Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, March 31, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	8	Warriors	69%	117	117	118.2	99	97.6
	23	Spurs	31%	110	113	114.1	99	100.4

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

+17

-15

101

SAS

+18

-19

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.16 57.9%

SAS

1.15 57.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

8 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 36	32.5	33	69%	1	8	0	0	4	1	0	1	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	7-15	47%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 34	31.8	21	95%	6	11	6	1	5	3	2	4	3-4	75%	6-7	86%	2-2	100%
Klay Thompson #11 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 34	29.3	13	50%	2	3	2	0	2	0	0	2	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	2-8	25%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 24	28.3	7	58%	7	3	2	1	1	2	4	3	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 29	21.6	4	17%	5	0	0	0	1	2	2	3	0-0	-	2-10	20%	0-2	0%

Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 21	23.6	12	55%	7	4	2	0	1	1	3	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-5	40%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 39	22.1	9	50%	4	2	2	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 22	22.0	10	71%	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	4	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	2-3	67%
Gary Payton II #0 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 31	20.1	4	67%	3	1	1	1	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Kevon Looney #5 · PF · 6'9" 222 · 28	8.8	4	100%	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Lester Quinones #25 · SG · 6'5" 208 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jerome Robinson #18 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 22	INACTIVE
Usman Garuba #12 · PF · 6'8" 229 · 22	INACTIVE
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 28	INACTIVE
Dario Šarić #20 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Lateral Joint Line Pain
Jonathan Kuminga #00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Knee; Tendonitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	58%	41	34	15	5	15	14	12	29	11-13	85%	29-53	55%	16-39	41%

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8 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry #30 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 36	32.5	33	69%	1	8	0	0	4	1	0	1	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	7-15	47%
Draymond Green #23 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 34	31.8	21	95%	6	11	6	1	5	3	2	4	3-4	75%	6-7	86%	2-2	100%
Klay Thompson #11 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 34	29.3	13	50%	2	3	2	0	2	0	0	2	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	2-8	25%
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 24	28.3	7	58%	7	3	2	1	1	2	4	3	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 29	21.6	4	17%	5	0	0	0	1	2	2	3	0-0	-	2-10	20%	0-2	0%

Brandin Podziemski #2 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 21	23.6	12	55%	7	4	2	0	1	1	3	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-5	40%
Chris Paul #3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 39	22.1	9	50%	4	2	2	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Moses Moody #4 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 22	22.0	10	71%	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	4	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	2-3	67%
Gary Payton II #0 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 31	20.1	4	67%	3	1	1	1	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Kevon Looney #5 · PF · 6'9" 222 · 28	8.8	4	100%	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Lester Quinones #25 · SG · 6'5" 208 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jerome Robinson #18 · SG · 6'5" 188 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Gui Santos #15 · PF · 6'7" 185 · 22	INACTIVE
Usman Garuba #12 · PF · 6'8" 229 · 22	INACTIVE
Pat Spencer #61 · PG · 6'2" 205 · 28	INACTIVE
Dario Šarić #20 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Lateral Joint Line Pain
Jonathan Kuminga #00 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Knee; Tendonitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	58%	41	34	15	5	15	14	12	29	11-13	85%	29-53	55%	16-39	41%

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23 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 23	38.3	9	50%	5	4	1	1	3	2	1	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-7	43%
Cedi Osman #16 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	36.0	18	75%	2	1	1	0	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	4-7	57%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	32.3	12	55%	5	6	1	0	2	1	3	2	0-0	-	3-7	43%	2-4	50%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 20	31.4	32	62%	9	5	4	3	5	2	1	8	9-10	90%	7-12	58%	3-10	30%
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	31.2	12	43%	3	4	0	0	4	2	2	1	1-1	100%	4-8	50%	1-6	17%

Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	24.6	10	71%	11	2	0	1	1	1	4	7	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Devonte' Graham #4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 29	18.3	6	75%	1	2	0	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Zach Collins #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	16.4	13	59%	8	2	0	0	0	1	3	5	3-3	100%	2-7	29%	2-3	67%
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 21	11.6	1	25%	1	5	0	0	0	1	1	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
RaiQuan Gray #41 · PF · 6'7" 269 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamaree Bouyea #15 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
David Duke Jr. #7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Soreness
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Acl; Tear
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Impingement
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Sprain
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	58%	45	31	7	3	19	12	16	29	16-18	89%	23-46	50%	17-43	40%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	SAS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.16 57.9%

SAS

1.15 57.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

66%

SAS

56%

Midrange

GSW

42%

SAS

30%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

24.0

41%

62%

SAS

25.5

40%

59%

Free Throws

GSW

85%

SAS

89%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Curry	33	69%	16.5 / 24
D. Green	21	95%	10.5 / 11
K. Thompson	13	50%	6.5 / 13
B. Podziemski	12	55%	6.0 / 11
M. Moody	10	71%	5.0 / 7
C. Paul	9	50%	4.5 / 9
T. Jackson-Davis	7	58%	3.5 / 6
A. Wiggins	4	17%	2.0 / 12
G. Payton	4	67%	2.0 / 3
K. Looney	4	100%	2.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
V. Wembanyama	32	62%	16.0 / 26
C. Osman	18	75%	9.0 / 12
Z. Collins	13	59%	6.5 / 11
T. Jones	12	55%	6.0 / 11
M. Branham	12	43%	6.0 / 14
S. Mamukelashvili	10	71%	5.0 / 7
J. Champagnie	9	50%	4.5 / 9
D. Graham	6	75%	3.0 / 4
B. Wesley	1	25%	0.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 116.9 26 109.4	GSW 118.2 +4.0 SAS 114.1
Pace	11 100.0 3 101.7	GSW 97.6 SAS 100.4 +2.8
Avg. Poss. Time	17 14.4 25 14.1	GSW 14.8 SAS 14.3 −0.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	12 55.7% 23 53.2%	GSW 57.6% +3.1% SAS 54.5%
TO %	23 13.6% 26 14.3%	GSW 14.1% −2.3% SAS 16.4%
ORB %	4 27.5% 23 22.9%	GSW 29.3% SAS 35.6% +6.3%
FTrt	29 21.9 28 22.0	GSW 14.1 SAS 20.2 +6.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 67.1% 1 71.2%	GSW 75.6% SAS 77.5% +1.9%
STL %	24 6.9% 23 6.9%	GSW 15.2% +8.1% SAS 7.1%
BLK %	23 8.8% 10 9.7%	GSW 10.9% +5.2% SAS 5.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.62 and 2.62.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	12 57.2% 25 55.1%	GSW 57.9% +0.2% SAS 57.7%
Rim FG%	5 66.3% 16 64.1%	GSW 65.5% +9.9% SAS 55.6%
Mid FG%	19 41.4% 24 40.5%	GSW 41.7% +11.7% SAS 30.0%
3P %	7 38.0% 28 34.7%	GSW 41.0% +1.5% SAS 39.5%
FT %	17 78.0% 14 78.2%	GSW 84.6% SAS 88.9% +4.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	25 31.0% 13 34.2%	GSW 31.5% SAS 40.4% +8.9%
Mid Att. %	12 26.5% 9 25.7%	GSW 26.1% SAS 11.2% −14.9%
3P Att. %	6 42.5% 12 40.1%	GSW 42.4% SAS 48.3% +5.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	GSW	SAS
Possessions	99	99
Possession Minutes	24.3	23.7
Points	117	113
Rebounds	41	45
Assists	34	31
Steals	15	7
Blocks	5	3
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	19 (0)
Fouls	14	12
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (5)	16 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (4)	29 (1)
Field Goals	45-92	40-89
At-the-Rim FG	19-29	20-36
Midrange FG	10-24	3-10
2-Point FG	29-53	23-46
3-Point FG	16-39	17-43
Free Throws	11-13	16-18
Fast Break Pts	11	19
2nd Chance Pts	21	21
Points in Paint	42	46
Pts off Turnovers	23	17
Bench Points	39	30
Biggest Lead	13	13

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg