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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 13, 2024
7:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Nuggets56%111100
15Heat44%10988
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 25.7
34
30
25
7
0
0
1
0
1
2
5
2-2
100%
4-7
4-7
57%
58%
5-9
56%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.5
33
28
16
8
4
0
1
0
1
2
6
3-6
50%
5-7
4-7
71%
61%
1-4
25%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 29.1
38
35
12
14
6
1
1
0
4
3
11
2-3
67%
5-8
9-15
63%
63%
0-0
-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.1
25
31
9
1
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
51%
1-5
20%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 27.1
31
36
14
2
5
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
3-6
6-12
50%
52%
2-8
25%
Peyton Watson
G · 6'8" 200 · 21.5
23
19
6
3
2
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
56%
0-2
0%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.9
20
18
7
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
53%
1-1
100%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 33.9
19
13
9
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
2-3
38%
49%
1-1
100%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 34.9
13
13
2
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
51%
0-3
0%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23.2
5
11
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
58%
0-0
-
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.6
3
0
0-1
67%
Julian Strawther
G · 6'7" 205 · 21.9
2
0
0-0
51%
Jay Huff
F · 7'1" 240 · 26.5
2
0
0-0
60%
Collin Gillespie
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.7
Hunter Tyson
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.7
Braxton Key
F · 6'8" 225 · 27.1
Jalen Pickett
G · 6'4" 202 · 24.4
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 26.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 34.5
36
35
15
5
2
0
1
1
1
3
2
2-2
100%
5-14
6-11
36%
54%
1-2
50%
Nikola Jovic
F · 6'10" 205 · 20.8
16
22
3
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
54%
1-2
50%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 26.7
34
33
17
13
3
1
1
1
0
1
12
2-4
50%
6-14
7-13
43%
54%
1-1
100%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.9
31
31
11
6
3
1
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
4-4
2-3
100%
58%
1-6
17%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 30.0
35
32
14
4
4
1
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
6-10
5-9
60%
51%
0-3
0%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'7" 225 · 23.1
28
26
8
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
2-5
4-6
40%
57%
0-1
0%
Caleb Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 28.5
25
29
9
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
54%
1-3
33%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 35.6
14
11
2
3
3
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
46%
0-3
0%
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 26.6
14
4
9
6
0
0
0
0
0
2
4
3-4
75%
3-4
1-1
75%
63%
0-0
-
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.3
8
8
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 31.9
4
0
0-1
51%
Orlando Robinson
C · 7'0" 235 · 23.7
4
0
0-1
56%
Cole Swider
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.8
2
0
0-0
53%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 30.5
Alondes Williams
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.7
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 24.1
Jamal Cain
F · 6'7" 191 · 25.0
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 35.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.