Final Win Prob. pScore
1467%114
104
2833%107
101
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
109.59594.4
DET logo Pistons
107.49494.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.104
101
Q4 - 0:00.0Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)104
101
Q4 - 0:00.0HeatBam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)104
101
Q4 - 0:05.0HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound101
101
Q4 - 0:09.0PistonsCade Cunningham misses three point jump shot101
101
Q4 - 0:23.7HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Evan Fournier steals)101
101
Q4 - 0:42.5PistonsCade Cunningham makes two point driving layup101
101
Q4 - 0:49.6Pistons 60 second timeout101
99
Q4 - 0:49.6HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)101
99
Q4 - 0:49.6Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)101
99
Q4 - 0:51.3HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound101
99
Q4 - 0:52.6HeatSimone Fontecchio blocks Terry Rozier's two point driving layup101
99
Q4 - 1:15PistonsIsaiah Stewart makes three point jump shot (Cade Cunningham assists)101
99
Q4 - 1:23PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound101
96
Q4 - 1:26HeatTerry Rozier misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot101
96
Q4 - 1:39HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound101
96
Q4 - 1:42PistonsEvan Fournier misses two point stepback jump shot101
96
Q4 - 2:00HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 1101
96
Q4 - 2:00Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)100
96
Q4 - 2:00PistonsSimone Fontecchio shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)100
96
Q4 - 2:00HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)100
96
Q4 - 2:13PistonsCade Cunningham makes three point stepback jump shot97
96
Q4 - 2:26PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound97
93
Q4 - 2:29HeatTerry Rozier misses three point pullup jump shot97
93
Q4 - 2:46PistonsJalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 297
93
Q4 - 2:46PistonsJalen Duren misses regular free throw 1 of 297
92
Q4 - 2:46HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Jalen Duren draws the foul)97
92
Q4 - 2:52PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound97
92
Q4 - 2:55HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point fadeaway jump shot97
92
Q4 - 3:16HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound97
92
Q4 - 3:21PistonsCade Cunningham misses two point driving floating jump shot97
92
Q4 - 3:40Pistons 60 second timeout97
92
Q4 - 3:40HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point cutting layup (Duncan Robinson assists)97
92
Q4 - 4:04PistonsCade Cunningham makes two point stepback jump shot95
92
Q4 - 4:21HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)95
90
Q4 - 4:43HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound92
90
Q4 - 4:46PistonsSimone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot92
90
Q4 - 4:48Stoppage (Out of bounds)92
90
Q4 - 5:08HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)92
90
Q4 - 5:21PistonsJalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 290
90
Q4 - 5:21PistonsJalen Duren makes regular free throw 1 of 290
89
Q4 - 5:21HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Jalen Duren draws the foul)90
88
Q4 - 5:28PistonsSimone Fontecchio defensive rebound90
88
Q4 - 5:30HeatCade Cunningham blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point driving reverse layup90
88
Q4 - 5:43Pistons lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Isaiah Stewart, Evan Fournier)90
88
Q4 - 5:43Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)90
88
Q4 - 5:43Heat 60 second timeout90
88
Q4 - 5:46HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound90
88
Q4 - 5:49PistonsStanley Umude misses three point jump shot90
88
Q4 - 5:56PistonsCade Cunningham defensive rebound90
88
Q4 - 6:01HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot90
88
Q4 - 6:01HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound90
88
Q4 - 6:09HeatPatty Mills misses three point jump shot90
88
Q4 - 6:26PistonsEvan Fournier makes three point jump shot (Cade Cunningham assists)90
88
Q4 - 6:43HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip layup90
85
Q4 - 6:44HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound88
85
Q4 - 6:45HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup88
85
Q4 - 6:47HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound88
85
Q4 - 6:48HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot88
85
Q4 - 6:58PistonsEvan Fournier personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)88
85
Q4 - 6:58HeatHeat offensive rebound88
85
Q4 - 6:59HeatPatty Mills misses three point jump shot88
85
Q4 - 7:18HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound88
85
Q4 - 7:21PistonsEvan Fournier misses three point jump shot88
85
Q4 - 7:27PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound88
85
Q4 - 7:30HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot88
85
Q4 - 7:38HeatPatty Mills makes regular free throw 1 of 188
85
Q4 - 7:38PistonsSimone Fontecchio personal foul (Away from play) (Patty Mills draws the foul)87
85
Q4 - 7:38Stoppage (Out of bounds)87
85
Q4 - 7:50Heat 60 second timeout87
85
Q4 - 7:50PistonsEvan Fournier makes two point driving floating jump shot (Isaiah Stewart assists)87
85
Q4 - 7:56PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound87
83
Q4 - 7:59HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot87
83
Q4 - 8:07Pistons lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Cade Cunningham, Isaiah Stewart, Stanley Umude, Evan Fournier)87
83
Q4 - 8:07PistonsEvan Fournier personal foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)87
83
Q4 - 8:15Pistons lineup change (James Wiseman, Cade Cunningham, Isaiah Stewart, Stanley Umude, Evan Fournier)87
83
Q4 - 8:15PistonsJames Wiseman makes regular free throw 2 of 287
83
Q4 - 8:15PistonsJames Wiseman makes regular free throw 1 of 287
82
Q4 - 8:15HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (James Wiseman draws the foul)87
81
Q4 - 8:19PistonsMarcus Sasser defensive rebound87
81
Q4 - 8:22HeatTerry Rozier misses two point fadeaway jump shot87
81
Q4 - 8:48PistonsEvan Fournier makes three point stepback jump shot (Marcus Sasser assists)87
81
Q4 - 9:09HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)87
78
Q4 - 9:21PistonsMarcus Sasser turnover (palming)85
78
Q4 - 9:41HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 285
78
Q4 - 9:41Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier, Patty Mills, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)84
78
Q4 - 9:41HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 284
78
Q4 - 9:41PistonsEvan Fournier shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)84
78
Q4 - 9:57PistonsIsaiah Stewart makes two point floating jump shot84
78
Q4 - 10:15HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)84
76
Q4 - 10:24HeatDelon Wright defensive rebound81
76
Q4 - 10:27PistonsJames Wiseman misses two point floating jump shot81
76
Q4 - 10:31PistonsJames Wiseman defensive rebound81
76
Q4 - 10:35HeatDelon Wright misses two point driving layup81
76
Q4 - 10:45HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound81
76
Q4 - 10:48PistonsMarcus Sasser misses three point jump shot81
76
Q4 - 11:05HeatTerry Rozier makes two point pullup jump shot81
76
Q4 - 11:24PistonsJames Wiseman turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)79
76
Q4 - 11:24James Wiseman jump ball violation79
76
Q4 - 11:24Jump ball. Bam Adebayo vs. James Wiseman (Heat gains possession)79
76
Q4 - 11:39PistonsJames Wiseman defensive rebound79
76
Q4 - 11:42HeatDelon Wright misses two point driving floating jump shot79
76
Q4 - 12:00Pistons lineup change (James Wiseman, Marcus Sasser, Isaiah Stewart, Stanley Umude, Evan Fournier)79
76
Q4 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier, Delon Wright, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)79
76
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.79
76
Q3 - 0:01.1HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound79
76
Q3 - 0:03.4PistonsSimone Fontecchio misses three point stepback jump shot79
76
Q3 - 0:20.1PistonsJames Wiseman defensive rebound79
76
Q3 - 0:23.3HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point turnaround jump shot79
76
Q3 - 0:42.3PistonsJames Wiseman makes regular free throw 2 of 279
76
Q3 - 0:42.3Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Terry Rozier, Thomas Bryant, Delon Wright, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)79
75
Q3 - 0:42.3PistonsJames Wiseman makes regular free throw 1 of 279
75
Q3 - 0:42.3HeatThomas Bryant shooting foul (James Wiseman draws the foul)79
74
Q3 - 0:56.4PistonsEvan Fournier defensive rebound79
74
Q3 - 0:58.3HeatSimone Fontecchio blocks Haywood Highsmith's two point driving layup79
74
Q3 - 1:09PistonsMarcus Sasser makes two point driving floating jump shot79
74
Q3 - 1:19PistonsJames Wiseman defensive rebound79
72
Q3 - 1:22HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving layup79
72
Q3 - 1:41PistonsStanley Umude makes three point jump shot (Marcus Sasser assists)79
72
Q3 - 1:53PistonsMarcus Sasser defensive rebound79
69
Q3 - 1:55HeatDelon Wright misses two point tip layup79
69
Q3 - 1:56HeatDelon Wright offensive rebound79
69
Q3 - 1:58HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot79
69
Q3 - 2:06HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound79
69
Q3 - 2:10PistonsEvan Fournier misses two point jump shot79
69
Q3 - 2:27PistonsJames Wiseman defensive rebound79
69
Q3 - 2:30HeatDelon Wright misses two point driving finger roll layup79
69
Q3 - 2:44PistonsSimone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 1 of 179
69
Q3 - 2:44HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Simone Fontecchio draws the foul)79
68
Q3 - 2:44PistonsSimone Fontecchio makes two point driving layup79
68
Q3 - 2:59Pistons lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, James Wiseman, Marcus Sasser, Stanley Umude, Evan Fournier)79
66
Q3 - 2:59Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Thomas Bryant, Delon Wright)79
66
Q3 - 2:59Heat 60 second timeout79
66
Q3 - 2:59Stoppage (Out of bounds)79
66
Q3 - 3:05HeatCaleb Martin turnover (lost ball) (Evan Fournier steals)79
66
Q3 - 3:19HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound79
66
Q3 - 3:20PistonsCaleb Martin blocks Evan Fournier's two point running layup79
66
Q3 - 3:22HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Evan Fournier steals)79
66
Q3 - 3:31HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound79
66
Q3 - 3:35PistonsEvan Fournier misses three point jump shot79
66
Q3 - 3:46PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound79
66
Q3 - 3:48HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot79
66
Q3 - 4:10PistonsEvan Fournier makes three point jump shot (Cade Cunningham assists)79
66
Q3 - 4:27PistonsEvan Fournier defensive rebound79
63
Q3 - 4:30HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot79
63
Q3 - 4:35PistonsCade Cunningham turnover (bad pass) (Delon Wright steals)79
63
Q3 - 4:40HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 279
63
Q3 - 4:40HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 278
63
Q3 - 4:40Pistons delay of game violation77
63
Q3 - 4:40PistonsCade Cunningham personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)77
63
Q3 - 4:58PistonsStanley Umude makes three point jump shot (Simone Fontecchio assists)77
63
Q3 - 5:08PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound77
60
Q3 - 5:11HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 277
60
Q3 - 5:11Pistons lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Stanley Umude, Evan Fournier)77
60
Q3 - 5:11Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Delon Wright)77
60
Q3 - 5:11HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 277
60
Q3 - 5:11PistonsEvan Fournier shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)76
60
Q3 - 5:15HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound76
60
Q3 - 5:16PistonsIsaiah Stewart misses two point tip layup76
60
Q3 - 5:17PistonsIsaiah Stewart offensive rebound76
60
Q3 - 5:18PistonsJalen Duren misses two point driving layup76
60
Q3 - 5:29HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving dunk (Haywood Highsmith assists)76
60
Q3 - 5:32HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound74
60
Q3 - 5:35HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot74
60
Q3 - 5:51PistonsSimone Fontecchio makes two point jump shot (Cade Cunningham assists)74
60
Q3 - 5:56Stoppage (Out of bounds)74
58
Q3 - 6:08HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 274
58
Q3 - 6:08Pistons lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Isaiah Stewart, Evan Fournier)73
58
Q3 - 6:08Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)73
58
Q3 - 6:08HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 273
58
Q3 - 6:08PistonsJaden Ivey shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)73
58
Q3 - 6:21PistonsJalen Duren makes two point dunk73
58
Q3 - 6:40HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point turnaround hook shot (Bam Adebayo assists)73
56
Q3 - 6:55Pistons 60 second timeout71
56
Q3 - 6:55PistonsCade Cunningham turnover (out of bounds step)71
56
Q3 - 6:59PistonsSimone Fontecchio defensive rebound71
56
Q3 - 7:01HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot71
56
Q3 - 7:07HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound71
56
Q3 - 7:09PistonsCade Cunningham misses two point pullup jump shot71
56
Q3 - 7:24PistonsSimone Fontecchio defensive rebound71
56
Q3 - 7:29HeatHaywood Highsmith misses regular free throw 2 of 271
56
Q3 - 7:29HeatHaywood Highsmith makes regular free throw 1 of 271
56
Q3 - 7:29PistonsCade Cunningham shooting foul (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)70
56
Q3 - 7:35HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound70
56
Q3 - 7:39PistonsCade Cunningham misses two point running jump shot70
56
Q3 - 7:44PistonsCade Cunningham defensive rebound70
56
Q3 - 7:47HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot70
56
Q3 - 8:10PistonsJalen Duren personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)70
56
Q3 - 8:10HeatHeat defensive rebound70
56
Q3 - 8:10PistonsCade Cunningham misses three point jump shot70
56
Q3 - 8:26HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)70
56
Q3 - 8:47PistonsJalen Duren turnover (offensive foul)68
56
Q3 - 8:47PistonsJalen Duren offensive foul (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)68
56
Q3 - 8:52HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)68
56
Q3 - 8:52HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Simone Fontecchio draws the foul)68
56
Q3 - 9:01PistonsCade Cunningham makes two point pullup jump shot68
56
Q3 - 9:15HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot68
54
Q3 - 9:27HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound66
54
Q3 - 9:30PistonsJaden Ivey misses three point jump shot66
54
Q3 - 9:46HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)66
54
Q3 - 9:55HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound66
54
Q3 - 9:59PistonsIsaiah Stewart misses three point jump shot66
54
Q3 - 10:18HeatTerry Rozier makes two point pullup jump shot66
54
Q3 - 10:41PistonsJalen Duren makes two point dunk64
54
Q3 - 10:42PistonsJalen Duren offensive rebound64
52
Q3 - 10:44PistonsCade Cunningham misses three point jump shot64
52
Q3 - 11:01HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving layup64
52
Q3 - 11:08PistonsJalen Duren turnover (bad pass) (Terry Rozier steals)62
52
Q3 - 11:21HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)62
52
Q3 - 11:46PistonsJalen Duren makes two point dunk (Cade Cunningham assists)60
52
Q3 - 12:00Pistons lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Isaiah Stewart, Jaden Ivey)60
50
Q3 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)60
50
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.60
50
Q2 - 0:01.5HeatDelon Wright makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)60
50
Q2 - 0:20.8HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound58
50
Q2 - 0:24.1PistonsJalen Duren misses two point layup58
50
Q2 - 0:36.6HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)58
50
Q2 - 0:46.4PistonsCade Cunningham makes two point driving layup (Evan Fournier assists)56
50
Q2 - 1:00HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 256
48
Q2 - 1:00Pistons lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Isaiah Stewart, Evan Fournier)55
48
Q2 - 1:00Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier, Delon Wright)55
48
Q2 - 1:00HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 255
48
Q2 - 1:00PistonsJaden Ivey shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)54
48
Q2 - 1:15PistonsCade Cunningham makes two point pullup jump shot54
48
Q2 - 1:20PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound54
46
Q2 - 1:23HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point floating jump shot54
46
Q2 - 1:24HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound54
46
Q2 - 1:27HeatTerry Rozier misses three point stepback jump shot54
46
Q2 - 1:39PistonsJaden Ivey turnover (lost ball) (Delon Wright steals)54
46
Q2 - 1:45HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)54
46
Q2 - 2:05PistonsIsaiah Stewart makes three point jump shot (Jaden Ivey assists)52
46
Q2 - 2:13Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier, Delon Wright)52
43
Q2 - 2:13Heat 60 second timeout52
43
Q2 - 2:13Stoppage (Out of bounds)52
43
Q2 - 2:26HeatTerry Rozier makes three point stepback jump shot52
43
Q2 - 2:33HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound49
43
Q2 - 2:37PistonsCade Cunningham misses three point jump shot49
43
Q2 - 2:43PistonsSimone Fontecchio offensive rebound49
43
Q2 - 2:43PistonsJaden Ivey misses three point jump shot49
43
Q2 - 3:02HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving layup49
43
Q2 - 3:09PistonsCade Cunningham makes two point driving layup47
43
Q2 - 3:27HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Thomas Bryant assists)47
41
Q2 - 3:32PistonsSimone Fontecchio personal foul (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)44
41
Q2 - 3:42PistonsSimone Fontecchio makes three point jump shot (Cade Cunningham assists)44
41
Q2 - 3:58HeatTerry Rozier makes two point running pullup jump shot44
38
Q2 - 4:03HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound42
38
Q2 - 4:06PistonsSimone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot42
38
Q2 - 4:14HeatThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 2 of 242
38
Q2 - 4:14Pistons lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Isaiah Stewart, Jaden Ivey)41
38
Q2 - 4:14HeatThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 1 of 241
38
Q2 - 4:14PistonsJalen Duren shooting foul (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)40
38
Q2 - 4:25PistonsCade Cunningham makes two point driving layup (Simone Fontecchio assists)40
38
Q2 - 4:44HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)40
36
Q2 - 4:52HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound37
36
Q2 - 4:55PistonsJalen Duren misses two point driving layup37
36
Q2 - 5:02Pistons lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Marcus Sasser, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Isaiah Stewart)37
36
Q2 - 5:02HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Jalen Duren draws the foul)37
36
Q2 - 5:22HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)37
36
Q2 - 5:32HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound34
36
Q2 - 5:35PistonsCade Cunningham misses two point fadeaway jump shot34
36
Q2 - 5:44PistonsCade Cunningham defensive rebound34
36
Q2 - 5:46HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot34
36
Q2 - 5:56HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound34
36
Q2 - 6:01PistonsCade Cunningham misses two point driving layup34
36
Q2 - 6:13Pistons lineup change (Marcus Sasser, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Isaiah Stewart, Evan Fournier)34
36
Q2 - 6:13Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Duncan Robinson, Terry Rozier, Thomas Bryant, Delon Wright)34
36
Q2 - 6:13Pistons 60 second timeout34
36
Q2 - 6:22HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running layup34
36
Q2 - 6:30HeatDelon Wright defensive rebound32
36
Q2 - 6:32PistonsJaden Ivey misses two point driving layup32
36
Q2 - 6:47HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)32
36
Q2 - 7:03PistonsEvan Fournier makes two point pullup jump shot (Marcus Sasser assists)30
36
Q2 - 7:20HeatDelon Wright makes two point driving reverse layup30
34
Q2 - 7:35Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Delon Wright, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)28
34
Q2 - 7:35PistonsJames Wiseman turnover (offensive foul)28
34
Q2 - 7:35PistonsJames Wiseman offensive foul (Patty Mills draws the foul)28
34
Q2 - 7:40PistonsJames Wiseman defensive rebound28
34
Q2 - 7:44HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot28
34
Q2 - 8:09PistonsJames Wiseman personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)28
34
Q2 - 8:09HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound28
34
Q2 - 8:10PistonsMarcus Sasser misses two point pullup jump shot28
34
Q2 - 8:23Pistons lineup change (James Wiseman, Marcus Sasser, Isaiah Stewart, Jaden Ivey, Evan Fournier)28
34
Q2 - 8:23Stoppage (Out of bounds)28
34
Q2 - 8:23PistonsPistons defensive rebound28
34
Q2 - 8:24HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot28
34
Q2 - 8:39PistonsJaden Ivey makes two point driving finger roll layup (Stanley Umude assists)28
34
Q2 - 8:43PistonsStanley Umude offensive rebound28
32
Q2 - 8:46PistonsEvan Fournier misses two point driving layup28
32
Q2 - 9:02HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)28
32
Q2 - 9:19PistonsMarcus Sasser makes three point pullup jump shot25
32
Q2 - 9:32HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)25
29
Q2 - 9:36PistonsJaden Ivey personal foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)25
29
Q2 - 9:53PistonsJaden Ivey makes three point jump shot (Marcus Sasser assists)25
29
Q2 - 9:57PistonsJaden Ivey defensive rebound25
26
Q2 - 10:00HeatPatty Mills misses three point jump shot25
26
Q2 - 10:23PistonsJaden Ivey makes two point pullup jump shot (Marcus Sasser assists)25
26
Q2 - 10:33HeatDelon Wright makes two point running layup (Patty Mills assists)25
24
Q2 - 10:39PistonsJaden Ivey turnover (lost ball) (Patty Mills steals)23
24
Q2 - 10:49PistonsEvan Fournier makes technical free throw 1 of 123
24
Q2 - 10:49Bam Adebayo technical foul (Defensive three second)23
23
Q2 - 10:55HeatPatty Mills personal foul (Loose ball) (Jaden Ivey draws the foul)23
23
Q2 - 10:55PistonsPistons offensive rebound23
23
Q2 - 10:56PistonsEvan Fournier misses three point stepback jump shot23
23
Q2 - 11:24HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point tip layup23
23
Q2 - 11:25HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound21
23
Q2 - 11:26HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot21
23
Q2 - 11:31HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound21
23
Q2 - 11:33HeatStanley Umude blocks Bam Adebayo's two point jump shot21
23
Q2 - 11:45HeatPatty Mills defensive rebound21
23
Q2 - 11:47PistonsJames Wiseman misses two point layup21
23
Q2 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo, Patty Mills, Delon Wright, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)21
23
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.21
23
Q1 - 0:04.0PistonsStanley Umude makes three point jump shot (Marcus Sasser assists)21
23
Q1 - 0:19.2PistonsEvan Fournier defensive rebound21
20
Q1 - 0:20.9HeatPatty Mills misses three point jump shot21
20
Q1 - 0:31.3HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound21
20
Q1 - 0:33.7PistonsEvan Fournier misses regular free throw 2 of 221
20
Q1 - 0:33.7PistonsEvan Fournier makes regular free throw 1 of 221
20
Q1 - 0:33.7HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Evan Fournier draws the foul)21
19
Q1 - 0:40.0PistonsStanley Umude defensive rebound21
19
Q1 - 0:42.6HeatCaleb Martin misses two point pullup jump shot21
19
Q1 - 0:54.2PistonsJaden Ivey personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)21
19
Q1 - 0:59.5HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound21
19
Q1 - 1:03PistonsStanley Umude misses three point jump shot21
19
Q1 - 1:11Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Thomas Bryant, Patty Mills, Delon Wright, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)21
19
Q1 - 1:11Stoppage (Out of bounds)21
19
Q1 - 1:28HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)21
19
Q1 - 1:52PistonsMarcus Sasser makes two point running jump shot18
19
Q1 - 1:57PistonsMarcus Sasser defensive rebound18
17
Q1 - 2:00HeatTerry Rozier misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot18
17
Q1 - 2:13PistonsEvan Fournier makes three point jump shot (James Wiseman assists)18
17
Q1 - 2:26Pistons lineup change (James Wiseman, Marcus Sasser, Jaden Ivey, Stanley Umude, Evan Fournier)18
14
Q1 - 2:26HeatCaleb Martin turnover (out of bounds bad pass)18
14
Q1 - 2:33PistonsEvan Fournier turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)18
14
Q1 - 2:49HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)18
14
Q1 - 3:03Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Terry Rozier, Thomas Bryant, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)15
14
Q1 - 3:03PistonsEvan Fournier turnover (out of bounds lost ball)15
14
Q1 - 3:12PistonsSimone Fontecchio defensive rebound15
14
Q1 - 3:15HeatThomas Bryant misses two point fadeaway jump shot15
14
Q1 - 3:28Pistons lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, James Wiseman, Marcus Sasser, Stanley Umude, Evan Fournier)15
14
Q1 - 3:28Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Terry Rozier, Thomas Bryant)15
14
Q1 - 3:28PistonsEvan Fournier personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)15
14
Q1 - 3:32HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound15
14
Q1 - 3:35PistonsJalen Duren misses two point layup15
14
Q1 - 3:48HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup15
14
Q1 - 3:55HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound13
14
Q1 - 3:58PistonsCade Cunningham misses three point jump shot13
14
Q1 - 4:09PistonsEvan Fournier defensive rebound13
14
Q1 - 4:13HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point running jump shot13
14
Q1 - 4:18HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound13
14
Q1 - 4:20PistonsEvan Fournier misses three point jump shot13
14
Q1 - 4:22PistonsJalen Duren offensive rebound13
14
Q1 - 4:25PistonsCade Cunningham misses two point driving layup13
14
Q1 - 4:40PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound13
14
Q1 - 4:43HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot13
14
Q1 - 5:05PistonsSimone Fontecchio makes three point jump shot (Cade Cunningham assists)13
14
Q1 - 5:10Pistons lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Isaiah Stewart, Evan Fournier)13
11
Q1 - 5:10HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Simone Fontecchio draws the foul)13
11
Q1 - 5:10PistonsSimone Fontecchio offensive rebound13
11
Q1 - 5:12PistonsIsaiah Stewart misses three point jump shot13
11
Q1 - 5:25PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound13
11
Q1 - 5:27HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot13
11
Q1 - 5:42Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier)13
11
Q1 - 5:42Heat 60 second timeout13
11
Q1 - 5:42PistonsJaden Ivey makes two point driving layup13
11
Q1 - 5:54PistonsSimone Fontecchio defensive rebound13
9
Q1 - 5:56HeatTerry Rozier misses three point pullup jump shot13
9
Q1 - 6:14PistonsJalen Duren makes two point running layup (Cade Cunningham assists)13
9
Q1 - 6:23HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Cade Cunningham steals)13
7
Q1 - 6:26HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound13
7
Q1 - 6:29PistonsIsaiah Stewart misses three point jump shot13
7
Q1 - 6:47HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (traveling)13
7
Q1 - 7:02Stoppage (Out of bounds)13
7
Q1 - 7:02HeatHeat defensive rebound13
7
Q1 - 7:03PistonsJalen Duren misses two point putback layup13
7
Q1 - 7:04PistonsJalen Duren offensive rebound13
7
Q1 - 7:08PistonsSimone Fontecchio misses two point running layup13
7
Q1 - 7:15PistonsSimone Fontecchio defensive rebound13
7
Q1 - 7:17HeatJaden Ivey blocks Terry Rozier's two point driving layup13
7
Q1 - 7:37PistonsJaden Ivey makes regular free throw 2 of 213
7
Q1 - 7:37PistonsJaden Ivey misses regular free throw 1 of 213
6
Q1 - 7:37HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jaden Ivey draws the foul)13
6
Q1 - 7:39PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound13
6
Q1 - 7:41HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving hook shot13
6
Q1 - 8:07PistonsSimone Fontecchio makes two point driving layup (Cade Cunningham assists)13
6
Q1 - 8:27Pistons 60 second timeout13
4
Q1 - 8:27HeatTerry Rozier makes two point running layup13
4
Q1 - 8:31PistonsCade Cunningham turnover (bad pass) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)11
4
Q1 - 8:47HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup (Duncan Robinson assists)11
4
Q1 - 8:54Stoppage (Out of bounds)9
4
Q1 - 8:54HeatHeat offensive rebound9
4
Q1 - 8:54HeatIsaiah Stewart blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s three point pullup jump shot9
4
Q1 - 9:14PistonsIsaiah Stewart makes two point running layup (Jalen Duren assists)9
4
Q1 - 9:19PistonsJalen Duren defensive rebound9
2
Q1 - 9:21HeatTerry Rozier misses two point running layup9
2
Q1 - 9:28HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound9
2
Q1 - 9:31PistonsSimone Fontecchio misses two point driving floating jump shot9
2
Q1 - 9:43HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving layup9
2
Q1 - 9:54PistonsIsaiah Stewart makes two point driving dunk (Jaden Ivey assists)7
2
Q1 - 10:02HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point layup7
0
Q1 - 10:03HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound5
0
Q1 - 10:04HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot5
0
Q1 - 10:15HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound5
0
Q1 - 10:19PistonsSimone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot5
0
Q1 - 10:35HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot5
0
Q1 - 10:46HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound2
0
Q1 - 10:48HeatJalen Duren blocks Terry Rozier's two point running layup2
0
Q1 - 10:52HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound2
0
Q1 - 10:54PistonsJaime Jaquez Jr. blocks Jalen Duren's two point layup2
0
Q1 - 11:09HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot (Duncan Robinson assists)2
0
Q1 - 11:22HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:26PistonsSimone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot0
0
Q1 - 11:36PistonsCade Cunningham defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:39HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Jalen Duren (Terry Rozier gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Pistons lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Isaiah Stewart, Jaden Ivey)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)0
0
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.05 52.5%
DET
1.11 55.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
20
28
71%
DET
9
20
45%
Midrange
MIA
8
26
31%
DET
15
27
56%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
12
18.0
35
34%
51%
DET
14
21.0
36
39%
58%
Free Throws
MIA
12
16
75%
DET
11
14
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Robinson3094%15.0 / 16
B. Adebayo2071%10.0 / 14
T. Rozier1743%8.5 / 20
J. Jaquez1547%7.5 / 16
C. Martin1050%5.0 / 10
D. Wright643%3.0 / 7
H. Highsmith321%1.5 / 7
T. Bryant250%1.0 / 2
P. Mills113%0.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Fournier1860%9.0 / 15
C. Cunningham1745%8.5 / 19
S. Fontecchio1354%6.5 / 12
I. Stewart1267%6.0 / 9
J. Duren1146%5.5 / 12
J. Ivey1063%5.0 / 8
S. Umude990%4.5 / 5
M. Sasser770%3.5 / 5
J. Wiseman450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
86
+13
-9
99
DET
82
+8
-12
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.05 52.5%
DET
1.11 55.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.5
109.3
MIA 109.5 +2.0
DET 107.4
Pace
96.7
100.2
MIA 94.4
DET 94.6 +0.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
14.1
MIA 15.3
DET 15.2 −0.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.8%
52.6%
MIA 51.7%
DET 54.2% +2.5%
TO %
12.2%
14.6%
MIA 9.4% −2.5%
DET 11.9%
ORB %
21.8%
23.9%
MIA 22.9% +6.6%
DET 16.3%
FTrt
25.7
24.6
MIA 18.0 +1.1
DET 16.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.8%
62.3%
MIA 60.0%
DET 63.2% +3.2%
STL %
7.8%
6.4%
MIA 7.4% +3.1%
DET 4.3%
BLK %
6.9%
8.3%
MIA 4.3%
DET 13.0% +8.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.2%
54.9%
MIA 52.5%
DET 55.5% +3.0%
Rim FG%
61.2%
61.6%
MIA 71.4% +26.4%
DET 45.0%
Mid FG%
44.2%
41.7%
MIA 30.8%
DET 55.6% +24.8%
3P %
37.0%
34.8%
MIA 34.3%
DET 38.9% +4.6%
FT %
81.8%
78.6%
MIA 75.0%
DET 78.6% +3.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.4%
35.6%
MIA 31.5% +7.4%
DET 24.1%
Mid Att. %
30.2%
28.4%
MIA 29.2% −3.3%
DET 32.5%
3P Att. %
39.4%
36.0%
MIA 39.3%
DET 43.4% +4.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIADET
Possessions9594
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points104101
Rebounds4744
Assists2424
Steals74
Blocks27
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)12 (0)
Fouls1119
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)7 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (2)37 (1)
Field Goals40-8938-83
At-the-Rim FG20-289-20
Midrange FG8-2615-27
2-Point FG28-5424-47
3-Point FG12-3514-36
Free Throws12-1611-14
Fast Break Pts97
2nd Chance Pts137
Points in Paint5034
Pts off Turnovers1913
Bench Points1938
Biggest Lead177

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 27
37.5
20
71%
17
3
1
0
3
2
4
13
1-2
50%
8-12
67%
1-1
100%
#2 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 30
35.6
17
43%
6
9
1
0
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
7-14
50%
1-6
17%
#55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 30
35.4
30
94%
4
5
0
0
3
2
0
4
3-3
100%
3-3
100%
7-12
58%
#11 · PF · 6'6" 225 · 23
34.6
15
47%
3
4
1
1
1
1
3
0
2-4
50%
5-11
45%
1-3
33%
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 27
25.5
3
21%
2
1
0
0
0
3
2
0
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-3
0%
#16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28
30.6
10
50%
7
0
1
1
2
1
1
6
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
2-6
33%
#4 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 32
20.7
6
43%
3
0
2
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
#31 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27
10.4
2
50%
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#88 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 36
9.6
1
13%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
0-0
-
0-4
0%
#22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 35
DND - Injury/Illness | Right Foot; Contusion
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 21
DND - Injury/Illness | Right Hamstring; Strain
#8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
#25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
#42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 36
INACTIVE
#15 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25
INACTIVE
#21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 25
INACTIVE
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 24
INACTIVE
#0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 31
INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
53%
47
24
7
2
9
11
11
36
12-16
75%
28-54
52%
12-35
34%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.