Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, March 30, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Grizzlies	35%	102	88	87.1	101	105.5
	17	Magic	65%	107	118	116.8	101	96.9

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+15

-19

ORL

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

0.91 45.4%

ORL

1.27 63.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

23 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
GG Jackson #45 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 19	30.1	11	50%	3	3	1	0	3	0	0	3	5-6	83%	0-4	0%	2-4	50%
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 28	30.1	9	41%	5	5	0	1	4	1	0	5	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	2-7	29%
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	27.9	10	56%	2	1	1	0	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 242 · 25	25.7	4	20%	4	1	1	1	3	3	1	3	2-2	100%	1-6	17%	0-3	0%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 23	21.1	11	50%	3	2	1	1	3	3	0	3	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	1-4	25%

Mãozinha Pereira #25 · SF · 6'8" 177 · 24	28.6	7	50%	8	1	2	3	1	4	4	4	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Jordan Goodwin #4 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 25	26.6	16	53%	11	3	2	0	2	3	5	6	0-0	-	2-9	22%	4-6	67%
Lamar Stevens #24 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 27	21.1	7	35%	4	2	1	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-5	20%
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 28	19.7	13	65%	4	3	1	1	0	2	0	4	1-2	50%	6-8	75%	0-1	0%
Zavier Simpson #2 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 27	8.9	0	0%	1	4	1	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellar; Tendonitis
Ziaire Williams #8 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Low Back; Hip Flexor Strain
Trey Jemison III #55 · C · 6'10" 270 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Soreness
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Heel; Soreness
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Labral Repair
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ring Finger; Central Slip Tear
Derrick Rose #23 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Low Back Injury Recovery
Yuta Watanabe #18 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 29	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	88	45%	45	25	11	7	19	19	13	32	14-17	82%	19-50	38%	12-36	33%

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23 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
GG Jackson #45 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 19	30.1	11	50%	3	3	1	0	3	0	0	3	5-6	83%	0-4	0%	2-4	50%
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 28	30.1	9	41%	5	5	0	1	4	1	0	5	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	2-7	29%
Jake LaRavia #3 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 22	27.9	10	56%	2	1	1	0	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · C · 6'10" 242 · 25	25.7	4	20%	4	1	1	1	3	3	1	3	2-2	100%	1-6	17%	0-3	0%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · PG · 6'2" 170 · 23	21.1	11	50%	3	2	1	1	3	3	0	3	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	1-4	25%

Mãozinha Pereira #25 · SF · 6'8" 177 · 24	28.6	7	50%	8	1	2	3	1	4	4	4	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Jordan Goodwin #4 · PG · 6'3" 215 · 25	26.6	16	53%	11	3	2	0	2	3	5	6	0-0	-	2-9	22%	4-6	67%
Lamar Stevens #24 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 27	21.1	7	35%	4	2	1	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-5	20%
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 28	19.7	13	65%	4	3	1	1	0	2	0	4	1-2	50%	6-8	75%	0-1	0%
Zavier Simpson #2 · PG · 6'0" 190 · 27	8.9	0	0%	1	4	1	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 24	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Patellar; Tendonitis
Ziaire Williams #8 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Low Back; Hip Flexor Strain
Trey Jemison III #55 · C · 6'10" 270 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Illness; Illness
Desmond Bane #22 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Soreness
John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Heel; Soreness
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Labral Repair
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ring Finger; Central Slip Tear
Derrick Rose #23 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Low Back Injury Recovery
Yuta Watanabe #18 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 29	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	88	45%	45	25	11	7	19	19	13	32	14-17	82%	19-50	38%	12-36	33%

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17 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 21	30.4	13	50%	9	7	0	4	2	0	0	9	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	1-5	20%
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 23	28.6	13	54%	4	4	1	0	0	2	0	4	5-6	83%	4-5	80%	0-4	0%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 25	28.2	15	63%	13	2	2	1	1	2	1	12	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	3-7	43%
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 23	24.1	15	107%	1	4	2	2	3	2	1	0	4-4	100%	1-1	100%	3-4	75%
Caleb Houstan #2 · SG · 6'8" 205 · 21	20.9	9	113%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-4	75%

Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 26	25.3	12	46%	4	5	1	1	1	1	2	2	0-0	-	3-10	30%	2-3	67%
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 36	17.6	11	110%	0	2	0	0	2	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	3-4	75%
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 24	16.8	15	68%	3	3	1	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	5-8	63%
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 27	12.4	4	100%	1	0	0	0	3	3	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 20	12.0	2	50%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 25	8.9	4	67%	4	0	0	0	1	2	1	3	0-1	0%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Chuma Okeke #3 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 26	7.4	2	33%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Admiral Schofield #25 · PF · 6'5" 241 · 27	7.4	3	75%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Kevon Harris #8 · SG · 6'5" 216 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Trevelin Queen #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Plantar Fascia; Injury maintenance
Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Injury maintenance
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	63%	43	28	8	8	15	16	5	38	20-23	87%	16-34	47%	22-44	50%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	ORL
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	ORL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MEM

0.91 45.4%

ORL

1.27 63.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

48%

ORL

55%

Midrange

MEM

24%

ORL

36%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

18.0

33%

50%

ORL

33.0

50%

75%

Free Throws

MEM

82%

ORL

87%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Goodwin	16	53%	8.0 / 15
B. Clarke	13	65%	6.5 / 10
G. Jackson	11	50%	5.5 / 11
S. Pippen	11	50%	5.5 / 11
J. LaRavia	10	56%	5.0 / 9
L. Kennard	9	41%	4.5 / 11
M. Pereira	7	50%	3.5 / 7
L. Stevens	7	35%	3.5 / 10
J. Jackson	4	20%	2.0 / 10
Z. Simpson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
W. Carter	15	63%	7.5 / 12
J. Suggs	15	107%	7.5 / 7
C. Anthony	15	68%	7.5 / 11
P. Banchero	13	50%	6.5 / 13
F. Wagner	13	54%	6.5 / 12
M. Fultz	12	46%	6.0 / 13
J. Ingles	11	110%	5.5 / 5
C. Houstan	9	113%	4.5 / 4
M. Wagner	4	100%	2.0 / 2
G. Bitadze	4	67%	2.0 / 3
A. Schofield	3	75%	1.5 / 2
A. Black	2	50%	1.0 / 2
C. Okeke	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	30 106.8 22 113.0	MEM 87.1 ORL 116.8 +29.7
Pace	17 98.6 27 97.4	MEM 105.5 +8.7 ORL 96.9
Avg. Poss. Time	11 14.8 2 15.2	MEM 13.6 −1.2 ORL 14.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	29 50.9% 15 54.1%	MEM 43.0% ORL 62.8% +19.8%
TO %	27 14.3% 24 14.1%	MEM 16.9% ORL 16.2% −0.7%
ORB %	19 23.8% 7 25.3%	MEM 25.5% +12.0% ORL 13.5%
FTrt	18 23.8 1 28.7	MEM 19.8 ORL 29.5 +9.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	13 64.4% 22 61.0%	MEM 80.6% +6.9% ORL 73.7%
STL %	5 8.3% 4 8.3%	MEM 10.9% +3.0% ORL 7.9%
BLK %	1 11.9% 13 9.5%	MEM 20.6% +4.6% ORL 16.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	29 52.9% 18 56.2%	MEM 45.4% ORL 63.4% +18.0%
Rim FG%	30 57.8% 9 65.4%	MEM 48.3% ORL 55.0% +6.7%
Mid FG%	26 40.3% 29 38.9%	MEM 23.8% ORL 35.7% +11.9%
3P %	29 34.6% 24 35.2%	MEM 33.3% ORL 50.0% +16.7%
FT %	23 76.4% 26 75.9%	MEM 82.4% ORL 87.0% +4.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 32.3% 1 38.2%	MEM 33.7% +8.1% ORL 25.6%
Mid Att. %	4 24.9% 5 24.9%	MEM 24.4% ORL 17.9% −6.5%
3P Att. %	5 42.8% 25 36.9%	MEM 41.9% ORL 56.4% +14.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.12 and 2.12.

Game Totals	MEM	ORL
Possessions	101	101
Possession Minutes	23.0	25.0
Points	88	118
Rebounds	45	43
Assists	25	28
Steals	11	8
Blocks	7	8
Turnovers (Team)	19 (0)	15 (2)
Fouls	19	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (2)	5 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (2)	38 (4)
Field Goals	31-86	38-78
At-the-Rim FG	14-29	11-20
Midrange FG	5-21	5-14
2-Point FG	19-50	16-34
3-Point FG	12-36	22-44
Free Throws	14-17	20-23
Fast Break Pts	25	14
2nd Chance Pts	15	9
Points in Paint	36	26
Pts off Turnovers	17	25
Bench Points	43	53
Biggest Lead	2	43

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg