Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, March 21, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	21	Bulls	41%	106	117	114.7	102	103.4
	18	Rockets	59%	109	127	124.5	102	100.6

Scoring Opportunities

CHI

+14

-11

105

HOU

+16

-14

104

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI

1.11 55.7%

HOU

1.21 60.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

21 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ayo Dosunmu #12 · PG · 6'4" 201 · 24	39.4	35	92%	2	2	3	0	2	2	0	2	4-4	100%	8-12	67%	5-6	83%
Nikola Vučević #9 · C · 6'9" 265 · 33	38.9	16	47%	14	6	0	1	1	2	4	10	1-2	50%	6-11	55%	1-5	20%
Alex Caruso #6 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 30	34.8	12	46%	2	4	2	0	2	5	1	1	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	2-8	25%
Torrey Craig #13 · PF · 6'6" 215 · 33	24.7	10	56%	4	1	0	1	2	3	1	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-4	50%
DeMar DeRozan #11 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 35	23.6	16	42%	2	2	2	0	0	1	0	2	8-9	89%	4-14	29%	0-1	0%

Coby White #0 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 24	29.5	13	46%	4	3	0	0	2	2	0	4	1-2	50%	3-8	38%	2-5	40%
Andre Drummond #3 · C · 6'11" 279 · 31	23.9	9	64%	8	0	1	1	2	1	3	5	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Dalen Terry #25 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 22	17.1	6	60%	7	5	0	0	0	0	3	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Onuralp Bitim #17 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	8.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jevon Carter #5 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Terry Taylor #32 · PF · 6'5" 230 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Julian Phillips #15 · SF · 6'6" 201 · 20	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Sprain
Andrew Funk #30 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Adama Sanogo #21 · C · 6'9" 245 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Henri Drell #77 · SF · 6'8" 185 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Midfoot; Surgery
Patrick Williams #44 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Midfoot; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	56%	43	23	8	3	11	17	12	31	21-25	84%	30-62	48%	12-31	39%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

21 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ayo Dosunmu #12 · PG · 6'4" 201 · 24	39.4	35	92%	2	2	3	0	2	2	0	2	4-4	100%	8-12	67%	5-6	83%
Nikola Vučević #9 · C · 6'9" 265 · 33	38.9	16	47%	14	6	0	1	1	2	4	10	1-2	50%	6-11	55%	1-5	20%
Alex Caruso #6 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 30	34.8	12	46%	2	4	2	0	2	5	1	1	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	2-8	25%
Torrey Craig #13 · PF · 6'6" 215 · 33	24.7	10	56%	4	1	0	1	2	3	1	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-4	50%
DeMar DeRozan #11 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 35	23.6	16	42%	2	2	2	0	0	1	0	2	8-9	89%	4-14	29%	0-1	0%

Coby White #0 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 24	29.5	13	46%	4	3	0	0	2	2	0	4	1-2	50%	3-8	38%	2-5	40%
Andre Drummond #3 · C · 6'11" 279 · 31	23.9	9	64%	8	0	1	1	2	1	3	5	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Dalen Terry #25 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 22	17.1	6	60%	7	5	0	0	0	0	3	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Onuralp Bitim #17 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	8.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jevon Carter #5 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Terry Taylor #32 · PF · 6'5" 230 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Julian Phillips #15 · SF · 6'6" 201 · 20	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Sprain
Andrew Funk #30 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Adama Sanogo #21 · C · 6'9" 245 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Henri Drell #77 · SF · 6'8" 185 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Midfoot; Surgery
Patrick Williams #44 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Midfoot; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	56%	43	23	8	3	11	17	12	31	21-25	84%	30-62	48%	12-31	39%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

18 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 22	40.0	26	57%	4	3	1	1	2	0	0	4	2-4	50%	6-10	60%	4-12	33%
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 30	39.0	9	41%	3	12	1	2	3	4	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-9	33%
Amen Thompson #1 · PF · 6'7" 200 · 21	26.3	15	68%	8	3	1	0	1	3	1	7	5-6	83%	5-8	63%	0-1	0%
Dillon Brooks #9 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	25.2	23	88%	2	1	2	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	7-7	100%	3-6	50%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · C · 6'11" 220 · 21	22.5	5	25%	7	0	0	0	3	5	1	6	1-1	100%	2-6	33%	0-4	0%

Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 38	27.5	14	78%	7	0	0	1	0	3	2	5	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	3-6	50%
Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 28	26.9	17	71%	12	5	0	2	3	2	7	5	5-5	100%	6-10	60%	0-0	-
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 27	18.4	15	107%	3	1	1	0	1	2	1	2	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	3-4	75%
Reggie Bullock Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 33	11.0	3	75%	3	0	1	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 28	3.2	0	0%	0	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jermaine Samuels Jr. #00 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nate Hinton #14 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Tibia; Surgery
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCL Surgery
Cam Whitmore #7 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	127	61%	49	27	7	6	14	21	13	36	16-20	80%	30-48	63%	17-45	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CHI	HOU
Clock	Team	Event	CHI	HOU

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI

1.11 55.7%

HOU

1.21 60.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHI

63%

HOU

69%

Midrange

CHI

33%

HOU

55%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHI

18.0

39%

58%

HOU

25.5

38%

57%

Free Throws

CHI

84%

HOU

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Dosunmu	35	92%	17.5 / 19
N. Vučević	16	47%	8.0 / 17
D. DeRozan	16	42%	8.0 / 19
C. White	13	46%	6.5 / 14
A. Caruso	12	46%	6.0 / 13
T. Craig	10	56%	5.0 / 9
A. Drummond	9	64%	4.5 / 7
D. Terry	6	60%	3.0 / 5
O. Bitim	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Green	26	57%	13.0 / 23
D. Brooks	23	88%	11.5 / 13
J. Landale	17	71%	8.5 / 12
A. Thompson	15	68%	7.5 / 11
A. Holiday	15	107%	7.5 / 7
J. Green	14	78%	7.0 / 9
F. VanVleet	9	41%	4.5 / 11
J. Smith	5	25%	2.5 / 10
R. Bullock	3	75%	1.5 / 2
J. Tate	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 114.1 20 113.8	CHI 114.7 HOU 124.5 +9.8
Pace	28 97.1 13 99.6	CHI 103.4 +2.8 HOU 100.6
Avg. Poss. Time	14 14.7 22 14.2	CHI 13.9 −0.4 HOU 14.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	22 53.4% 27 52.9%	CHI 51.6% HOU 59.7% +8.1%
TO %	4 11.9% 8 12.1%	CHI 9.6% −4.0% HOU 13.6%
ORB %	9 25.1% 10 25.1%	CHI 25.0% HOU 29.5% +4.5%
FTrt	19 23.6 9 25.7	CHI 26.9 +5.4 HOU 21.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	28 59.4% 27 59.4%	CHI 54.8% HOU 57.4% +2.6%
STL %	8 7.9% 9 7.8%	CHI 7.8% +0.9% HOU 6.9%
BLK %	9 9.9% 11 9.7%	CHI 6.3% HOU 9.7% +3.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	23 55.4% 24 55.2%	CHI 55.7% HOU 60.5% +4.8%
Rim FG%	26 60.9% 24 61.2%	CHI 62.5% HOU 69.2% +6.7%
Mid FG%	7 45.2% 21 41.2%	CHI 33.3% HOU 54.5% +21.2%
3P %	20 35.8% 23 35.2%	CHI 38.7% +0.9% HOU 37.8%
FT %	10 79.1% 20 77.3%	CHI 84.0% +4.0% HOU 80.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	17 33.0% 6 35.5%	CHI 34.4% +6.5% HOU 28.0%
Mid Att. %	29 31.2% 3 24.7%	CHI 32.3% HOU 23.7% −8.6%
3P Att. %	29 35.8% 13 39.7%	CHI 33.3% HOU 48.4% +15.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CHI	HOU
Possessions	102	102
Possession Minutes	23.7	24.3
Points	117	127
Rebounds	43	49
Assists	23	27
Steals	8	7
Blocks	3	6
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	14 (2)
Fouls	17	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (2)	13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (0)	36 (3)
Field Goals	42-93	47-93
At-the-Rim FG	20-32	18-26
Midrange FG	10-30	12-22
2-Point FG	30-62	30-48
3-Point FG	12-31	17-45
Free Throws	21-25	16-20
Fast Break Pts	14	23
2nd Chance Pts	11	16
Points in Paint	54	46
Pts off Turnovers	22	15
Bench Points	28	49
Biggest Lead	4	19

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg