Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, March 27, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	11	Pacers	55%	117	99	103.1	96	107.0
	19	Bulls	45%	115	125	128.9	97	88.0

Scoring Opportunities

IND

+12

-13

CHI

+19

-7

109

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.04 52.1%

CHI

1.15 57.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

11 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 24	33.8	18	69%	5	2	2	0	1	3	1	4	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	3-5	60%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 24	31.1	13	43%	4	5	0	0	2	2	2	2	2-3	67%	1-4	25%	3-11	27%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 30	30.3	14	58%	8	5	0	0	1	3	2	6	9-11	82%	1-6	17%	1-1	100%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 24	27.5	6	27%	5	3	0	0	1	4	0	5	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-9	22%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 28	24.7	12	55%	4	0	0	1	1	0	1	3	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	2-5	40%

T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 32	17.9	12	60%	1	4	0	0	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	0-1	0%
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 24	12.2	5	50%	4	0	0	0	1	4	2	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	11.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	11.1	5	125%	1	2	1	1	1	1	0	1	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 21	10.8	0	0%	1	2	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Doug McDermott #20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	10.4	3	50%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 22	8.2	6	100%	6	0	0	2	1	2	3	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 21	5.5	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 37	5.5	2	33%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Wong #21 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Oscar Tshiebwe #44 · PF · 6'8" 255 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Labral Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	52%	40	25	3	4	13	23	12	28	18-23	78%	21-43	49%	13-42	31%

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11 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 24	33.8	18	69%	5	2	2	0	1	3	1	4	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	3-5	60%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 24	31.1	13	43%	4	5	0	0	2	2	2	2	2-3	67%	1-4	25%	3-11	27%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 30	30.3	14	58%	8	5	0	0	1	3	2	6	9-11	82%	1-6	17%	1-1	100%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 24	27.5	6	27%	5	3	0	0	1	4	0	5	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-9	22%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 28	24.7	12	55%	4	0	0	1	1	0	1	3	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	2-5	40%

T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 32	17.9	12	60%	1	4	0	0	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	0-1	0%
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 24	12.2	5	50%	4	0	0	0	1	4	2	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	11.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	11.1	5	125%	1	2	1	1	1	1	0	1	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 21	10.8	0	0%	1	2	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Doug McDermott #20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	10.4	3	50%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 22	8.2	6	100%	6	0	0	2	1	2	3	3	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 21	5.5	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 37	5.5	2	33%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Quenton Jackson #29 · PG · 6'4" 173 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Wong #21 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Oscar Tshiebwe #44 · PF · 6'8" 255 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Labral Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	52%	40	25	3	4	13	23	12	28	18-23	78%	21-43	49%	13-42	31%

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19 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan #11 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 35	37.7	27	61%	6	2	1	0	0	3	1	5	8-10	80%	8-14	57%	1-4	25%
Coby White #0 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 24	35.1	18	43%	7	2	1	0	0	1	3	4	0-0	-	6-16	38%	2-5	40%
Ayo Dosunmu #12 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 24	34.0	17	77%	3	4	0	2	2	3	0	3	0-0	-	4-6	67%	3-5	60%
Alex Caruso #6 · PF · 6'5" 186 · 30	29.0	12	60%	7	7	2	0	0	1	2	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-5	40%
Nikola Vučević #9 · C · 6'9" 265 · 33	28.6	22	52%	12	2	0	1	0	1	3	9	3-3	100%	8-16	50%	1-4	25%

Javonte Green #24 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 31	19.3	5	83%	4	1	0	1	2	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Andre Drummond #3 · C · 6'11" 279 · 31	17.5	14	70%	11	3	3	0	1	2	4	7	4-5	80%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Torrey Craig #13 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 33	16.9	7	70%	2	1	0	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Dalen Terry #25 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 22	13.4	0	0%	2	4	0	1	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jevon Carter #5 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 29	4.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Onuralp Bitim #17 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 25	1.9	3	150%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Terry Taylor #32 · PF · 6'5" 230 · 25	1.9	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Henri Drell #77 · SF · 6'8" 185 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Adama Sanogo #21 · C · 6'9" 245 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Andrew Funk #30 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Julian Phillips #15 · SF · 6'6" 201 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; Sprain
Patrick Williams #44 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Midfoot; Surgery
Lonzo Ball #2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Zach LaVine #8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Midfoot; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	57%	54	28	7	5	7	19	13	41	15-18	83%	37-71	52%	12-27	44%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	CHI
Clock	Team	Event	IND	CHI

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.04 52.1%

CHI

1.15 57.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

64%

CHI

56%

Midrange

IND

20%

CHI

47%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

19.5

31%

46%

CHI

18.0

44%

67%

Free Throws

IND

78%

CHI

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Nembhard	18	69%	9.0 / 13
P. Siakam	14	58%	7.0 / 12
T. Haliburton	13	43%	6.5 / 15
M. Turner	12	55%	6.0 / 11
T. McConnell	12	60%	6.0 / 10
A. Nesmith	6	27%	3.0 / 11
I. Jackson	6	100%	3.0 / 3
J. Smith	5	50%	2.5 / 5
O. Toppin	5	125%	2.5 / 2
D. McDermott	3	50%	1.5 / 3
K. Brown	3	75%	1.5 / 2
J. Johnson	2	33%	1.0 / 3
B. Sheppard	0	-	0.0 / 2
J. Walker	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	27	61%	13.5 / 22
N. Vučević	22	52%	11.0 / 21
C. White	18	43%	9.0 / 21
A. Dosunmu	17	77%	8.5 / 11
A. Drummond	14	70%	7.0 / 10
A. Caruso	12	60%	6.0 / 10
T. Craig	7	70%	3.5 / 5
J. Green	5	83%	2.5 / 3
O. Bitim	3	150%	1.5 / 1
D. Terry	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 120.6 19 114.1	IND 103.1 CHI 128.9 +25.7
Pace	2 102.3 28 97.1	IND 107.0 +19.0 CHI 88.0
Avg. Poss. Time	29 13.7 14 14.7	IND 13.5 −2.9 CHI 16.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.8% 22 53.4%	IND 47.6% CHI 56.1% +8.5%
TO %	6 12.0% 4 11.9%	IND 12.0% CHI 7.0% −5.0%
ORB %	20 23.8% 9 25.1%	IND 22.6% CHI 31.7% +9.1%
FTrt	26 22.2 19 23.6	IND 27.1 +8.7 CHI 18.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 65.4% 28 59.4%	IND 73.5% +16.4% CHI 57.1%
STL %	15 7.5% 8 7.9%	IND 3.1% CHI 7.2% +4.1%
BLK %	14 9.5% 9 9.9%	IND 5.6% CHI 11.6% +6.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 59.4% 23 55.4%	IND 52.1% CHI 57.3% +5.2%
Rim FG%	7 65.9% 26 60.9%	IND 64.3% +7.9% CHI 56.4%
Mid FG%	1 48.8% 7 45.2%	IND 20.0% CHI 46.9% +26.9%
3P %	9 37.4% 20 35.8%	IND 31.0% CHI 44.4% +13.4%
FT %	13 78.2% 10 79.1%	IND 78.3% CHI 83.3% +5.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 36.5% 17 33.0%	IND 32.9% CHI 39.8% +6.9%
Mid Att. %	6 25.4% 29 31.2%	IND 17.6% −15.0% CHI 32.7%
3P Att. %	20 38.0% 29 35.8%	IND 49.4% +21.9% CHI 27.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.11 and 2.11.

Game Totals	IND	CHI
Possessions	96	97
Possession Minutes	21.5	26.5
Points	99	125
Rebounds	40	54
Assists	25	28
Steals	3	7
Blocks	4	5
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	7 (1)
Fouls	23	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (0)	13 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (2)	41 (1)
Field Goals	34-85	49-98
At-the-Rim FG	18-28	22-39
Midrange FG	3-15	15-32
2-Point FG	21-43	37-71
3-Point FG	13-42	12-27
Free Throws	18-23	15-18
Fast Break Pts	11	9
2nd Chance Pts	13	19
Points in Paint	38	60
Pts off Turnovers	7	15
Bench Points	36	29
Biggest Lead	4	29

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg