Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, March 29, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	3	Timberwolves	48%	106	111	116.8	95	89.4
	9	Nuggets	52%	107	98	102.1	96	102.4

Scoring Opportunities

MIN

-7

DEN

+20

-12

104

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.18 59.0%

DEN

0.94 47.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

3 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 23	39.3	25	52%	4	5	3	0	2	2	1	3	9-10	90%	8-11	73%	0-8	0%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 32	34.8	21	70%	12	2	0	3	0	5	3	9	7-15	47%	7-8	88%	0-0	-
Naz Reid #11 · PF · 6'9" 264 · 25	33.1	7	27%	6	2	2	0	1	3	0	6	3-4	75%	2-7	29%	0-5	0%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 36	31.9	23	88%	3	8	0	0	2	3	0	3	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	5-6	83%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 23	30.9	17	77%	3	3	1	0	0	2	0	3	2-2	100%	6-7	86%	1-3	33%

Kyle Anderson #1 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 31	26.5	5	50%	3	7	0	2	1	3	0	3	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	16.7	6	50%	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-4	50%
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	13.0	5	125%	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Monté Morris #23 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 29	10.6	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	0.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
T.J. Warren #24 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daishen Nix #12 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Meniscus; Tear
Jaylen Clark #0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Rupture Rehab
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	59%	39	28	6	7	7	20	6	33	26-37	70%	29-46	63%	9-28	32%

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3 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 23	39.3	25	52%	4	5	3	0	2	2	1	3	9-10	90%	8-11	73%	0-8	0%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 32	34.8	21	70%	12	2	0	3	0	5	3	9	7-15	47%	7-8	88%	0-0	-
Naz Reid #11 · PF · 6'9" 264 · 25	33.1	7	27%	6	2	2	0	1	3	0	6	3-4	75%	2-7	29%	0-5	0%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 36	31.9	23	88%	3	8	0	0	2	3	0	3	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	5-6	83%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 23	30.9	17	77%	3	3	1	0	0	2	0	3	2-2	100%	6-7	86%	1-3	33%

Kyle Anderson #1 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 31	26.5	5	50%	3	7	0	2	1	3	0	3	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	16.7	6	50%	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-4	50%
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	13.0	5	125%	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Monté Morris #23 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 29	10.6	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	0.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
T.J. Warren #24 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daishen Nix #12 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Meniscus; Tear
Jaylen Clark #0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Rupture Rehab
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	59%	39	28	6	7	7	20	6	33	26-37	70%	29-46	63%	9-28	32%

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9 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	37.0	32	53%	10	5	2	1	4	2	1	9	10-13	77%	11-21	52%	0-3	0%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	36.5	12	38%	4	10	2	0	3	6	2	2	2-2	100%	2-10	20%	2-5	40%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	35.7	14	64%	6	4	1	0	0	2	1	5	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	2-5	40%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	31.0	14	64%	7	4	0	0	4	4	1	6	2-4	50%	3-5	60%	2-4	50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	27.5	0	0%	3	2	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-1	0%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	26.4	8	33%	5	2	0	0	0	5	4	1	3-4	75%	1-7	14%	1-3	33%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	15.9	5	50%	1	0	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	11.2	0	0%	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	10.3	11	79%	7	0	0	0	1	1	3	4	1-1	100%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	4.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	0.8	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	0.8	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	0.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Adductor; Tendinosis
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Inflammation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	47%	46	29	6	1	12	24	13	33	20-27	74%	27-60	45%	8-28	29%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.18 59.0%

DEN

0.94 47.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

68%

DEN

45%

Midrange

MIN

57%

DEN

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

13.5

32%

48%

DEN

12.0

29%

43%

Free Throws

MIN

70%

DEN

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	25	52%	12.5 / 24
M. Conley	23	88%	11.5 / 13
R. Gobert	21	70%	10.5 / 15
J. McDaniels	17	77%	8.5 / 11
N. Reid	7	27%	3.5 / 13
N. Alexander-Walker	6	50%	3.0 / 6
K. Anderson	5	50%	2.5 / 5
J. McLaughlin	5	125%	2.5 / 2
M. Morris	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	32	53%	16.0 / 30
M. Porter	14	64%	7.0 / 11
A. Gordon	14	64%	7.0 / 11
R. Jackson	12	38%	6.0 / 16
D. Jordan	11	79%	5.5 / 7
C. Braun	8	33%	4.0 / 12
J. Holiday	5	50%	2.5 / 5
H. Tyson	2	100%	1.0 / 1
K. Caldwell-Pope	0	-	0.0 / 3
P. Watson	0	-	0.0 / 2
C. Gillespie	0	-	0.0 / 1
J. Strawther	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 114.7 5 117.9	MIN 116.8 +14.8 DEN 102.1
Pace	22 97.9 26 97.4	MIN 89.4 DEN 102.4 +13.0
Avg. Poss. Time	3 15.0 4 15.0	MIN 16.1 DEN 14.1 −2.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 55.9% 8 56.2%	MIN 57.4% +13.1% DEN 44.3%
TO %	22 13.6% 7 12.1%	MIN 9.1% −2.4% DEN 11.5%
ORB %	22 23.1% 6 25.5%	MIN 15.4% DEN 28.3% +12.9%
FTrt	5 27.0 24 22.4	MIN 50.0 +19.3 DEN 30.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 64.6% 5 66.9%	MIN 73.7% DEN 82.9% +9.2%
STL %	6 8.0% 20 7.3%	MIN 6.3% DEN 6.3%
BLK %	4 11.0% 25 8.7%	MIN 11.7% +9.5% DEN 2.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 57.7% 11 57.5%	MIN 59.0% +11.9% DEN 47.1%
Rim FG%	15 64.3% 17 63.6%	MIN 68.0% +23.3% DEN 44.7%
Mid FG%	16 42.6% 3 47.0%	MIN 57.1% +11.6% DEN 45.5%
3P %	3 38.7% 10 37.4%	MIN 32.1% +3.5% DEN 28.6%
FT %	18 77.7% 25 76.2%	MIN 70.3% DEN 74.1% +3.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 34.1% 4 36.0%	MIN 33.8% DEN 43.2% +9.4%
Mid Att. %	16 27.5% 25 28.8%	MIN 28.4% DEN 25.0% −3.4%
3P Att. %	17 38.4% 30 35.2%	MIN 37.8% +6.0% DEN 31.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIN	DEN
Possessions	95	96
Possession Minutes	25.5	22.5
Points	111	98
Rebounds	39	46
Assists	28	29
Steals	6	6
Blocks	7	1
Turnovers (Team)	7 (2)	12 (1)
Fouls	20	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (0)	13 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (0)	33 (1)
Field Goals	38-74	35-88
At-the-Rim FG	17-25	17-38
Midrange FG	12-21	10-22
2-Point FG	29-46	27-60
3-Point FG	9-28	8-28
Free Throws	26-37	20-27
Fast Break Pts	15	4
2nd Chance Pts	6	10
Points in Paint	40	50
Pts off Turnovers	13	10
Bench Points	18	26
Biggest Lead	26	2

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg