Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 18, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Heat	41%	108	91	95.8	95	103.3
	18	76ers	59%	111	98	103.2	95	87.9

Scoring Opportunities

MIA

+17

-15

PHI

-12

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

0.94 46.9%

PHI

1.08 53.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

16 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 23	34.8	9	32%	9	4	1	0	1	1	0	9	2-2	100%	2-8	25%	1-5	20%
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 30	33.8	20	48%	8	1	1	1	3	0	2	6	1-1	100%	5-14	36%	3-7	43%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 27	31.9	20	91%	13	6	0	0	4	1	3	10	2-2	100%	6-8	75%	2-2	100%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 27	26.5	11	69%	5	2	0	0	1	0	0	5	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	3-6	50%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 30	24.2	3	25%	4	0	0	0	1	4	1	3	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	0-1	0%

Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28	35.4	13	46%	4	2	4	1	4	3	1	3	0-1	0%	5-8	63%	1-6	17%
Patty Mills #88 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 36	21.7	3	25%	2	3	0	0	1	2	2	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-5	20%
Thomas Bryant #31 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27	16.1	11	55%	2	1	1	1	0	1	1	1	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	1-1	100%
Delon Wright #4 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 32	15.7	1	10%	2	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	1-2	50%	0-4	0%	0-0	-
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Alondes Williams #15 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cole Swider #21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Medial Tendinitis
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Heel; Bruise
Josh Richardson #0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	91	47%	49	23	8	3	15	13	11	38	9-14	64%	23-56	41%	12-33	36%

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16 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 23	34.8	9	32%	9	4	1	0	1	1	0	9	2-2	100%	2-8	25%	1-5	20%
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 30	33.8	20	48%	8	1	1	1	3	0	2	6	1-1	100%	5-14	36%	3-7	43%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 27	31.9	20	91%	13	6	0	0	4	1	3	10	2-2	100%	6-8	75%	2-2	100%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 27	26.5	11	69%	5	2	0	0	1	0	0	5	0-2	0%	1-1	100%	3-6	50%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 30	24.2	3	25%	4	0	0	0	1	4	1	3	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	0-1	0%

Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28	35.4	13	46%	4	2	4	1	4	3	1	3	0-1	0%	5-8	63%	1-6	17%
Patty Mills #88 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 36	21.7	3	25%	2	3	0	0	1	2	2	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-5	20%
Thomas Bryant #31 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27	16.1	11	55%	2	1	1	1	0	1	1	1	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	1-1	100%
Delon Wright #4 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 32	15.7	1	10%	2	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	1-2	50%	0-4	0%	0-0	-
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 21	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Alondes Williams #15 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cole Swider #21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Medial Tendinitis
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Heel; Bruise
Josh Richardson #0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	91	47%	49	23	8	3	15	13	11	38	9-14	64%	23-56	41%	12-33	36%

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18 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 23	41.1	30	60%	8	10	1	1	3	3	0	8	5-5	100%	8-14	57%	3-10	30%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 28	38.6	22	58%	11	3	0	5	2	1	2	9	0-0	-	8-13	62%	2-6	33%
Nicolas Batum #40 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 35	37.9	2	25%	8	1	2	1	1	4	1	7	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Kyle Lowry #7 · SG · 6'0" 196 · 38	35.2	16	67%	4	1	2	1	0	2	0	4	1-1	100%	3-7	43%	3-5	60%
Mo Bamba #5 · C · 7'0" 231 · 26	18.6	8	80%	4	3	2	2	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%

Buddy Hield #17 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 31	24.1	12	55%	2	1	0	1	1	1	1	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	2-7	29%
Paul Reed #44 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 25	21.8	4	33%	7	1	0	1	1	1	2	5	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Cameron Payne #22 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 30	15.9	3	30%	2	3	0	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
KJ Martin #1 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 23	6.8	1	25%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Ricky Council IV #16 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Terquavion Smith #23 · PG · 6'4" 160 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kai Jones #88 · C · 6'11" 221 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Tobias Harris #12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Jeff Dowtin Jr. #11 · PG · 6'3" 177 · 27	INACTIVE
Robert Covington #33 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Bruise
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Procedure
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Lumbar Spine Bone Stress
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	54%	46	23	7	12	12	16	7	39	11-12	92%	24-49	49%	13-36	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	PHI
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	PHI

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIA

0.94 46.9%

PHI

1.08 53.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

41%

PHI

64%

Midrange

MIA

41%

PHI

37%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

18.0

36%

55%

PHI

19.5

36%

54%

Free Throws

MIA

64%

PHI

92%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Rozier	20	48%	10.0 / 21
B. Adebayo	20	91%	10.0 / 11
C. Martin	13	46%	6.5 / 14
H. Highsmith	11	69%	5.5 / 8
T. Bryant	11	55%	5.5 / 10
J. Jaquez	9	32%	4.5 / 14
D. Robinson	3	25%	1.5 / 6
P. Mills	3	25%	1.5 / 6
D. Wright	1	10%	0.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Maxey	30	60%	15.0 / 25
K. Oubre	22	58%	11.0 / 19
K. Lowry	16	67%	8.0 / 12
B. Hield	12	55%	6.0 / 11
M. Bamba	8	80%	4.0 / 5
P. Reed	4	33%	2.0 / 6
C. Payne	3	30%	1.5 / 5
N. Batum	2	25%	1.0 / 4
K. Martin	1	25%	0.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	21 113.3 14 116.2	MIA 95.8 PHI 103.2 +7.4
Pace	29 97.0 18 98.2	MIA 103.3 +15.4 PHI 87.9
Avg. Poss. Time	10 14.8 12 14.8	MIA 13.9 −2.4 PHI 16.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 53.8% 24 53.2%	MIA 46.1% PHI 51.2% +5.1%
TO %	9 12.2% 1 11.4%	MIA 13.6% PHI 11.7% −1.9%
ORB %	26 21.8% 13 24.8%	MIA 22.0% +6.4% PHI 15.6%
FTrt	8 25.7 6 26.4	MIA 15.7 +1.6 PHI 14.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 64.8% 25 60.0%	MIA 65.7% +3.5% PHI 62.2%
STL %	11 7.7% 1 8.6%	MIA 8.4% +1.0% PHI 7.4%
BLK %	30 7.7% 5 10.8%	MIA 6.1% PHI 21.4% +15.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	17 56.2% 19 56.1%	MIA 46.9% PHI 53.8% +6.9%
Rim FG%	23 61.6% 27 60.9%	MIA 41.2% PHI 63.6% +22.4%
Mid FG%	13 44.3% 17 42.0%	MIA 40.9% +3.9% PHI 37.0%
3P %	12 37.0% 18 36.3%	MIA 36.4% +0.3% PHI 36.1%
FT %	5 81.8% 2 82.6%	MIA 64.3% PHI 91.7% +27.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	29 29.5% 9 34.8%	MIA 38.2% +12.3% PHI 25.9%
Mid Att. %	28 31.1% 21 28.0%	MIA 24.7% −7.0% PHI 31.8%
3P Att. %	14 39.4% 23 37.3%	MIA 37.1% PHI 42.4% +5.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIA	PHI
Possessions	95	95
Possession Minutes	22.1	25.9
Points	91	98
Rebounds	49	46
Assists	23	23
Steals	8	7
Blocks	3	12
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	12 (0)
Fouls	13	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (6)	7 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (3)	39 (1)
Field Goals	35-89	37-85
At-the-Rim FG	14-34	14-22
Midrange FG	9-22	10-27
2-Point FG	23-56	24-49
3-Point FG	12-33	13-36
Free Throws	9-14	11-12
Fast Break Pts	15	19
2nd Chance Pts	15	4
Points in Paint	38	38
Pts off Turnovers	14	19
Bench Points	28	20
Biggest Lead	3	17

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg