Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, March 23, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	28	Raptors	40%	113	109	106.9	102	105.1
	26	Wizards	60%	117	112	112.0	100	97.1

Scoring Opportunities

TOR

+17

-12

107

WAS

+18

-17

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.01 50.5%

WAS

1.11 55.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

28 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Gary Trent Jr. #33 · PG · 6'5" 204 · 25	34.4	31	53%	4	2	3	0	0	2	1	3	10-10	100%	9-19	47%	1-7	14%
Gradey Dick #1 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 20	33.6	17	61%	2	2	0	1	0	3	0	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	3-8	38%
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 33	32.4	14	50%	6	10	2	1	3	5	1	5	6-6	100%	4-10	40%	0-1	0%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 24	32.0	12	46%	9	2	1	2	1	0	5	4	0-3	0%	6-7	86%	0-5	0%
Jahmi'us Ramsey #37 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	18.1	8	80%	4	1	0	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 28	32.5	11	39%	6	3	1	0	3	1	5	1	1-3	33%	5-12	42%	0-1	0%
Javon Freeman-Liberty #0 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 24	23.0	4	33%	4	4	2	0	3	1	1	3	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 26	15.7	7	58%	2	1	0	1	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Garrett Temple #17 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 38	10.8	3	75%	5	2	0	1	0	3	0	5	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Mouhamadou Gueye #16 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 26	7.4	2	100%	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jalen McDaniels #2 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 31	NWT - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee, MCL partial tear
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Fifth finger; torn ligament
D.J. Carton #3 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Scottie Barnes #4 · SF · 6'8" 237 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Fracture
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 25	Inactive – Personal
RJ Barrett #9 · SG · 6'6" 214 · 24	Inactive – Personal
Jontay Porter #34 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 24	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	51%	42	27	9	8	12	20	13	29	21-26	81%	32-61	52%	8-33	24%

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28 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Gary Trent Jr. #33 · PG · 6'5" 204 · 25	34.4	31	53%	4	2	3	0	0	2	1	3	10-10	100%	9-19	47%	1-7	14%
Gradey Dick #1 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 20	33.6	17	61%	2	2	0	1	0	3	0	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	3-8	38%
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 33	32.4	14	50%	6	10	2	1	3	5	1	5	6-6	100%	4-10	40%	0-1	0%
Ochai Agbaji #30 · PF · 6'5" 215 · 24	32.0	12	46%	9	2	1	2	1	0	5	4	0-3	0%	6-7	86%	0-5	0%
Jahmi'us Ramsey #37 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	18.1	8	80%	4	1	0	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 28	32.5	11	39%	6	3	1	0	3	1	5	1	1-3	33%	5-12	42%	0-1	0%
Javon Freeman-Liberty #0 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 24	23.0	4	33%	4	4	2	0	3	1	1	3	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 26	15.7	7	58%	2	1	0	1	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Garrett Temple #17 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 38	10.8	3	75%	5	2	0	1	0	3	0	5	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Mouhamadou Gueye #16 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 26	7.4	2	100%	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jalen McDaniels #2 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 31	NWT - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee, MCL partial tear
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Fifth finger; torn ligament
D.J. Carton #3 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Scottie Barnes #4 · SF · 6'8" 237 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Fracture
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 25	Inactive – Personal
RJ Barrett #9 · SG · 6'6" 214 · 24	Inactive – Personal
Jontay Porter #34 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 24	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	51%	42	27	9	8	12	20	13	29	21-26	81%	32-61	52%	8-33	24%

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26 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jordan Poole #13 · PG · 6'4" 194 · 25	38.1	18	60%	4	12	3	0	3	3	1	3	4-4	100%	4-6	67%	2-8	25%
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 23	35.8	22	50%	13	5	1	0	1	2	3	10	3-6	50%	5-11	45%	3-8	38%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 29	34.3	16	40%	9	5	0	0	4	4	0	9	2-4	50%	7-15	47%	0-3	0%
Corey Kispert #24 · SG · 6'6" 224 · 25	33.1	18	75%	1	2	1	0	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	4-6	67%
Richaun Holmes #22 · C · 6'9" 235 · 30	28.2	15	68%	14	0	0	2	2	3	7	7	3-4	75%	6-9	67%	0-0	-

Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 24	19.9	7	50%	2	2	1	0	2	3	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-5	20%
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 22	17.2	4	67%	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 25	16.4	10	71%	8	0	0	2	1	0	3	5	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 21	11.1	2	33%	1	0	0	3	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 21	3.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 23	2.9	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jules Bernard #14 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Livers #12 · PF · 6'6" 232 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Joint capsule inflammation
Eugene Omoruyi #97 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Landry Shamet #20 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Tyus Jones #5 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Lumbosacral sprain
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	55%	55	28	7	7	17	18	16	39	13-19	68%	33-57	58%	11-35	31%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	WAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.01 50.5%

WAS

1.11 55.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

TOR

71%

WAS

64%

Midrange

TOR

22%

WAS

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

TOR

12.0

24%

36%

WAS

16.5

31%

47%

Free Throws

TOR

81%

WAS

68%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Trent	31	53%	15.5 / 29
G. Dick	17	61%	8.5 / 14
K. Olynyk	14	50%	7.0 / 14
O. Agbaji	12	46%	6.0 / 13
B. Brown	11	39%	5.5 / 14
J. Ramsey	8	80%	4.0 / 5
J. Nwora	7	58%	3.5 / 6
J. Freeman-Liberty	4	33%	2.0 / 6
G. Temple	3	75%	1.5 / 2
M. Gueye	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Avdija	22	50%	11.0 / 22
J. Poole	18	60%	9.0 / 15
C. Kispert	18	75%	9.0 / 12
K. Kuzma	16	40%	8.0 / 20
R. Holmes	15	68%	7.5 / 11
M. Bagley	10	71%	5.0 / 7
J. Butler	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. Davis	4	67%	2.0 / 3
P. Baldwin	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	24 111.9 25 110.3	TOR 106.9 WAS 112.0 +5.1
Pace	12 99.9 1 103.0	TOR 105.1 +8.0 WAS 97.1
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.9 30 13.6	TOR 13.7 −1.1 WAS 14.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	21 53.5% 19 53.8%	TOR 46.8% WAS 53.8% +7.0%
TO %	21 13.4% 19 13.1%	TOR 10.2% −5.0% WAS 15.2%
ORB %	17 24.2% 29 20.0%	TOR 25.0% WAS 35.6% +10.6%
FTrt	16 24.1 27 22.1	TOR 27.7 +7.0 WAS 20.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 67.4% 9 64.9%	TOR 67.5% +3.9% WAS 63.6%
STL %	13 7.7% 19 7.3%	TOR 8.8% +1.8% WAS 7.0%
BLK %	15 9.5% 16 9.4%	TOR 14.0% +2.5% WAS 11.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 55.5% 21 55.8%	TOR 50.5% WAS 55.4% +4.9%
Rim FG%	13 64.8% 8 65.7%	TOR 71.1% +7.2% WAS 63.9%
Mid FG%	22 40.8% 28 39.8%	TOR 21.7% WAS 47.6% +25.9%
3P %	27 34.7% 25 34.8%	TOR 24.2% WAS 31.4% +7.2%
FT %	29 75.6% 24 76.4%	TOR 80.8% +12.4% WAS 68.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	5 35.6% 7 35.4%	TOR 40.4% +1.3% WAS 39.1%
Mid Att. %	17 27.5% 8 25.7%	TOR 24.5% WAS 22.8% −1.6%
3P Att. %	26 36.9% 16 38.9%	TOR 35.1% WAS 38.0% +2.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	TOR	WAS
Possessions	102	100
Possession Minutes	23.3	24.7
Points	109	112
Rebounds	42	55
Assists	27	28
Steals	9	7
Blocks	8	7
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	17 (1)
Fouls	20	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (4)	16 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (2)	39 (1)
Field Goals	40-94	44-92
At-the-Rim FG	27-38	23-36
Midrange FG	5-23	10-21
2-Point FG	32-61	33-57
3-Point FG	8-33	11-35
Free Throws	21-26	13-19
Fast Break Pts	17	15
2nd Chance Pts	9	18
Points in Paint	60	58
Pts off Turnovers	15	17
Bench Points	27	23
Biggest Lead	11	6

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg