Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, March 17, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	3	Nuggets	48%	115	105	109.4	96	90.3
	7	Mavericks	52%	116	107	112.6	95	101.4

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

-7

DAL

+27

-11

111

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.07 53.6%

DAL

0.96 48.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

3 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	38.5	16	44%	11	7	2	0	3	1	3	8	4-5	80%	6-14	43%	0-2	0%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	37.2	20	67%	7	3	2	2	1	2	2	5	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	4-9	44%
Jamal Murray #27 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 27	35.5	23	50%	4	7	1	1	1	2	0	4	7-7	100%	5-15	33%	2-5	40%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	33.5	11	61%	8	4	0	1	0	3	0	8	3-4	75%	4-5	80%	0-2	0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · PG · 6'5" 204 · 31	31.6	10	63%	3	2	0	2	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-5	40%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	19.2	10	83%	1	1	0	0	1	2	0	1	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	1-1	100%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	14.3	3	38%	2	0	2	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-1	100%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	12.5	8	50%	0	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-5	20%	2-3	67%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	9.5	4	100%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	8.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	INACTIVE
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	54%	37	26	7	6	7	16	6	31	19-22	86%	25-56	45%	12-28	43%

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3 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	38.5	16	44%	11	7	2	0	3	1	3	8	4-5	80%	6-14	43%	0-2	0%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	37.2	20	67%	7	3	2	2	1	2	2	5	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	4-9	44%
Jamal Murray #27 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 27	35.5	23	50%	4	7	1	1	1	2	0	4	7-7	100%	5-15	33%	2-5	40%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	33.5	11	61%	8	4	0	1	0	3	0	8	3-4	75%	4-5	80%	0-2	0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · PG · 6'5" 204 · 31	31.6	10	63%	3	2	0	2	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-5	40%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	19.2	10	83%	1	1	0	0	1	2	0	1	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	1-1	100%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	14.3	3	38%	2	0	2	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-1	100%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	12.5	8	50%	0	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-5	20%	2-3	67%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	9.5	4	100%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	8.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	INACTIVE
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	54%	37	26	7	6	7	16	6	31	19-22	86%	25-56	45%	12-28	43%

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7 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luka Dončić #77 · SG · 6'8" 230 · 25	40.1	37	58%	10	3	2	0	3	3	4	6	8-10	80%	7-16	44%	5-11	45%
Kyrie Irving #11 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 32	39.6	24	52%	7	9	3	1	3	2	3	4	2-2	100%	5-12	42%	4-11	36%
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	30.8	4	20%	11	3	0	1	0	1	2	9	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-4	0%
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 27	24.5	9	38%	8	1	0	0	0	1	6	2	1-2	50%	4-8	50%	0-3	0%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 25	24.4	8	57%	6	1	0	1	0	5	3	3	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-0	-

Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 20	23.1	14	78%	8	0	0	2	3	3	4	4	0-3	0%	7-8	88%	0-0	-
Maxi Kleber #42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 32	20.9	0	0%	4	3	0	0	0	3	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 29	17.9	8	50%	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 32	14.9	1	13%	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	3	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 22	3.8	2	100%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
A.J. Lawson #9 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Alex Fudge #3 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Greg Brown III #13 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Brandon Williams #00 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Wrist; Sprain
Josh Green #8 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	48%	60	22	5	5	11	21	22	38	14-21	67%	33-65	51%	9-35	26%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	DAL
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	DAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.07 53.6%

DAL

0.96 48.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

62%

DAL

70%

Midrange

DEN

30%

DAL

20%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

18.0

43%

64%

DAL

13.5

26%

39%

Free Throws

DEN

86%

DAL

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Murray	23	50%	11.5 / 23
M. Porter	20	67%	10.0 / 15
N. Jokić	16	44%	8.0 / 18
A. Gordon	11	61%	5.5 / 9
K. Caldwell-Pope	10	63%	5.0 / 8
C. Braun	10	83%	5.0 / 6
R. Jackson	8	50%	4.0 / 8
Z. Nnaji	4	100%	2.0 / 2
P. Watson	3	38%	1.5 / 4
J. Holiday	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Dončić	37	58%	18.5 / 32
K. Irving	24	52%	12.0 / 23
D. Lively	14	78%	7.0 / 9
D. Jones	9	38%	4.5 / 12
D. Gafford	8	57%	4.0 / 7
D. Exum	8	50%	4.0 / 8
P. Washington	4	20%	2.0 / 10
J. Hardy	2	100%	1.0 / 1
T. Hardaway	1	13%	0.5 / 4
M. Kleber	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 117.9 8 117.0	DEN 109.4 DAL 112.6 +3.3
Pace	26 97.4 7 100.6	DEN 90.3 DAL 101.4 +11.1
Avg. Poss. Time	4 15.0 20 14.3	DEN 15.9 DAL 14.2 −1.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 56.2% 7 56.2%	DEN 51.2% +4.7% DAL 46.5%
TO %	7 12.1% 5 12.0%	DEN 7.9% −2.0% DAL 9.9%
ORB %	6 25.5% 24 22.2%	DEN 13.6% DAL 41.5% +27.9%
FTrt	24 22.4 13 25.1	DEN 26.2 +5.2 DAL 21.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 66.9% 26 59.6%	DEN 70.3% +17.9% DAL 52.4%
STL %	20 7.3% 27 6.8%	DEN 7.3% +2.0% DAL 5.3%
BLK %	25 8.7% 26 8.7%	DEN 9.2% +0.3% DAL 8.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.5% 8 58.1%	DEN 53.6% +5.4% DAL 48.2%
Rim FG%	17 63.6% 3 68.0%	DEN 61.5% DAL 70.0% +8.5%
Mid FG%	3 47.0% 10 44.7%	DEN 30.0% +10.0% DAL 20.0%
3P %	10 37.4% 13 36.9%	DEN 42.9% +17.2% DAL 25.7%
FT %	25 76.2% 27 75.8%	DEN 86.4% +19.7% DAL 66.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 36.0% 30 29.3%	DEN 31.0% DAL 40.0% +9.0%
Mid Att. %	25 28.8% 13 26.6%	DEN 35.7% DAL 25.0% −10.7%
3P Att. %	30 35.2% 2 44.1%	DEN 33.3% DAL 35.0% +1.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	DAL
Possessions	96	95
Possession Minutes	25.5	22.5
Points	105	107
Rebounds	37	60
Assists	26	22
Steals	7	5
Blocks	6	5
Turnovers (Team)	7 (1)	11 (1)
Fouls	16	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (3)	22 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (5)	38 (0)
Field Goals	37-84	42-100
At-the-Rim FG	16-26	28-40
Midrange FG	9-30	5-25
2-Point FG	25-56	33-65
3-Point FG	12-28	9-35
Free Throws	19-22	14-21
Fast Break Pts	11	19
2nd Chance Pts	6	23
Points in Paint	38	62
Pts off Turnovers	10	4
Bench Points	25	25
Biggest Lead	8	13

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg