Final Win Prob. pScore
256%111
100
1344%109
88
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo Nuggets
112.48985.8
MIA logo Heat
96.79194.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.100
88
Q4 - 0:03.8NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)100
88
Q4 - 0:23.2NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound100
88
Q4 - 0:26.1HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot100
88
Q4 - 0:32.9HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound100
88
Q4 - 0:36.1NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot100
88
Q4 - 0:56.0HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup100
88
Q4 - 1:01NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. turnover (traveling)100
86
Q4 - 1:04NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound100
86
Q4 - 1:07HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot100
86
Q4 - 1:19NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)100
86
Q4 - 1:38NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound97
86
Q4 - 1:42HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot97
86
Q4 - 1:54NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround hook shot (Jamal Murray assists)97
86
Q4 - 2:16Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr., Aaron Gordon, Reggie Jackson)95
86
Q4 - 2:16Nuggets 60 second timeout95
86
Q4 - 2:16HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 295
86
Q4 - 2:16HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 295
85
Q4 - 2:16NuggetsAaron Gordon shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)95
84
Q4 - 2:26HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound95
84
Q4 - 2:29NuggetsAaron Gordon misses regular free throw 2 of 295
84
Q4 - 2:29NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 295
84
Q4 - 2:29HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)94
84
Q4 - 2:40HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)94
84
Q4 - 2:42NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound94
84
Q4 - 2:44NuggetsAaron Gordon misses two point driving layup94
84
Q4 - 2:54NuggetsAaron Gordon offensive rebound94
84
Q4 - 2:57NuggetsReggie Jackson misses two point driving layup94
84
Q4 - 3:04Nuggets 60 second timeout94
84
Q4 - 3:04Stoppage (Out of bounds)94
84
Q4 - 3:18NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound94
84
Q4 - 3:24HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot94
84
Q4 - 3:38Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Terry Rozier)94
84
Q4 - 3:38Heat 60 second timeout94
84
Q4 - 3:38NuggetsReggie Jackson makes three point stepback jump shot94
84
Q4 - 3:57NuggetsChristian Braun defensive rebound91
84
Q4 - 3:57HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot91
84
Q4 - 4:12NuggetsReggie Jackson makes two point pullup jump shot91
84
Q4 - 4:35HeatTerry Rozier makes two point pullup jump shot89
84
Q4 - 4:50NuggetsReggie Jackson makes two point pullup jump shot89
82
Q4 - 5:18HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point layup (Bam Adebayo assists)87
82
Q4 - 5:39NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)87
80
Q4 - 5:55Stoppage (Out of bounds)85
80
Q4 - 5:55NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound85
80
Q4 - 5:57HeatCaleb Martin misses three point stepback jump shot85
80
Q4 - 6:05HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound85
80
Q4 - 6:09HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving layup85
80
Q4 - 6:29Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Terry Rozier)85
80
Q4 - 6:29Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr., Aaron Gordon, Reggie Jackson)85
80
Q4 - 6:29Heat 60 second timeout85
80
Q4 - 6:29NuggetsPeyton Watson makes two point driving dunk (Aaron Gordon assists)85
80
Q4 - 6:52HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Patty Mills assists)83
80
Q4 - 7:05NuggetsJustin Holiday makes two point stepback jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)83
77
Q4 - 7:16HeatJimmy Butler makes two point tip dunk81
77
Q4 - 7:18HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound81
75
Q4 - 7:18HeatBam Adebayo misses two point running layup81
75
Q4 - 7:21HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound81
75
Q4 - 7:24NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point stepback jump shot81
75
Q4 - 7:42NuggetsJustin Holiday defensive rebound81
75
Q4 - 7:45HeatPeyton Watson blocks Patty Mills's three point jump shot81
75
Q4 - 7:58Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Patty Mills, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin)81
75
Q4 - 7:58NuggetsAaron Gordon turnover (out of bounds bad pass)81
75
Q4 - 8:17NuggetsPeyton Watson defensive rebound81
75
Q4 - 8:20HeatJimmy Butler misses two point fadeaway jump shot81
75
Q4 - 8:29NuggetsChristian Braun makes two point driving finger roll layup81
75
Q4 - 8:41HeatThomas Bryant personal foul (Loose ball) (Peyton Watson draws the foul)79
75
Q4 - 8:41NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound79
75
Q4 - 8:42HeatPatty Mills misses three point jump shot79
75
Q4 - 9:06NuggetsChristian Braun makes two point pullup jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)79
75
Q4 - 9:22HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup77
75
Q4 - 9:43NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point layup (Peyton Watson assists)77
73
Q4 - 10:00HeatThomas Bryant makes two point putback layup75
73
Q4 - 10:01HeatThomas Bryant offensive rebound75
71
Q4 - 10:02HeatThomas Bryant misses two point tip layup75
71
Q4 - 10:03HeatThomas Bryant offensive rebound75
71
Q4 - 10:04HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup75
71
Q4 - 10:14NuggetsChristian Braun personal foul (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)75
71
Q4 - 10:22HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound75
71
Q4 - 10:26NuggetsPeyton Watson misses three point jump shot75
71
Q4 - 10:45HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)75
71
Q4 - 11:13NuggetsChristian Braun makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)75
71
Q4 - 11:22NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound72
71
Q4 - 11:26HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving layup72
71
Q4 - 11:35HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound72
71
Q4 - 11:39NuggetsAaron Gordon misses three point jump shot72
71
Q4 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Patty Mills, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin)72
71
Q4 - 12:00Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Aaron Gordon, Peyton Watson, Justin Holiday)72
71
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.72
71
Q3 - 0:00.9HeatHeat offensive rebound72
71
Q3 - 0:01.7HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot72
71
Q3 - 0:12.9NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving reverse layup72
71
Q3 - 0:24.0Heat lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Haywood Highsmith)70
71
Q3 - 0:24.1HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)70
71
Q3 - 0:31.9NuggetsChristian Braun defensive rebound70
71
Q3 - 0:34.8HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot70
71
Q3 - 0:54.3NuggetsAaron Gordon makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)70
71
Q3 - 1:18HeatThomas Bryant makes two point floating jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)67
71
Q3 - 1:33Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Thomas Bryant, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin)67
69
Q3 - 1:33Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Aaron Gordon, Peyton Watson)67
69
Q3 - 1:33NuggetsReggie Jackson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)67
69
Q3 - 1:39NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound67
69
Q3 - 1:41HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot67
69
Q3 - 2:00HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound67
69
Q3 - 2:02NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses two point layup67
69
Q3 - 2:16HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving bank jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)67
69
Q3 - 2:41NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)67
67
Q3 - 2:56Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Terry Rozier)64
67
Q3 - 2:56Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr., Peyton Watson, Reggie Jackson)64
67
Q3 - 2:56Nuggets 60 second timeout64
67
Q3 - 2:56HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running layup64
67
Q3 - 3:02HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound64
65
Q3 - 3:05NuggetsReggie Jackson misses two point driving floating jump shot64
65
Q3 - 3:16HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)64
65
Q3 - 3:43NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Peyton Watson assists)64
63
Q3 - 4:01NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound62
63
Q3 - 4:04HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot62
63
Q3 - 4:14HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound62
63
Q3 - 4:19NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point running jump shot62
63
Q3 - 4:23NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound62
63
Q3 - 4:26HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving floating bank jump shot62
63
Q3 - 4:40NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point jump shot (Reggie Jackson assists)62
63
Q3 - 4:59HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk60
63
Q3 - 5:15HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound60
61
Q3 - 5:18NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot60
61
Q3 - 5:35HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 260
61
Q3 - 5:35Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Michael Porter Jr., Peyton Watson, Reggie Jackson)60
60
Q3 - 5:35HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 260
60
Q3 - 5:35NuggetsNikola Jokic shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)60
59
Q3 - 5:43HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound60
59
Q3 - 5:46NuggetsAaron Gordon misses regular free throw 2 of 260
59
Q3 - 5:46Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Michael Porter Jr., Aaron Gordon, Reggie Jackson)60
59
Q3 - 5:46Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Nikola Jovic, Terry Rozier)60
59
Q3 - 5:46NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 260
59
Q3 - 5:46HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)59
59
Q3 - 5:59HeatBam Adebayo makes three point pullup jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)59
59
Q3 - 6:10NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point tip layup59
56
Q3 - 6:12NuggetsAaron Gordon offensive rebound57
56
Q3 - 6:13NuggetsAaron Gordon misses two point layup57
56
Q3 - 6:18NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound57
56
Q3 - 6:21HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot57
56
Q3 - 6:43NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point driving layup57
56
Q3 - 6:46NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. offensive rebound55
56
Q3 - 6:49NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot55
56
Q3 - 7:09HeatTerry Rozier turnover (out of bounds lost ball)55
56
Q3 - 7:27HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound55
56
Q3 - 7:31NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot55
56
Q3 - 7:43Nuggets 60 second timeout55
56
Q3 - 7:43HeatTerry Rozier makes two point running finger roll layup55
56
Q3 - 7:49NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Terry Rozier steals)55
54
Q3 - 8:10HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot55
54
Q3 - 8:21HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound55
52
Q3 - 8:22NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot55
52
Q3 - 8:37NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound55
52
Q3 - 8:41HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot55
52
Q3 - 8:57HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound55
52
Q3 - 8:57NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point stepback jump shot55
52
Q3 - 9:27HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point running jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)55
52
Q3 - 9:31HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound55
49
Q3 - 9:34NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point stepback jump shot55
49
Q3 - 9:38NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound55
49
Q3 - 9:41HeatNikola Jovic misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot55
49
Q3 - 10:02NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point stepback jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)55
49
Q3 - 10:12NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound53
49
Q3 - 10:15HeatJimmy Butler misses two point layup53
49
Q3 - 10:30HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound53
49
Q3 - 10:32NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot53
49
Q3 - 10:36Stoppage (Out of bounds)53
49
Q3 - 10:36NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound53
49
Q3 - 10:36NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point driving floating jump shot53
49
Q3 - 10:55HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround hook shot53
49
Q3 - 11:12NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)53
47
Q3 - 11:42HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)50
47
Q3 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Nikola Jovic, Terry Rozier)50
44
Q3 - 12:00Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Michael Porter Jr., Aaron Gordon)50
44
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.50
44
Q2 - 0:02.1NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 250
44
Q2 - 0:02.0Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Haywood Highsmith, Terry Rozier)49
44
Q2 - 0:02.1NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 249
44
Q2 - 0:02.1HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Michael Porter Jr. draws the foul)48
44
Q2 - 0:09.0Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Haywood Highsmith, Terry Rozier)48
44
Q2 - 0:09.2HeatTerry Rozier turnover (out of bounds bad pass)48
44
Q2 - 0:26.5NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 248
44
Q2 - 0:26.5NuggetsNikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 247
44
Q2 - 0:26.5HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)47
44
Q2 - 0:43.1Stoppage (Out of bounds)47
44
Q2 - 0:44.8NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound47
44
Q2 - 0:46.0HeatTerry Rozier misses two point stepback jump shot47
44
Q2 - 1:08NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point layup (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)47
44
Q2 - 1:28HeatJimmy Butler makes two point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)45
44
Q2 - 1:47NuggetsNuggets turnover (shot clock violation)45
42
Q2 - 1:48NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound45
42
Q2 - 1:49NuggetsJimmy Butler blocks Jamal Murray's two point pullup jump shot45
42
Q2 - 1:52Nuggets 60 second timeout45
42
Q2 - 1:52Stoppage (Out of bounds)45
42
Q2 - 2:13HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot45
42
Q2 - 2:25HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound45
40
Q2 - 2:28NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot45
40
Q2 - 2:46HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)45
40
Q2 - 2:50HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound45
38
Q2 - 2:52HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot45
38
Q2 - 3:06NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 245
38
Q2 - 3:06NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 244
38
Q2 - 3:06HeatTerry Rozier shooting foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)43
38
Q2 - 3:10Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Michael Porter Jr., Peyton Watson)43
38
Q2 - 3:10HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)43
38
Q2 - 3:27HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 2 of 243
38
Q2 - 3:27Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Haywood Highsmith, Terry Rozier)43
37
Q2 - 3:27Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Michael Porter Jr., Aaron Gordon)43
37
Q2 - 3:27HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 243
37
Q2 - 3:27NuggetsAaron Gordon shooting foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)43
36
Q2 - 3:32HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound43
36
Q2 - 3:34NuggetsAaron Gordon misses three point stepback jump shot43
36
Q2 - 3:47NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound43
36
Q2 - 3:50HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot43
36
Q2 - 4:00HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound43
36
Q2 - 4:03NuggetsReggie Jackson misses two point driving layup43
36
Q2 - 4:20HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. personal foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)43
36
Q2 - 4:23NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound43
36
Q2 - 4:26HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot43
36
Q2 - 4:40NuggetsReggie Jackson makes two point pullup jump shot43
36
Q2 - 4:52NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound41
36
Q2 - 4:55HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 241
36
Q2 - 4:55HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 241
36
Q2 - 4:55NuggetsReggie Jackson shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)41
36
Q2 - 5:00NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)41
36
Q2 - 5:21HeatTerry Rozier makes two point stepback jump shot41
36
Q2 - 5:42NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)41
34
Q2 - 5:59HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)38
34
Q2 - 6:07HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound38
32
Q2 - 6:11NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses two point stepback jump shot38
32
Q2 - 6:33HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 238
32
Q2 - 6:33HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 238
31
Q2 - 6:33Heat 60 second timeout38
30
Q2 - 6:33NuggetsAaron Gordon shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)38
30
Q2 - 6:51NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Reggie Jackson assists)38
30
Q2 - 7:08HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 235
30
Q2 - 7:08Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Haywood Highsmith, Terry Rozier)35
29
Q2 - 7:08Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Michael Porter Jr., Aaron Gordon, Reggie Jackson)35
29
Q2 - 7:08HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 235
29
Q2 - 7:08NuggetsJamal Murray shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)35
28
Q2 - 7:15HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound35
28
Q2 - 7:18NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point running jump shot35
28
Q2 - 7:22NuggetsPeyton Watson defensive rebound35
28
Q2 - 7:26HeatPatty Mills misses two point driving finger roll layup35
28
Q2 - 7:47NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot35
28
Q2 - 8:05HeatThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 2 of 233
28
Q2 - 8:05Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr., Aaron Gordon, Peyton Watson, Zeke Nnaji)33
27
Q2 - 8:05HeatThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 1 of 233
27
Q2 - 8:05NuggetsJustin Holiday shooting foul (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)33
26
Q2 - 8:07HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound33
26
Q2 - 8:10HeatJustin Holiday blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point layup33
26
Q2 - 8:21NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point stepback jump shot33
26
Q2 - 8:33HeatCaleb Martin makes two point fadeaway jump shot30
26
Q2 - 8:52NuggetsChristian Braun turnover (offensive foul)30
24
Q2 - 8:52NuggetsChristian Braun offensive foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)30
24
Q2 - 9:02HeatThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 2 of 230
24
Q2 - 9:02HeatThomas Bryant misses regular free throw 1 of 230
23
Q2 - 9:02NuggetsZeke Nnaji shooting foul (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)30
23
Q2 - 9:12NuggetsPeyton Watson makes two point jump shot (Justin Holiday assists)30
23
Q2 - 9:30HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)28
23
Q2 - 9:45Stoppage (Out of bounds)28
23
Q2 - 9:45HeatHeat defensive rebound28
23
Q2 - 9:47NuggetsJustin Holiday misses three point jump shot28
23
Q2 - 10:00NuggetsJustin Holiday defensive rebound28
23
Q2 - 10:04HeatPatty Mills misses two point driving finger roll layup28
23
Q2 - 10:25NuggetsPeyton Watson makes two point driving layup (Christian Braun assists)28
23
Q2 - 10:42HeatPatty Mills turnover (out of bounds bad pass)26
23
Q2 - 10:44HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound26
23
Q2 - 10:48NuggetsJustin Holiday misses three point jump shot26
23
Q2 - 11:00HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 226
23
Q2 - 11:00HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 226
22
Q2 - 11:00NuggetsJustin Holiday shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)26
21
Q2 - 11:03HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound26
21
Q2 - 11:04HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving layup26
21
Q2 - 11:14HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound26
21
Q2 - 11:17NuggetsJustin Holiday misses two point pullup jump shot26
21
Q2 - 11:30HeatThomas Bryant makes two point layup (Patty Mills assists)26
21
Q2 - 11:40HeatPatty Mills defensive rebound26
19
Q2 - 11:44NuggetsJustin Holiday misses three point running pullup jump shot26
19
Q2 - 11:49HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Jamal Murray steals)26
19
Q2 - 12:00Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Peyton Watson, Justin Holiday, Zeke Nnaji)26
19
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.26
19
Q1 - 0:03.2HeatPatty Mills defensive rebound26
19
Q1 - 0:03.2NuggetsPeyton Watson misses three point jump shot26
19
Q1 - 0:22.7HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup26
19
Q1 - 0:30.1HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound26
17
Q1 - 0:35.1NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point jump shot26
17
Q1 - 0:41.7HeatPatty Mills makes two point pullup jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)26
17
Q1 - 0:45.3HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound26
15
Q1 - 0:48.7NuggetsPeyton Watson misses two point pullup jump shot26
15
Q1 - 1:01NuggetsJustin Holiday defensive rebound26
15
Q1 - 1:04HeatPatty Mills misses three point jump shot26
15
Q1 - 1:14Heat lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Patty Mills, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin)26
15
Q1 - 1:14Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson, Justin Holiday)26
15
Q1 - 1:14Nuggets 60 second timeout26
15
Q1 - 1:14NuggetsChristian Braun personal foul (Patty Mills draws the foul)26
15
Q1 - 1:29NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround hook shot (Justin Holiday assists)26
15
Q1 - 1:43NuggetsPeyton Watson defensive rebound24
15
Q1 - 1:43HeatCaleb Martin misses two point pullup jump shot24
15
Q1 - 1:54NuggetsReggie Jackson turnover (bad pass) (Patty Mills steals)24
15
Q1 - 2:18HeatTerry Rozier makes two point bank jump shot (Patty Mills assists)24
15
Q1 - 2:28HeatPatty Mills defensive rebound24
13
Q1 - 2:32NuggetsPeyton Watson misses two point pullup jump shot24
13
Q1 - 2:54HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving floating bank jump shot24
13
Q1 - 3:12NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 124
11
Q1 - 3:12Heat lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Patty Mills, Caleb Martin, Terry Rozier)23
11
Q1 - 3:12HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)23
11
Q1 - 3:12NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point tip layup23
11
Q1 - 3:12NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound21
11
Q1 - 3:13NuggetsReggie Jackson misses two point driving layup21
11
Q1 - 3:23NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound21
11
Q1 - 3:23HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround jump shot21
11
Q1 - 3:29Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Patty Mills, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Terry Rozier)21
11
Q1 - 3:29Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Peyton Watson, Reggie Jackson, Justin Holiday)21
11
Q1 - 3:29Stoppage (Out of bounds)21
11
Q1 - 3:29HeatHeat offensive rebound21
11
Q1 - 3:29HeatBam Adebayo misses two point running jump shot21
11
Q1 - 3:34HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound21
11
Q1 - 3:37NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot21
11
Q1 - 3:58HeatTerry Rozier makes two point layup21
11
Q1 - 4:13NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point running dunk21
9
Q1 - 4:16HeatCaleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope steals)19
9
Q1 - 4:32HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound19
9
Q1 - 4:35NuggetsAaron Gordon misses three point running pullup jump shot19
9
Q1 - 4:38NuggetsReggie Jackson defensive rebound19
9
Q1 - 4:41HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot19
9
Q1 - 5:09NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot19
9
Q1 - 5:09NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. offensive rebound17
9
Q1 - 5:14NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot17
9
Q1 - 5:17NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound17
9
Q1 - 5:19NuggetsReggie Jackson misses two point driving floating jump shot17
9
Q1 - 5:29Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Terry Rozier)17
9
Q1 - 5:29HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)17
9
Q1 - 5:32NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound17
9
Q1 - 5:36HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot17
9
Q1 - 5:43NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 217
9
Q1 - 5:43NuggetsAaron Gordon misses regular free throw 1 of 216
9
Q1 - 5:43Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Michael Porter Jr., Aaron Gordon, Reggie Jackson)16
9
Q1 - 5:43Heat 60 second timeout16
9
Q1 - 5:43HeatNikola Jovic shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)16
9
Q1 - 5:48NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound16
9
Q1 - 5:51HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot16
9
Q1 - 6:12NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point stepback jump shot (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)16
9
Q1 - 6:21NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound14
9
Q1 - 6:27HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot14
9
Q1 - 6:34HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound14
9
Q1 - 6:38NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point pullup jump shot14
9
Q1 - 6:44NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound14
9
Q1 - 6:48HeatTerry Rozier misses two point stepback jump shot14
9
Q1 - 7:10NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point running dunk14
9
Q1 - 7:13HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope steals)12
9
Q1 - 7:25NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)12
9
Q1 - 7:34NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound9
9
Q1 - 7:37HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot9
9
Q1 - 7:55NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point stepback jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)9
9
Q1 - 8:01HeatNikola Jovic turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jokic steals)6
9
Q1 - 8:07NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jovic steals)6
9
Q1 - 8:22HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving layup (Jimmy Butler assists)6
9
Q1 - 8:30HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound6
7
Q1 - 8:34NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point pullup jump shot6
7
Q1 - 8:47NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound6
7
Q1 - 8:50HeatJimmy Butler misses two point jump shot6
7
Q1 - 8:56NuggetsAaron Gordon personal foul (Loose ball) (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)6
7
Q1 - 8:56HeatHeat offensive rebound6
7
Q1 - 8:56HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot6
7
Q1 - 9:07HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound6
7
Q1 - 9:09NuggetsBam Adebayo blocks Jamal Murray's two point driving floating jump shot6
7
Q1 - 9:24HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)6
7
Q1 - 9:39NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround hook shot6
4
Q1 - 9:57NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound4
4
Q1 - 9:58HeatTerry Rozier misses two point tip layup4
4
Q1 - 9:59HeatTerry Rozier offensive rebound4
4
Q1 - 10:01HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot4
4
Q1 - 10:13NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point running dunk4
4
Q1 - 10:20NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound2
4
Q1 - 10:22HeatJimmy Butler misses two point alley-oop layup2
4
Q1 - 10:37NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point layup (Nikola Jokic assists)2
4
Q1 - 10:56HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)0
4
Q1 - 11:07HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound0
2
Q1 - 11:11NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses two point fadeaway jump shot0
2
Q1 - 11:15Stoppage (Out of bounds)0
2
Q1 - 11:32HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jimmy Butler assists)0
2
Q1 - 11:43HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:46NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point driving hook shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00Nikola Jokic vs. Bam Adebayo (Jamal Murray gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Nikola Jovic, Terry Rozier)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Michael Porter Jr., Aaron Gordon)0
0
ClockTeamEventDENMIA
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.12 56.2%
MIA
0.94 46.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
14
20
70%
MIA
14
23
61%
Midrange
DEN
15
29
52%
MIA
15
36
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
11
16.5
33
33%
50%
MIA
5
7.5
21
24%
36%
Free Throws
DEN
9
13
69%
MIA
15
18
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Porter2574%12.5 / 17
A. Gordon1657%8.0 / 14
J. Murray1447%7.0 / 15
N. Jokić1267%6.0 / 9
K. Caldwell-Pope950%4.5 / 9
R. Jackson950%4.5 / 9
C. Braun7117%3.5 / 3
P. Watson643%3.0 / 7
J. Holiday220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo1750%8.5 / 17
J. Butler1544%7.5 / 17
T. Rozier1450%7.0 / 14
D. Robinson1155%5.5 / 10
C. Martin956%4.5 / 8
T. Bryant975%4.5 / 6
J. Jaquez850%4.0 / 8
N. Jović350%1.5 / 3
P. Mills217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
80
+9
-9
89
MIA
83
+11
-8
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.12 56.2%
MIA
0.94 46.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
118.1
113.5
DEN 112.4 +15.7
MIA 96.7
Pace
97.1
96.7
DEN 85.8
MIA 94.6 +8.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
14.8
DEN 16.8
MIA 15.2 −1.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
56.2%
53.8%
DEN 55.5% +9.9%
MIA 45.6%
TO %
12.1%
12.2%
DEN 10.2%
MIA 9.3% −0.9%
ORB %
25.5%
21.8%
DEN 17.1%
MIA 19.0% +1.9%
FTrt
22.4
25.7
DEN 15.9
MIA 22.5 +6.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.9%
64.8%
DEN 60.0% +7.1%
MIA 52.9%
STL %
7.4%
7.8%
DEN 4.5%
MIA 5.5% +1.0%
BLK %
9.8%
6.9%
DEN 3.4%
MIA 4.1% +0.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.5%
56.2%
DEN 56.2% +9.4%
MIA 46.8%
Rim FG%
62.7%
61.2%
DEN 70.0% +9.1%
MIA 60.9%
Mid FG%
47.6%
44.2%
DEN 51.7% +10.0%
MIA 41.7%
3P %
37.4%
37.0%
DEN 33.3% +9.5%
MIA 23.8%
FT %
76.2%
81.8%
DEN 69.2%
MIA 83.3% +14.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.0%
30.4%
DEN 24.4%
MIA 28.7% +4.4%
Mid Att. %
27.9%
30.2%
DEN 35.4% −9.6%
MIA 45.0%
3P Att. %
35.2%
39.4%
DEN 40.2% +14.0%
MIA 26.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENMIA
Possessions8991
Possession Minutes24.923.1
Points10088
Rebounds4142
Assists2418
Steals45
Blocks22
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)8 (1)
Fouls1313
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (2)34 (1)
Field Goals40-8234-80
At-the-Rim FG14-2014-23
Midrange FG15-2915-36
2-Point FG29-4929-59
3-Point FG11-335-21
Free Throws9-1315-18
Fast Break Pts911
2nd Chance Pts1010
Points in Paint4252
Pts off Turnovers1510
Bench Points2428
Biggest Lead144

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29
37.6
12
67%
14
6
1
0
4
1
3
11
2-3
67%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
#1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26
33.5
25
74%
7
0
0
0
1
0
2
5
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
5-9
56%
#50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28
33.4
16
57%
8
4
0
0
1
4
2
6
3-6
50%
5-7
71%
1-4
25%
#27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27
31.4
14
47%
2
5
1
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
2-8
25%
#5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31
24.7
9
50%
1
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
1-5
20%
#8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22
22.6
6
43%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-2
0%
#0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23
20.1
7
117%
2
1
0
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
#7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34
18.9
9
50%
1
2
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
38%
1-1
100%
#9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35
12.9
2
20%
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
#22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23
4.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36
DNP – Coach's Decision
#3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22
DNP – Coach's Decision
#30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27
DNP – Coach's Decision
#21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25
INACTIVE
#4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24
Inactive - G League - On Assignment
#24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24
Inactive - G League - On Assignment
#11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
56%
41
24
4
2
9
13
7
34
9-13
69%
29-49
59%
11-33
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.