Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, March 28, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	1	Celtics	80%	122	122	119.6	102	103.4
	22	Hawks	20%	109	123	119.4	103	84.3

Scoring Opportunities

BOS

+12

-12

102

ATL

+20

-11

112

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS

1.20 59.8%

ATL

1.10 54.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

1 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 26	45.2	31	62%	13	6	0	0	2	3	3	10	11-13	85%	7-15	47%	2-7	29%
Derrick White #9 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 30	41.0	22	100%	7	5	1	0	3	3	2	5	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	5-6	83%
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 29	40.6	20	48%	7	2	1	3	3	3	2	5	2-3	67%	6-13	46%	2-7	29%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 27	38.8	18	53%	1	4	2	2	3	3	0	1	0-0	-	9-14	64%	0-3	0%
Jrue Holiday #4 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 34	36.5	13	59%	7	5	1	1	0	1	1	6	0-0	-	2-5	40%	3-6	50%

Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 26	22.5	8	67%	2	3	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Payton Pritchard #11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 26	18.7	4	50%	1	2	1	0	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Luke Kornet #40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 29	13.0	4	100%	3	0	1	0	0	0	1	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Xavier Tillman #26 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	8.5	2	33%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Oshae Brissett #12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Svi Mykhailiuk #50 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Al Horford #42 · C · 6'8" 240 · 38	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Big Toe; Sprain
Jordan Walsh #27 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
JD Davison #20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Drew Peterson #13 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaden Springer #44 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Tendinopathy
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	122	60%	43	28	7	5	12	15	9	34	18-21	86%	31-58	53%	14-36	39%

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1 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 26	45.2	31	62%	13	6	0	0	2	3	3	10	11-13	85%	7-15	47%	2-7	29%
Derrick White #9 · PG · 6'4" 190 · 30	41.0	22	100%	7	5	1	0	3	3	2	5	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	5-6	83%
Kristaps Porziņģis #8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 29	40.6	20	48%	7	2	1	3	3	3	2	5	2-3	67%	6-13	46%	2-7	29%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 27	38.8	18	53%	1	4	2	2	3	3	0	1	0-0	-	9-14	64%	0-3	0%
Jrue Holiday #4 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 34	36.5	13	59%	7	5	1	1	0	1	1	6	0-0	-	2-5	40%	3-6	50%

Sam Hauser #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 26	22.5	8	67%	2	3	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Payton Pritchard #11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 26	18.7	4	50%	1	2	1	0	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Luke Kornet #40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 29	13.0	4	100%	3	0	1	0	0	0	1	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Xavier Tillman #26 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	8.5	2	33%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Oshae Brissett #12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Svi Mykhailiuk #50 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Al Horford #42 · C · 6'8" 240 · 38	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Big Toe; Sprain
Jordan Walsh #27 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Neemias Queta #88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
JD Davison #20 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Drew Peterson #13 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jaden Springer #44 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Tendinopathy
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	122	60%	43	28	7	5	12	15	9	34	18-21	86%	31-58	53%	14-36	39%

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22 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 28	46.8	44	49%	7	7	2	1	3	2	0	7	2-2	100%	12-25	48%	6-19	32%
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 32	43.5	24	57%	7	5	1	0	2	1	3	4	4-4	100%	7-11	64%	2-8	25%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · PF · 6'7" 221 · 26	39.9	21	58%	13	1	0	0	1	0	2	11	0-3	0%	3-7	43%	5-9	56%
Vít Krejčí #27 · SF · 6'8" 195 · 24	35.2	2	100%	3	1	0	0	0	6	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 30	33.3	12	75%	13	3	0	2	2	2	7	6	0-0	-	6-8	75%	0-0	-

Wesley Matthews #32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37	23.7	3	25%	5	3	1	1	1	3	3	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-5	20%
Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 26	19.7	6	100%	4	2	1	1	0	3	1	3	0-1	0%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	16.8	7	70%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 26	6.2	4	100%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Dylan Windler #20 · SF · 6'8" 196 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Fifth Finger; Torn Ligament
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Seth Lundy #3 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Big Toe; Sprain
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right UCL; Sprain
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Big Toe; Sprain
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn ACL
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	123	55%	53	24	5	6	11	17	17	36	6-10	60%	36-60	60%	15-44	34%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	ATL
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	ATL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS

1.20 59.8%

ATL

1.10 54.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

BOS

62%

ATL

70%

Midrange

BOS

45%

ATL

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

BOS

21.0

39%

58%

ATL

22.5

34%

51%

Free Throws

BOS

86%

ATL

60%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Tatum	31	62%	15.5 / 25
D. White	22	100%	11.0 / 11
K. Porziņģis	20	48%	10.0 / 21
J. Brown	18	53%	9.0 / 17
J. Holiday	13	59%	6.5 / 11
S. Hauser	8	67%	4.0 / 6
P. Pritchard	4	50%	2.0 / 4
L. Kornet	4	100%	2.0 / 2
X. Tillman	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Murray	44	49%	22.0 / 45
B. Bogdanović	24	57%	12.0 / 21
D. Hunter	21	58%	10.5 / 18
C. Capela	12	75%	6.0 / 8
G. Mathews	7	70%	3.5 / 5
B. Fernando	6	100%	3.0 / 3
T. Forrest	4	100%	2.0 / 2
W. Matthews	3	25%	1.5 / 6
V. Krejčí	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	1 122.2 12 116.4	BOS 119.6 +0.2 ATL 119.4
Pace	19 98.0 6 100.9	BOS 103.4 +19.1 ATL 84.3
Avg. Poss. Time	5 15.0 21 14.2	BOS 13.9 −3.2 ATL 17.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 57.8% 17 53.9%	BOS 55.3% ATL 56.3% +1.0%
TO %	1 11.4% 13 12.5%	BOS 10.4% ATL 9.2% −1.2%
ORB %	12 24.9% 5 27.1%	BOS 20.0% ATL 33.3% +13.3%
FTrt	25 22.4 12 25.1	BOS 22.3 +12.7 ATL 9.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	21 61.3% 19 61.8%	BOS 62.2% +15.1% ATL 47.1%
STL %	26 6.9% 18 7.4%	BOS 6.9% +2.0% ATL 4.9%
BLK %	7 10.7% 21 9.0%	BOS 8.3% ATL 10.3% +2.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.01 and 2.01.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	1 59.5% 16 56.3%	BOS 59.8% +4.9% ATL 54.9%
Rim FG%	2 68.1% 28 60.3%	BOS 62.1% ATL 70.4% +8.3%
Mid FG%	15 43.5% 6 45.2%	BOS 44.8% ATL 51.5% +6.7%
3P %	2 38.8% 17 36.4%	BOS 38.9% +4.8% ATL 34.1%
FT %	7 80.7% 8 79.7%	BOS 85.7% +25.7% ATL 60.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 30.1% 18 32.8%	BOS 30.9% +4.9% ATL 26.0%
Mid Att. %	1 22.8% 11 26.5%	BOS 30.9% −0.9% ATL 31.7%
3P Att. %	1 47.1% 9 40.8%	BOS 38.3% ATL 42.3% +4.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.

Game Totals	BOS	ATL
Possessions	102	103
Possession Minutes	23.7	29.3
Points	122	123
Rebounds	43	53
Assists	28	24
Steals	7	5
Blocks	5	6
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	11 (0)
Fouls	15	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (3)	17 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (2)	36 (2)
Field Goals	45-94	51-104
At-the-Rim FG	18-29	19-27
Midrange FG	13-29	17-33
2-Point FG	31-58	36-60
3-Point FG	14-36	15-44
Free Throws	18-21	6-10
Fast Break Pts	27	2
2nd Chance Pts	11	28
Points in Paint	52	60
Pts off Turnovers	11	15
Bench Points	18	20
Biggest Lead	8	4

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg