Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, March 24, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Cavaliers	51%	107	84	88.4	95	95.3
	17	Heat	49%	106	121	128.7	94	93.7

Scoring Opportunities

CLE

-17

MIA

+13

-9

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE

1.00 50.0%

MIA

1.23 61.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

15 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 24	22.4	9	50%	3	3	0	0	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 26	22.1	9	50%	4	3	0	0	2	1	0	4	3-4	75%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 23	21.0	15	83%	4	1	0	0	2	3	0	4	5-6	83%	2-4	50%	2-2	100%
Caris LeVert #3 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 30	20.3	2	17%	3	1	1	0	0	2	1	2	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Isaac Okoro #35 · SF · 6'4" 225 · 23	19.1	3	30%	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-3	33%

Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 28	31.2	1	8%	2	6	0	0	1	2	0	2	1-1	100%	0-0	-	0-6	0%
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 24	27.0	8	57%	4	4	0	1	2	0	1	3	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Georges Niang #20 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 31	24.4	6	50%	4	2	1	0	3	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-4	50%
Marcus Morris Sr. #24 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 35	21.4	7	32%	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	2	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	0-3	0%
Damian Jones #30 · C · 7'0" 245 · 29	10.5	9	113%	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	3-3	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Emoni Bates #21 · SF · 6'9" 202 · 20	10.5	9	90%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-4	75%
Tristan Thompson #13 · PF · 6'9" 254 · 33	10.0	6	75%	3	1	0	1	2	0	2	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Isaiah Mobley #15 · PF · 6'8" 238 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Pete Nance #8 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Surgery
Max Strus #1 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Strain
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nasal; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	84	50%	30	24	3	3	17	16	4	26	15-20	75%	21-43	49%	9-29	31%

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15 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 24	22.4	9	50%	3	3	0	0	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 26	22.1	9	50%	4	3	0	0	2	1	0	4	3-4	75%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 23	21.0	15	83%	4	1	0	0	2	3	0	4	5-6	83%	2-4	50%	2-2	100%
Caris LeVert #3 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 30	20.3	2	17%	3	1	1	0	0	2	1	2	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Isaac Okoro #35 · SF · 6'4" 225 · 23	19.1	3	30%	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-3	33%

Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 28	31.2	1	8%	2	6	0	0	1	2	0	2	1-1	100%	0-0	-	0-6	0%
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 24	27.0	8	57%	4	4	0	1	2	0	1	3	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Georges Niang #20 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 31	24.4	6	50%	4	2	1	0	3	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-4	50%
Marcus Morris Sr. #24 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 35	21.4	7	32%	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	2	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	0-3	0%
Damian Jones #30 · C · 7'0" 245 · 29	10.5	9	113%	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	3-3	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Emoni Bates #21 · SF · 6'9" 202 · 20	10.5	9	90%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-4	75%
Tristan Thompson #13 · PF · 6'9" 254 · 33	10.0	6	75%	3	1	0	1	2	0	2	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Isaiah Mobley #15 · PF · 6'8" 238 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Pete Nance #8 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Surgery
Max Strus #1 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Strain
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Nasal; Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	84	50%	30	24	3	3	17	16	4	26	15-20	75%	21-43	49%	9-29	31%

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17 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 30	30.7	14	47%	3	5	1	0	0	1	0	3	2-2	100%	6-8	75%	0-6	0%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 27	27.7	15	63%	16	3	5	0	1	0	3	13	1-2	50%	7-10	70%	0-1	0%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 35	24.4	15	75%	3	6	1	0	2	3	0	3	8-9	89%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Patty Mills #88 · SG · 6'0" 185 · 36	21.7	10	63%	2	3	2	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-5	40%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 21	18.5	8	67%	0	1	1	0	2	3	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-4	50%

Delon Wright #4 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 32	30.1	8	44%	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-8	25%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 27	24.7	18	90%	5	2	1	0	0	1	2	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	4-4	100%
Thomas Bryant #31 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27	20.3	14	78%	5	3	1	0	1	5	1	4	6-6	100%	4-4	100%	0-2	0%
Caleb Martin #16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28	19.7	11	61%	2	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	3-4	75%	1-4	25%	2-3	67%
Jamal Cain #8 · SF · 6'7" 191 · 25	9.3	5	125%	2	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Cole Swider #21 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 25	7.4	3	50%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Orlando Robinson #25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24	5.4	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee/Ankle; Discomfort
Alondes Williams #15 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Medial Tendinitis
Josh Richardson #0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Surgery
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Facet; Syndrome
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Heel; Bruise
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	62%	44	29	13	0	9	17	9	35	20-23	87%	28-45	62%	15-38	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	CLE	MIA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

CLE

1.00 50.0%

MIA

1.23 61.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CLE

80%

MIA

80%

Midrange

CLE

32%

MIA

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CLE

13.5

31%

47%

MIA

22.5

39%

59%

Free Throws

CLE

75%

MIA

87%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
E. Mobley	15	83%	7.5 / 9
D. Garland	9	50%	4.5 / 9
J. Allen	9	50%	4.5 / 9
D. Jones	9	113%	4.5 / 4
E. Bates	9	90%	4.5 / 5
C. Porter	8	57%	4.0 / 7
M. Morris	7	32%	3.5 / 11
G. Niang	6	50%	3.0 / 6
T. Thompson	6	75%	3.0 / 4
I. Okoro	3	30%	1.5 / 5
C. LeVert	2	17%	1.0 / 6
S. Merrill	1	8%	0.5 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
H. Highsmith	18	90%	9.0 / 10
B. Adebayo	15	63%	7.5 / 12
J. Butler	15	75%	7.5 / 10
T. Rozier	14	47%	7.0 / 15
T. Bryant	14	78%	7.0 / 9
C. Martin	11	61%	5.5 / 9
P. Mills	10	63%	5.0 / 8
N. Jović	8	67%	4.0 / 6
D. Wright	8	44%	4.0 / 9
J. Cain	5	125%	2.5 / 2
C. Swider	3	50%	1.5 / 3
O. Robinson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	16 114.8 21 113.3	CLE 88.4 MIA 128.7 +40.3
Pace	24 97.6 29 97.0	CLE 95.3 +1.6 MIA 93.7
Avg. Poss. Time	8 14.9 10 14.8	CLE 15.1 −0.3 MIA 15.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 55.7% 20 53.8%	CLE 47.9% MIA 60.8% +12.9%
TO %	17 13.0% 9 12.2%	CLE 17.4% MIA 11.4% −6.0%
ORB %	21 23.2% 26 21.8%	CLE 10.3% MIA 25.7% +15.4%
FTrt	21 23.4 8 25.7	CLE 27.8 +0.1 MIA 27.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	3 67.1% 11 64.8%	CLE 80.0% +12.6% MIA 67.4%
STL %	16 7.5% 11 7.7%	CLE 3.2% MIA 13.8% +10.6%
BLK %	22 9.0% 30 7.7%	CLE 6.7% +6.7% MIA 0.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	13 57.1% 17 56.2%	CLE 50.0% MIA 61.7% +11.7%
Rim FG%	18 63.5% 23 61.6%	CLE 80.0% MIA 80.0%
Mid FG%	8 44.9% 13 44.3%	CLE 32.1% MIA 48.0% +15.9%
3P %	15 36.7% 12 37.0%	CLE 31.0% MIA 39.5% +8.5%
FT %	22 76.5% 5 81.8%	CLE 75.0% MIA 87.0% +12.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	8 34.8% 29 29.5%	CLE 20.8% MIA 24.1% +3.3%
Mid Att. %	2 23.0% 28 31.1%	CLE 38.9% MIA 30.1% −8.8%
3P Att. %	7 42.2% 14 39.4%	CLE 40.3% MIA 45.8% +5.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CLE	MIA
Possessions	95	94
Possession Minutes	23.9	24.1
Points	84	121
Rebounds	30	44
Assists	24	29
Steals	3	13
Blocks	3	0
Turnovers (Team)	17 (0)	9 (3)
Fouls	16	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	4 (2)	9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (1)	35 (2)
Field Goals	30-72	43-83
At-the-Rim FG	12-15	16-20
Midrange FG	9-28	12-25
2-Point FG	21-43	28-45
3-Point FG	9-29	15-38
Free Throws	15-20	20-23
Fast Break Pts	2	24
2nd Chance Pts	4	6
Points in Paint	34	50
Pts off Turnovers	11	35
Bench Points	46	59
Biggest Lead	3	45

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg