Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, March 16, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	9	Warriors	45%	114	128	134.7	95	94.4
	10	Lakers	55%	116	121	126.0	96	96.6

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

+16

-7

104

LAL

+15

-9

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.23 61.5%

LAL

1.19 59.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

9 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 21	34.8	5	63%	5	3	0	0	1	1	3	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Draymond Green #23 · C · 6'6" 230 · 34	34.3	6	50%	12	13	1	0	2	3	2	10	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 36	33.9	31	60%	6	5	2	0	1	0	1	5	4-5	80%	9-14	64%	3-10	30%
Jonathan Kuminga #00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 21	31.1	23	64%	2	4	0	0	1	5	0	2	3-5	60%	7-13	54%	2-3	67%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 29	29.7	16	47%	6	1	0	1	0	3	3	3	0-0	-	5-11	45%	2-6	33%

Klay Thompson #11 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 34	29.6	26	81%	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	3	3-3	100%	4-5	80%	5-10	50%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 24	21.4	10	83%	3	4	0	2	1	2	2	1	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 39	18.9	8	57%	6	4	0	0	1	2	1	5	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Gary Payton II #0 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 31	6.5	3	50%	1	1	0	1	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevon Looney #5 · PF · 6'9" 222 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Lester Quinones #25 · SG · 6'5" 208 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #20 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jerome Robinson #18 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 22	INACTIVE
Usman Garuba #12 · PF · 6'8" 229 · 22	INACTIVE
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 28	INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	62%	45	38	3	4	7	19	14	31	12-15	80%	37-63	59%	14-34	41%

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9 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 21	34.8	5	63%	5	3	0	0	1	1	3	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Draymond Green #23 · C · 6'6" 230 · 34	34.3	6	50%	12	13	1	0	2	3	2	10	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 36	33.9	31	60%	6	5	2	0	1	0	1	5	4-5	80%	9-14	64%	3-10	30%
Jonathan Kuminga #00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 21	31.1	23	64%	2	4	0	0	1	5	0	2	3-5	60%	7-13	54%	2-3	67%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 29	29.7	16	47%	6	1	0	1	0	3	3	3	0-0	-	5-11	45%	2-6	33%

Klay Thompson #11 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 34	29.6	26	81%	4	3	0	0	0	1	1	3	3-3	100%	4-5	80%	5-10	50%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 24	21.4	10	83%	3	4	0	2	1	2	2	1	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 39	18.9	8	57%	6	4	0	0	1	2	1	5	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Gary Payton II #0 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 31	6.5	3	50%	1	1	0	1	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevon Looney #5 · PF · 6'9" 222 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Lester Quinones #25 · SG · 6'5" 208 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #20 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jerome Robinson #18 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 22	INACTIVE
Usman Garuba #12 · PF · 6'8" 229 · 22	INACTIVE
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 28	INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	62%	45	38	3	4	7	19	14	31	12-15	80%	37-63	59%	14-34	41%

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10 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
D'Angelo Russell #1 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 28	40.1	23	52%	3	13	1	0	0	2	1	2	2-2	100%	6-11	55%	3-10	30%
LeBron James #23 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 39	37.7	40	80%	8	9	1	1	4	1	3	5	7-8	88%	12-18	67%	3-5	60%
Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 26	34.4	11	42%	3	3	0	0	3	0	0	3	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	2-9	22%
Rui Hachimura #28 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 26	29.5	14	70%	4	2	0	1	0	3	0	4	0-0	-	7-8	88%	0-2	0%
Anthony Davis #3 · C · 6'10" 253 · 31	11.9	8	57%	4	2	1	1	0	0	1	3	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-0	-

Taurean Prince #12 · PF · 6'6" 218 · 30	29.7	8	50%	2	3	0	1	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 24	28.0	7	58%	12	0	0	0	2	3	2	10	1-3	33%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Spencer Dinwiddie #26 · PG · 6'5" 215 · 31	19.1	7	117%	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Max Christie #10 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 21	9.5	3	38%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Harry Giles III #20 · C · 6'10" 240 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Skylar Mays #4 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Maxwell Lewis #21 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Hood-Schifino #0 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Cam Reddish #5 · SF · 6'8" 208 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Gabe Vincent #7 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Midfoot Sprain
Colin Castleton #14 · C · 6'10" 250 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Fracture
Christian Wood #35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Effusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	59%	39	32	3	4	9	13	8	31	15-18	83%	35-58	60%	12-34	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	LAL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.23 61.5%

LAL

1.19 59.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

69%

LAL

81%

Midrange

GSW

48%

LAL

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

21.0

41%

62%

LAL

18.0

35%

53%

Free Throws

GSW

80%

LAL

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Curry	31	60%	15.5 / 26
K. Thompson	26	81%	13.0 / 16
J. Kuminga	23	64%	11.5 / 18
A. Wiggins	16	47%	8.0 / 17
T. Jackson-Davis	10	83%	5.0 / 6
C. Paul	8	57%	4.0 / 7
D. Green	6	50%	3.0 / 6
B. Podziemski	5	63%	2.5 / 4
G. Payton	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. James	40	80%	20.0 / 25
D. Russell	23	52%	11.5 / 22
R. Hachimura	14	70%	7.0 / 10
A. Reaves	11	42%	5.5 / 13
A. Davis	8	57%	4.0 / 7
T. Prince	8	50%	4.0 / 8
J. Hayes	7	58%	3.5 / 6
S. Dinwiddie	7	117%	3.5 / 3
M. Christie	3	38%	1.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 116.9 15 115.4	GSW 134.7 +8.7 LAL 126.0
Pace	11 100.0 4 101.4	GSW 94.4 LAL 96.6 +2.2
Avg. Poss. Time	17 14.4 23 14.2	GSW 15.3 LAL 14.9 −0.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	12 55.7% 5 56.6%	GSW 59.8% +2.2% LAL 57.6%
TO %	23 13.6% 18 13.1%	GSW 6.3% −2.8% LAL 9.1%
ORB %	4 27.5% 30 19.9%	GSW 31.1% +10.6% LAL 20.5%
FTrt	29 21.9 2 27.6	GSW 15.5 LAL 19.6 +4.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 67.1% 8 65.4%	GSW 74.5% +6.4% LAL 68.1%
STL %	24 6.9% 21 7.2%	GSW 3.2% +0.1% LAL 3.1%
BLK %	23 8.8% 19 9.1%	GSW 6.9% +0.6% LAL 6.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	12 57.2% 5 58.8%	GSW 61.5% +2.2% LAL 59.3%
Rim FG%	5 66.3% 1 68.9%	GSW 68.8% LAL 81.5% +12.7%
Mid FG%	19 41.4% 25 40.4%	GSW 48.4% +6.5% LAL 41.9%
3P %	7 38.0% 8 37.7%	GSW 41.2% +5.9% LAL 35.3%
FT %	17 78.0% 15 78.2%	GSW 80.0% LAL 83.3% +3.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	25 31.0% 2 36.6%	GSW 33.0% +3.6% LAL 29.3%
Mid Att. %	12 26.5% 18 27.5%	GSW 32.0% −1.7% LAL 33.7%
3P Att. %	6 42.5% 28 35.8%	GSW 35.1% LAL 37.0% +1.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	GSW	LAL
Possessions	95	96
Possession Minutes	24.2	23.8
Points	128	121
Rebounds	45	39
Assists	38	32
Steals	3	3
Blocks	4	4
Turnovers (Team)	7 (0)	9 (1)
Fouls	19	13
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (2)	8 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (0)	31 (0)
Field Goals	51-97	47-92
At-the-Rim FG	22-32	22-27
Midrange FG	15-31	13-31
2-Point FG	37-63	35-58
3-Point FG	14-34	12-34
Free Throws	12-15	15-18
Fast Break Pts	9	8
2nd Chance Pts	10	14
Points in Paint	62	54
Pts off Turnovers	14	7
Bench Points	47	25
Biggest Lead	12	7

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg