Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, March 27, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	18	Rockets	43%	109	132	116.8	113	96.8
	13	Thunder	57%	111	126	112.5	112	107.5

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

+18

-16

115

OKC

+15

-19

108

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.15 57.4%

OKC

1.17 58.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

18 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 22	46.4	37	77%	10	7	2	1	5	3	2	8	2-2	100%	7-13	54%	7-11	64%
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 30	43.0	13	50%	4	6	3	0	1	4	1	3	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	1-7	14%
Dillon Brooks #9 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	42.6	20	53%	4	4	1	2	3	2	0	4	1-2	50%	5-7	71%	3-11	27%
Amen Thompson #1 · PF · 6'7" 200 · 21	38.7	25	60%	15	4	1	0	1	5	6	9	5-6	83%	10-17	59%	0-1	0%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · C · 6'11" 220 · 21	35.0	16	67%	3	0	0	0	3	5	1	2	6-8	75%	2-5	40%	2-5	40%

Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 28	19.6	7	50%	6	1	1	0	1	1	3	3	1-3	33%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 38	13.4	7	44%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-5	20%
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 27	10.7	4	40%	2	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 28	9.5	0	0%	1	0	2	0	2	2	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Reggie Bullock Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 33	6.2	3	75%	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nate Hinton #14 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jermaine Samuels Jr. #00 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cam Whitmore #7 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCL Surgery
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Tibia; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	132	57%	50	25	10	3	16	24	16	34	17-23	74%	35-61	57%	15-43	35%

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18 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 22	46.4	37	77%	10	7	2	1	5	3	2	8	2-2	100%	7-13	54%	7-11	64%
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 30	43.0	13	50%	4	6	3	0	1	4	1	3	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	1-7	14%
Dillon Brooks #9 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	42.6	20	53%	4	4	1	2	3	2	0	4	1-2	50%	5-7	71%	3-11	27%
Amen Thompson #1 · PF · 6'7" 200 · 21	38.7	25	60%	15	4	1	0	1	5	6	9	5-6	83%	10-17	59%	0-1	0%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · C · 6'11" 220 · 21	35.0	16	67%	3	0	0	0	3	5	1	2	6-8	75%	2-5	40%	2-5	40%

Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 28	19.6	7	50%	6	1	1	0	1	1	3	3	1-3	33%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 38	13.4	7	44%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-5	20%
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 27	10.7	4	40%	2	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 28	9.5	0	0%	1	0	2	0	2	2	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Reggie Bullock Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 33	6.2	3	75%	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nate Hinton #14 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jermaine Samuels Jr. #00 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Cam Whitmore #7 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Sprain
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCL Surgery
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Tibia; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	132	57%	50	25	10	3	16	24	16	34	17-23	74%	35-61	57%	15-43	35%

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13 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Williams #8 · PF · 6'5" 211 · 23	37.6	23	48%	5	10	2	1	5	5	1	4	2-2	100%	6-13	46%	3-10	30%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 25	34.1	8	33%	4	2	1	1	1	2	0	4	4-4	100%	2-6	33%	0-4	0%
Josh Giddey #3 · PG · 6'7" 214 · 21	31.9	31	65%	7	4	1	1	1	2	5	2	7-11	64%	12-17	71%	0-3	0%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 20	24.5	4	40%	2	1	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Chet Holmgren #7 · C · 7'1" 208 · 22	18.3	2	33%	7	0	0	3	5	6	0	7	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-2	0%

Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 25	33.5	17	85%	3	6	0	0	1	1	0	3	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	4-6	67%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 25	25.1	16	89%	4	1	0	1	1	0	2	2	0-0	-	5-6	83%	2-3	67%
Gordon Hayward #33 · SF · 6'8" 226 · 34	21.6	13	72%	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	2-4	50%	1-4	25%	3-3	100%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 29	19.5	5	50%	9	1	1	0	0	4	5	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22	14.5	5	63%	5	0	1	0	3	2	0	5	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Mike Muscala #50 · C · 6'11" 240 · 33	4.3	2	100%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Keyontae Johnson #18 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Lindy Waters III #12 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bismack Biyombo #15 · C · 6'8" 255 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Olivier Sarr #30 · C · 6'10" 240 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ousmane Dieng #13 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · SG · 6'6" 195 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Quad; Contusion
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	126	58%	49	26	7	7	19	24	13	36	18-24	75%	33-58	57%	14-38	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	OKC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.15 57.4%

OKC

1.17 58.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

64%

OKC

58%

Midrange

HOU

48%

OKC

55%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

22.5

35%

52%

OKC

21.0

37%

55%

Free Throws

HOU

74%

OKC

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Green	37	77%	18.5 / 24
A. Thompson	25	60%	12.5 / 21
D. Brooks	20	53%	10.0 / 19
J. Smith	16	67%	8.0 / 12
F. VanVleet	13	50%	6.5 / 13
J. Landale	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. Green	7	44%	3.5 / 8
A. Holiday	4	40%	2.0 / 5
R. Bullock	3	75%	1.5 / 2
J. Tate	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Giddey	31	65%	15.5 / 24
J. Williams	23	48%	11.5 / 24
I. Joe	17	85%	8.5 / 10
A. Wiggins	16	89%	8.0 / 9
G. Hayward	13	72%	6.5 / 9
L. Dort	8	33%	4.0 / 12
K. Williams	5	50%	2.5 / 5
J. Williams	5	63%	2.5 / 4
C. Wallace	4	40%	2.0 / 5
C. Holmgren	2	33%	1.0 / 3
M. Muscala	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 113.8 3 118.3	HOU 116.8 +4.3 OKC 112.5
Pace	13 99.6 5 100.9	HOU 96.8 OKC 107.5 +10.7
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.2 27 14.0	HOU 14.9 OKC 13.4 −1.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 52.9% 3 57.3%	HOU 55.3% OKC 56.3% +1.0%
TO %	8 12.1% 3 11.7%	HOU 12.3% −2.8% OKC 15.1%
ORB %	10 25.1% 28 21.1%	HOU 30.8% +3.1% OKC 27.7%
FTrt	9 25.7 17 24.0	HOU 22.1 OKC 25.0 +2.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	27 59.4% 23 60.9%	HOU 50.0% OKC 55.3% +5.3%
STL %	9 7.8% 3 8.3%	HOU 8.8% +2.5% OKC 6.3%
BLK %	11 9.7% 2 11.3%	HOU 5.2% OKC 11.5% +6.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 55.2% 3 59.2%	HOU 57.4% OKC 58.3% +0.9%
Rim FG%	24 61.2% 10 65.4%	HOU 63.9% +5.6% OKC 58.3%
Mid FG%	21 41.2% 4 46.6%	HOU 48.0% OKC 54.5% +6.5%
3P %	23 35.2% 1 38.9%	HOU 34.9% OKC 36.8% +1.9%
FT %	20 77.3% 4 82.5%	HOU 73.9% OKC 75.0% +1.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	6 35.5% 16 33.2%	HOU 34.6% OKC 37.5% +2.9%
Mid Att. %	3 24.7% 24 28.5%	HOU 24.0% OKC 22.9% −1.1%
3P Att. %	13 39.7% 18 38.3%	HOU 41.3% +1.8% OKC 39.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	HOU	OKC
Possessions	113	112
Possession Minutes	28.0	25.0
Points	132	126
Rebounds	50	49
Assists	25	26
Steals	10	7
Blocks	3	7
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	19 (0)
Fouls	24	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (2)	13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (3)	36 (4)
Field Goals	50-104	47-96
At-the-Rim FG	23-36	21-36
Midrange FG	12-25	12-22
2-Point FG	35-61	33-58
3-Point FG	15-43	14-38
Free Throws	17-23	18-24
Fast Break Pts	17	18
2nd Chance Pts	12	19
Points in Paint	54	60
Pts off Turnovers	25	24
Bench Points	21	58
Biggest Lead	14	8

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg