
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	47%	44	23	3	2	13	18	10	34	27-35	77%	23-43	53%	7-39	18%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

15 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	33.9	22	73%	11	8	1	0	0	3	2	9	2-2	100%	10-14	71%	0-0	-
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	32.4	29	81%	6	7	2	1	4	2	1	5	3-3	100%	7-12	58%	4-5	80%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 32	31.6	16	67%	6	2	1	0	0	2	0	6	0-0	-	2-5	40%	4-7	57%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24	27.1	7	88%	4	2	3	0	1	4	0	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Kevin Huerter #9 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 26	25.3	11	55%	5	3	2	0	1	3	0	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-8	38%

Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	28.3	25	60%	5	5	0	0	0	3	1	4	4-5	80%	6-11	55%	3-8	38%
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 26	17.9	3	30%	2	2	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-5	20%
Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27	10.8	6	60%	5	2	0	0	0	2	1	4	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31	9.2	5	63%	1	1	0	0	0	3	1	0	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	8.1	0	0%	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36	5.1	3	150%	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22	4.8	2	50%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Kessler Edwards #17 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 24	3.9	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24	1.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 26
Mason Jones #22 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Keegan Murray #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	64%	51	34	11	1	8	26	6	45	13-16	81%	31-52	60%	18-40	45%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	SAC

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

0.94 47.0%

SAC

1.28 63.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

82%

SAC

92%

Midrange

MIL

44%

SAC

49%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

10.5

18%

27%

SAC

27.0

45%

68%

Free Throws

MIL

77%

SAC

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo	30	65%	15.0 / 23
M. Beasley	11	42%	5.5 / 13
B. Portis	11	61%	5.5 / 9
D. Lillard	10	36%	5.0 / 14
B. Lopez	7	44%	3.5 / 8
P. Connaughton	7	35%	3.5 / 10
D. Gallinari	7	58%	3.5 / 6
P. Beverley	4	40%	2.0 / 5
A. Green	3	25%	1.5 / 6
T. Antetokounmpo	2	50%	1.0 / 2
A. Jackson	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Crowder	0	-	0.0 / 0

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Fox	29	81%	14.5 / 18
M. Monk	25	60%	12.5 / 21
D. Sabonis	22	73%	11.0 / 15
H. Barnes	16	67%	8.0 / 12
K. Huerter	11	55%	5.5 / 10
K. Ellis	7	88%	3.5 / 4
C. Duarte	6	60%	3.0 / 5
A. Len	5	63%	2.5 / 4
D. Mitchell	3	30%	1.5 / 5
J. McGee	3	150%	1.5 / 1
C. Jones	2	50%	1.0 / 2
T. Lyles	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 117.6 13 116.3	MIL 93.1 SAC 127.7 +34.7
Pace	8 100.6 14 99.4	MIL 97.3 SAC 105.0 +7.7
Avg. Poss. Time	19 14.4 26 14.1	MIL 14.8 SAC 13.7 −1.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	4 56.8% 14 55.6%	MIL 40.9% SAC 63.0% +22.1%
TO %	10 12.2% 12 12.5%	MIL 11.8% SAC 8.3% −3.5%
ORB %	25 21.8% 14 24.5%	MIL 18.2% +3.2% SAC 15.0%
FTrt	4 27.0 22 22.9	MIL 42.7 +25.3 SAC 17.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 61.5% 7 65.4%	MIL 76.7% +7.3% SAC 69.4%
STL %	28 6.7% 14 7.6%	MIL 3.0% SAC 10.9% +7.9%
BLK %	28 8.5% 27 8.6%	MIL 3.8% +1.5% SAC 2.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 58.8% 14 57.0%	MIL 47.0% SAC 63.9% +16.9%
Rim FG%	4 67.9% 6 66.0%	MIL 81.8% SAC 92.3% +10.5%
Mid FG%	11 44.5% 9 44.9%	MIL 43.8% SAC 48.7% +4.9%
3P %	11 37.3% 16 36.6%	MIL 17.9% SAC 45.0% +27.1%
FT %	19 77.4% 30 74.5%	MIL 77.1% SAC 81.3% +4.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 31.5% 27 30.0%	MIL 13.4% SAC 14.1% +0.7%
Mid Att. %	7 25.4% 14 26.8%	MIL 39.0% −3.4% SAC 42.4%
3P Att. %	4 43.0% 3 43.2%	MIL 47.6% +4.1% SAC 43.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIL	SAC
Possessions	101	101
Possession Minutes	24.9	23.1
Points	94	129
Rebounds	44	51
Assists	23	34
Steals	3	11
Blocks	2	1
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	8 (1)
Fouls	18	26
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (1)	6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (3)	45 (1)
Field Goals	30-82	49-92
At-the-Rim FG	9-11	12-13
Midrange FG	14-32	19-39
2-Point FG	23-43	31-52
3-Point FG	7-39	18-40
Free Throws	27-35	13-16
Fast Break Pts	5	18
2nd Chance Pts	14	14
Points in Paint	42	54
Pts off Turnovers	9	14
Bench Points	36	44
Biggest Lead	0	37

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg