Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, March 17, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	Raptors	32%	106	96	98.0	98	110.8
	16	Magic	68%	113	111	114.4	97	87.0

Scoring Opportunities

TOR

+13

-18

ORL

+12

-13

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.02 51.1%

ORL

1.16 57.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

27 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 25	31.4	12	35%	7	5	0	0	4	1	1	6	4-5	80%	4-9	44%	0-6	0%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 24	31.2	9	45%	7	1	0	0	2	2	4	3	0-0	-	3-7	43%	1-3	33%
Gary Trent Jr. #33 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 25	30.8	15	63%	4	3	3	1	0	2	0	4	1-1	100%	4-6	67%	2-6	33%
Gradey Dick #1 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 20	26.7	10	45%	0	1	0	0	3	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-8	25%	2-3	67%
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 33	25.6	11	69%	4	3	1	0	3	5	1	3	0-0	-	4-7	57%	1-1	100%

Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 26	25.0	18	90%	7	1	0	1	0	2	0	7	3-3	100%	6-6	100%	1-3	33%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 28	22.7	12	67%	0	4	0	0	2	2	0	0	6-6	100%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Jontay Porter #34 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 24	22.4	4	40%	7	3	1	1	1	0	4	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Jahmi'us Ramsey #37 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	18.6	5	42%	1	2	2	0	3	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Jalen McDaniels #2 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 26	2.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Javon Freeman-Liberty #0 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 24	2.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mouhamadou Gueye #16 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 26	INACTIVE
D.J. Carton #3 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Partial MCL tear
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Torn ligament; fifth finger
Scottie Barnes #4 · SF · 6'8" 237 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Fracture - third metacarpal
RJ Barrett #9 · SG · 6'6" 214 · 24	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	51%	37	23	7	3	18	18	11	26	14-15	93%	29-53	55%	8-31	26%

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27 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 25	31.4	12	35%	7	5	0	0	4	1	1	6	4-5	80%	4-9	44%	0-6	0%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 24	31.2	9	45%	7	1	0	0	2	2	4	3	0-0	-	3-7	43%	1-3	33%
Gary Trent Jr. #33 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 25	30.8	15	63%	4	3	3	1	0	2	0	4	1-1	100%	4-6	67%	2-6	33%
Gradey Dick #1 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 20	26.7	10	45%	0	1	0	0	3	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-8	25%	2-3	67%
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 33	25.6	11	69%	4	3	1	0	3	5	1	3	0-0	-	4-7	57%	1-1	100%

Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 26	25.0	18	90%	7	1	0	1	0	2	0	7	3-3	100%	6-6	100%	1-3	33%
Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 28	22.7	12	67%	0	4	0	0	2	2	0	0	6-6	100%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Jontay Porter #34 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 24	22.4	4	40%	7	3	1	1	1	0	4	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Jahmi'us Ramsey #37 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	18.6	5	42%	1	2	2	0	3	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Jalen McDaniels #2 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 26	2.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Javon Freeman-Liberty #0 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 24	2.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 38	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mouhamadou Gueye #16 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 26	INACTIVE
D.J. Carton #3 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Partial MCL tear
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Torn ligament; fifth finger
Scottie Barnes #4 · SF · 6'8" 237 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Fracture - third metacarpal
RJ Barrett #9 · SG · 6'6" 214 · 24	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	51%	37	23	7	3	18	18	11	26	14-15	93%	29-53	55%	8-31	26%

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16 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 21	35.5	29	76%	6	5	1	1	1	0	0	6	3-6	50%	7-9	78%	4-7	57%
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 23	30.5	22	69%	8	4	0	1	5	5	2	6	6-6	100%	8-11	73%	0-2	0%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 25	27.5	9	56%	3	3	1	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 30	26.6	7	39%	2	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0-1	0%	2-2	100%	1-7	14%
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 23	20.0	10	71%	2	2	2	1	2	2	1	1	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	2-2	100%

Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 24	25.1	6	38%	5	2	1	0	0	2	2	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 27	17.8	14	78%	4	1	0	1	1	1	1	3	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	1-3	33%
Caleb Houstan #2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	15.2	3	38%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 26	14.8	4	29%	5	2	0	0	1	0	2	3	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 36	13.3	5	125%	2	2	0	0	2	3	0	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 20	2.7	2	50%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 25	2.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Admiral Schofield #25 · PF · 6'5" 241 · 27	2.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Chuma Okeke #3 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 26	2.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 21	2.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Trevelin Queen #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	INACTIVE
Kevon Harris #8 · SG · 6'5" 216 · 27	INACTIVE
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee Injury Maintenance
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	58%	39	22	7	4	13	16	10	29	14-20	70%	32-49	65%	11-36	31%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	ORL
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	ORL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.02 51.1%

ORL

1.16 57.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

TOR

59%

ORL

77%

Midrange

TOR

47%

ORL

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

TOR

12.0

26%

39%

ORL

16.5

31%

46%

Free Throws

TOR

93%

ORL

70%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Nwora	18	90%	9.0 / 10
G. Trent	15	63%	7.5 / 12
I. Quickley	12	35%	6.0 / 17
B. Brown	12	67%	6.0 / 9
K. Olynyk	11	69%	5.5 / 8
G. Dick	10	45%	5.0 / 11
O. Agbaji	9	45%	4.5 / 10
J. Ramsey	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. Porter	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. McDaniels	0	-	0.0 / 1
J. Freeman-Liberty	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Banchero	29	76%	14.5 / 19
F. Wagner	22	69%	11.0 / 16
M. Wagner	14	78%	7.0 / 9
J. Suggs	10	71%	5.0 / 7
W. Carter	9	56%	4.5 / 8
G. Harris	7	39%	3.5 / 9
C. Anthony	6	38%	3.0 / 8
J. Ingles	5	125%	2.5 / 2
M. Fultz	4	29%	2.0 / 7
C. Houstan	3	38%	1.5 / 4
A. Black	2	50%	1.0 / 2
A. Schofield	0	-	0.0 / 1
C. Okeke	0	-	0.0 / 1
J. Howard	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	24 111.9 22 113.0	TOR 98.0 ORL 114.4 +16.5
Pace	12 99.9 27 97.4	TOR 110.8 +23.8 ORL 87.0
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.9 2 15.2	TOR 13.0 −3.6 ORL 16.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	21 53.5% 15 54.1%	TOR 48.8% ORL 57.1% +8.3%
TO %	21 13.4% 24 14.1%	TOR 16.6% ORL 13.8% −2.8%
ORB %	17 24.2% 7 25.3%	TOR 27.5% ORL 27.8% +0.3%
FTrt	16 24.1 1 28.7	TOR 17.9 ORL 23.5 +5.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 67.4% 22 61.0%	TOR 62.2% +11.0% ORL 51.2%
STL %	13 7.7% 4 8.3%	TOR 7.1% ORL 7.2% +0.1%
BLK %	15 9.5% 13 9.5%	TOR 6.1% ORL 7.5% +1.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 55.5% 18 56.2%	TOR 51.1% ORL 57.8% +6.7%
Rim FG%	13 64.8% 9 65.4%	TOR 58.8% ORL 77.4% +18.6%
Mid FG%	22 40.8% 29 38.9%	TOR 47.4% +3.0% ORL 44.4%
3P %	27 34.7% 24 35.2%	TOR 25.8% ORL 30.6% +4.8%
FT %	29 75.6% 26 75.9%	TOR 93.3% +23.3% ORL 70.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	5 35.6% 1 38.2%	TOR 40.5% +4.0% ORL 36.5%
Mid Att. %	17 27.5% 5 24.9%	TOR 22.6% ORL 21.2% −1.4%
3P Att. %	26 36.9% 25 36.9%	TOR 36.9% ORL 42.4% +5.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.1 and 2.1.

Game Totals	TOR	ORL
Possessions	98	97
Possession Minutes	21.2	26.8
Points	96	111
Rebounds	37	39
Assists	23	22
Steals	7	7
Blocks	3	4
Turnovers (Team)	18 (0)	13 (2)
Fouls	18	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (2)	10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (5)	29 (5)
Field Goals	37-84	43-85
At-the-Rim FG	20-34	24-31
Midrange FG	9-19	8-18
2-Point FG	29-53	32-49
3-Point FG	8-31	11-36
Free Throws	14-15	14-20
Fast Break Pts	16	11
2nd Chance Pts	12	9
Points in Paint	48	60
Pts off Turnovers	16	18
Bench Points	39	34
Biggest Lead	2	20

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg