Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, March 21, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	8	Knicks	37%	108	100	112.4	89	91.2
	2	Nuggets	63%	113	113	124.2	91	88.8

Scoring Opportunities

NYK

-9

DEN

+14

-9

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NYK

1.14 56.8%

DEN

1.18 58.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

8 New York Knicks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Miles McBride #2 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 24	44.1	11	55%	3	3	1	1	0	2	0	3	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	1-5	20%
Josh Hart #3 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 29	35.6	2	20%	3	1	0	0	1	4	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Jalen Brunson #11 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 28	34.1	26	54%	2	9	0	0	0	1	0	2	2-3	67%	9-16	56%	2-7	29%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · PF · 6'4" 203 · 27	31.0	11	50%	2	4	2	1	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-8	38%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 26	26.5	20	83%	8	3	1	2	3	6	3	5	4-5	80%	8-10	80%	0-0	-

Precious Achiuwa #5 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 25	25.4	9	90%	5	3	0	2	0	2	0	5	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-1	100%
Alec Burks #18 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 33	20.6	18	64%	5	1	2	0	3	1	0	5	5-7	71%	2-5	40%	3-6	50%
Bojan Bogdanović #44 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 35	14.4	3	30%	1	2	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-2	50%
Jericho Sims #45 · C · 6'10" 250 · 25	8.4	0	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Shake Milton #13 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mamadi Diakite #25 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
DaQuan Jeffries #21 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Charlie Brown Jr. #4 · SG · 6'6" 199 · 27	INACTIVE
Duane Washington Jr. #1 · SG · 6'2" 197 · 24	INACTIVE
Jacob Toppin #00 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 24	INACTIVE
Mitchell Robinson #23 · C · 7'0" 240 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
OG Anunoby #8 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Injury Management
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Dislocated
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	57%	31	28	6	4	9	18	4	27	13-17	76%	27-48	56%	11-31	35%

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8 New York Knicks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Miles McBride #2 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 24	44.1	11	55%	3	3	1	1	0	2	0	3	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	1-5	20%
Josh Hart #3 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 29	35.6	2	20%	3	1	0	0	1	4	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Jalen Brunson #11 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 28	34.1	26	54%	2	9	0	0	0	1	0	2	2-3	67%	9-16	56%	2-7	29%
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · PF · 6'4" 203 · 27	31.0	11	50%	2	4	2	1	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-8	38%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 26	26.5	20	83%	8	3	1	2	3	6	3	5	4-5	80%	8-10	80%	0-0	-

Precious Achiuwa #5 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 25	25.4	9	90%	5	3	0	2	0	2	0	5	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-1	100%
Alec Burks #18 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 33	20.6	18	64%	5	1	2	0	3	1	0	5	5-7	71%	2-5	40%	3-6	50%
Bojan Bogdanović #44 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 35	14.4	3	30%	1	2	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-2	50%
Jericho Sims #45 · C · 6'10" 250 · 25	8.4	0	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Shake Milton #13 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mamadi Diakite #25 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
DaQuan Jeffries #21 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Charlie Brown Jr. #4 · SG · 6'6" 199 · 27	INACTIVE
Duane Washington Jr. #1 · SG · 6'2" 197 · 24	INACTIVE
Jacob Toppin #00 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 24	INACTIVE
Mitchell Robinson #23 · C · 7'0" 240 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Surgery
OG Anunoby #8 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Injury Management
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Dislocated
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	57%	31	28	6	4	9	18	4	27	13-17	76%	27-48	56%	11-31	35%

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2 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	39.3	30	60%	14	11	1	0	1	1	2	12	6-7	86%	12-22	55%	0-1	0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	37.0	6	60%	4	3	1	3	1	4	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	36.9	31	91%	8	0	0	0	1	1	1	7	2-2	100%	10-10	100%	3-6	50%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	35.2	10	56%	4	8	1	0	0	1	3	1	0-1	0%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	34.2	23	52%	6	4	2	0	4	1	2	4	4-4	100%	8-18	44%	1-2	50%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	13.5	3	50%	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	3	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	13.0	4	50%	0	4	0	1	1	1	0	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	12.8	4	50%	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	9.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	8.6	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Low Back; Pain
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	59%	42	31	5	6	9	14	9	33	17-20	85%	39-64	61%	6-20	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	NYK	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	NYK	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

NYK

1.14 56.8%

DEN

1.18 58.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

NYK

64%

DEN

70%

Midrange

NYK

50%

DEN

46%

3PT | Effective 3PT

NYK

16.5

35%

53%

DEN

9.0

30%

45%

Free Throws

NYK

76%

DEN

85%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Knicks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Brunson	26	54%	13.0 / 24
I. Hartenstein	20	83%	10.0 / 12
A. Burks	18	64%	9.0 / 14
M. McBride	11	55%	5.5 / 10
D. DiVincenzo	11	50%	5.5 / 11
P. Achiuwa	9	90%	4.5 / 5
B. Bogdanovic	3	30%	1.5 / 5
J. Hart	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Porter	31	91%	15.5 / 17
N. Jokić	30	60%	15.0 / 25
J. Murray	23	52%	11.5 / 22
A. Gordon	10	56%	5.0 / 9
K. Caldwell-Pope	6	60%	3.0 / 5
R. Jackson	4	50%	2.0 / 4
P. Watson	4	50%	2.0 / 4
C. Braun	3	50%	1.5 / 3
D. Jordan	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Holiday	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 117.4 5 117.9	NYK 112.4 DEN 124.2 +11.8
Pace	30 96.0 26 97.4	NYK 91.2 +2.5 DEN 88.8
Avg. Poss. Time	1 15.5 4 15.0	NYK 15.8 −0.4 DEN 16.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	16 54.0% 8 56.2%	NYK 55.1% DEN 57.1% +2.0%
TO %	16 12.7% 7 12.1%	NYK 10.4% DEN 9.7% −0.7%
ORB %	1 29.4% 6 25.5%	NYK 10.8% DEN 25.0% +14.2%
FTrt	14 24.6 24 22.4	NYK 21.5 DEN 23.8 +2.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	29 59.0% 5 66.9%	NYK 73.7% +4.8% DEN 68.9%
STL %	10 7.8% 20 7.3%	NYK 6.7% +1.2% DEN 5.5%
BLK %	18 9.1% 25 8.7%	NYK 6.3% DEN 12.5% +6.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	20 56.1% 11 57.5%	NYK 56.8% DEN 58.9% +2.1%
Rim FG%	25 61.0% 17 63.6%	NYK 63.6% DEN 70.0% +6.4%
Mid FG%	14 44.1% 3 47.0%	NYK 50.0% +4.2% DEN 45.8%
3P %	14 36.9% 10 37.4%	NYK 35.5% +5.5% DEN 30.0%
FT %	16 78.0% 25 76.2%	NYK 76.5% DEN 85.0% +8.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	23 31.8% 4 36.0%	NYK 27.8% DEN 47.6% +19.8%
Mid Att. %	20 27.8% 25 28.8%	NYK 32.9% DEN 28.6% −4.3%
3P Att. %	11 40.4% 30 35.2%	NYK 39.2% +15.4% DEN 23.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	NYK	DEN
Possessions	89	91
Possession Minutes	23.4	24.6
Points	100	113
Rebounds	31	42
Assists	28	31
Steals	6	5
Blocks	4	6
Turnovers (Team)	9 (1)	9 (1)
Fouls	18	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	4 (4)	9 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (0)	33 (2)
Field Goals	38-79	45-84
At-the-Rim FG	14-22	28-40
Midrange FG	13-26	11-24
2-Point FG	27-48	39-64
3-Point FG	11-31	6-20
Free Throws	13-17	17-20
Fast Break Pts	7	16
2nd Chance Pts	8	17
Points in Paint	46	66
Pts off Turnovers	15	13
Bench Points	30	13
Biggest Lead	6	14

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg