Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Nuggets	54%	107	115	118.6	97	101.6
	10	Timberwolves	46%	106	112	114.3	98	93.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	37.7	9	75%	2	1	2	1	1	1	1	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	37.7	35	70%	16	2	0	0	3	3	1	15	4-6	67%	11-18	61%	3-4	75%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	32.4	14	58%	11	2	0	0	4	1	7	4	4-5	80%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	32.2	18	56%	4	11	2	0	2	3	1	3	4-4	100%	4-11	36%	2-3	67%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	31.6	26	76%	4	1	0	0	3	2	1	3	4-5	80%	5-8	63%	4-7	57%

Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	17.7	6	100%	2	3	0	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	17.6	3	38%	4	0	0	0	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	16.7	2	33%	3	6	1	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	16.4	2	25%	3	0	0	0	1	4	0	3	0-1	0%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Pain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	63%	49	26	5	1	17	19	11	38	17-22	77%	28-54	52%	14-27	52%

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2 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	37.7	9	75%	2	1	2	1	1	1	1	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	37.7	35	70%	16	2	0	0	3	3	1	15	4-6	67%	11-18	61%	3-4	75%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	32.4	14	58%	11	2	0	0	4	1	7	4	4-5	80%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	32.2	18	56%	4	11	2	0	2	3	1	3	4-4	100%	4-11	36%	2-3	67%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	31.6	26	76%	4	1	0	0	3	2	1	3	4-5	80%	5-8	63%	4-7	57%

Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	17.7	6	100%	2	3	0	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	17.6	3	38%	4	0	0	0	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	16.7	2	33%	3	6	1	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	16.4	2	25%	3	0	0	0	1	4	0	3	0-1	0%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Pain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	63%	49	26	5	1	17	19	11	38	17-22	77%	28-54	52%	14-27	52%

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10 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 23	37.7	30	56%	8	8	2	0	3	1	1	7	1-2	50%	10-18	56%	3-8	38%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · PF · 6'9" 185 · 23	37.6	26	81%	6	0	1	2	1	5	0	6	4-7	57%	5-7	71%	4-6	67%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26	36.5	4	29%	2	3	0	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-4	0%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 36	29.4	13	65%	6	5	1	0	2	5	2	4	6-6	100%	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Kyle Anderson #1 · C · 6'8" 230 · 30	25.6	12	60%	3	4	1	2	0	3	0	3	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	0-0	-

Monté Morris #23 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 29	22.8	8	57%	1	2	3	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	22.4	11	46%	6	0	2	1	0	1	3	3	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	2-8	25%
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	18.6	2	25%	3	3	0	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
T.J. Warren #24 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 31	9.4	6	50%	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	1	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Daishen Nix #12 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 32	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Rib; Sprain
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Head; Injury
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Meniscus; Tear
Jaylen Clark #0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Rupture Rehab
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	55%	37	25	10	7	7	16	8	29	16-23	70%	30-53	57%	12-35	34%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MIN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.26 63.2%

MIN

1.10 54.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

18

29

62%

MIN

15

21

71%

Midrange

DEN

10

25

40%

MIN

15

32

47%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

14

21.0

27

52%

78%

MIN

12

18.0

35

34%

51%

Free Throws

DEN

17

22

77%

MIN

16

23

70%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	35	70%	17.5 / 25
M. Porter	26	76%	13.0 / 17
J. Murray	18	56%	9.0 / 16
A. Gordon	14	58%	7.0 / 12
K. Caldwell-Pope	9	75%	4.5 / 6
J. Holiday	6	100%	3.0 / 3
C. Braun	3	38%	1.5 / 4
R. Jackson	2	33%	1.0 / 3
P. Watson	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	30	56%	15.0 / 27
J. McDaniels	26	81%	13.0 / 16
M. Conley	13	65%	6.5 / 10
K. Anderson	12	60%	6.0 / 10
L. Garza	11	46%	5.5 / 12
M. Morris	8	57%	4.0 / 7
T. Warren	6	50%	3.0 / 6
N. Alexander-Walker	4	29%	2.0 / 7
J. McLaughlin	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 117.9 17 114.7	DEN 118.6 +4.3 MIN 114.3
Pace	26 97.4 22 97.9	DEN 101.6 +7.9 MIN 93.7
Avg. Poss. Time	4 15.0 3 15.0	DEN 14.2 −1.2 MIN 15.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 56.2% 10 55.9%	DEN 60.5% +6.0% MIN 54.5%
TO %	7 12.1% 22 13.6%	DEN 15.8% MIN 6.7% −9.1%
ORB %	6 25.5% 22 23.1%	DEN 27.5% +10.1% MIN 17.4%
FTrt	24 22.4 5 27.0	DEN 27.2 +1.1 MIN 26.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 66.9% 12 64.6%	DEN 61.9% +2.4% MIN 59.5%
STL %	20 7.3% 6 8.0%	DEN 5.2% MIN 10.2% +5.0%
BLK %	25 8.7% 4 11.0%	DEN 1.9% MIN 13.0% +11.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 57.5% 10 57.7%	DEN 63.2% +8.3% MIN 54.9%
Rim FG%	17 63.6% 15 64.3%	DEN 62.1% MIN 71.4% +9.3%
Mid FG%	3 47.0% 16 42.6%	DEN 40.0% MIN 46.9% +6.9%
3P %	10 37.4% 3 38.7%	DEN 51.9% +17.6% MIN 34.3%
FT %	25 76.2% 18 77.7%	DEN 77.3% +7.7% MIN 69.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 36.0% 14 34.1%	DEN 35.8% +11.9% MIN 23.9%
Mid Att. %	25 28.8% 16 27.5%	DEN 30.9% −5.5% MIN 36.4%
3P Att. %	30 35.2% 17 38.4%	DEN 33.3% MIN 39.8% +6.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	MIN
Possessions	97	98
Possession Minutes	22.9	25.1
Points	115	112
Rebounds	49	37
Assists	26	25
Steals	5	10
Blocks	1	7
Turnovers (Team)	17 (0)	7 (0)
Fouls	19	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (0)	8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (0)	29 (2)
Field Goals	42-81	42-88
At-the-Rim FG	18-29	15-21
Midrange FG	10-25	15-32
2-Point FG	28-54	30-53
3-Point FG	14-27	12-35
Free Throws	17-22	16-23
Fast Break Pts	15	9
2nd Chance Pts	19	14
Points in Paint	52	48
Pts off Turnovers	14	28
Bench Points	13	27
Biggest Lead	18	4

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg