Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, April 2, 2024

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Spurs	23%	106	105	104.0	101	99.8
	9	Nuggets	77%	116	110	110.0	100	101.2

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+22

-7

116

DEN

+13

-8

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

0.91 45.3%

DEN

1.05 52.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

23 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 23	37.3	11	50%	5	2	1	1	1	0	1	4	2-3	67%	3-6	50%	1-4	25%
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	37.1	24	60%	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	3	1-2	50%	7-11	64%	3-8	38%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 20	34.0	23	36%	15	8	1	9	2	3	5	10	3-6	50%	7-18	39%	2-11	18%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	32.3	10	45%	12	11	1	1	0	1	3	9	0-0	-	2-6	33%	2-5	40%
Cedi Osman #16 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	18.2	10	71%	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-4	50%

Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	24.1	10	56%	9	1	0	0	1	1	5	4	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	2-4	50%
Devonte' Graham #4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 29	19.4	2	20%	2	3	1	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-4	0%
Zach Collins #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	17.6	13	59%	8	2	0	1	0	3	1	7	0-1	0%	5-8	63%	1-3	33%
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 21	15.1	2	17%	1	4	0	0	2	2	0	1	0-2	0%	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	5.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
RaiQuan Gray #0 · PF · 6'7" 269 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
David Duke Jr. #28 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamaree Bouyea #21 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Impingement
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Third Metatarsal Head; Stress Reaction
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Bruise
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Acl; Tear
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	45%	59	33	4	12	7	19	15	44	8-16	50%	29-61	48%	13-44	30%

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23 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Julian Champagnie #30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 23	37.3	11	50%	5	2	1	1	1	0	1	4	2-3	67%	3-6	50%	1-4	25%
Malaki Branham #22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 21	37.1	24	60%	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	3	1-2	50%	7-11	64%	3-8	38%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 20	34.0	23	36%	15	8	1	9	2	3	5	10	3-6	50%	7-18	39%	2-11	18%
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 24	32.3	10	45%	12	11	1	1	0	1	3	9	0-0	-	2-6	33%	2-5	40%
Cedi Osman #16 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	18.2	10	71%	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-4	50%

Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 25	24.1	10	56%	9	1	0	0	1	1	5	4	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	2-4	50%
Devonte' Graham #4 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 29	19.4	2	20%	2	3	1	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-4	0%
Zach Collins #23 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26	17.6	13	59%	8	2	0	1	0	3	1	7	0-1	0%	5-8	63%	1-3	33%
Blake Wesley #14 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 21	15.1	2	17%	1	4	0	0	2	2	0	1	0-2	0%	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Sidy Cissoko #25 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 20	5.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
RaiQuan Gray #0 · PF · 6'7" 269 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
David Duke Jr. #28 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jamaree Bouyea #21 · PG · 6'2" 180 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jeremy Sochan #10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Impingement
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Third Metatarsal Head; Stress Reaction
Dominick Barlow #26 · SF · 6'9" 224 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Bone Bruise
Charles Bassey #28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Acl; Tear
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	45%	59	33	4	12	7	19	15	44	8-16	50%	29-61	48%	13-44	30%

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9 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	37.6	42	62%	16	6	1	2	4	2	4	12	5-6	83%	17-26	65%	1-6	17%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	35.2	15	44%	16	3	1	1	1	1	2	14	2-3	67%	2-8	25%	3-8	38%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	33.0	23	88%	7	4	1	1	0	3	2	5	3-3	100%	7-8	88%	2-4	50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	32.8	4	22%	0	2	1	1	0	2	0	0	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	1-5	20%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	25.9	9	35%	0	3	0	1	2	2	0	0	0-0	-	3-10	30%	1-3	33%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	27.5	5	42%	2	7	0	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	22.6	5	42%	3	1	1	2	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	19.8	7	58%	6	2	0	2	1	3	2	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	5.5	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Collin Gillespie #21 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Braxton Key #11 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27	INACTIVE
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Inflammation
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Adductor; Tendinosis
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	52%	52	28	5	10	8	15	11	41	13-16	81%	32-64	50%	11-34	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAS

0.91 45.3%

DEN

1.05 52.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

55%

DEN

57%

Midrange

SAS

29%

DEN

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

19.5

30%

44%

DEN

16.5

32%

49%

Free Throws

SAS

50%

DEN

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Branham	24	60%	12.0 / 20
V. Wembanyama	23	36%	11.5 / 32
Z. Collins	13	59%	6.5 / 11
J. Champagnie	11	50%	5.5 / 11
T. Jones	10	45%	5.0 / 11
C. Osman	10	71%	5.0 / 7
S. Mamukelashvili	10	56%	5.0 / 9
D. Graham	2	20%	1.0 / 5
B. Wesley	2	17%	1.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	42	62%	21.0 / 34
A. Gordon	23	88%	11.5 / 13
M. Porter	15	44%	7.5 / 17
R. Jackson	9	35%	4.5 / 13
P. Watson	7	58%	3.5 / 6
C. Braun	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. Holiday	5	42%	2.5 / 6
K. Caldwell-Pope	4	22%	2.0 / 9

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 109.4 5 117.9	SAS 104.0 DEN 110.0 +6.0
Pace	3 101.7 26 97.4	SAS 99.8 DEN 101.2 +1.4
Avg. Poss. Time	25 14.1 4 15.0	SAS 14.4 DEN 14.2 −0.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	23 53.2% 8 56.2%	SAS 46.2% DEN 49.5% +3.3%
TO %	26 14.3% 7 12.1%	SAS 6.7% −0.4% DEN 7.1%
ORB %	23 22.9% 6 25.5%	SAS 26.8% +6.8% DEN 20.0%
FTrt	28 22.0 24 22.4	SAS 15.2 DEN 16.3 +1.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 71.2% 5 66.9%	SAS 78.6% +13.5% DEN 65.1%
STL %	23 6.9% 20 7.3%	SAS 4.0% DEN 5.0% +1.0%
BLK %	10 9.7% 25 8.7%	SAS 18.8% +2.4% DEN 16.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.62 and 2.62.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	25 55.1% 11 57.5%	SAS 45.3% DEN 52.4% +7.1%
Rim FG%	16 64.1% 17 63.6%	SAS 54.5% DEN 57.5% +3.0%
Mid FG%	24 40.5% 3 47.0%	SAS 29.4% DEN 37.5% +8.1%
3P %	28 34.7% 10 37.4%	SAS 29.5% DEN 32.4% +2.9%
FT %	14 78.2% 25 76.2%	SAS 50.0% DEN 81.3% +31.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	13 34.2% 4 36.0%	SAS 41.9% +1.1% DEN 40.8%
Mid Att. %	9 25.7% 25 28.8%	SAS 16.2% −8.3% DEN 24.5%
3P Att. %	12 40.1% 30 35.2%	SAS 41.9% +7.2% DEN 34.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	DEN
Possessions	101	100
Possession Minutes	24.3	23.7
Points	105	110
Rebounds	59	52
Assists	33	28
Steals	4	5
Blocks	12	10
Turnovers (Team)	7 (1)	8 (0)
Fouls	19	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (7)	11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	44 (0)	41 (4)
Field Goals	42-105	43-98
At-the-Rim FG	24-44	23-40
Midrange FG	5-17	9-24
2-Point FG	29-61	32-64
3-Point FG	13-44	11-34
Free Throws	8-16	13-16
Fast Break Pts	22	12
2nd Chance Pts	16	19
Points in Paint	54	58
Pts off Turnovers	12	10
Bench Points	27	17
Biggest Lead	9	11

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg