Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 25, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Grizzlies	28%	103	103	104.0	99	96.5
	11	Nuggets	72%	112	128	129.3	99	101.6

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+24

-14

109

DEN

+17

-15

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

0.94 47.2%

DEN

1.27 63.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

23 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 26	32.3	15	54%	3	3	1	0	3	2	1	2	1-1	100%	4-8	50%	2-6	33%
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 23	31.1	5	63%	9	3	1	4	1	1	2	7	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
GG Jackson #45 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 19	30.4	15	50%	3	2	1	0	1	0	1	2	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	2-8	25%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 242 · 25	26.3	11	28%	4	5	2	4	1	4	3	1	2-4	50%	3-11	27%	1-7	14%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 23	26.2	17	77%	2	4	0	0	5	3	1	1	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	3-6	50%

Lamar Stevens #24 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 27	22.9	19	79%	3	2	1	0	0	1	1	2	7-7	100%	6-9	67%	0-1	0%
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	22.9	3	14%	2	2	1	0	0	2	0	2	1-4	25%	1-2	50%	0-7	0%
Trey Jemison III #55 · C · 6'10" 270 · 24	21.7	8	67%	5	1	1	1	2	1	3	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
DeJon Jarreau #77 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 26	20.2	5	36%	4	3	0	0	1	1	2	2	0-3	0%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Mãozinha Pereira #25 · SF · 6'8" 177 · 24	5.9	5	63%	5	0	1	0	0	0	3	2	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 24	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Patellar; Tendonitis
Ziaire Williams #8 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 23	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Low Back; Hip Flexor Strain
Jordan Goodwin #0 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Derrick Rose #23 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Low Back Injury Recovery
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Heel; Soreness
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendon Repair
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Labral Repair
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ring Finger; Central Slip Tear
Yuta Watanabe #18 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 29	Inactive – Personal
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 28	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	47%	40	25	9	9	14	15	17	23	18-27	67%	26-50	52%	11-44	25%

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23 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 26	32.3	15	54%	3	3	1	0	3	2	1	2	1-1	100%	4-8	50%	2-6	33%
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 23	31.1	5	63%	9	3	1	4	1	1	2	7	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
GG Jackson #45 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 19	30.4	15	50%	3	2	1	0	1	0	1	2	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	2-8	25%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 242 · 25	26.3	11	28%	4	5	2	4	1	4	3	1	2-4	50%	3-11	27%	1-7	14%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 23	26.2	17	77%	2	4	0	0	5	3	1	1	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	3-6	50%

Lamar Stevens #24 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 27	22.9	19	79%	3	2	1	0	0	1	1	2	7-7	100%	6-9	67%	0-1	0%
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	22.9	3	14%	2	2	1	0	0	2	0	2	1-4	25%	1-2	50%	0-7	0%
Trey Jemison III #55 · C · 6'10" 270 · 24	21.7	8	67%	5	1	1	1	2	1	3	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
DeJon Jarreau #77 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 26	20.2	5	36%	4	3	0	0	1	1	2	2	0-3	0%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Mãozinha Pereira #25 · SF · 6'8" 177 · 24	5.9	5	63%	5	0	1	0	0	0	3	2	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 24	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Left Patellar; Tendonitis
Ziaire Williams #8 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 23	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Low Back; Hip Flexor Strain
Jordan Goodwin #0 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Derrick Rose #23 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Low Back Injury Recovery
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Heel; Soreness
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles; Tendon Repair
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Labral Repair
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ring Finger; Central Slip Tear
Yuta Watanabe #18 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 29	Inactive – Personal
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 28	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	47%	40	25	9	9	14	15	17	23	18-27	67%	26-50	52%	11-44	25%

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11 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	30.9	29	69%	11	8	3	1	4	4	5	6	6-7	86%	10-16	63%	1-2	50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	25.8	9	64%	2	2	1	0	2	1	0	2	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	24.1	15	68%	1	8	1	0	2	1	1	0	5-5	100%	2-6	33%	2-3	67%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 26	22.1	11	79%	4	2	1	0	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-4	75%
Christian Braun #0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	22.1	17	85%	5	2	0	0	1	2	3	2	0-0	-	7-8	88%	1-2	50%

Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	21.9	14	58%	2	1	0	0	2	3	1	1	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	2-7	29%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	21.7	10	50%	9	2	1	3	1	5	2	7	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	21.7	11	92%	3	2	2	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-4	75%
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	21.0	4	40%	4	7	1	0	2	1	0	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	13.9	0	0%	6	1	0	2	0	1	1	5	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	4.3	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	4.3	5	63%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	3.2	3	150%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	3.2	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Plantar; Fascia Strain
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Adductor; Tendinosis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	128	63%	50	38	10	7	15	23	15	35	17-18	94%	33-58	57%	15-32	47%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

0.94 47.2%

DEN

1.27 63.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

64%

DEN

51%

Midrange

MEM

43%

DEN

65%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

16.5

25%

38%

DEN

22.5

47%

70%

Free Throws

MEM

67%

DEN

94%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Stevens	19	79%	9.5 / 12
S. Pippen	17	77%	8.5 / 11
D. Bane	15	54%	7.5 / 14
G. Jackson	15	50%	7.5 / 15
J. Jackson	11	28%	5.5 / 20
T. Jemison	8	67%	4.0 / 6
S. Aldama	5	63%	2.5 / 4
D. Jarreau	5	36%	2.5 / 7
M. Pereira	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. LaRavia	3	14%	1.5 / 11

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	29	69%	14.5 / 21
C. Braun	17	85%	8.5 / 10
R. Jackson	15	68%	7.5 / 11
J. Strawther	14	58%	7.0 / 12
M. Porter	11	79%	5.5 / 7
J. Holiday	11	92%	5.5 / 6
P. Watson	10	50%	5.0 / 10
K. Caldwell-Pope	9	64%	4.5 / 7
H. Tyson	5	63%	2.5 / 4
C. Gillespie	4	40%	2.0 / 5
B. Key	3	150%	1.5 / 1
D. Jordan	0	-	0.0 / 2
J. Pickett	0	-	0.0 / 1
J. Huff	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	30 106.8 5 117.9	MEM 104.0 DEN 129.3 +25.3
Pace	17 98.6 26 97.4	MEM 96.5 DEN 101.6 +5.0
Avg. Poss. Time	11 14.8 4 15.0	MEM 14.9 DEN 14.2 −0.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 50.9% 8 56.2%	MEM 45.2% DEN 61.7% +16.5%
TO %	27 14.3% 7 12.1%	MEM 13.8% −0.2% DEN 14.0%
ORB %	19 23.8% 6 25.5%	MEM 32.7% DEN 39.5% +6.8%
FTrt	18 23.8 24 22.4	MEM 28.7 +8.7 DEN 20.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	13 64.4% 5 66.9%	MEM 67.6% DEN 79.2% +11.6%
STL %	5 8.3% 20 7.3%	MEM 9.1% DEN 10.1% +1.0%
BLK %	1 11.9% 25 8.7%	MEM 15.5% +1.5% DEN 14.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 52.9% 11 57.5%	MEM 47.2% DEN 63.4% +16.2%
Rim FG%	30 57.8% 17 63.6%	MEM 63.6% +12.2% DEN 51.4%
Mid FG%	26 40.3% 3 47.0%	MEM 42.9% DEN 65.2% +22.3%
3P %	29 34.6% 10 37.4%	MEM 25.0% DEN 46.9% +21.9%
FT %	23 76.4% 25 76.2%	MEM 66.7% DEN 94.4% +27.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 32.3% 4 36.0%	MEM 23.4% DEN 38.9% +15.5%
Mid Att. %	4 24.9% 25 28.8%	MEM 29.8% DEN 25.6% −4.2%
3P Att. %	5 42.8% 30 35.2%	MEM 46.8% +11.3% DEN 35.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.12 and 2.12.

Game Totals	MEM	DEN
Possessions	99	99
Possession Minutes	24.6	23.4
Points	103	128
Rebounds	40	50
Assists	25	38
Steals	9	10
Blocks	9	7
Turnovers (Team)	14 (3)	15 (1)
Fouls	15	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	17 (7)	15 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	23 (3)	35 (3)
Field Goals	37-94	48-90
At-the-Rim FG	14-22	18-35
Midrange FG	12-28	15-23
2-Point FG	26-50	33-58
3-Point FG	11-44	15-32
Free Throws	18-27	17-18
Fast Break Pts	10	26
2nd Chance Pts	19	19
Points in Paint	42	52
Pts off Turnovers	17	24
Bench Points	40	47
Biggest Lead	0	31

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg