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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 15, 2024
8:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Nuggets72%117117
26Spurs28%108106
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 25.7
23
31
13
7
1
1
1
0
0
0
7
1-1
100%
3-4
4-7
75%
60%
2-5
40%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.5
25
30
7
3
7
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
3-3
5-8
100%
62%
0-0
-
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 29.1
31
36
31
7
5
0
1
2
3
1
6
4-4
100%
12-16
9-15
75%
64%
1-3
33%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.1
27
28
4
0
3
3
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 27.1
34
34
15
10
8
4
1
0
3
2
8
2-2
100%
5-14
6-11
36%
54%
1-2
50%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.9
24
19
13
4
4
3
1
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
3-4
2-3
75%
55%
2-3
67%
Peyton Watson
G · 6'8" 200 · 21.5
23
20
10
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-1
0%
5-8
2-4
63%
58%
0-3
0%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 34.9
21
13
13
1
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
53%
3-6
50%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23.2
16
9
4
4
2
0
0
3
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
60%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 33.9
14
16
7
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
50%
1-2
50%
Julian Strawther
G · 6'7" 205 · 21.9
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
54%
0-0
-
Jay Huff
F · 7'1" 240 · 26.6
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
60%
0-0
-
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.6
3
0
0-1
69%
Hunter Tyson
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.8
Collin Gillespie
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.7
Braxton Key
F · 6'8" 225 · 27.1
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 26.9
Jalen Pickett
G · 6'4" 202 · 24.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Julian Champagnie
F · 6'7" 217 · 22.7
26
27
10
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
3-6
50%
Jeremy Sochan
F · 6'9" 230 · 20.8
28
29
19
6
4
1
1
0
3
4
2
2-3
67%
7-13
4-7
54%
52%
1-3
33%
Victor Wembanyama
F-C · 7'4" 210 · 20.2
33
30
17
9
2
2
1
3
4
4
5
8-9
89%
3-7
6-10
43%
55%
1-5
20%
Devin Vassell
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 23.6
39
31
17
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
2
2-3
67%
3-7
5-9
43%
52%
3-6
50%
Tre Jones
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.2
33
29
8
6
9
1
1
0
3
0
6
3-4
75%
1-4
3-5
25%
56%
1-2
50%
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 24.4
26
29
9
7
2
1
1
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
3-3
4-7
100%
53%
1-4
25%
Blake Wesley
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.0
15
15
5
1
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
3-4
75%
1-4
1-3
25%
51%
0-0
-
Zach Collins
C-F · 7'0" 230 · 26.3
15
18
13
6
0
0
0
0
2
0
6
2-2
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
56%
1-1
100%
Dominick Barlow
F · 6'9" 215 · 20.8
13
10
6
6
1
0
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
54%
0-0
-
Malaki Branham
F · 6'5" 180 · 20.8
12
22
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
52%
0-2
0%
RaiQuan Gray
F · 6'7" 269 · 24.7
8
0
1-1
51%
Sandro Mamukelashvili
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 24.8
6
0
1-1
56%
Devonte' Graham
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.1
5
0
0-0
45%
David Duke Jr.
G · 6'4" 204 · 24.4
4
0
1-1
49%
Sidy Cissoko
G · 6'8" 200 · 20.0
3
0
0-0
52%
Jamaree Bouyea
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.7
Charles Bassey
C-F · 6'10" 230 · 23.4
Cedi Osman
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.