Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 18, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	22	Hawks	30%	114	105	105.0	100	95.3
	12	Lakers	70%	121	136	134.7	101	106.3

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+14

-9

105

LAL

-8

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

0.99 49.5%

LAL

1.37 68.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

22 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 22	32.4	25	57%	9	4	0	1	1	1	2	7	5-6	83%	7-9	78%	2-11	18%
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 27	31.1	13	36%	5	10	3	0	2	1	1	4	0-0	-	5-9	56%	1-9	11%
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 32	25.8	17	65%	3	0	0	0	2	3	1	2	4-4	100%	2-6	33%	3-5	60%
Vít Krejčí #27 · SF · 6'8" 195 · 24	24.6	11	69%	1	1	0	1	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-3	33%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 30	20.1	10	50%	9	0	1	1	1	1	4	5	0-0	-	5-10	50%	0-0	-

De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 26	26.3	8	29%	1	3	1	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	4-9	44%	0-5	0%
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 26	22.1	2	50%	4	6	0	0	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	18.8	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	18.6	11	79%	4	2	2	0	0	0	1	3	0-1	0%	4-4	100%	1-3	33%
Wesley Matthews #32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37	11.0	3	75%	0	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 26	9.3	5	50%	6	2	0	1	1	1	2	4	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Fifth Finger; Torn Ligament
Dylan Windler #20 · SF · 6'8" 196 · 27	INACTIVE
Seth Lundy #3 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Big Toe; Sprain
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right UCL; Sprain
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg/ankle; Contusion
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn ACL
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	50%	42	32	8	5	9	14	12	30	12-15	80%	33-57	58%	9-41	22%

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22 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Johnson #1 · PF · 6'8" 219 · 22	32.4	25	57%	9	4	0	1	1	1	2	7	5-6	83%	7-9	78%	2-11	18%
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 27	31.1	13	36%	5	10	3	0	2	1	1	4	0-0	-	5-9	56%	1-9	11%
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 32	25.8	17	65%	3	0	0	0	2	3	1	2	4-4	100%	2-6	33%	3-5	60%
Vít Krejčí #27 · SF · 6'8" 195 · 24	24.6	11	69%	1	1	0	1	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-3	33%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 30	20.1	10	50%	9	0	1	1	1	1	4	5	0-0	-	5-10	50%	0-0	-

De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'7" 221 · 26	26.3	8	29%	1	3	1	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	4-9	44%	0-5	0%
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 26	22.1	2	50%	4	6	0	0	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	18.8	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	18.6	11	79%	4	2	2	0	0	0	1	3	0-1	0%	4-4	100%	1-3	33%
Wesley Matthews #32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37	11.0	3	75%	0	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 26	9.3	5	50%	6	2	0	1	1	1	2	4	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Fifth Finger; Torn Ligament
Dylan Windler #20 · SF · 6'8" 196 · 27	INACTIVE
Seth Lundy #3 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Big Toe; Sprain
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right UCL; Sprain
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg/ankle; Contusion
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn ACL
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	50%	42	32	8	5	9	14	12	30	12-15	80%	33-57	58%	9-41	22%

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12 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Davis #3 · C · 6'10" 253 · 31	31.2	22	79%	15	6	2	1	2	2	1	14	1-2	50%	9-12	75%	1-2	50%
D'Angelo Russell #1 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 28	30.4	27	84%	4	10	1	0	1	1	0	4	5-5	100%	2-4	50%	6-10	60%
LeBron James #23 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 39	28.6	25	83%	7	10	0	0	2	0	0	7	3-3	100%	8-9	89%	2-5	40%
Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 26	28.3	12	60%	6	4	1	1	0	3	1	5	4-4	100%	4-6	67%	0-3	0%
Rui Hachimura #28 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 26	25.9	17	85%	3	1	0	0	0	3	0	3	2-2	100%	6-8	75%	1-2	50%

Max Christie #10 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 21	22.3	11	55%	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	2	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	2-4	50%
Spencer Dinwiddie #26 · PG · 6'5" 215 · 31	21.3	3	38%	1	3	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Taurean Prince #12 · PF · 6'6" 218 · 30	19.9	8	50%	5	1	0	1	1	2	0	5	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-7	29%
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 24	16.8	7	70%	3	0	0	1	0	2	1	2	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Harry Giles III #20 · C · 6'10" 240 · 26	5.1	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Skylar Mays #4 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 27	5.1	2	50%	0	1	2	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Maxwell Lewis #21 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 22	5.1	0	0%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jalen Hood-Schifino #0 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Christian Wood #35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Effusion
Colin Castleton #14 · C · 6'10" 250 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Fracture
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Mid-foot; Sprain
Cam Reddish #5 · SF · 6'8" 208 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Gabe Vincent #7 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	136	69%	48	39	6	4	8	15	4	44	17-20	85%	37-54	69%	15-36	42%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	LAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

0.99 49.5%

LAL

1.37 68.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

62%

LAL

81%

Midrange

ATL

52%

LAL

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

13.5

22%

33%

LAL

22.5

42%

63%

Free Throws

ATL

80%

LAL

85%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Johnson	25	57%	12.5 / 22
B. Bogdanović	17	65%	8.5 / 13
D. Murray	13	36%	6.5 / 18
V. Krejčí	11	69%	5.5 / 8
O. Okongwu	11	79%	5.5 / 7
C. Capela	10	50%	5.0 / 10
D. Hunter	8	29%	4.0 / 14
B. Fernando	5	50%	2.5 / 5
W. Matthews	3	75%	1.5 / 2
T. Forrest	2	50%	1.0 / 2
G. Mathews	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Russell	27	84%	13.5 / 16
L. James	25	83%	12.5 / 15
A. Davis	22	79%	11.0 / 14
R. Hachimura	17	85%	8.5 / 10
A. Reaves	12	60%	6.0 / 10
M. Christie	11	55%	5.5 / 10
T. Prince	8	50%	4.0 / 8
J. Hayes	7	70%	3.5 / 5
S. Dinwiddie	3	38%	1.5 / 4
H. Giles	2	100%	1.0 / 1
S. Mays	2	50%	1.0 / 2
M. Lewis	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 116.4 15 115.4	ATL 105.0 LAL 134.7 +29.7
Pace	6 100.9 4 101.4	ATL 95.3 LAL 106.3 +11.0
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.2 23 14.2	ATL 15.1 LAL 13.6 −1.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	17 53.9% 5 56.6%	ATL 47.4% LAL 66.1% +18.7%
TO %	13 12.5% 18 13.1%	ATL 7.9% −0.4% LAL 8.3%
ORB %	5 27.1% 30 19.9%	ATL 21.4% +9.6% LAL 11.8%
FTrt	12 25.1 2 27.6	ATL 15.3 LAL 22.2 +6.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	19 61.8% 8 65.4%	ATL 76.2% +1.2% LAL 75.0%
STL %	18 7.4% 21 7.2%	ATL 8.0% +2.1% LAL 5.9%
BLK %	21 9.0% 19 9.1%	ATL 9.3% +2.3% LAL 7.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	16 56.3% 5 58.8%	ATL 49.5% LAL 68.7% +19.2%
Rim FG%	28 60.3% 1 68.9%	ATL 61.8% LAL 81.3% +19.5%
Mid FG%	6 45.2% 25 40.4%	ATL 52.2% +2.2% LAL 50.0%
3P %	17 36.4% 8 37.7%	ATL 22.0% LAL 41.7% +19.7%
FT %	8 79.7% 15 78.2%	ATL 80.0% LAL 85.0% +5.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	18 32.8% 2 36.6%	ATL 34.7% LAL 35.6% +0.9%
Mid Att. %	11 26.5% 18 27.5%	ATL 23.5% −1.0% LAL 24.4%
3P Att. %	9 40.8% 28 35.8%	ATL 41.8% +1.8% LAL 40.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	LAL
Possessions	100	101
Possession Minutes	25.2	22.8
Points	105	136
Rebounds	42	48
Assists	32	39
Steals	8	6
Blocks	5	4
Turnovers (Team)	9 (0)	8 (1)
Fouls	14	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (2)	4 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (3)	44 (0)
Field Goals	42-98	52-90
At-the-Rim FG	21-34	26-32
Midrange FG	12-23	11-22
2-Point FG	33-57	37-54
3-Point FG	9-41	15-36
Free Throws	12-15	17-20
Fast Break Pts	15	23
2nd Chance Pts	14	6
Points in Paint	58	68
Pts off Turnovers	7	12
Bench Points	29	33
Biggest Lead	9	35

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg