Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, March 16, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	12	Timberwolves	76%	115	119	119.0	100	99.4
	25	Jazz	24%	104	100	99.0	101	101.6

Scoring Opportunities

MIN

-8

UTA

+10

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.20 60.1%

UTA

1.03 51.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

12 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 23	35.2	31	78%	10	5	3	3	4	1	1	9	2-3	67%	7-13	54%	5-7	71%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 25	34.9	22	55%	12	5	2	2	0	1	0	12	4-5	80%	3-7	43%	4-11	36%
Kyle Anderson #1 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 30	31.2	4	29%	5	9	2	1	0	3	1	4	2-2	100%	1-6	17%	0-0	-
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 36	30.2	25	89%	2	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	4-5	80%	3-4	75%	5-8	63%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 23	21.7	8	44%	1	0	0	0	1	5	0	1	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-2	0%

Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	26.6	8	57%	5	2	0	0	2	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
T.J. Warren #24 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 31	16.0	2	14%	4	2	1	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-1	0%
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	16.0	3	75%	2	4	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	13.1	9	50%	3	0	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Monté Morris #23 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 29	10.3	2	100%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	1.6	0	0%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 22	1.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	1.6	5	125%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Daishen Nix #12 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaylen Clark #0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Rupture Rehab
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Rib; Sprain
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Meniscus; Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	60%	44	31	8	6	8	16	7	37	12-15	80%	25-52	48%	19-41	46%

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12 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 23	35.2	31	78%	10	5	3	3	4	1	1	9	2-3	67%	7-13	54%	5-7	71%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 25	34.9	22	55%	12	5	2	2	0	1	0	12	4-5	80%	3-7	43%	4-11	36%
Kyle Anderson #1 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 30	31.2	4	29%	5	9	2	1	0	3	1	4	2-2	100%	1-6	17%	0-0	-
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 36	30.2	25	89%	2	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	4-5	80%	3-4	75%	5-8	63%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 23	21.7	8	44%	1	0	0	0	1	5	0	1	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-2	0%

Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	26.6	8	57%	5	2	0	0	2	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
T.J. Warren #24 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 31	16.0	2	14%	4	2	1	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-1	0%
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	16.0	3	75%	2	4	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	13.1	9	50%	3	0	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Monté Morris #23 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 29	10.3	2	100%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	1.6	0	0%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 22	1.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	1.6	5	125%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Daishen Nix #12 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaylen Clark #0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Rupture Rehab
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Rib; Sprain
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Meniscus; Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	60%	44	31	8	6	8	16	7	37	12-15	80%	25-52	48%	19-41	46%

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25 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 20	33.2	15	54%	10	1	1	1	1	1	1	9	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	2-7	29%
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 23	30.3	7	70%	10	0	0	1	0	2	2	8	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 20	29.8	18	47%	3	2	0	0	4	2	0	3	7-8	88%	4-9	44%	1-7	14%
Brice Sensabaugh #8 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 20	26.8	8	33%	7	2	0	0	3	1	2	5	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-5	0%
Kris Dunn #11 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 30	24.3	4	29%	3	3	2	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-1	0%

Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 25	30.6	22	65%	2	10	1	0	5	2	1	1	3-3	100%	8-13	62%	1-3	33%
Johnny Juzang #33 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 23	21.6	8	80%	4	0	0	0	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 26	17.7	14	88%	5	0	0	3	1	3	1	4	2-2	100%	6-7	86%	0-0	-
Micah Potter #25 · C · 6'9" 248 · 26	12.9	2	50%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jason Preston #10 · PG · 6'3" 181 · 25	12.8	2	33%	4	5	0	0	0	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Talen Horton-Tucker #5 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Luka Samanic #19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kira Lewis Jr. #13 · PG · 6'3" 170 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kenneth Lofton Jr. #35 · PF · 6'7" 275 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Darius Bazley #26 · PF · 6'9" 208 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Lauri Markkanen #23 · PF · 7'1" 240 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quadriceps; Contusion
Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Strain
John Collins #20 · PF · 6'9" 226 · 26	Inactive – Rest
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	52%	51	23	4	5	15	14	10	41	18-21	86%	32-57	56%	6-26	23%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	UTA
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	UTA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.20 60.1%

UTA

1.03 51.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

59%

UTA

65%

Midrange

MIN

43%

UTA

51%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

28.5

46%

70%

UTA

9.0

23%

35%

Free Throws

MIN

80%

UTA

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	31	78%	15.5 / 20
M. Conley	25	89%	12.5 / 14
N. Reid	22	55%	11.0 / 20
L. Garza	9	50%	4.5 / 9
J. McDaniels	8	44%	4.0 / 9
N. Alexander-Walker	8	57%	4.0 / 7
J. Minott	5	125%	2.5 / 2
K. Anderson	4	29%	2.0 / 7
J. McLaughlin	3	75%	1.5 / 2
T. Warren	2	14%	1.0 / 7
M. Morris	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Sexton	22	65%	11.0 / 17
K. George	18	47%	9.0 / 19
T. Hendricks	15	54%	7.5 / 14
Ö. Yurtseven	14	88%	7.0 / 8
B. Sensabaugh	8	33%	4.0 / 12
J. Juzang	8	80%	4.0 / 5
W. Kessler	7	70%	3.5 / 5
K. Dunn	4	29%	2.0 / 7
M. Potter	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Preston	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 114.7 18 114.6	MIN 119.0 +20.0 UTA 99.0
Pace	22 97.9 9 100.5	MIN 99.4 UTA 101.6 +2.2
Avg. Poss. Time	3 15.0 16 14.6	MIN 14.5 UTA 14.2 −0.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 55.9% 18 53.9%	MIN 57.5% +8.1% UTA 49.4%
TO %	22 13.6% 30 14.8%	MIN 8.3% −6.5% UTA 14.8%
ORB %	22 23.1% 2 28.1%	MIN 14.6% UTA 21.3% +6.7%
FTrt	5 27.0 11 25.1	MIN 16.1 UTA 25.3 +9.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 64.6% 10 64.8%	MIN 70.5% +10.0% UTA 60.5%
STL %	6 8.0% 29 6.5%	MIN 8.0% +4.0% UTA 4.0%
BLK %	4 11.0% 3 11.1%	MIN 10.5% +0.9% UTA 9.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 57.7% 15 56.5%	MIN 60.1% +8.6% UTA 51.5%
Rim FG%	15 64.3% 11 65.2%	MIN 58.8% UTA 65.0% +6.2%
Mid FG%	16 42.6% 20 41.3%	MIN 42.9% UTA 51.4% +8.5%
3P %	3 38.7% 22 35.4%	MIN 46.3% +23.2% UTA 23.1%
FT %	18 77.7% 1 83.0%	MIN 80.0% UTA 85.7% +5.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 34.1% 20 32.6%	MIN 18.3% UTA 24.1% +5.8%
Mid Att. %	16 27.5% 15 26.8%	MIN 37.6% −6.9% UTA 44.6%
3P Att. %	17 38.4% 10 40.6%	MIN 44.1% +12.8% UTA 31.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIN	UTA
Possessions	100	101
Possession Minutes	24.1	23.9
Points	119	100
Rebounds	44	51
Assists	31	23
Steals	8	4
Blocks	6	5
Turnovers (Team)	8 (1)	15 (1)
Fouls	16	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (0)	10 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (0)	41 (3)
Field Goals	44-93	38-83
At-the-Rim FG	10-17	13-20
Midrange FG	15-35	19-37
2-Point FG	25-52	32-57
3-Point FG	19-41	6-26
Free Throws	12-15	18-21
Fast Break Pts	19	13
2nd Chance Pts	2	17
Points in Paint	46	56
Pts off Turnovers	17	8
Bench Points	29	48
Biggest Lead	21	5

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg