Final Win Prob. pScore
951%108
111
1749%107
88
ORTG#PossPace
NOP logo Pelicans
124.78993.4
MIA logo Heat
98.98985.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

HeatPelicansQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPelicansQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOPMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.111
88
Q4 - 0:10.2PelicansPelicans turnover (shot clock violation)111
88
Q4 - 0:34.4HeatCole Swider makes three point running jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)111
88
Q4 - 0:40.9HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound111
85
Q4 - 0:42.9PelicansJordan Hawkins misses two point running alley-oop dunk111
85
Q4 - 0:45.8HeatJamal Cain turnover (lost ball) (Cody Zeller steals)111
85
Q4 - 0:54.4PelicansMatt Ryan makes three point jump shot (Jose Alvarado assists)111
85
Q4 - 0:55.8PelicansJose Alvarado offensive rebound108
85
Q4 - 0:58.5PelicansJordan Hawkins misses two point pullup jump shot108
85
Q4 - 1:12HeatCole Swider makes three point jump shot (Jamal Cain assists)108
85
Q4 - 1:30PelicansJordan Hawkins makes three point jump shot (Jose Alvarado assists)108
82
Q4 - 1:40HeatJamal Cain makes two point putback layup105
82
Q4 - 1:40HeatJamal Cain offensive rebound105
80
Q4 - 1:40HeatJamal Cain misses two point floating jump shot105
80
Q4 - 1:56PelicansJeremiah Robinson-Earl makes two point driving layup (Matt Ryan assists)105
80
Q4 - 2:11HeatDelon Wright makes two point driving finger roll layup (Orlando Robinson assists)103
80
Q4 - 2:20HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound103
78
Q4 - 2:25PelicansMatt Ryan misses two point driving floating jump shot103
78
Q4 - 2:37PelicansCody Zeller defensive rebound103
78
Q4 - 2:40HeatJamal Cain misses three point jump shot103
78
Q4 - 2:59PelicansCody Zeller makes regular free throw 2 of 2103
78
Q4 - 2:59PelicansCody Zeller misses regular free throw 1 of 2102
78
Q4 - 2:59HeatDelon Wright shooting foul (Cody Zeller draws the foul)102
78
Q4 - 2:59PelicansCody Zeller offensive rebound102
78
Q4 - 2:59PelicansOrlando Robinson blocks Jose Alvarado's two point layup102
78
Q4 - 3:10Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Hawkins, Jose Alvarado, Matt Ryan, Jeremiah Robinson-Earl, Cody Zeller)102
78
Q4 - 3:10Pelicans 60 second timeout102
78
Q4 - 3:18HeatCole Swider makes two point pullup jump shot (Orlando Robinson assists)102
78
Q4 - 3:36PelicansJose Alvarado makes three point jump shot (CJ McCollum assists)102
76
Q4 - 3:46Heat lineup change (Jamal Cain, Delon Wright, Cole Swider, Orlando Robinson, Haywood Highsmith)99
76
Q4 - 3:46Pelicans 60 second timeout99
76
Q4 - 3:55PelicansCJ McCollum defensive rebound99
76
Q4 - 3:57HeatTerry Rozier misses two point tip layup99
76
Q4 - 3:57HeatTerry Rozier offensive rebound99
76
Q4 - 3:58HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving layup99
76
Q4 - 4:05HeatCole Swider defensive rebound99
76
Q4 - 4:08PelicansHerbert Jones misses three point pullup jump shot99
76
Q4 - 4:27PelicansJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound99
76
Q4 - 4:30HeatTerry Rozier misses three point pullup jump shot99
76
Q4 - 4:48PelicansCJ McCollum makes three point jump shot (Trey Murphy III assists)99
76
Q4 - 5:03PelicansTrey Murphy III defensive rebound96
76
Q4 - 5:06HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 296
76
Q4 - 5:06Pelicans lineup change (Jose Alvarado, Jonas Valanciunas, Herbert Jones, CJ McCollum, Trey Murphy III)96
76
Q4 - 5:06HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 296
76
Q4 - 5:06PelicansJonas Valanciunas shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)96
75
Q4 - 5:15PelicansNaji Marshall makes two point floating jump shot (CJ McCollum assists)96
75
Q4 - 5:39HeatTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)94
75
Q4 - 5:40HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound94
72
Q4 - 5:43HeatCole Swider misses three point jump shot94
72
Q4 - 5:58PelicansCJ McCollum makes two point driving floating jump shot94
72
Q4 - 6:11HeatTerry Rozier personal foul (Jonas Valanciunas draws the foul)92
72
Q4 - 6:18PelicansNaji Marshall defensive rebound92
72
Q4 - 6:22HeatJimmy Butler misses two point alley-oop dunk92
72
Q4 - 6:31PelicansNaji Marshall personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)92
72
Q4 - 6:40PelicansJose Alvarado makes three point stepback jump shot92
72
Q4 - 6:48PelicansJose Alvarado offensive rebound89
72
Q4 - 6:51PelicansCJ McCollum misses two point floating jump shot89
72
Q4 - 7:16HeatBam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)89
72
Q4 - 7:35Heat lineup change (Cole Swider, Bam Adebayo, Haywood Highsmith, Terry Rozier, Jimmy Butler)89
69
Q4 - 7:35Heat 60 second timeout89
69
Q4 - 7:35PelicansJonas Valanciunas makes two point layup (Herbert Jones assists)89
69
Q4 - 7:48PelicansNaji Marshall defensive rebound87
69
Q4 - 7:54HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point running pullup jump shot87
69
Q4 - 7:58HeatCole Swider defensive rebound87
69
Q4 - 8:01PelicansCJ McCollum misses three point stepback jump shot87
69
Q4 - 8:20HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup87
69
Q4 - 8:38PelicansCJ McCollum makes three point stepback jump shot87
67
Q4 - 8:50PelicansJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound84
67
Q4 - 8:54HeatDelon Wright misses three point jump shot84
67
Q4 - 9:06HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound84
67
Q4 - 9:10PelicansJose Alvarado misses three point jump shot84
67
Q4 - 9:28PelicansJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound84
67
Q4 - 9:31HeatDelon Wright misses regular free throw 2 of 284
67
Q4 - 9:31Heat lineup change (Delon Wright, Cole Swider, Bam Adebayo, Haywood Highsmith, Jimmy Butler)84
67
Q4 - 9:31HeatDelon Wright makes regular free throw 1 of 284
67
Q4 - 9:31PelicansJonas Valanciunas shooting foul (Delon Wright draws the foul)84
66
Q4 - 9:42PelicansJose Alvarado makes two point driving floating jump shot84
66
Q4 - 9:53PelicansHerbert Jones defensive rebound82
66
Q4 - 9:55HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot82
66
Q4 - 10:14PelicansJose Alvarado personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)82
66
Q4 - 10:34Heat lineup change (Delon Wright, Cole Swider, Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler)82
66
Q4 - 10:34Heat 60 second timeout82
66
Q4 - 10:34PelicansNaji Marshall makes two point running dunk (Jose Alvarado assists)82
66
Q4 - 10:36PelicansJose Alvarado defensive rebound80
66
Q4 - 10:39HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot80
66
Q4 - 10:58PelicansCJ McCollum makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jose Alvarado assists)80
66
Q4 - 11:07Heat lineup change (Delon Wright, Cole Swider, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo)78
66
Q4 - 11:07Stoppage (Out of bounds)78
66
Q4 - 11:07PelicansPelicans defensive rebound78
66
Q4 - 11:07HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving layup78
66
Q4 - 11:26PelicansJonas Valanciunas makes two point turnaround jump shot (CJ McCollum assists)78
66
Q4 - 11:38Stoppage (Out of bounds)76
66
Q4 - 11:38PelicansPelicans offensive rebound76
66
Q4 - 11:41PelicansCJ McCollum misses three point jump shot76
66
Q4 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Delon Wright, Cole Swider, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Caleb Martin)76
66
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.76
66
Q3 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound76
66
Q3 - 0:00.0HeatDelon Wright misses three point pullup jump shot76
66
Q3 - 0:05.2PelicansCJ McCollum makes three point pullup jump shot76
66
Q3 - 0:26.3HeatThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 2 of 273
66
Q3 - 0:26.3Heat lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Delon Wright, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Caleb Martin, Haywood Highsmith)73
65
Q3 - 0:26.3HeatThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 1 of 273
65
Q3 - 0:26.3PelicansJonas Valanciunas personal foul (Loose ball) (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)73
64
Q3 - 0:26.3HeatHeat defensive rebound73
64
Q3 - 0:27.5PelicansNaji Marshall misses two point pullup jump shot73
64
Q3 - 0:51.2HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 173
64
Q3 - 0:51.2Heat lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Delon Wright, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler)73
63
Q3 - 0:51.2PelicansJonas Valanciunas shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)73
63
Q3 - 0:51.2HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)73
63
Q3 - 1:00PelicansNaji Marshall makes two point running pullup jump shot (Herbert Jones assists)73
61
Q3 - 1:02PelicansHerbert Jones defensive rebound71
61
Q3 - 1:07HeatCaleb Martin misses three point running pullup jump shot71
61
Q3 - 1:10HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound71
61
Q3 - 1:15PelicansThomas Bryant blocks Naji Marshall's two point driving layup71
61
Q3 - 1:42HeatThomas Bryant makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)71
61
Q3 - 2:00PelicansNaji Marshall makes two point driving finger roll layup71
58
Q3 - 2:10PelicansNaji Marshall defensive rebound69
58
Q3 - 2:14HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot69
58
Q3 - 2:26Pelicans lineup change (Jose Alvarado, Jonas Valanciunas, Herbert Jones, CJ McCollum, Naji Marshall)69
58
Q3 - 2:26PelicansHerbert Jones personal foul (Loose ball) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)69
58
Q3 - 2:26HeatHeat offensive rebound69
58
Q3 - 2:27HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving floating jump shot69
58
Q3 - 2:47PelicansNaji Marshall makes three point jump shot (Trey Murphy III assists)69
58
Q3 - 3:06HeatThomas Bryant makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)66
58
Q3 - 3:25PelicansTrey Murphy III makes regular free throw 2 of 266
55
Q3 - 3:25Pelicans lineup change (Jose Alvarado, Jonas Valanciunas, Herbert Jones, Trey Murphy III, Naji Marshall)65
55
Q3 - 3:25PelicansTrey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 265
55
Q3 - 3:25HeatTerry Rozier shooting foul (Trey Murphy III draws the foul)64
55
Q3 - 3:29PelicansLarry Nance Jr. offensive rebound64
55
Q3 - 3:32PelicansTrey Murphy III misses three point pullup jump shot64
55
Q3 - 3:48HeatTerry Rozier makes two point cutting layup (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)64
55
Q3 - 4:09HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound64
53
Q3 - 4:12PelicansNaji Marshall misses three point pullup jump shot64
53
Q3 - 4:25Pelicans lineup change (Jose Alvarado, Larry Nance Jr., Zion Williamson, Trey Murphy III, Naji Marshall)64
53
Q3 - 4:25Pelicans 60 second timeout64
53
Q3 - 4:32HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)64
53
Q3 - 4:38HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound64
50
Q3 - 4:41PelicansTrey Murphy III misses two point driving layup64
50
Q3 - 4:53PelicansNaji Marshall defensive rebound64
50
Q3 - 4:56HeatZion Williamson blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point cutting layup64
50
Q3 - 5:16HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound64
50
Q3 - 5:18PelicansZion Williamson misses two point driving floating bank jump shot64
50
Q3 - 5:25PelicansZion Williamson defensive rebound64
50
Q3 - 5:28HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot64
50
Q3 - 5:31Heat lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Caleb Martin, Terry Rozier, Jimmy Butler)64
50
Q3 - 5:31Pelicans lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Zion Williamson, CJ McCollum, Trey Murphy III, Naji Marshall)64
50
Q3 - 5:31Stoppage (Out of bounds)64
50
Q3 - 5:51PelicansCJ McCollum makes three point pullup jump shot64
50
Q3 - 6:03PelicansCJ McCollum offensive rebound61
50
Q3 - 6:05PelicansTrey Murphy III misses three point jump shot61
50
Q3 - 6:16Stoppage (Out of bounds)61
50
Q3 - 6:16PelicansPelicans defensive rebound61
50
Q3 - 6:17HeatNikola Jovic misses three point pullup jump shot61
50
Q3 - 6:40PelicansHerbert Jones makes regular free throw 2 of 261
50
Q3 - 6:40PelicansHerbert Jones makes regular free throw 1 of 260
50
Q3 - 6:40HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Herbert Jones draws the foul)59
50
Q3 - 6:56HeatTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)59
50
Q3 - 7:15Stoppage (Other)59
47
Q3 - 7:17PelicansCJ McCollum makes two point pullup jump shot59
47
Q3 - 7:30HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)57
47
Q3 - 7:31HeatHeat offensive rebound57
47
Q3 - 7:32HeatHerbert Jones blocks Jimmy Butler's two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot57
47
Q3 - 7:54Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier, Nikola Jovic, Jimmy Butler)57
47
Q3 - 7:54PelicansZion Williamson turnover (offensive foul)57
47
Q3 - 7:54PelicansZion Williamson offensive foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)57
47
Q3 - 8:06HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)57
47
Q3 - 8:27Heat 60 second timeout57
45
Q3 - 8:27PelicansZion Williamson makes two point cutting dunk (Trey Murphy III assists)57
45
Q3 - 8:34HeatNikola Jovic turnover (lost ball) (CJ McCollum steals)55
45
Q3 - 8:56PelicansHerbert Jones makes regular free throw 1 of 155
45
Q3 - 8:56HeatNikola Jovic shooting foul (Herbert Jones draws the foul)54
45
Q3 - 8:56PelicansHerbert Jones makes two point reverse layup (Zion Williamson assists)54
45
Q3 - 9:15PelicansTrey Murphy III defensive rebound52
45
Q3 - 9:18HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot52
45
Q3 - 9:29HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound52
45
Q3 - 9:31PelicansHerbert Jones misses three point jump shot52
45
Q3 - 9:40PelicansZion Williamson defensive rebound52
45
Q3 - 9:43HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot52
45
Q3 - 10:11PelicansTrey Murphy III makes three point jump shot (Larry Nance Jr. assists)52
45
Q3 - 10:25PelicansTrey Murphy III defensive rebound49
45
Q3 - 10:28HeatTerry Rozier misses two point pullup jump shot49
45
Q3 - 10:44HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound49
45
Q3 - 10:48PelicansLarry Nance Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 249
45
Q3 - 10:48PelicansLarry Nance Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 249
45
Q3 - 10:48HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Larry Nance Jr. draws the foul)48
45
Q3 - 10:48PelicansLarry Nance Jr. offensive rebound48
45
Q3 - 10:48PelicansTrey Murphy III misses two point driving layup48
45
Q3 - 10:55PelicansZion Williamson offensive rebound48
45
Q3 - 10:58PelicansCJ McCollum misses three point running jump shot48
45
Q3 - 11:03PelicansLarry Nance Jr. defensive rebound48
45
Q3 - 11:06HeatNikola Jovic misses two point driving layup48
45
Q3 - 11:23PelicansZion Williamson makes two point driving layup48
45
Q3 - 11:31Stoppage (Out of bounds)46
45
Q3 - 11:42HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 146
45
Q3 - 11:42PelicansZion Williamson shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)46
44
Q3 - 11:42HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup46
44
Q3 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Patty Mills, Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier, Nikola Jovic, Jimmy Butler)46
42
Q3 - 12:00Pelicans lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Zion Williamson, Herbert Jones, CJ McCollum, Trey Murphy III)46
42
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.46
42
Q2 - 0:02.3PelicansTrey Murphy III offensive rebound46
42
Q2 - 0:02.3PelicansTrey Murphy III misses three point jump shot46
42
Q2 - 0:21.8PelicansJose Alvarado defensive rebound46
42
Q2 - 0:24.8HeatNikola Jovic misses two point driving finger roll layup46
42
Q2 - 0:34.5HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound46
42
Q2 - 0:38.0PelicansCJ McCollum misses three point stepback jump shot46
42
Q2 - 0:43.3PelicansZion Williamson offensive rebound46
42
Q2 - 0:46.8PelicansJose Alvarado misses two point driving layup46
42
Q2 - 1:03HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (CJ McCollum draws the foul)46
42
Q2 - 1:08HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 146
42
Q2 - 1:08PelicansJose Alvarado shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)46
41
Q2 - 1:08HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running layup46
41
Q2 - 1:11PelicansJose Alvarado turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)46
39
Q2 - 1:24HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 246
39
Q2 - 1:24Pelicans lineup change (Jose Alvarado, Larry Nance Jr., Zion Williamson, CJ McCollum, Trey Murphy III)46
38
Q2 - 1:24Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Haywood Highsmith, Terry Rozier, Nikola Jovic, Jimmy Butler)46
38
Q2 - 1:24HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 246
38
Q2 - 1:24PelicansHerbert Jones shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)46
37
Q2 - 1:40HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound46
37
Q2 - 1:43PelicansCJ McCollum misses three point pullup jump shot46
37
Q2 - 1:52PelicansTrey Murphy III defensive rebound46
37
Q2 - 1:54HeatBam Adebayo misses two point finger roll layup46
37
Q2 - 2:18PelicansCJ McCollum makes two point driving floating jump shot (Zion Williamson assists)46
37
Q2 - 2:38HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 244
37
Q2 - 2:38HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 244
36
Q2 - 2:38Heat lineup change (Cole Swider, Bam Adebayo, Haywood Highsmith, Terry Rozier, Jimmy Butler)44
35
Q2 - 2:38Pelicans 60 second timeout44
35
Q2 - 2:38PelicansHerbert Jones shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)44
35
Q2 - 2:49PelicansCJ McCollum makes two point driving floating bank jump shot44
35
Q2 - 2:56PelicansTrey Murphy III defensive rebound42
35
Q2 - 2:59HeatTerry Rozier misses two point stepback jump shot42
35
Q2 - 3:18Pelicans lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Zion Williamson, Herbert Jones, CJ McCollum, Trey Murphy III)42
35
Q2 - 3:18PelicansZion Williamson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)42
35
Q2 - 3:18PelicansZion Williamson offensive rebound42
35
Q2 - 3:19PelicansBam Adebayo blocks Zion Williamson's two point driving layup42
35
Q2 - 3:36HeatTerry Rozier makes three point pullup jump shot42
35
Q2 - 3:45PelicansZion Williamson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)42
32
Q2 - 3:58Heat lineup change (Delon Wright, Cole Swider, Bam Adebayo, Haywood Highsmith, Terry Rozier)42
32
Q2 - 3:58HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)42
32
Q2 - 3:59HeatHeat offensive rebound42
32
Q2 - 4:00HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot42
32
Q2 - 4:20HeatDelon Wright defensive rebound42
32
Q2 - 4:22PelicansTrey Murphy III misses three point running jump shot42
32
Q2 - 4:27PelicansLarry Nance Jr. defensive rebound42
32
Q2 - 4:29HeatCole Swider misses three point jump shot42
32
Q2 - 4:48PelicansHerbert Jones makes three point jump shot (Jose Alvarado assists)42
32
Q2 - 4:50PelicansLarry Nance Jr. offensive rebound39
32
Q2 - 4:53PelicansJose Alvarado misses three point jump shot39
32
Q2 - 5:14HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (Delon Wright assists)39
32
Q2 - 5:29PelicansJose Alvarado makes three point jump shot (Zion Williamson assists)39
30
Q2 - 5:53HeatCole Swider makes three point jump shot (Delon Wright assists)36
30
Q2 - 6:07Pelicans lineup change (Jose Alvarado, Larry Nance Jr., Zion Williamson, Herbert Jones, Trey Murphy III)36
27
Q2 - 6:07PelicansCJ McCollum turnover (out of bounds bad pass)36
27
Q2 - 6:18PelicansHerbert Jones defensive rebound36
27
Q2 - 6:20HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot36
27
Q2 - 6:32PelicansJose Alvarado makes regular free throw 2 of 236
27
Q2 - 6:32Pelicans lineup change (Jose Alvarado, Larry Nance Jr., Zion Williamson, Herbert Jones, CJ McCollum)35
27
Q2 - 6:32PelicansJose Alvarado misses regular free throw 1 of 235
27
Q2 - 6:32HeatThomas Bryant shooting foul (Jose Alvarado draws the foul)35
27
Q2 - 6:37PelicansJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound35
27
Q2 - 6:40HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot35
27
Q2 - 6:47HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound35
27
Q2 - 6:50PelicansNaji Marshall misses two point driving floating jump shot35
27
Q2 - 7:13HeatCole Swider makes three point jump shot (Delon Wright assists)35
27
Q2 - 7:33PelicansCJ McCollum makes two point running pullup jump shot35
24
Q2 - 7:38PelicansCJ McCollum defensive rebound33
24
Q2 - 7:41HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot33
24
Q2 - 8:04Heat lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Delon Wright, Cole Swider, Haywood Highsmith, Jimmy Butler)33
24
Q2 - 8:04Heat 60 second timeout33
24
Q2 - 8:05PelicansCJ McCollum makes three point jump shot (Jose Alvarado assists)33
24
Q2 - 8:21PelicansJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound30
24
Q2 - 8:23HeatCaleb Martin misses three point pullup jump shot30
24
Q2 - 8:41PelicansNaji Marshall makes two point driving floating jump shot30
24
Q2 - 9:01PelicansNaji Marshall defensive rebound28
24
Q2 - 9:05HeatDelon Wright misses three point jump shot28
24
Q2 - 9:29PelicansCJ McCollum makes three point running pullup jump shot28
24
Q2 - 9:31PelicansCJ McCollum defensive rebound25
24
Q2 - 9:32HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point tip layup25
24
Q2 - 9:32HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound25
24
Q2 - 9:36HeatCaleb Martin misses two point running layup25
24
Q2 - 9:44PelicansCJ McCollum turnover (lost ball) (Delon Wright steals)25
24
Q2 - 9:53PelicansJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound25
24
Q2 - 9:56HeatDelon Wright misses two point driving reverse layup25
24
Q2 - 10:08HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound25
24
Q2 - 10:10PelicansJose Alvarado misses three point jump shot25
24
Q2 - 10:20HeatDelon Wright makes two point driving layup (Haywood Highsmith assists)25
24
Q2 - 10:27HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound25
22
Q2 - 10:31HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot25
22
Q2 - 10:45PelicansJonas Valanciunas makes two point jump shot (CJ McCollum assists)25
22
Q2 - 10:53PelicansJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound23
22
Q2 - 10:56HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot23
22
Q2 - 11:21PelicansJonas Valanciunas makes two point driving hook shot (CJ McCollum assists)23
22
Q2 - 11:43HeatNikola Jovic makes two point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)21
22
Q2 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Delon Wright, Caleb Martin, Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic, Jimmy Butler)21
20
Q2 - 12:00Pelicans lineup change (Jose Alvarado, Jonas Valanciunas, Herbert Jones, CJ McCollum, Naji Marshall)21
20
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.21
20
Q1 - 0:00.1PelicansLarry Nance Jr. offensive rebound21
20
Q1 - 0:00.1PelicansBam Adebayo blocks Herbert Jones's two point driving layup21
20
Q1 - 0:15.1PelicansNaji Marshall defensive rebound21
20
Q1 - 0:17.7HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot21
20
Q1 - 0:33.3PelicansJose Alvarado makes two point running finger roll layup (Naji Marshall assists)21
20
Q1 - 0:36.4HeatTerry Rozier turnover (bad pass) (Naji Marshall steals)19
20
Q1 - 0:55.3PelicansTrey Murphy III makes three point pullup jump shot19
20
Q1 - 0:59.4PelicansLarry Nance Jr. defensive rebound16
20
Q1 - 1:02HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot16
20
Q1 - 1:12PelicansTrey Murphy III makes three point jump shot16
20
Q1 - 1:35HeatTerry Rozier makes two point stepback jump shot13
20
Q1 - 1:47HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound13
18
Q1 - 1:51PelicansNaji Marshall misses two point driving floating jump shot13
18
Q1 - 2:02PelicansJose Alvarado defensive rebound13
18
Q1 - 2:04HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot13
18
Q1 - 2:17Pelicans lineup change (Jose Alvarado, Larry Nance Jr., Herbert Jones, Trey Murphy III, Naji Marshall)13
18
Q1 - 2:17PelicansZion Williamson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)13
18
Q1 - 2:27PelicansNaji Marshall defensive rebound13
18
Q1 - 2:31HeatDelon Wright misses three point jump shot13
18
Q1 - 2:53PelicansJose Alvarado turnover (out of bounds bad pass)13
18
Q1 - 2:56PelicansJose Alvarado defensive rebound13
18
Q1 - 2:59HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot13
18
Q1 - 3:10HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound13
18
Q1 - 3:13HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving layup13
18
Q1 - 3:22HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound13
18
Q1 - 3:24PelicansJose Alvarado misses two point pullup jump shot13
18
Q1 - 3:39PelicansJose Alvarado defensive rebound13
18
Q1 - 3:41HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot13
18
Q1 - 4:01Heat lineup change (Delon Wright, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier)13
18
Q1 - 4:01Heat 60 second timeout13
18
Q1 - 4:02PelicansTrey Murphy III makes three point stepback jump shot13
18
Q1 - 4:09PelicansTrey Murphy III defensive rebound10
18
Q1 - 4:13HeatPatty Mills misses three point running pullup jump shot10
18
Q1 - 4:18HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound10
18
Q1 - 4:22PelicansZion Williamson misses two point pullup jump shot10
18
Q1 - 4:38Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Caleb Martin, Patty Mills, Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier)10
18
Q1 - 4:38HeatCaleb Martin turnover (out of bounds bad pass)10
18
Q1 - 4:45PelicansJose Alvarado makes three point jump shot (Zion Williamson assists)10
18
Q1 - 4:57HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 27
18
Q1 - 4:57Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Patty Mills, Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier, Jimmy Butler)7
17
Q1 - 4:57Pelicans lineup change (Jose Alvarado, Larry Nance Jr., Zion Williamson, Trey Murphy III, Naji Marshall)7
17
Q1 - 4:57HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 27
17
Q1 - 4:57PelicansTrey Murphy III shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)7
16
Q1 - 5:03HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound7
16
Q1 - 5:06PelicansCJ McCollum misses two point pullup jump shot7
16
Q1 - 5:11PelicansCJ McCollum defensive rebound7
16
Q1 - 5:14HeatPatty Mills misses three point pullup jump shot7
16
Q1 - 5:42PelicansLarry Nance Jr. makes two point cutting dunk (CJ McCollum assists)7
16
Q1 - 5:51PelicansLarry Nance Jr. defensive rebound5
16
Q1 - 5:55HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot5
16
Q1 - 6:00HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound5
16
Q1 - 6:03PelicansZion Williamson misses two point driving layup5
16
Q1 - 6:17HeatPatty Mills makes two point driving finger roll layup5
16
Q1 - 6:39PelicansLarry Nance Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 15
14
Q1 - 6:39HeatPatty Mills shooting foul (Larry Nance Jr. draws the foul)4
14
Q1 - 6:39PelicansLarry Nance Jr. makes two point cutting layup (CJ McCollum assists)4
14
Q1 - 6:49HeatNikola Jovic makes two point layup2
14
Q1 - 7:12PelicansZion Williamson turnover (traveling)2
12
Q1 - 7:19PelicansLarry Nance Jr. defensive rebound2
12
Q1 - 7:22HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot2
12
Q1 - 7:29HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound2
12
Q1 - 7:32PelicansCJ McCollum misses two point stepback jump shot2
12
Q1 - 7:48Pelicans 60 second timeout2
12
Q1 - 7:49HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)2
12
Q1 - 8:02Pelicans lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Zion Williamson, Herbert Jones, CJ McCollum, Trey Murphy III)2
9
Q1 - 8:02PelicansTrey Murphy III turnover (out of bounds bad pass)2
9
Q1 - 8:16HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)2
9
Q1 - 8:32PelicansHerbert Jones makes two point running layup2
7
Q1 - 8:39PelicansJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound0
7
Q1 - 8:42HeatPatty Mills misses three point jump shot0
7
Q1 - 8:48HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound0
7
Q1 - 8:52PelicansZion Williamson misses two point turnaround bank hook shot0
7
Q1 - 9:15HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Patty Mills assists)0
7
Q1 - 9:26HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound0
4
Q1 - 9:29PelicansCJ McCollum misses three point jump shot0
4
Q1 - 9:39HeatPatty Mills makes two point running layup0
4
Q1 - 9:44PelicansTrey Murphy III turnover (lost ball) (Nikola Jovic steals)0
2
Q1 - 9:58HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)0
2
Q1 - 10:06HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 10:10PelicansHerbert Jones misses three point jump shot0
0
Q1 - 10:19PelicansJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 10:19HeatPatty Mills misses two point putback layup0
0
Q1 - 10:20HeatPatty Mills offensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 10:23HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot0
0
Q1 - 10:41PelicansTrey Murphy III turnover (out of bounds bad pass)0
0
Q1 - 10:52PelicansJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 10:55HeatPatty Mills misses three point jump shot0
0
Q1 - 11:06HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:09PelicansTrey Murphy III misses three point stepback jump shot0
0
Q1 - 11:16PelicansTrey Murphy III defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:20HeatTerry Rozier misses three point pullup jump shot0
0
Q1 - 11:35HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:39PelicansHerbert Jones misses two point driving floating jump shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00Jonas Valanciunas vs. Bam Adebayo (CJ McCollum gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Patty Mills, Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier, Nikola Jovic, Jimmy Butler)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Pelicans lineup change (Jonas Valanciunas, Zion Williamson, Herbert Jones, CJ McCollum, Trey Murphy III)0
0
ClockTeamEventNOPMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

NOP
1.23 61.7%
MIA
0.92 45.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOP
10
14
71%
MIA
12
21
57%
Midrange
NOP
14
32
44%
MIA
6
18
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOP
18
27.0
36
50%
75%
MIA
13
19.5
47
28%
41%
Free Throws
NOP
9
12
75%
MIA
13
15
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
NOP logo Pelicans
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. McCollum3071%15.0 / 21
J. Alvarado1765%8.5 / 13
T. Murphy1458%7.0 / 12
N. Marshall1359%6.5 / 11
H. Jones1056%5.0 / 9
J. Valančiūnas8100%4.0 / 4
L. Nance6100%3.0 / 3
Z. Williamson429%2.0 / 7
J. Hawkins350%1.5 / 3
M. Ryan375%1.5 / 2
J. Robinson-Earl2100%1.0 / 1
C. Zeller1-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler1761%8.5 / 14
C. Swider14100%7.0 / 7
T. Rozier1346%6.5 / 14
B. Adebayo1267%6.0 / 9
N. Jović1056%5.0 / 9
T. Bryant8133%4.0 / 3
D. Wright531%2.5 / 8
P. Mills429%2.0 / 7
J. Jaquez321%1.5 / 7
J. Cain233%1.0 / 3
H. Highsmith0-0.0 / 3
C. Martin0-0.0 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOP
77
+13
-12
90
MIA
85
+11
-4
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOP
1.23 61.7%
MIA
0.92 45.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
116.7
113.5
NOP 124.7 +25.8
MIA 98.9
Pace
98.5
96.7
NOP 93.4 +8.3
MIA 85.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
14.8
NOP 15.4 −1.5
MIA 16.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.8%
53.8%
NOP 62.2% +18.6%
MIA 43.6%
TO %
12.6%
12.2%
NOP 13.0%
MIA 6.1% −6.9%
ORB %
24.4%
21.8%
NOP 30.8% +17.1%
MIA 13.7%
FTrt
26.1
25.7
NOP 14.6
MIA 17.4 +2.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.4%
64.8%
NOP 59.5%
MIA 71.0% +11.5%
STL %
8.4%
7.8%
NOP 3.4%
MIA 3.4%
BLK %
9.5%
6.9%
NOP 5.1%
MIA 8.7% +3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.7%
56.2%
NOP 61.7% +15.9%
MIA 45.8%
Rim FG%
62.7%
61.2%
NOP 71.4% +14.3%
MIA 57.1%
Mid FG%
44.4%
44.2%
NOP 43.8% +10.5%
MIA 33.3%
3P %
38.3%
37.0%
NOP 50.0% +22.3%
MIA 27.7%
FT %
77.1%
81.8%
NOP 75.0%
MIA 86.7% +11.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.5%
30.4%
NOP 17.1%
MIA 24.4% +7.3%
Mid Att. %
27.2%
30.2%
NOP 39.0%
MIA 20.9% −18.1%
3P Att. %
37.3%
39.4%
NOP 43.9%
MIA 54.7% +10.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNOPMIA
Possessions8989
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points11188
Rebounds5634
Assists2522
Steals33
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)4 (2)
Fouls139
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (1)7 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)44 (2)27 (1)
Field Goals42-8231-86
At-the-Rim FG10-1412-21
Midrange FG14-326-18
2-Point FG24-4618-39
3-Point FG18-3613-47
Free Throws9-1213-15
Fast Break Pts138
2nd Chance Pts187
Points in Paint3830
Pts off Turnovers616
Bench Points4532
Biggest Lead2612

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#5 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 25
38.7
10
56%
3
2
0
1
0
3
0
3
3-3
100%
2-4
50%
1-4
25%
#3 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33
35.1
30
71%
5
7
1
0
2
0
1
4
0-0
-
6-9
67%
6-12
50%
#25 · SF · 6'8" 206 · 24
29.6
14
58%
8
3
0
0
3
1
1
7
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
4-9
44%
#1 · PF · 6'6" 284 · 24
24.8
4
29%
5
4
0
1
5
2
3
2
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-0
-
#17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32
21.7
8
100%
10
0
0
0
0
4
0
10
0-0
-
4-4
100%
0-0
-
#15 · PG · 6'0" 179 · 26
31.5
17
65%
7
6
0
0
2
2
2
5
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
4-7
57%
#22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 31
23.1
6
100%
9
1
0
0
0
0
4
5
2-3
67%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
#8 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 26
22.8
13
59%
7
1
1
0
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
5-9
56%
1-2
50%
#50 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23
3.2
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#24 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 22
3.2
3
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
#37 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 27
3.2
3
75%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
#40 · C · 7'0" 240 · 31
3.2
1
0%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
#32 · PF · 6'6" 240 · 23
Inactive - G League - On Assignment
#33 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 28
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#0 · SG · 6'7" 180 · 24
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#14 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Bone Contusion
#11 · PG · 6'7" 199 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Meniscectomy
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
62%
56
25
3
2
12
13
12
44
9-12
75%
24-46
52%
18-36
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.