Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, April 2, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	11	Bucks	73%	120	113	109.7	103	97.0
	26	Wizards	27%	112	117	111.4	105	111.9

Scoring Opportunities

MIL

+19

-12

110

WAS

-10

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.02 50.9%

WAS

1.14 56.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

11 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 29	36.3	35	70%	15	10	0	0	2	2	3	12	5-9	56%	15-21	71%	0-0	-
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 33	30.9	24	60%	9	6	2	0	4	3	3	6	3-4	75%	6-11	55%	3-8	38%
Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 27	29.9	5	19%	2	1	2	0	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-10	10%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 36	26.4	6	33%	2	1	1	3	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-4	0%
Patrick Beverley #21 · PG · 6'1" 185 · 36	21.9	2	25%	5	3	1	1	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%

Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 31	29.1	15	58%	8	5	0	1	1	2	3	5	4-4	100%	1-1	100%	3-10	30%
Bobby Portis Jr. #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 29	25.5	12	43%	12	3	0	1	1	1	5	7	0-0	-	6-11	55%	0-3	0%
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 34	20.7	5	36%	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-6	17%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 25	13.6	6	75%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Danilo Gallinari #12 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 36	5.6	3	150%	2	0	1	0	2	2	1	1	0-1	0%	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
TyTy Washington Jr. #23 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ryan Rollins #55 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 22	INACTIVE
Jaylin Galloway #00 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	51%	57	31	8	6	12	17	18	39	12-18	67%	34-55	62%	11-48	23%

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11 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 29	36.3	35	70%	15	10	0	0	2	2	3	12	5-9	56%	15-21	71%	0-0	-
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 33	30.9	24	60%	9	6	2	0	4	3	3	6	3-4	75%	6-11	55%	3-8	38%
Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 27	29.9	5	19%	2	1	2	0	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-10	10%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 36	26.4	6	33%	2	1	1	3	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-4	0%
Patrick Beverley #21 · PG · 6'1" 185 · 36	21.9	2	25%	5	3	1	1	0	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%

Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 31	29.1	15	58%	8	5	0	1	1	2	3	5	4-4	100%	1-1	100%	3-10	30%
Bobby Portis Jr. #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 29	25.5	12	43%	12	3	0	1	1	1	5	7	0-0	-	6-11	55%	0-3	0%
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 34	20.7	5	36%	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-6	17%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 25	13.6	6	75%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Danilo Gallinari #12 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 36	5.6	3	150%	2	0	1	0	2	2	1	1	0-1	0%	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
TyTy Washington Jr. #23 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Ryan Rollins #55 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 22	INACTIVE
Jaylin Galloway #00 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	51%	57	31	8	6	12	17	18	39	12-18	67%	34-55	62%	11-48	23%

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26 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 23	38.8	23	64%	8	5	1	1	3	4	1	7	3-4	75%	10-12	83%	0-5	0%
Corey Kispert #24 · SG · 6'6" 224 · 25	38.1	27	68%	7	0	1	1	0	0	1	6	3-4	75%	6-7	86%	4-11	36%
Anthony Gill #16 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 31	38.0	12	55%	9	0	0	0	2	3	1	8	0-0	-	6-9	67%	0-2	0%
Jordan Poole #13 · PG · 6'4" 194 · 25	35.3	16	53%	4	13	2	0	3	3	0	4	3-3	100%	5-8	63%	1-6	17%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · C · 6'10" 235 · 25	9.3	4	40%	3	0	1	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%

Tristan Vukcevic #00 · C · 7'0" 220 · 21	31.1	14	58%	7	3	1	0	1	4	1	6	3-3	100%	4-5	80%	1-6	17%
Johnny Davis #1 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 22	17.9	1	17%	2	1	1	0	0	4	0	2	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Jared Butler #4 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 24	17.5	17	85%	3	3	2	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	4-7	57%	3-3	100%
Eugene Omoruyi #97 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 27	14.0	3	30%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Kyle Kuzma #33 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 29	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Heel; Contusion
Richaun Holmes #22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 30	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Toe; Big toe contusion
Tyus Jones #5 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 28	DND - Injury/Illness \| Back; Lumbosacral sprain
Patrick Baldwin Jr. #7 · SF · 7'0" 220 · 21	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Jules Bernard #14 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Justin Champagnie #9 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 23	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Landry Shamet #20 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Bilal Coulibaly #0 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Fracture
Isaiah Livers #12 · PF · 6'6" 232 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Joint capsule Inflammation
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	57%	44	26	9	2	10	20	5	39	14-17	82%	38-55	69%	9-38	24%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	WAS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.02 50.9%

WAS

1.14 56.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

85%

WAS

79%

Midrange

MIL

39%

WAS

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

16.5

23%

34%

WAS

13.5

24%

36%

Free Throws

MIL

67%

WAS

82%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo	35	70%	17.5 / 25
K. Middleton	24	60%	12.0 / 20
P. Connaughton	15	58%	7.5 / 13
B. Portis	12	43%	6.0 / 14
B. Lopez	6	33%	3.0 / 9
A. Green	6	75%	3.0 / 4
M. Beasley	5	19%	2.5 / 13
J. Crowder	5	36%	2.5 / 7
D. Gallinari	3	150%	1.5 / 1
P. Beverley	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Kispert	27	68%	13.5 / 20
D. Avdija	23	64%	11.5 / 18
J. Butler	17	85%	8.5 / 10
J. Poole	16	53%	8.0 / 15
T. Vukcevic	14	58%	7.0 / 12
A. Gill	12	55%	6.0 / 11
M. Bagley	4	40%	2.0 / 5
E. Omoruyi	3	30%	1.5 / 5
J. Davis	1	17%	0.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 117.6 25 110.3	MIL 109.7 WAS 111.4 +1.7
Pace	8 100.6 1 103.0	MIL 97.0 WAS 111.9 +14.9
Avg. Poss. Time	19 14.4 30 13.6	MIL 14.8 WAS 12.9 −2.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	4 56.8% 19 53.8%	MIL 49.0% WAS 55.4% +6.4%
TO %	10 12.2% 19 13.1%	MIL 9.8% −0.1% WAS 9.9%
ORB %	25 21.8% 29 20.0%	MIL 31.6% +20.2% WAS 11.4%
FTrt	4 27.0 27 22.1	MIL 17.5 WAS 18.3 +0.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 61.5% 9 64.9%	MIL 68.9% +13.6% WAS 55.3%
STL %	28 6.7% 19 7.3%	MIL 7.8% WAS 8.6% +0.8%
BLK %	28 8.5% 16 9.4%	MIL 10.9% +7.3% WAS 3.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 58.8% 21 55.8%	MIL 50.9% WAS 56.8% +5.9%
Rim FG%	4 67.9% 8 65.7%	MIL 85.2% +5.8% WAS 79.4%
Mid FG%	11 44.5% 28 39.8%	MIL 39.3% WAS 52.4% +13.1%
3P %	11 37.3% 25 34.8%	MIL 22.9% WAS 23.7% +0.8%
FT %	19 77.4% 24 76.4%	MIL 66.7% WAS 82.4% +15.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 31.5% 7 35.4%	MIL 26.2% WAS 36.6% +10.3%
Mid Att. %	7 25.4% 8 25.7%	MIL 27.2% WAS 22.6% −4.6%
3P Att. %	4 43.0% 16 38.9%	MIL 46.6% +5.7% WAS 40.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIL	WAS
Possessions	103	105
Possession Minutes	25.5	22.5
Points	113	117
Rebounds	57	44
Assists	31	26
Steals	8	9
Blocks	6	2
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	10 (1)
Fouls	17	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	18 (1)	5 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (0)	39 (2)
Field Goals	45-103	47-93
At-the-Rim FG	23-27	27-34
Midrange FG	11-28	11-21
2-Point FG	34-55	38-55
3-Point FG	11-48	9-38
Free Throws	12-18	14-17
Fast Break Pts	10	18
2nd Chance Pts	23	4
Points in Paint	56	70
Pts off Turnovers	8	11
Bench Points	41	35
Biggest Lead	4	15

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg