Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, March 17, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	1	Celtics	93%	124	130	132.7	98	94.7
	30	Wizards	7%	103	104	104.0	100	103.7

Scoring Opportunities

BOS

+16

-14

100

WAS

+15

-16

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS

1.30 65.0%

WAS

1.05 52.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

1 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Oshae Brissett #12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 26	28.9	7	44%	4	2	0	0	1	3	3	1	5-6	83%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 26	26.6	30	68%	6	6	3	1	2	1	0	6	8-10	80%	2-5	40%	6-12	50%
Sam Hauser #30 · SG · 6'7" 217 · 26	22.8	30	115%	6	1	1	0	0	1	0	6	0-0	-	0-0	-	10-13	77%
Al Horford #42 · C · 6'8" 240 · 38	22.8	14	88%	4	2	0	0	1	3	2	2	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	2-4	50%
Jrue Holiday #4 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 34	22.2	7	50%	1	3	1	2	3	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-2	50%

Payton Pritchard #11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 26	34.9	14	47%	5	13	1	0	1	0	2	3	0-0	-	4-10	40%	2-5	40%
Svi Mykhailiuk #50 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 27	22.6	9	64%	5	2	0	0	0	0	0	5	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-6	50%
Luke Kornet #40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 29	20.1	14	64%	6	1	0	2	1	1	3	3	4-4	100%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Jaden Springer #44 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 21	16.0	2	33%	2	0	1	0	3	4	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Xavier Tillman #26 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	14.8	3	30%	2	0	2	1	1	1	1	1	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 25	8.4	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Jordan Walsh #27 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Drew Peterson #13 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
JD Davison #20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Derrick White #9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Sprain
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · PF · 7'2" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	65%	43	30	9	6	14	17	12	31	20-24	83%	19-37	51%	24-50	48%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

1 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Oshae Brissett #12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 26	28.9	7	44%	4	2	0	0	1	3	3	1	5-6	83%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 26	26.6	30	68%	6	6	3	1	2	1	0	6	8-10	80%	2-5	40%	6-12	50%
Sam Hauser #30 · SG · 6'7" 217 · 26	22.8	30	115%	6	1	1	0	0	1	0	6	0-0	-	0-0	-	10-13	77%
Al Horford #42 · C · 6'8" 240 · 38	22.8	14	88%	4	2	0	0	1	3	2	2	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	2-4	50%
Jrue Holiday #4 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 34	22.2	7	50%	1	3	1	2	3	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-2	50%

Payton Pritchard #11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 26	34.9	14	47%	5	13	1	0	1	0	2	3	0-0	-	4-10	40%	2-5	40%
Svi Mykhailiuk #50 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 27	22.6	9	64%	5	2	0	0	0	0	0	5	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-6	50%
Luke Kornet #40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 29	20.1	14	64%	6	1	0	2	1	1	3	3	4-4	100%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Jaden Springer #44 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 21	16.0	2	33%	2	0	1	0	3	4	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Xavier Tillman #26 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	14.8	3	30%	2	0	2	1	1	1	1	1	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 25	8.4	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 27	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Jordan Walsh #27 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Drew Peterson #13 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
JD Davison #20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Derrick White #9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Sprain
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · PF · 7'2" 240 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	65%	43	30	9	6	14	17	12	31	20-24	83%	19-37	51%	24-50	48%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

30 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 23	36.0	14	58%	8	1	2	0	3	2	2	6	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	2-4	50%
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · PF · 7'0" 220 · 21	31.8	6	27%	7	4	1	2	2	1	0	7	0-0	-	0-4	0%	2-7	29%
Jordan Poole #13 · PG · 6'4" 194 · 25	23.4	31	74%	2	4	0	0	1	2	1	1	4-5	80%	9-13	69%	3-6	50%
Corey Kispert #24 · SG · 6'6" 224 · 25	21.1	4	33%	2	1	0	0	1	3	0	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-5	20%
Richaun Holmes #22 · C · 6'9" 235 · 30	19.2	8	67%	4	1	0	1	1	3	0	4	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-

Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 31	24.7	13	54%	4	3	0	0	2	4	2	2	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	1-4	25%
Jules Bernard #14 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	23.8	12	50%	4	1	0	0	2	0	2	2	1-1	100%	4-8	50%	1-4	25%
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 22	22.4	8	57%	4	1	0	2	0	3	1	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-2	0%
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 24	22.1	8	57%	3	6	0	0	3	0	1	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Eugene Omoruyi #97 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 27	15.3	0	0%	2	2	0	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 20	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Contusion
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 21	INACTIVE
Tyus Jones #5 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Lower back spasm
Isaiah Livers #12 · PF · 6'6" 232 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Joint capsule inflammation
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Contusion
Landry Shamet #20 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Lower back spasm
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	53%	40	24	3	5	16	20	10	30	12-14	86%	31-55	56%	10-34	29%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	WAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS

1.30 65.0%

WAS

1.05 52.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

BOS

70%

WAS

58%

Midrange

BOS

21%

WAS

55%

3PT | Effective 3PT

BOS

36.0

48%

72%

WAS

15.0

29%

44%

Free Throws

BOS

83%

WAS

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Tatum	30	68%	15.0 / 22
S. Hauser	30	115%	15.0 / 13
A. Horford	14	88%	7.0 / 8
P. Pritchard	14	47%	7.0 / 15
L. Kornet	14	64%	7.0 / 11
S. Mykhailiuk	9	64%	4.5 / 7
O. Brissett	7	44%	3.5 / 8
J. Holiday	7	50%	3.5 / 7
X. Tillman	3	30%	1.5 / 5
J. Springer	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Poole	31	74%	15.5 / 21
J. Champagnie	14	58%	7.0 / 12
A. Gill	13	54%	6.5 / 12
J. Bernard	12	50%	6.0 / 12
R. Holmes	8	67%	4.0 / 6
J. Davis	8	57%	4.0 / 7
J. Butler	8	57%	4.0 / 7
P. Baldwin	6	27%	3.0 / 11
C. Kispert	4	33%	2.0 / 6
E. Omoruyi	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	1 122.2 25 110.3	BOS 132.7 +28.7 WAS 104.0
Pace	19 98.0 1 103.0	BOS 94.7 WAS 103.7 +9.0
Avg. Poss. Time	5 15.0 30 13.6	BOS 15.2 WAS 13.9 −1.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 57.8% 19 53.8%	BOS 63.2% +11.5% WAS 51.7%
TO %	1 11.4% 19 13.1%	BOS 13.3% −1.1% WAS 14.4%
ORB %	12 24.9% 29 20.0%	BOS 28.6% +4.2% WAS 24.4%
FTrt	25 22.4 27 22.1	BOS 27.6 +11.9 WAS 15.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	21 61.3% 9 64.9%	BOS 69.8% +11.3% WAS 58.5%
STL %	26 6.9% 19 7.3%	BOS 9.2% +6.2% WAS 3.0%
BLK %	7 10.7% 16 9.4%	BOS 10.9% WAS 13.5% +2.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	1 59.5% 21 55.8%	BOS 65.0% +12.5% WAS 52.5%
Rim FG%	2 68.1% 8 65.7%	BOS 69.6% +11.3% WAS 58.3%
Mid FG%	15 43.5% 28 39.8%	BOS 21.4% WAS 54.8% +33.4%
3P %	2 38.8% 25 34.8%	BOS 48.0% +18.6% WAS 29.4%
FT %	7 80.7% 24 76.4%	BOS 83.3% WAS 85.7% +2.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 30.1% 7 35.4%	BOS 26.4% WAS 27.0% +0.5%
Mid Att. %	1 22.8% 8 25.7%	BOS 16.1% −18.7% WAS 34.8%
3P Att. %	1 47.1% 16 38.9%	BOS 57.5% +19.3% WAS 38.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.

Game Totals	BOS	WAS
Possessions	98	100
Possession Minutes	24.8	23.2
Points	130	104
Rebounds	43	40
Assists	30	24
Steals	9	3
Blocks	6	5
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	16 (0)
Fouls	17	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (4)	10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (3)	30 (1)
Field Goals	43-87	41-89
At-the-Rim FG	16-23	14-24
Midrange FG	3-14	17-31
2-Point FG	19-37	31-55
3-Point FG	24-50	10-34
Free Throws	20-24	12-14
Fast Break Pts	18	8
2nd Chance Pts	22	15
Points in Paint	36	54
Pts off Turnovers	22	11
Bench Points	42	41
Biggest Lead	36	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg