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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 29, 2024
9:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Rockets68%117101
26Jazz32%110100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 197 · 30.1
42.1
32.0
22
46%
2
6
4
1
3
0
0
2
0-0
-
5-10
2-5
50%
48%
4-14
29%
Amen Thompson
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 21.2
40.4
29.5
18
58%
14
5
2
2
1
3
8
6
6-8
75%
6-12
6-9
50%
61%
0-0
-
Jalen Green
G · 6'4" 186 · 22.1
38.6
37.0
34
56%
9
6
2
1
0
4
2
7
8-14
57%
7-13
6-11
54%
53%
4-11
36%
Jabari Smith Jr.
F · 6'10" 220 · 20.9
32.7
21.0
14
51%
5
1
2
1
1
0
0
5
3-4
75%
1-4
2-4
25%
54%
3-8
38%
Dillon Brooks
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 28.2
21.4
30.6
5
36%
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-5
3-5
20%
51%
1-2
50%
Jock Landale
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.4
26.0
21.5
2
25%
5
0
0
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
61%
0-1
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'8" 235 · 37.6
20.4
17.8
5
50%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
58%
1-3
33%
Aaron Holiday
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.5
10.3
15.8
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-2
0%
Reggie Bullock Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 33.0
5.1
11.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
55%
0-1
0%
Jae'Sean Tate
F · 6'4" 230 · 28.4
3.0
13.4
1
57%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
58%
0-0
-
Nate Williams
G · 6'5" 205 · 25.1
2.9
0
0-1
56%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 35.6
2.1
0
0-1
59%
Alperen Sengun
C · 6'11" 243 · 21.7
Tari Eason
F · 6'8" 215 · 22.9
Nate Hinton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.8
Jermaine Samuels Jr.
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.4
Cam Whitmore
F · 6'7" 230 · 19.7
Steven Adams
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Collin Sexton
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.2
44.1
32.5
29
57%
6
5
0
1
2
4
2
4
9-10
90%
10-17
6-12
59%
54%
0-4
0%
Taylor Hendricks
F · 6'9" 215 · 20.4
34.7
28.2
8
57%
9
2
0
1
2
1
2
7
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
57%
2-5
40%
John Collins
F-C · 6'9" 226 · 26.5
30.3
23.9
30
90%
11
0
1
0
2
0
2
9
6-6
100%
6-9
4-7
67%
61%
4-5
80%
Keyonte George
G · 6'4" 185 · 20.4
29.1
33.4
6
25%
1
6
0
1
0
6
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
4-7
38%
49%
0-4
0%
Brice Sensabaugh
F · 6'5" 235 · 20.4
24.7
17.3
0
0%
4
5
1
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
54%
0-7
0%
Johnny Juzang
G · 6'6" 209 · 23.0
24.4
15.7
12
81%
2
3
0
0
0
2
1
1
1-1
100%
4-4
1-2
100%
53%
1-3
33%
Kris Dunn
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.0
21.6
8.4
11
79%
8
1
1
0
3
2
0
8
0-0
-
4-5
1-1
80%
52%
1-2
50%
Walker Kessler
C · 7'0" 245 · 22.7
17.8
21.9
4
69%
6
1
1
0
0
3
2
4
2-2
100%
1-2
3-5
50%
69%
0-0
-
Micah Potter
C · 6'10" 248 · 26.0
13.3
8.0
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
57%
0-1
0%
Kira Lewis Jr.
G · 6'3" 170 · 23.0
7.4
0
1-2
48%
Talen Horton-Tucker
G · 6'4" 235 · 23.3
6.8
0
1-2
49%
Luka Samanic
F · 6'11" 227 · 24.2
6.5
0
1-1
54%
Omer Yurtseven
C · 7'0" 275 · 25.8
6.4
0
1-2
58%
Jason Preston
G · 6'3" 181 · 24.6
Kenneth Lofton Jr.
F · 6'7" 275 · 21.6
Darius Bazley
F · 6'9" 208 · 23.8
Lauri Markkanen
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.9
Jordan Clarkson
G · 6'3" 194 · 31.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.