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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 17, 2024
3:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Nuggets
105
13Mavericks
107
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 25.7
37
28
20
7
3
2
1
2
1
2
5
4-4
100%
2-4
4-6
50%
59%
4-9
44%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.5
34
28
11
8
4
0
1
1
0
0
8
3-4
75%
4-5
4-7
80%
62%
0-2
0%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 29.1
39
33
16
11
7
2
1
0
3
3
8
4-5
80%
6-14
9-14
43%
64%
0-2
0%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 27.1
36
33
23
4
7
1
1
1
1
0
4
7-7
100%
5-15
6-11
33%
53%
2-5
40%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.1
32
27
10
3
2
0
1
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
52%
2-5
40%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.9
19
21
10
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
55%
1-1
100%
Peyton Watson
G · 6'8" 200 · 21.5
14
21
3
2
0
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
3-5
0%
57%
1-1
100%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 33.9
13
15
8
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
49%
2-3
67%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23.2
9
12
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
59%
0-0
-
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 34.9
8
16
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.7
3
0
0-1
68%
Julian Strawther
G · 6'7" 205 · 21.9
2
0
0-0
55%
Jay Huff
F · 7'1" 240 · 26.6
2
0
0-0
57%
Hunter Tyson
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.8
Collin Gillespie
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.7
Braxton Key
F · 6'8" 225 · 27.1
Jalen Pickett
G · 6'4" 202 · 24.4
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 26.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 27.1
24
21
9
8
1
0
1
0
0
6
2
1-2
50%
4-8
2-3
50%
62%
0-3
0%
P.J. Washington
F · 6'7" 236 · 25.6
31
30
4
11
3
0
1
1
0
2
9
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
55%
0-4
0%
Daniel Gafford
F-C · 6'11" 238 · 25.5
24
23
8
6
1
0
1
1
0
3
3
0-0
-
4-7
5-6
57%
70%
0-0
-
Luka Doncic
G · 6'6" 218 · 25.0
40
32
37
9
3
2
1
0
3
3
6
8-10
80%
7-16
6-11
44%
58%
5-11
45%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 32.0
40
33
24
7
9
3
1
1
3
3
4
2-2
100%
5-12
6-11
42%
55%
4-11
36%
Dereck Lively II
C · 7'1" 230 · 20.1
23
18
14
8
0
0
0
2
3
4
4
0-3
0%
7-8
3-4
88%
70%
0-0
-
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 32.1
21
16
0
4
3
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
60%
0-3
0%
Dante Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 28.7
18
20
8
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
54%
0-1
0%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 32.0
15
21
1
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
0-2
0%
Jaden Hardy
G · 6'4" 198 · 21.7
4
9
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.7
4
0
0-1
69%
A.J. Lawson
G · 6'6" 179 · 23.7
3
0
0-1
56%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 34.5
2
0
0-0
48%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.7
2
0
0-0
54%
Greg Brown III
F · 6'8" 206 · 22.5
Brandon Williams
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.3
Alex Fudge
F · 6'9" 200 · 20.9
Josh Green
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.