Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 25, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	4	Mavericks	69%	124	115	118.6	97	97.3
	24	Jazz	31%	117	105	108.2	97	96.7

Scoring Opportunities

DAL

+11

-6

102

UTA

+13

-12

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.13 56.4%

UTA

1.06 53.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

4 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 25	41.2	29	52%	12	13	1	1	4	3	2	10	7-8	88%	8-13	62%	2-11	18%
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 32	35.9	27	61%	3	5	0	0	2	2	0	3	3-3	100%	6-12	50%	4-9	44%
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	35.1	16	62%	4	1	1	0	0	2	3	1	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	2-6	33%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 25	27.3	13	81%	11	5	2	5	0	2	4	7	1-2	50%	6-7	86%	0-0	-
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 27	17.9	6	75%	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	2-3	67%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%

Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 32	28.6	13	46%	2	4	3	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	3-9	33%
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 20	18.3	6	100%	9	0	1	0	0	1	0	9	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 29	15.5	3	75%	1	3	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Maxi Kleber #42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 32	15.5	2	25%	3	0	0	1	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 22	3.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 33	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
A.J. Lawson #9 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 24	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Greg Brown III #36 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alex Fudge #17 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Brandon Williams #00 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Josh Green #8 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	56%	47	31	9	7	6	17	10	37	15-18	83%	32-50	64%	12-42	29%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

4 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luka Dončić #77 · PG · 6'8" 230 · 25	41.2	29	52%	12	13	1	1	4	3	2	10	7-8	88%	8-13	62%	2-11	18%
Kyrie Irving #11 · SG · 6'2" 195 · 32	35.9	27	61%	3	5	0	0	2	2	0	3	3-3	100%	6-12	50%	4-9	44%
P.J. Washington #25 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	35.1	16	62%	4	1	1	0	0	2	3	1	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	2-6	33%
Daniel Gafford #21 · C · 6'10" 265 · 25	27.3	13	81%	11	5	2	5	0	2	4	7	1-2	50%	6-7	86%	0-0	-
Derrick Jones Jr. #55 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 27	17.9	6	75%	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	2-3	67%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%

Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 32	28.6	13	46%	2	4	3	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	3-9	33%
Dereck Lively II #2 · C · 7'1" 230 · 20	18.3	6	100%	9	0	1	0	0	1	0	9	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Danté Exum #0 · PG · 6'5" 214 · 29	15.5	3	75%	1	3	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Maxi Kleber #42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 32	15.5	2	25%	3	0	0	1	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Jaden Hardy #1 · SG · 6'3" 198 · 22	3.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Dwight Powell #7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 33	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
A.J. Lawson #9 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 24	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Olivier-Maxence Prosper #18 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 22	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Greg Brown III #36 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Alex Fudge #17 · SF · 6'9" 200 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Brandon Williams #00 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Josh Green #8 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	56%	47	31	9	7	6	17	10	37	15-18	83%	32-50	64%	12-42	29%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

24 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Keyonte George #3 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 20	35.1	6	25%	5	6	2	0	3	2	0	5	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-6	0%
Lauri Markkanen #23 · SF · 7'1" 240 · 27	33.8	34	74%	7	2	1	1	1	2	3	4	8-8	100%	4-10	40%	6-9	67%
John Collins #20 · C · 6'9" 226 · 27	30.6	21	62%	11	2	2	0	0	0	3	8	1-3	33%	7-11	64%	2-5	40%
Collin Sexton #2 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 25	29.1	20	67%	2	6	0	0	1	2	1	1	1-1	100%	5-9	56%	3-6	50%
Taylor Hendricks #0 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 20	28.9	8	50%	6	1	0	1	0	3	1	5	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	1-5	20%

Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 32	33.1	4	22%	4	8	0	0	5	1	0	4	4-5	80%	0-5	0%	0-2	0%
Walker Kessler #24 · C · 7'2" 245 · 23	16.6	9	90%	4	0	1	0	0	2	1	3	1-2	50%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Brice Sensabaugh #8 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 20	16.4	3	50%	3	1	0	0	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Johnny Juzang #33 · SG · 6'7" 226 · 23	13.3	0	0%	3	2	0	0	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-4	0%
Micah Potter #25 · C · 6'9" 248 · 26	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kira Lewis Jr. #13 · PG · 6'3" 170 · 23	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ömer Yurtseven #77 · C · 6'11" 275 · 26	0.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Luka Samanic #19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 24	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Talen Horton-Tucker #5 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kris Dunn #11 · PG · 6'3" 205 · 30	DND - League Suspension
Jason Preston #10 · PG · 6'3" 181 · 25	INACTIVE
Darius Bazley #26 · PF · 6'9" 208 · 24	INACTIVE
Kenneth Lofton Jr. #35 · PF · 6'7" 275 · 22	INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	53%	46	28	6	3	12	15	11	35	18-22	82%	24-48	50%	13-39	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	UTA
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	UTA

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.13 56.4%

UTA

1.06 53.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DAL

82%

UTA

79%

Midrange

DAL

50%

UTA

21%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DAL

18.0

29%

43%

UTA

19.5

33%

50%

Free Throws

DAL

83%

UTA

82%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Dončić	29	52%	14.5 / 28
K. Irving	27	61%	13.5 / 22
P. Washington	16	62%	8.0 / 13
D. Gafford	13	81%	6.5 / 8
T. Hardaway	13	46%	6.5 / 14
D. Jones	6	75%	3.0 / 4
D. Lively	6	100%	3.0 / 3
D. Exum	3	75%	1.5 / 2
M. Kleber	2	25%	1.0 / 4
J. Hardy	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Markkanen	34	74%	17.0 / 23
J. Collins	21	62%	10.5 / 17
C. Sexton	20	67%	10.0 / 15
W. Kessler	9	90%	4.5 / 5
T. Hendricks	8	50%	4.0 / 8
K. George	6	25%	3.0 / 12
J. Clarkson	4	22%	2.0 / 9
B. Sensabaugh	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Juzang	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 117.0 18 114.6	DAL 118.6 +10.3 UTA 108.2
Pace	7 100.6 9 100.5	DAL 97.3 +0.7 UTA 96.7
Avg. Poss. Time	20 14.3 16 14.6	DAL 14.8 −0.1 UTA 14.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 56.2% 18 53.9%	DAL 54.3% +4.3% UTA 50.0%
TO %	5 12.0% 30 14.8%	DAL 5.7% −6.2% UTA 11.9%
ORB %	24 22.2% 2 28.1%	DAL 22.2% UTA 22.9% +0.7%
FTrt	13 25.1 11 25.1	DAL 19.6 UTA 25.3 +5.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 59.6% 10 64.8%	DAL 70.5% UTA 75.7% +5.2%
STL %	27 6.8% 29 6.5%	DAL 9.3% +3.1% UTA 6.2%
BLK %	26 8.7% 3 11.1%	DAL 14.6% +8.6% UTA 6.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	8 58.1% 15 56.5%	DAL 56.4% +3.4% UTA 53.0%
Rim FG%	3 68.0% 11 65.2%	DAL 81.8% +2.6% UTA 79.2%
Mid FG%	10 44.7% 20 41.3%	DAL 50.0% +29.2% UTA 20.8%
3P %	13 36.9% 22 35.4%	DAL 28.6% UTA 33.3% +4.7%
FT %	27 75.8% 1 83.0%	DAL 83.3% +1.5% UTA 81.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	30 29.3% 20 32.6%	DAL 23.9% UTA 27.6% +3.7%
Mid Att. %	13 26.6% 15 26.8%	DAL 30.4% UTA 27.6% −2.8%
3P Att. %	2 44.1% 10 40.6%	DAL 45.7% +0.8% UTA 44.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DAL	UTA
Possessions	97	97
Possession Minutes	23.9	24.1
Points	115	105
Rebounds	47	46
Assists	31	28
Steals	9	6
Blocks	7	3
Turnovers (Team)	6 (0)	12 (1)
Fouls	17	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (1)	11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (2)	35 (3)
Field Goals	44-92	37-87
At-the-Rim FG	18-22	19-24
Midrange FG	14-28	5-24
2-Point FG	32-50	24-48
3-Point FG	12-42	13-39
Free Throws	15-18	18-22
Fast Break Pts	18	14
2nd Chance Pts	17	16
Points in Paint	56	44
Pts off Turnovers	16	8
Bench Points	24	16
Biggest Lead	13	8

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg