Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, March 31, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	19	76ers	74%	116	135	137.8	98	92.9
	29	Raptors	26%	107	120	123.7	97	102.6

Scoring Opportunities

PHI

+10

-15

TOR

+15

-12

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHI

1.45 72.6%

TOR

1.19 59.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

19 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Lowry #7 · SG · 6'0" 196 · 38	37.8	11	92%	1	10	1	2	2	3	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Cameron Payne #22 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 30	37.6	24	75%	1	3	0	0	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	6-10	60%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 28	37.0	32	70%	7	3	2	2	4	2	2	5	6-7	86%	4-9	44%	6-11	55%
Tobias Harris #12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 32	30.0	21	70%	9	3	0	3	1	2	3	6	4-4	100%	7-10	70%	1-3	33%
Mo Bamba #5 · C · 7'0" 231 · 26	13.3	4	50%	4	1	1	1	1	1	0	4	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%

Nicolas Batum #40 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 35	28.3	19	119%	6	2	2	0	0	0	1	5	0-0	-	2-2	100%	5-6	83%
Buddy Hield #17 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 31	21.9	13	93%	3	3	0	1	3	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-5	60%
Paul Reed #44 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 25	17.8	9	56%	2	0	0	1	0	3	0	2	1-3	33%	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
KJ Martin #1 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 23	10.3	2	50%	5	2	0	0	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jeff Dowtin Jr. #11 · PG · 6'3" 177 · 27	4.8	0	0%	1	1	0	0	2	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Ricky Council IV #16 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	1.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
D.J. Wilson #20 · PF · 6'10" 236 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Tightness
Terquavion Smith #23 · PG · 6'4" 160 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Lumbar Spine Bone Stress
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Procedure
Robert Covington #33 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Bruise
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	135	73%	39	28	6	2	15	17	9	30	13-16	81%	25-40	63%	24-43	56%

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19 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kyle Lowry #7 · SG · 6'0" 196 · 38	37.8	11	92%	1	10	1	2	2	3	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Cameron Payne #22 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 30	37.6	24	75%	1	3	0	0	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	6-10	60%
Kelly Oubre Jr. #9 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 28	37.0	32	70%	7	3	2	2	4	2	2	5	6-7	86%	4-9	44%	6-11	55%
Tobias Harris #12 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 32	30.0	21	70%	9	3	0	3	1	2	3	6	4-4	100%	7-10	70%	1-3	33%
Mo Bamba #5 · C · 7'0" 231 · 26	13.3	4	50%	4	1	1	1	1	1	0	4	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%

Nicolas Batum #40 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 35	28.3	19	119%	6	2	2	0	0	0	1	5	0-0	-	2-2	100%	5-6	83%
Buddy Hield #17 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 31	21.9	13	93%	3	3	0	1	3	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-5	60%
Paul Reed #44 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 25	17.8	9	56%	2	0	0	1	0	3	0	2	1-3	33%	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
KJ Martin #1 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 23	10.3	2	50%	5	2	0	0	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jeff Dowtin Jr. #11 · PG · 6'3" 177 · 27	4.8	0	0%	1	1	0	0	2	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Ricky Council IV #16 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	1.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
D.J. Wilson #20 · PF · 6'10" 236 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyrese Maxey #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Tightness
Terquavion Smith #23 · PG · 6'4" 160 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
De'Anthony Melton #8 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Back; Lumbar Spine Bone Stress
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 270 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Meniscus Procedure
Robert Covington #33 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Bruise
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	135	73%	39	28	6	2	15	17	9	30	13-16	81%	25-40	63%	24-43	56%

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29 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bruce Brown #11 · PF · 6'4" 202 · 28	33.9	18	90%	4	6	2	0	2	4	1	3	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	3-4	75%
Kelly Olynyk #41 · C · 7'0" 240 · 33	31.9	18	90%	5	11	3	0	5	3	2	3	3-4	75%	6-6	100%	1-2	50%
Gary Trent Jr. #33 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 25	31.8	23	57%	2	2	2	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	7-11	64%	3-9	33%
Javon Freeman-Liberty #0 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 24	31.3	11	46%	7	2	1	0	1	2	1	6	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	1-3	33%
Gradey Dick #1 · SF · 6'7" 200 · 20	31.1	12	55%	0	2	2	0	2	2	0	0	5-7	71%	2-5	40%	1-3	33%

Jordan Nwora #13 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 26	30.4	19	53%	4	3	0	1	1	0	2	2	1-1	100%	6-11	55%	2-7	29%
Jalen McDaniels #2 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 26	17.9	8	57%	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Kobi Simmons #8 · PG · 6'4" 170 · 27	15.5	6	50%	1	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 38	9.4	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Mouhamadou Gueye #16 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 26	6.7	3	50%	1	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
RJ Barrett #9 · SG · 6'6" 214 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chris Boucher #25 · PF · 6'8" 200 · 31	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Partial MCL tear
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 25	INACTIVE
Ochai Agbaji #30 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Contusion
Scottie Barnes #4 · SF · 6'8" 237 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Fracture - fifth metacarpal
D.J. Carton #3 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hand; Fifth finger torn ligament
Jontay Porter #34 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 24	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	59%	30	31	10	10	12	14	7	23	15-20	75%	36-60	60%	11-30	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	PHI	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	PHI	TOR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHI

1.45 72.6%

TOR

1.19 59.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

PHI

73%

TOR

67%

Midrange

PHI

50%

TOR

53%

3PT | Effective 3PT

PHI

36.0

56%

84%

TOR

16.5

37%

55%

Free Throws

PHI

81%

TOR

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Oubre	32	70%	16.0 / 23
C. Payne	24	75%	12.0 / 16
T. Harris	21	70%	10.5 / 15
N. Batum	19	119%	9.5 / 8
B. Hield	13	93%	6.5 / 7
K. Lowry	11	92%	5.5 / 6
P. Reed	9	56%	4.5 / 8
M. Bamba	4	50%	2.0 / 4
K. Martin	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Dowtin	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Trent	23	57%	11.5 / 20
J. Nwora	19	53%	9.5 / 18
B. Brown	18	90%	9.0 / 10
K. Olynyk	18	90%	9.0 / 10
G. Dick	12	55%	6.0 / 11
J. Freeman-Liberty	11	46%	5.5 / 12
J. McDaniels	8	57%	4.0 / 7
K. Simmons	6	50%	3.0 / 6
M. Gueye	3	50%	1.5 / 3
G. Temple	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	14 116.2 24 111.9	PHI 137.8 +14.0 TOR 123.7
Pace	18 98.2 12 99.9	PHI 92.9 TOR 102.6 +9.7
Avg. Poss. Time	12 14.8 28 13.9	PHI 15.5 TOR 14.0 −1.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 53.2% 21 53.5%	PHI 73.5% +15.2% TOR 58.3%
TO %	1 11.4% 21 13.4%	PHI 15.1% TOR 10.8% −4.3%
ORB %	13 24.8% 17 24.2%	PHI 28.1% +9.2% TOR 18.9%
FTrt	6 26.4 16 24.1	PHI 19.3 TOR 22.2 +2.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	25 60.0% 2 67.4%	PHI 57.1% TOR 66.0% +8.9%
STL %	1 8.6% 13 7.7%	PHI 6.1% TOR 10.3% +4.2%
BLK %	5 10.8% 15 9.5%	PHI 3.3% TOR 25.0% +21.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	19 56.1% 22 55.5%	PHI 72.6% +13.2% TOR 59.4%
Rim FG%	27 60.9% 13 64.8%	PHI 72.7% +6.0% TOR 66.7%
Mid FG%	17 42.0% 22 40.8%	PHI 50.0% TOR 53.3% +3.3%
3P %	18 36.3% 27 34.7%	PHI 55.8% +19.1% TOR 36.7%
FT %	2 82.6% 29 75.6%	PHI 81.3% +6.3% TOR 75.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 34.8% 5 35.6%	PHI 26.5% TOR 33.3% +6.8%
Mid Att. %	21 28.0% 17 27.5%	PHI 21.7% −11.6% TOR 33.3%
3P Att. %	23 37.3% 26 36.9%	PHI 51.8% +18.5% TOR 33.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	PHI	TOR
Possessions	98	97
Possession Minutes	25.3	22.7
Points	135	120
Rebounds	39	30
Assists	28	31
Steals	6	10
Blocks	2	10
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	12 (0)
Fouls	17	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (1)	7 (8)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (1)	23 (3)
Field Goals	49-83	47-90
At-the-Rim FG	16-22	20-30
Midrange FG	9-18	16-30
2-Point FG	25-40	36-60
3-Point FG	24-43	11-30
Free Throws	13-16	15-20
Fast Break Pts	22	27
2nd Chance Pts	14	12
Points in Paint	42	62
Pts off Turnovers	16	26
Bench Points	43	38
Biggest Lead	18	0

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg