Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, April 1, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	30	Blazers	18%	97	103	107.3	96	92.2
	15	Magic	82%	111	104	109.5	95	99.1

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+15

-9

102

ORL

+10

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.01 50.5%

ORL

1.16 57.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

30 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jabari Walker #34 · PF · 6'7" 237 · 22	40.4	18	56%	9	5	0	0	0	2	3	6	2-3	67%	5-9	56%	2-6	33%
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 26	36.0	20	56%	12	3	0	0	2	4	4	8	0-0	-	10-18	56%	0-0	-
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 20	34.8	13	41%	8	9	0	0	5	5	2	6	0-0	-	5-11	45%	1-5	20%
Rayan Rupert #72 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 20	31.4	11	50%	1	2	1	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	3-6	50%
Kris Murray #8 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 24	29.2	7	44%	5	1	3	0	0	3	2	3	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-4	25%

Dalano Banton #5 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 24	35.4	26	62%	5	5	3	2	1	1	0	5	6-8	75%	4-9	44%	4-8	50%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 28	16.5	2	25%	3	0	1	1	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Ashton Hagans #19 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 25	13.2	2	100%	0	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Moses Brown #10 · C · 7'2" 258 · 24	3.1	4	100%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Lower Abdominal; Surgery
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 27	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Impingement
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Justin Minaya #24 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ilium; Contusion
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Ligament Tear
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Tendinitis
Malcolm Brogdon #11 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Tendinitis
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Rib; Fracture
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	51%	44	28	9	3	9	21	11	33	12-15	80%	29-59	49%	11-31	35%

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30 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jabari Walker #34 · PF · 6'7" 237 · 22	40.4	18	56%	9	5	0	0	0	2	3	6	2-3	67%	5-9	56%	2-6	33%
Deandre Ayton #2 · C · 7'0" 252 · 26	36.0	20	56%	12	3	0	0	2	4	4	8	0-0	-	10-18	56%	0-0	-
Scoot Henderson #00 · PG · 6'3" 207 · 20	34.8	13	41%	8	9	0	0	5	5	2	6	0-0	-	5-11	45%	1-5	20%
Rayan Rupert #72 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 20	31.4	11	50%	1	2	1	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	3-6	50%
Kris Murray #8 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 24	29.2	7	44%	5	1	3	0	0	3	2	3	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	1-4	25%

Dalano Banton #5 · PG · 6'8" 203 · 24	35.4	26	62%	5	5	3	2	1	1	0	5	6-8	75%	4-9	44%	4-8	50%
Duop Reath #26 · C · 6'9" 245 · 28	16.5	2	25%	3	0	1	1	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Ashton Hagans #19 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 25	13.2	2	100%	0	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Moses Brown #10 · C · 7'2" 258 · 24	3.1	4	100%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 21	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Lower Abdominal; Surgery
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 27	DNP – Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Impingement
Ibou Badji #41 · C · 6'10" 240 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Justin Minaya #24 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ilium; Contusion
Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Ligament Tear
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Tendinitis
Malcolm Brogdon #11 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Elbow; Tendinitis
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Rib; Fracture
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	51%	44	28	9	3	9	21	11	33	12-15	80%	29-59	49%	11-31	35%

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15 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paolo Banchero #5 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 21	35.8	15	42%	4	4	0	1	2	1	0	4	1-2	50%	4-10	40%	2-7	29%
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 30	34.6	14	64%	4	2	1	0	1	3	0	4	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	2-6	33%
Jalen Suggs #4 · PG · 6'5" 205 · 23	32.8	15	83%	3	7	0	2	2	1	0	3	3-3	100%	3-3	100%	2-5	40%
Franz Wagner #22 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 23	32.6	20	71%	6	1	0	0	1	2	1	5	7-9	78%	5-8	63%	1-2	50%
Wendell Carter Jr. #34 · C · 6'10" 270 · 25	31.2	17	65%	13	5	3	1	2	2	3	10	4-7	57%	5-6	83%	1-4	25%

Jonathan Isaac #1 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 26	17.4	6	60%	4	0	0	2	1	1	1	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 36	15.4	0	0%	2	2	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Cole Anthony #50 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 24	15.2	9	64%	3	1	0	0	2	0	0	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Markelle Fultz #20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 26	13.2	0	0%	3	4	0	0	2	2	3	0	0-0	-	0-6	0%	0-0	-
Moritz Wagner #21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 27	11.8	8	100%	1	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Anthony Black #0 · PG · 6'7" 200 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Goga Bitadze #35 · C · 6'11" 250 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Admiral Schofield #25 · PF · 6'5" 241 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Chuma Okeke #3 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kevon Harris #8 · SG · 6'5" 216 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Trevelin Queen #12 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	INACTIVE
Jett Howard #13 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 21	INACTIVE
Caleb Houstan #2 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sore
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	58%	43	26	4	6	15	17	9	34	21-27	78%	25-44	57%	11-32	34%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	ORL
Clock	Team	Event	POR	ORL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.01 50.5%

ORL

1.16 57.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

65%

ORL

81%

Midrange

POR

36%

ORL

35%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

16.5

35%

53%

ORL

16.5

34%

52%

Free Throws

POR

80%

ORL

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Banton	26	62%	13.0 / 21
D. Ayton	20	56%	10.0 / 18
J. Walker	18	56%	9.0 / 16
S. Henderson	13	41%	6.5 / 16
R. Rupert	11	50%	5.5 / 11
K. Murray	7	44%	3.5 / 8
M. Brown	4	100%	2.0 / 2
D. Reath	2	25%	1.0 / 4
A. Hagans	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
F. Wagner	20	71%	10.0 / 14
W. Carter	17	65%	8.5 / 13
P. Banchero	15	42%	7.5 / 18
J. Suggs	15	83%	7.5 / 9
G. Harris	14	64%	7.0 / 11
C. Anthony	9	64%	4.5 / 7
M. Wagner	8	100%	4.0 / 4
J. Isaac	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Ingles	0	-	0.0 / 1
M. Fultz	0	-	0.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 107.7 22 113.0	POR 107.3 ORL 109.5 +2.2
Pace	21 97.9 27 97.4	POR 92.2 ORL 99.1 +7.0
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.6 2 15.2	POR 15.6 ORL 14.5 −1.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	30 50.3% 15 54.1%	POR 50.6% ORL 54.6% +4.0%
TO %	29 14.6% 24 14.1%	POR 10.2% −5.2% ORL 15.4%
ORB %	3 27.5% 7 25.3%	POR 24.4% +3.0% ORL 21.4%
FTrt	23 22.8 1 28.7	POR 16.7 ORL 35.5 +18.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 58.7% 22 61.0%	POR 70.0% ORL 72.2% +2.2%
STL %	12 7.7% 4 8.3%	POR 9.4% +5.2% ORL 4.2%
BLK %	20 9.0% 13 9.5%	POR 6.8% ORL 10.2% +3.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.28 and 2.28.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	30 52.6% 18 56.2%	POR 50.5% ORL 57.8% +7.3%
Rim FG%	29 58.1% 9 65.4%	POR 65.4% ORL 81.0% +15.6%
Mid FG%	30 38.7% 29 38.9%	POR 36.4% +1.6% ORL 34.8%
3P %	30 34.5% 24 35.2%	POR 35.5% +1.1% ORL 34.4%
FT %	9 79.1% 26 75.9%	POR 80.0% +2.2% ORL 77.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	11 34.7% 1 38.2%	POR 28.9% +1.3% ORL 27.6%
Mid Att. %	23 28.3% 5 24.9%	POR 36.7% ORL 30.3% −6.4%
3P Att. %	24 37.0% 25 36.9%	POR 34.4% ORL 42.1% +7.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Game Totals	POR	ORL
Possessions	96	95
Possession Minutes	25.0	23.0
Points	103	104
Rebounds	44	43
Assists	28	26
Steals	9	4
Blocks	3	6
Turnovers (Team)	9 (2)	15 (1)
Fouls	21	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (4)	9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (1)	34 (2)
Field Goals	40-90	36-76
At-the-Rim FG	17-26	17-21
Midrange FG	12-33	8-23
2-Point FG	29-59	25-44
3-Point FG	11-31	11-32
Free Throws	12-15	21-27
Fast Break Pts	13	10
2nd Chance Pts	23	11
Points in Paint	48	44
Pts off Turnovers	19	16
Bench Points	34	23
Biggest Lead	4	15

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg