Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, March 30, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	12	Bucks	56%	117	122	124.5	98	96.5
	21	Hawks	44%	115	113	114.1	99	100.5

Scoring Opportunities

MIL

-10

ATL

+14

-11

102

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.27 63.5%

ATL

1.11 55.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

12 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 29	37.7	36	64%	16	8	3	1	3	2	4	12	12-16	75%	12-21	57%	0-1	0%
Patrick Beverley #21 · PG · 6'1" 185 · 36	36.1	18	75%	5	5	1	1	0	2	0	5	4-4	100%	4-5	80%	2-5	40%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 33	35.8	21	105%	6	6	1	0	1	3	0	6	0-0	-	6-7	86%	3-3	100%
Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 27	35.0	10	42%	1	2	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-9	22%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 36	32.8	13	108%	3	0	0	2	3	4	0	3	6-6	100%	2-2	100%	1-1	100%

Bobby Portis Jr. #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 29	21.3	13	59%	4	2	2	0	0	1	0	4	1-2	50%	6-8	75%	0-2	0%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 31	16.3	4	40%	3	4	0	0	1	3	1	2	2-4	50%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 34	13.4	5	42%	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 25	11.4	2	33%	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Danilo Gallinari #12 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ryan Rollins #55 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
TyTy Washington Jr. #23 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jaylin Galloway #00 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 34	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	64%	40	27	7	5	10	18	6	34	28-35	80%	35-50	70%	8-28	29%

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12 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 29	37.7	36	64%	16	8	3	1	3	2	4	12	12-16	75%	12-21	57%	0-1	0%
Patrick Beverley #21 · PG · 6'1" 185 · 36	36.1	18	75%	5	5	1	1	0	2	0	5	4-4	100%	4-5	80%	2-5	40%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 33	35.8	21	105%	6	6	1	0	1	3	0	6	0-0	-	6-7	86%	3-3	100%
Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 27	35.0	10	42%	1	2	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-9	22%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 36	32.8	13	108%	3	0	0	2	3	4	0	3	6-6	100%	2-2	100%	1-1	100%

Bobby Portis Jr. #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 29	21.3	13	59%	4	2	2	0	0	1	0	4	1-2	50%	6-8	75%	0-2	0%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 31	16.3	4	40%	3	4	0	0	1	3	1	2	2-4	50%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 34	13.4	5	42%	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 25	11.4	2	33%	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Danilo Gallinari #12 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ryan Rollins #55 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
TyTy Washington Jr. #23 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jaylin Galloway #00 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 34	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	122	64%	40	27	7	5	10	18	6	34	28-35	80%	35-50	70%	8-28	29%

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21 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 28	42.1	20	48%	8	12	0	0	5	5	1	7	3-4	75%	4-9	44%	3-10	30%
Bogdan Bogdanović #13 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 32	37.4	38	70%	10	4	1	0	3	5	1	9	9-10	90%	7-14	50%	5-9	56%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · PF · 6'7" 221 · 26	34.8	13	50%	2	1	1	0	1	3	0	2	1-1	100%	3-8	38%	2-5	40%
Vít Krejčí #27 · SF · 6'8" 195 · 24	32.2	8	80%	2	1	1	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 30	27.0	10	56%	8	2	1	2	0	2	3	5	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-0	-

Bruno Fernando #24 · C · 6'10" 233 · 26	21.0	10	63%	4	2	0	1	1	4	2	2	2-3	67%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Wesley Matthews #32 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37	18.4	9	50%	1	1	1	0	0	3	1	0	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Garrison Mathews #25 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27	17.4	3	50%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Trent Forrest #2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 26	5.9	2	33%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Dylan Windler #20 · SF · 6'8" 196 · 28	3.9	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jalen Johnson #1 · SF · 6'8" 219 · 22	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Trae Young #11 · PG · 6'2" 164 · 26	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Fifth Finger; Torn Ligament
Seth Lundy #3 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
AJ Griffin #14 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Mouhamed Gueye #18 · PF · 6'11" 210 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right UCL; Sprain
Kobe Bufkin #4 · SG · 6'4" 195 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Big Toe; Sprain
Onyeka Okongwu #17 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Big Toe; Sprain
Saddiq Bey #41 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn ACL
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	55%	39	24	5	3	11	26	9	30	15-18	83%	28-57	49%	14-35	40%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	ATL
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	ATL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.27 63.5%

ATL

1.11 55.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

72%

ATL

54%

Midrange

MIL

67%

ATL

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

12.0

29%

43%

ATL

21.0

40%

60%

Free Throws

MIL

80%

ATL

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo	36	64%	18.0 / 28
K. Middleton	21	105%	10.5 / 10
P. Beverley	18	75%	9.0 / 12
B. Lopez	13	108%	6.5 / 6
B. Portis	13	59%	6.5 / 11
M. Beasley	10	42%	5.0 / 12
J. Crowder	5	42%	2.5 / 6
P. Connaughton	4	40%	2.0 / 5
A. Green	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Bogdanović	38	70%	19.0 / 27
D. Murray	20	48%	10.0 / 21
D. Hunter	13	50%	6.5 / 13
C. Capela	10	56%	5.0 / 9
B. Fernando	10	63%	5.0 / 8
W. Matthews	9	50%	4.5 / 9
V. Krejčí	8	80%	4.0 / 5
G. Mathews	3	50%	1.5 / 3
T. Forrest	2	33%	1.0 / 3
D. Windler	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 117.6 12 116.4	MIL 124.5 +10.3 ATL 114.1
Pace	8 100.6 6 100.9	MIL 96.5 ATL 100.5 +3.9
Avg. Poss. Time	19 14.4 21 14.2	MIL 14.9 ATL 14.3 −0.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	4 56.8% 17 53.9%	MIL 60.3% +7.0% ATL 53.3%
TO %	10 12.2% 13 12.5%	MIL 11.4% ATL 9.9% −1.5%
ORB %	25 21.8% 5 27.1%	MIL 16.7% ATL 20.9% +4.2%
FTrt	4 27.0 12 25.1	MIL 44.9 +25.3 ATL 19.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 61.5% 19 61.8%	MIL 62.8% +5.7% ATL 57.1%
STL %	28 6.7% 18 7.4%	MIL 7.1% +2.0% ATL 5.1%
BLK %	28 8.5% 21 9.0%	MIL 8.8% +2.8% ATL 6.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 58.8% 16 56.3%	MIL 63.5% +8.1% ATL 55.4%
Rim FG%	4 67.9% 28 60.3%	MIL 72.4% +18.2% ATL 54.2%
Mid FG%	11 44.5% 6 45.2%	MIL 66.7% +21.2% ATL 45.5%
3P %	11 37.3% 17 36.4%	MIL 28.6% ATL 40.0% +11.4%
FT %	19 77.4% 8 79.7%	MIL 80.0% ATL 83.3% +3.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 31.5% 18 32.8%	MIL 37.2% +11.1% ATL 26.1%
Mid Att. %	7 25.4% 11 26.5%	MIL 26.9% −8.9% ATL 35.9%
3P Att. %	4 43.0% 9 40.8%	MIL 35.9% ATL 38.0% +2.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIL	ATL
Possessions	98	99
Possession Minutes	24.4	23.7
Points	122	113
Rebounds	40	39
Assists	27	24
Steals	7	5
Blocks	5	3
Turnovers (Team)	10 (2)	11 (0)
Fouls	18	26
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (2)	9 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (3)	30 (1)
Field Goals	43-78	42-92
At-the-Rim FG	21-29	13-24
Midrange FG	14-21	15-33
2-Point FG	35-50	28-57
3-Point FG	8-28	14-35
Free Throws	28-35	15-18
Fast Break Pts	11	6
2nd Chance Pts	6	16
Points in Paint	52	50
Pts off Turnovers	20	13
Bench Points	24	24
Biggest Lead	21	8

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg