Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, March 21, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Kings	69%	121	102	103.0	99	102.0
	28	Wizards	31%	114	109	110.1	99	96.0

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+13

-15

WAS

+13

-19

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.05 52.6%

WAS

1.17 58.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

14 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	38.6	14	70%	14	6	0	0	6	3	2	12	2-2	100%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	36.8	25	42%	5	5	6	1	3	4	3	2	0-0	-	5-15	33%	5-15	33%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 24	29.6	16	73%	2	1	0	2	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	5-7	71%	2-4	50%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	28.2	12	55%	2	1	1	1	1	2	0	2	6-8	75%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24	20.9	2	33%	1	0	1	0	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%

Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	29.5	20	63%	1	4	1	1	2	3	0	1	7-7	100%	5-6	83%	1-7	14%
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 26	19.4	5	83%	2	1	1	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27	19.3	3	19%	3	2	1	2	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-7	14%
Kessler Edwards #17 · SG · 6'8" 203 · 24	9.2	3	75%	3	1	1	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31	8.6	2	100%	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mason Jones #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Dislocation
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	53%	37	21	12	7	15	20	10	27	17-19	89%	26-47	55%	11-39	28%

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14 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Domantas Sabonis #10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 28	38.6	14	70%	14	6	0	0	6	3	2	12	2-2	100%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 26	36.8	25	42%	5	5	6	1	3	4	3	2	0-0	-	5-15	33%	5-15	33%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 24	29.6	16	73%	2	1	0	2	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	5-7	71%	2-4	50%
Harrison Barnes #40 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	28.2	12	55%	2	1	1	1	1	2	0	2	6-8	75%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 24	20.9	2	33%	1	0	1	0	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%

Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 26	29.5	20	63%	1	4	1	1	2	3	0	1	7-7	100%	5-6	83%	1-7	14%
Davion Mitchell #15 · PG · 6'0" 210 · 26	19.4	5	83%	2	1	1	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Chris Duarte #3 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 27	19.3	3	19%	3	2	1	2	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-7	14%
Kessler Edwards #17 · SG · 6'8" 203 · 24	9.2	3	75%	3	1	1	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 31	8.6	2	100%	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 22
Jalen Slawson #18 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 24
JaVale McGee #00 · C · 7'0" 270 · 36
Jordan Ford #31 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Mason Jones #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Shoulder; Dislocation
Sasha Vezenkov #7 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	53%	37	21	12	7	15	20	10	27	17-19	89%	26-47	55%	11-39	28%

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28 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Corey Kispert #24 · SG · 6'6" 224 · 25	37.5	15	68%	3	2	1	0	1	1	0	3	2-6	33%	5-5	100%	1-4	25%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 29	36.6	31	67%	6	5	1	1	5	2	0	6	2-2	100%	10-16	63%	3-6	50%
Jordan Poole #13 · PG · 6'4" 194 · 25	36.0	14	58%	2	2	3	0	3	2	1	1	3-3	100%	4-7	57%	1-4	25%
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 23	32.0	17	57%	9	5	0	0	3	3	0	9	1-3	33%	5-11	45%	2-3	67%
Richaun Holmes #22 · C · 6'9" 235 · 30	29.5	6	30%	16	2	0	1	1	5	6	10	2-2	100%	2-9	22%	0-0	-

Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 24	19.1	8	80%	1	1	2	0	4	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 31	18.3	8	67%	2	1	1	0	1	2	1	1	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 22	13.1	4	67%	3	1	0	0	0	2	1	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 21	9.4	6	100%	2	0	1	1	1	1	0	2	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 23	8.6	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Jules Bernard #14 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 21	INACTIVE
Eugene Omoruyi #97 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Isaiah Livers #12 · PF · 6'6" 232 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Joint capsule inflammation
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Fracture
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Lumbosacral sprain
Tyus Jones #5 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Lumbosacral sprain
Landry Shamet #20 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	59%	45	20	9	3	19	19	10	35	17-23	74%	31-56	55%	10-25	40%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	WAS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.05 52.6%

WAS

1.17 58.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

76%

WAS

74%

Midrange

SAC

43%

WAS

27%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

16.5

28%

42%

WAS

15.0

40%

60%

Free Throws

SAC

89%

WAS

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Fox	25	42%	12.5 / 30
M. Monk	20	63%	10.0 / 16
K. Murray	16	73%	8.0 / 11
D. Sabonis	14	70%	7.0 / 10
H. Barnes	12	55%	6.0 / 11
D. Mitchell	5	83%	2.5 / 3
C. Duarte	3	19%	1.5 / 8
K. Edwards	3	75%	1.5 / 2
K. Ellis	2	33%	1.0 / 3
A. Len	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Kuzma	31	67%	15.5 / 23
D. Avdija	17	57%	8.5 / 15
C. Kispert	15	68%	7.5 / 11
J. Poole	14	58%	7.0 / 12
J. Butler	8	80%	4.0 / 5
A. Gill	8	67%	4.0 / 6
R. Holmes	6	30%	3.0 / 10
P. Baldwin	6	100%	3.0 / 3
J. Davis	4	67%	2.0 / 3
J. Champagnie	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	13 116.3 25 110.3	SAC 103.0 WAS 110.1 +7.1
Pace	14 99.4 1 103.0	SAC 102.0 +6.0 WAS 96.0
Avg. Poss. Time	26 14.1 30 13.6	SAC 14.1 −0.9 WAS 15.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 55.6% 19 53.8%	SAC 49.4% WAS 56.8% +7.4%
TO %	12 12.5% 19 13.1%	SAC 13.7% −4.3% WAS 18.0%
ORB %	14 24.5% 29 20.0%	SAC 22.2% WAS 27.0% +4.8%
FTrt	22 22.9 27 22.1	SAC 22.1 WAS 28.4 +6.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 65.4% 9 64.9%	SAC 56.8% +8.0% WAS 48.8%
STL %	14 7.6% 19 7.3%	SAC 12.1% +3.0% WAS 9.1%
BLK %	27 8.6% 16 9.4%	SAC 12.5% +6.1% WAS 6.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 57.0% 21 55.8%	SAC 52.6% WAS 58.6% +6.0%
Rim FG%	6 66.0% 8 65.7%	SAC 76.5% +3.0% WAS 73.5%
Mid FG%	9 44.9% 28 39.8%	SAC 43.3% +16.0% WAS 27.3%
3P %	16 36.6% 25 34.8%	SAC 28.2% WAS 40.0% +11.8%
FT %	30 74.5% 24 76.4%	SAC 89.5% +15.6% WAS 73.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	27 30.0% 7 35.4%	SAC 19.8% WAS 42.0% +22.2%
Mid Att. %	14 26.8% 8 25.7%	SAC 34.9% WAS 27.2% −7.7%
3P Att. %	3 43.2% 16 38.9%	SAC 45.3% +14.5% WAS 30.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAC	WAS
Possessions	99	99
Possession Minutes	23.3	24.7
Points	102	109
Rebounds	37	45
Assists	21	20
Steals	12	9
Blocks	7	3
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	19 (1)
Fouls	20	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (3)	10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (3)	35 (3)
Field Goals	37-86	41-81
At-the-Rim FG	13-17	25-34
Midrange FG	13-30	6-22
2-Point FG	26-47	31-56
3-Point FG	11-39	10-25
Free Throws	17-19	17-23
Fast Break Pts	9	6
2nd Chance Pts	16	8
Points in Paint	34	60
Pts off Turnovers	26	15
Bench Points	33	26
Biggest Lead	2	19

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg