Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, April 2, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	18	Rockets	32%	103	106	110.4	96	101.1
	2	Timberwolves	68%	109	113	118.9	95	90.4

Scoring Opportunities

HOU

+19

-14

101

MIN

+10

-17

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.05 52.5%

MIN

1.28 64.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

18 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 30	40.6	22	55%	5	5	5	0	1	5	2	3	0-1	0%	5-7	71%	4-13	31%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 22	38.3	26	57%	5	6	0	0	5	4	1	4	4-4	100%	8-11	73%	2-11	18%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · C · 6'11" 220 · 21	35.9	18	60%	8	3	0	0	1	3	1	7	2-2	100%	5-6	83%	2-8	25%
Dillon Brooks #9 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	29.0	5	42%	1	1	0	0	2	4	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Amen Thompson #1 · PF · 6'7" 200 · 21	25.4	9	45%	9	4	3	0	0	2	4	5	1-3	33%	4-9	44%	0-0	-

Cam Whitmore #7 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 20	23.3	14	58%	1	0	1	0	3	1	1	0	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	3-6	50%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 38	21.1	8	67%	6	2	0	0	0	1	2	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-5	40%
Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 28	18.8	4	50%	2	0	0	0	2	1	1	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 28	5.8	0	0%	0	2	1	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Reggie Bullock Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 33	1.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jermaine Samuels Jr. #00 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nate Hinton #14 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCL Surgery
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Tibia; Surgery
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	53%	37	23	10	0	14	23	12	25	10-14	71%	27-44	61%	14-48	29%

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18 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Fred VanVleet #5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 30	40.6	22	55%	5	5	5	0	1	5	2	3	0-1	0%	5-7	71%	4-13	31%
Jalen Green #4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 22	38.3	26	57%	5	6	0	0	5	4	1	4	4-4	100%	8-11	73%	2-11	18%
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 · C · 6'11" 220 · 21	35.9	18	60%	8	3	0	0	1	3	1	7	2-2	100%	5-6	83%	2-8	25%
Dillon Brooks #9 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28	29.0	5	42%	1	1	0	0	2	4	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Amen Thompson #1 · PF · 6'7" 200 · 21	25.4	9	45%	9	4	3	0	0	2	4	5	1-3	33%	4-9	44%	0-0	-

Cam Whitmore #7 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 20	23.3	14	58%	1	0	1	0	3	1	1	0	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	3-6	50%
Jeff Green #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 38	21.1	8	67%	6	2	0	0	0	1	2	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-5	40%
Jock Landale #2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 28	18.8	4	50%	2	0	0	0	2	1	1	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Aaron Holiday #0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 28	5.8	0	0%	0	2	1	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Reggie Bullock Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 33	1.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jae'Sean Tate #8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nate Williams #19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Boban Marjanović #51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jermaine Samuels Jr. #00 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Nate Hinton #14 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Steven Adams #12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCL Surgery
Tari Eason #17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Tibia; Surgery
Alperen Sengun #28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	53%	37	23	10	0	14	23	12	25	10-14	71%	27-44	61%	14-48	29%

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2 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 23	36.2	21	53%	5	3	2	0	3	1	1	4	11-11	100%	5-10	50%	0-6	0%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 32	35.2	12	60%	14	0	0	2	1	3	1	13	4-6	67%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Naz Reid #11 · PF · 6'9" 264 · 25	34.0	25	69%	6	2	2	1	3	1	1	5	2-2	100%	7-12	58%	3-5	60%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 36	29.8	14	88%	2	6	3	0	4	2	0	2	3-3	100%	1-3	33%	3-4	75%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 24	27.4	8	44%	3	1	2	0	3	3	2	1	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-3	0%

Kyle Anderson #1 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 31	30.1	13	81%	6	9	2	2	2	1	1	5	0-0	-	5-6	83%	1-2	50%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	18.8	7	117%	1	0	0	0	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-1	100%
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	18.2	11	79%	1	7	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-4	75%
Monté Morris #23 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 29	10.2	2	33%	1	1	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
T.J. Warren #24 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Daishen Nix #12 · PG · 6'3" 226 · 22	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Meniscus; Tear
Jaylen Clark #0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Rupture Rehab
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	64%	39	29	12	5	17	17	6	33	20-22	91%	30-51	59%	11-26	42%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	MIN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.05 52.5%

MIN

1.28 64.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

72%

MIN

83%

Midrange

HOU

47%

MIN

37%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

21.0

29%

44%

MIN

16.5

42%

63%

Free Throws

HOU

71%

MIN

91%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Green	26	57%	13.0 / 23
F. VanVleet	22	55%	11.0 / 20
J. Smith	18	60%	9.0 / 15
C. Whitmore	14	58%	7.0 / 12
A. Thompson	9	45%	4.5 / 10
J. Green	8	67%	4.0 / 6
D. Brooks	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. Landale	4	50%	2.0 / 4
A. Holiday	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Reid	25	69%	12.5 / 18
A. Edwards	21	53%	10.5 / 20
M. Conley	14	88%	7.0 / 8
K. Anderson	13	81%	6.5 / 8
R. Gobert	12	60%	6.0 / 10
J. McLaughlin	11	79%	5.5 / 7
J. McDaniels	8	44%	4.0 / 9
N. Alexander-Walker	7	117%	3.5 / 3
M. Morris	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	20 113.8 17 114.7	HOU 110.4 MIN 118.9 +8.5
Pace	13 99.6 22 97.9	HOU 101.1 +10.7 MIN 90.4
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.2 3 15.0	HOU 14.2 −1.7 MIN 15.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 52.9% 10 55.9%	HOU 52.2% MIN 60.4% +8.2%
TO %	8 12.1% 22 13.6%	HOU 13.3% −3.9% MIN 17.2%
ORB %	10 25.1% 22 23.1%	HOU 26.7% +7.3% MIN 19.4%
FTrt	9 25.7 5 27.0	HOU 15.2 MIN 28.6 +13.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	27 59.4% 12 64.6%	HOU 56.1% MIN 70.7% +14.6%
STL %	9 7.8% 6 8.0%	HOU 10.4% MIN 12.6% +2.2%
BLK %	11 9.7% 4 11.0%	HOU 0.0% MIN 11.4% +11.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 55.2% 10 57.7%	HOU 52.5% MIN 64.2% +11.7%
Rim FG%	24 61.2% 15 64.3%	HOU 72.0% MIN 83.3% +11.3%
Mid FG%	21 41.2% 16 42.6%	HOU 47.4% +10.4% MIN 37.0%
3P %	23 35.2% 3 38.7%	HOU 29.2% MIN 42.3% +13.1%
FT %	20 77.3% 18 77.7%	HOU 71.4% MIN 90.9% +19.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	6 35.5% 14 34.1%	HOU 27.2% MIN 31.2% +4.0%
Mid Att. %	3 24.7% 16 27.5%	HOU 20.7% −14.4% MIN 35.1%
3P Att. %	13 39.7% 17 38.4%	HOU 52.2% +18.4% MIN 33.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	HOU	MIN
Possessions	96	95
Possession Minutes	22.8	25.2
Points	106	113
Rebounds	37	39
Assists	23	29
Steals	10	12
Blocks	0	5
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	17 (1)
Fouls	23	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (7)	6 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (3)	33 (3)
Field Goals	41-92	41-77
At-the-Rim FG	18-25	20-24
Midrange FG	9-19	10-27
2-Point FG	27-44	30-51
3-Point FG	14-48	11-26
Free Throws	10-14	20-22
Fast Break Pts	22	9
2nd Chance Pts	13	13
Points in Paint	46	52
Pts off Turnovers	27	17
Bench Points	26	33
Biggest Lead	11	15

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg